Luis Baez — OGILVIE

Luis BaezOF Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 225 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION104 act + 214 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†38

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .241 / .290

PA214

HR3

K%30

BB%5

BABIP271

ISO95

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	222	210	41	10	1	7	7	84	2	10	7	195	228	352	581	157	279	38	3	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	222	203	62	19	2	9	14	56	2	10	7	305	356	552	908	246	376	25	6	390	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	255	226	41	11	1	7	21	84	5	1	1	181	266	332	598	150	246	33	8	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	255	214	53	15	1	11	33	62	5	1	1	248	361	481	842	234	292	24	13	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	2 teams	—	468	440	85	17	0	14	21	165	0	11	1	193	230	327	557	134	265	35	4	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	2 teams	—	468	431	111	25	0	21	30	122	0	11	1	258	306	462	768	204	305	26	6	332	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	253	59	12	2	2	17	88	1	7	0	233	284	320	604	87	348	32	6	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	248	61	12	2	2	22	73	1	7	0	246	310	335	645	89	339	27	8	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	HOU	—	104	98	15	3	0	0	4	32	0	2	3	153	186	184	370	31	221	31	4	174	-9	-13	-1	+0	-1	+3	-1.1
YTD	22	AA	HOU	—	104	96	17	4	0	0	6	25	0	2	3	177	225	219	444	42	233	24	6	203	13	-10	-1	+0	-1	+3	-0.9
ROS	22	AA	HOU	2%	214	200	39	8	1	3	11	65	1	4	2	195	241	290	531	95	266	30	5	235	38	-15	+0	-1	-1	+6	-1.1
ROS	22	MLB	HOU	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		268	25	0	236	39	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	AA	HOU	—	108	102	16	3	0	0	4	33	0	2	3	157	189	186	375	29	225	31	4	176	-7	-13	-1	-0	-1	+3	-1.2
TOT	22	AA	HOU	—	318	298	54	11	1	3	15	97	1	6	5	181	223	255	478	74	254	31	5	215	23	-28	-1	-1	-2	+9	-2.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	HOU	35%	370	345	70	14	1	8	21	109	1	6	2	203	251	319	570	116	272	29	6	258	56	-18	+0	-1	-2	+10	-1.1
2028	24	MLB	HOU	47%	432	402	86	17	1	12	25	123	2	7	2	214	263	351	614	137	275	28	6	272	66	-16	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.8
2029	25	MLB	HOU	52%	463	430	94	18	2	14	28	130	2	7	3	219	270	367	637	149	276	28	6	281	73	-14	+0	-1	-3	+13	-0.5
2030	26	MLB	HOU	54%	480	445	98	19	2	15	30	134	2	7	3	220	273	373	646	153	277	28	6	285	76	-13	+0	-2	-3	+14	-0.4
2027	23	MLB	HOU	35%	130	122	25	5	0	3	7	38	0	2	1	205	248	320	568	115	275	29	5	259	56	-6	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.4
2028	24	MLB	HOU	47%	201	186	41	8	1	6	12	57	1	3	1	220	271	371	642	151	278	28	6	273	67	-8	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.4
2029	25	MLB	HOU	52%	240	222	49	10	1	7	15	67	1	4	1	221	273	369	642	149	279	28	6	281	73	-7	+0	-1	-1	+7	-0.2
2030	26	MLB	HOU	54%	261	242	53	10	1	8	16	73	1	4	1	219	270	368	638	149	280	28	6	285	77	-7	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	836	776	169	33	3	24	50	236	3	13	4	218	268	361	629	143	279	28	6	277	70	-28	+1	-3	-5	+24	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	132	26	2	19	39	183	2	10	3	219	268	363	631	144	280	28	6	277	70	-22	+1	-2	-4	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	3176	2951	613	126	11	82	181	982	16	60	21	208	257	341	599	134	278	31	6	263	60	-144	+4	-6	-19	+90	-7.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	126	26	2	17	37	201	3	12	4	209	258	343	600	134	279	31	6	263	60	-30	+1	-1	-4	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	222	203	62	19	2	9	14	56	2	10	7	305	356	552	908	246	376	25	6	390	157	+14	-1	—	—	+6	2.0
2023	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	179	155	37	13	1	4	17	48	4	0	0	239	330	413	742	174	311	27	9	328	109	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	76	59	16	2	0	7	16	14	1	1	1	271	434	661	1.095	390	237	18	21	465	214	+10	-0	—	—	+2	1.2
2024	20	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	61	51	11	3	0	1	8	11	0	2	0	216	322	333	655	118	244	18	13	293	82	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	20	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	407	380	100	22	0	20	22	111	0	9	1	263	303	479	782	216	315	27	5	338	117	+8	+1	—	—	+12	2.1
2025	21	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	248	61	12	2	2	22	73	1	7	0	246	310	335	645	89	339	27	8	293	82	-5	+1	—	—	+8	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	838	24	13	217	264	357	-5	+0	-1.0	-0.5
	/162	664	19	10	217	264	357	-4.0	+0.0	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Baez (OGILVIE)	22	30→35	45→55	40	30	181/223/255	74	254	3	6	31%	5%	23	-2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→40	47→55	46→50	35	194/234/331	137	275	15	6	35%	5%	50	-1.7	211/266/374	163	279	20	8	31%	6%	76	+0.0	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Wendell Rijo 2018 · AA	22	40→41	38→55	45→50	39	194/248/274	81	270	6	11	30%	5%	41	-2.3	205/260/312	107	271	11	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Moisés Gómez 2022 · AA	23	32→42	46→60	44→45	31	162/221/283	121	297	14	7	48%	6%	33	-2.9	197/249/379	182	304	26	8	42%	6%	70	-0.3	190/242/378	188	276	28	6	41%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Chad Spann 2006 · AA	22	40→37	45	40	38	202/255/327	125	284	13	4	33%	6%	58	-1.2	213/264/328	115	299	11	4	31%	5%	62	-0.9	206/256/308	103	288	10	2	31%	5%	50	-1.0
✕Yusuf Carter 2007 · A	22	36→33	46→50	44→50	34	188/232/307	119	287	15	6	39%	5%	43	-2.2	202/239/339	137	303	16	11	38%	5%	54	-1.4	219/263/368	149	297	19	10	32%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Alexander Palma 2018 · A	22	42	43→50	44→45	39	211/243/323	112	258	10	9	23%	4%	51	-1.7	236/276/379	143	287	16	8	23%	4%	81	+0.4	231/264/383	153	268	22	3	23%	4%	75	-0.0
●Felix Reyes 2023 · A	22	36→46	42→55	46→45	35	184/229/286	102	264	11	8	34%	4%	37	-2.7	225/263/354	129	266	15	7	21%	4%	68	-0.5	244/271/414	171	282	21	9	22%	3%	86	+0.5
✕Gerrion Grim 2016 · A	22	37	40→60	45→40	36	184/237/272	87	288	8	9	38%	6%	36	-2.7	186/227/319	133	290	17	5	41%	4%	44	-2.1	171/208/322	151	249	23	2	41%	4%	34	-1.5
✕Joe DeCarlo 2016 · A	22	36→37	43→55	44→30	42	178/266/287	109	280	11	3	38%	8%	54	-1.4	196/276/343	147	277	18	3	34%	8%	72	-0.2	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Chadwick Tromp 2017 · A	22	40	42→50	43→40	37	203/238/305	102	263	10	4	27%	4%	44	-2.1	220/273/313	93	278	8	4	23%	6%	62	-0.9	222/279/363	141	273	17	0	25%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Jacob Heyward 2018 · A	22	40	46→50	44→50	39	197/268/322	125	306	14	8	38%	8%	63	-0.8	196/281/324	128	303	14	10	37%	9%	69	-0.4	181/275/326	145	269	18	9	37%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	47→50	44→40	39	181/246/309	128	264	15	5	36%	7%	50	-1.7	207/262/323	116	285	12	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	206/261/314	108	276	12	2	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	46→55	44→50	48	183/269/314	131	257	13	8	32%	10%	62	-0.9	197/280/350	153	289	17	9	35%	9%	76	+0.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Chuckie Jones 2014 · A	22	38→41	44→50	44→50	36	188/249/299	111	305	12	8	40%	7%	49	-1.8	209/264/336	127	303	14	9	34%	6%	64	-0.8	205/260/335	130	286	16	10	33%	6%	59	-0.6
●Jose Vargas 2010 · A	22	39	46→60	46→40	33	202/232/328	126	275	14	4	32%	3%	48	-1.9	197/236/305	108	284	10	4	33%	4%	44	-2.1	218/253/411	194	281	28	3	33%	4%	77	+0.1
✕Lenyn Sosa 2022 · AA	22	42→51	43→50	39→40	34	212/238/317	105	284	11	4	30%	3%	47	-1.9	235/269/367	132	290	16	4	25%	4%	74	-0.1	246/275/385	139	290	18	4	22%	3%	80	+0.2
✕Quincy Latimore 2012 · AA	23	40→41	47→50	44→50	35	202/251/336	134	292	14	7	35%	5%	59	-1.1	205/258/334	129	280	15	10	31%	6%	62	-0.9	208/258/343	135	271	15	10	29%	5%	61	-0.6
✕DJ Gladney 2023 · AA	22	32→42	42→55	51→50	29	157/212/256	99	314	11	6	51%	6%	22	-3.7	192/238/338	146	313	19	9	43%	5%	54	-1.4	212/251/383	171	323	24	11	41%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Michael Almanzar 2013 · A	22	41→48	41→50	43→45	37	207/243/304	97	268	9	6	26%	4%	46	-2.0	222/265/335	113	280	11	7	24%	4%	64	-0.8	212/256/313	101	268	10	5	24%	4%	52	-1.2
✕Carlos De La Cruz 2022 · A	22	35→42	41→50	47→45	32	166/228/256	91	317	9	7	48%	6%	29	-3.2	208/264/351	143	322	17	6	39%	6%	69	-0.4	206/262/347	141	313	17	5	38%	5%	64	-0.6