Luis Baez — OGILVIE

Luis BaezOF Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 225 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION104 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .286 / .308

PA14

HR0

K%29

BB%7

BABIP269

ISO77

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	222	203	62	19	2	9	14	56	2	10	7	305	356	552	908	246	376	25	6	390	150	+13	-1	—	—	+5	1.8
2023	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	179	155	37	13	1	4	17	48	4	0	0	239	330	413	742	174	311	27	9	328	108	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	76	59	16	2	0	7	16	14	1	1	1	271	434	661	1.095	390	237	18	21	465	201	+9	-0	—	—	+2	1.1
2024	20	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	61	51	11	3	0	1	8	11	0	2	0	216	322	333	655	118	244	18	13	293	84	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	20	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	407	380	100	22	0	20	22	111	0	9	1	263	303	479	782	216	315	27	5	338	115	+7	+1	—	—	+9	1.8
2025	21	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	248	61	12	2	2	22	73	1	7	0	246	310	335	645	89	339	27	8	293	84	-5	+1	—	—	+6	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	222	209	42	11	1	7	8	83	2	10	7	201	237	364	601	163	278	37	4	255	59	-11	-1	—	—	+5	-0.7
2023	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	179	161	29	9	1	3	11	67	4	0	0	180	250	304	554	124	268	37	6	247	53	-10	+0	—	—	+4	-0.6
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	76	65	12	2	0	4	10	19	1	1	1	185	303	400	703	215	175	25	13	297	87	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	20	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	61	53	11	3	0	1	6	13	0	2	0	208	288	321	609	113	234	21	10	264	65	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	407	387	75	14	0	14	15	150	0	9	1	194	224	339	562	145	262	37	4	241	49	-25	+1	—	—	+9	-1.5
2025	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	254	56	11	2	1	16	86	1	7	0	220	269	291	561	71	328	32	6	253	57	-14	+1	—	—	+6	-0.7
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	222	209	42	11	1	7	8	83	2	10	7	201	237	364	601	163	287	37	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	—	222	203	62	19	2	9	14	56	2	10	7	305	356	552	908	246	376	25	6	390	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	255	226	41	11	1	7	21	86	5	1	1	181	266	332	598	150	250	34	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	255	214	53	15	1	11	33	62	5	1	1	248	361	481	842	234	292	24	13	369	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	468	440	86	17	0	15	21	164	0	11	1	195	232	336	568	141	265	35	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	468	431	111	25	0	21	30	122	0	11	1	258	306	462	768	204	305	26	6	332	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	254	56	11	2	1	16	86	1	7	0	220	269	291	561	71	327	32	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	248	61	12	2	2	22	73	1	7	0	246	310	335	645	89	339	27	8	293	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	222	210	42	11	1	7	8	83	2	10	7	200	237	362	599	162	278	37	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	255	227	41	11	1	7	21	86	5	1	1	181	266	330	596	150	240	34	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	468	444	86	17	0	15	21	164	0	11	1	194	232	333	565	140	258	35	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	253	56	11	2	1	16	86	1	7	0	221	269	292	562	71	328	32	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	255	227	41	11	1	7	21	86	5	1	1	181	266	330	596	150	240	34	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	468	444	86	17	0	15	21	164	0	11	1	194	232	333	565	140	258	35	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	253	56	11	2	1	16	86	1	7	0	221	269	292	562	71	328	32	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA MLE	HOU	—	104	98	16	4	0	0	4	30	0	2	3	163	196	204	400	41	229	29	4	177	6	-12	-1	+0	-1	+2	-1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	AA RAW	HOU	—	104	96	17	4	0	0	6	25	0	2	3	177	225	219	444	42	233	24	6	203	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	AA MLE	HOU	2%	14	13	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	231	286	308	593	77	267	29	7	239	48	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	22	AA MLE	HOU	—	118	111	19	5	0	0	5	34	0	2	3	171	207	216	423	45	241	29	4	184	11	-13	-1	-0	-1	+3	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	HOU	35%	370	346	71	14	1	8	20	106	1	6	2	205	251	321	571	116	271	29	5	260	62	-17	+0	-1	-2	+8	-1.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	47%	432	402	86	17	1	12	25	120	2	7	2	214	263	351	614	137	274	28	6	273	71	-15	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.9
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	463	430	95	18	2	14	28	127	2	7	3	221	272	370	642	149	275	27	6	282	77	-13	+0	-1	-3	+10	-0.7
2030	26	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	480	445	99	19	2	15	30	131	2	7	3	222	275	375	650	153	276	27	6	286	80	-12	+0	-2	-3	+10	-0.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	485	449	99	19	2	15	31	133	2	7	3	220	274	372	646	151	276	27	6	286	80	-12	+0	-2	-3	+11	-0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	484	448	99	19	2	15	31	133	2	7	3	221	274	373	647	152	275	27	6	285	79	-12	+0	-2	-3	+10	-0.7
2027	23	MLB CTX	HOU	35%	130	122	25	5	0	3	7	37	0	2	1	205	248	320	568	115	273	28	5	258	62	-6	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	47%	201	186	40	8	1	5	12	56	1	3	1	215	266	349	616	134	276	28	6	271	71	-7	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.4
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	240	223	50	10	1	7	14	66	1	4	1	224	273	372	645	148	277	28	6	278	77	-7	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	261	242	53	10	1	8	16	71	1	4	1	219	270	368	638	149	278	27	6	283	80	-6	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	263	243	54	11	1	8	17	72	1	4	1	222	276	374	650	152	278	27	6	283	80	-6	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	283	262	58	11	1	9	18	78	1	4	1	221	274	374	648	153	277	28	6	282	79	-7	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1378	1278	280	55	5	40	84	380	5	21	6	219	270	364	634	145	278	28	6	278	69	-39	+2	-5	-8	+30	-2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	603	132	26	2	19	40	179	2	10	3	219	270	363	633	144	277	28	6	278	69	-18	+1	-2	-4	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3945	3662	777	157	14	109	232	1173	19	70	25	212	263	352	615	140	278	30	6	271	69	-80	+2	-9	-16	+59	-4.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	128	26	2	18	38	193	3	12	4	212	262	352	614	139	278	30	6	271	69	-19	+0	-2	-4	+14	-1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.1	1,384	41	20	219	268	365	-8	+0	-0.7	-0.3
/162	664	20	10	-4.0	+0.0	-0.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Baez (OGILVIE)	22	30→35	45→55	40	30	195/237/293	98	267	5	5	30%	5%	48	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Felix Reyes 2023 · A	22	36→46	42→50	46→45	35	184/229/286	101	264	10	8	34%	4%	43	-2.8	223/259/346	123	265	14	7	21%	4%	69	-0.9	240/273/379	139	275	15	8	19%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Lenyn Sosa 2022 · AA	22	43→51	42→50	39→40	34	213/240/315	102	284	10	4	29%	3%	53	-2.1	235/269/364	129	289	16	4	24%	4%	76	-0.4	243/274/380	137	290	18	3	23%	3%	80	-0.1
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→41	48→55	46→50	35	195/236/334	139	275	15	6	35%	5%	57	-1.8	212/267/368	156	279	19	8	31%	6%	78	-0.3	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Yusuf Carter 2007 · A	22	36→33	46→50	44→50	34	188/232/307	119	287	15	6	39%	5%	50	-2.3	202/239/339	137	303	16	11	38%	5%	59	-1.6	220/265/371	151	297	19	10	32%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Chad Spann 2006 · AA	22	40→37	45	40	38	203/255/327	125	284	13	4	33%	6%	63	-1.3	213/264/323	110	297	10	4	30%	5%	65	-1.2	206/256/303	97	287	9	2	30%	5%	55	-1.2
✕Jose Vargas 2010 · A	22	39	46→60	46→40	33	202/232/328	126	275	14	4	32%	3%	54	-2.0	201/240/310	109	287	11	4	33%	4%	53	-2.1	220/255/399	179	287	25	3	33%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Óscar Hernández 2015 · A	22	41	44→50	41→40	39	206/251/323	117	265	11	4	27%	5%	60	-1.6	198/245/311	113	259	11	5	27%	5%	55	-1.9	162/212/257	95	207	10	1	27%	5%	28	-1.3
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	181/247/307	126	264	15	5	36%	7%	56	-1.9	209/267/324	115	285	12	4	30%	7%	67	-1.1	208/268/318	109	276	12	2	28%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Sandro Fabian 2019 · A	21	39→46	43→55	41→45	35	201/235/310	109	265	12	3	29%	3%	51	-2.2	211/258/337	126	272	15	5	28%	5%	66	-1.1	223/272/387	164	251	20	4	20%	5%	81	-0.1
✕Parker Meadows 2022 · A	22	36→46	42→55	43→55	40	183/242/280	97	259	10	9	32%	6%	47	-2.5	216/279/367	151	277	16	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1	222/289/387	165	276	18	21	26%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Moisés Gómez 2022 · AA	23	32→41	44→55	44→45	33	164/224/279	115	292	13	7	46%	6%	41	-3.0	195/249/360	165	300	22	8	41%	6%	69	-0.9	187/241/354	167	276	24	6	40%	6%	62	-1.0
✕Joey Curletta 2016 · A	22	41→48	41→50	41→45	39	202/252/302	100	287	9	5	32%	6%	55	-1.9	203/262/345	142	297	16	5	35%	7%	70	-0.8	207/272/364	156	289	20	4	34%	8%	77	-0.3
✕Quincy Latimore 2012 · AA	23	40→43	46→50	44→50	35	205/252/335	131	290	13	7	34%	4%	64	-1.3	209/262/332	123	279	13	10	29%	6%	67	-1.1	215/266/345	130	274	14	10	26%	6%	68	-0.6
✕Austin Hedges 2015 · AA	22	43→40	40→60	42→45	40	209/250/301	92	264	7	6	24%	4%	54	-2.0	217/256/349	132	264	15	4	24%	4%	68	-1.0	227/269/410	183	271	25	4	26%	5%	84	+0.1
●Jordy Lara 2013 · A	22	35→45	45→55	46→40	39	187/240/310	123	251	13	3	31%	6%	53	-2.1	230/274/372	142	290	14	2	25%	5%	80	-0.1	240/287/384	144	293	14	0	23%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Luis Vázquez 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	41→45	45→50	39	209/255/305	96	283	9	11	29%	5%	57	-1.8	226/286/347	121	297	13	9	27%	6%	79	-0.2	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Deivy Grullón 2018 · AA	22	43→42	43→50	38→30	37	216/252/326	110	292	11	2	30%	4%	61	-1.5	227/270/375	148	305	19	3	31%	5%	80	-0.2	211/258/366	155	285	22	1	34%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Samuel Hiciano 2016 · A	22	42	45	43→50	37	212/255/333	120	291	12	8	31%	5%	64	-1.3	211/270/335	124	306	11	7	32%	7%	70	-0.8	162/237/308	146	234	10	0	33%	8%	49	-0.4
✕Jacob Heyward 2018 · A	22	40	44→45	44→50	40	196/267/309	113	301	11	8	37%	7%	64	-1.3	197/281/314	117	297	12	10	35%	9%	71	-0.8	181/276/311	130	263	15	9	35%	10%	66	-0.8
✕Clint Coulter 2014 · A	21	41→43	42→50	44→40	42	204/269/309	105	277	10	5	29%	7%	65	-1.2	212/285/346	134	271	14	4	26%	7%	79	-0.2	201/269/342	141	247	16	4	25%	5%	69	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps