L.J. Jones — OGILVIE

L.J. JonesOF ACL Padres

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 225 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .280 / .350

PA12

HR0

K%25

BB%7

ISO135

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	360	329	80	17	2	7	23	73	6	1	1	243	304	371	675	128	291	20	6	303	91	-4	-0	—	—	+8	0.4
2022	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	440	394	103	33	1	13	31	90	10	2	1	261	331	449	780	188	305	20	7	342	118	+9	+0	—	—	+10	1.9
2023	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	279	256	57	11	0	8	18	49	2	0	1	223	278	359	637	137	244	18	6	284	78	-7	-0	—	—	+6	-0.2
2024	25	ROK	ACL Padres	—	100	91	38	9	0	6	8	16	1	1	0	418	470	714	1.184	297	464	16	8	512	232	+16	+0	—	—	+2	1.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	360	337	67	13	2	6	15	96	6	1	1	199	246	303	548	104	254	27	4	238	47	-23	-0	—	—	+8	-1.5
2022	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	440	403	87	27	1	9	22	114	10	2	1	216	274	355	628	139	268	26	5	273	71	-15	+0	—	—	+10	-0.6
2023	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	279	263	52	9	0	6	12	61	2	0	1	198	238	300	539	103	230	22	4	236	46	-18	-0	—	—	+6	-1.3
2024	25	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	100	94	29	6	0	5	5	23	1	1	0	309	350	532	882	223	367	23	5	375	140	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2021	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	360	337	67	13	2	6	15	96	6	1	1	199	246	303	548	104	257	27	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	360	329	80	17	2	7	23	73	6	1	1	243	304	371	675	128	291	20	6	303	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	440	403	87	27	1	9	22	114	10	2	1	216	274	355	628	139	275	26	5	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	440	394	103	33	1	13	31	90	10	2	1	261	331	449	780	188	305	20	7	342	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	279	263	52	9	0	6	12	61	2	0	1	198	238	300	539	103	232	22	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	279	256	57	11	0	8	18	49	2	0	1	223	278	359	637	137	244	18	6	284	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	100	94	29	6	0	5	5	23	1	1	0	309	350	532	882	223	364	23	5	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	100	91	38	9	0	6	8	16	1	1	0	418	470	714	1.184	297	464	16	8	512	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	360	336	67	13	2	6	15	96	6	1	1	199	246	304	549	104	254	27	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	440	405	87	27	1	9	22	114	10	2	1	215	274	353	627	138	268	26	5	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	279	263	52	9	0	6	12	61	2	0	1	198	238	300	539	103	230	22	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	100	94	29	6	0	5	5	23	1	1	0	309	350	532	882	223	367	23	5	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	279	263	52	9	0	6	12	61	2	0	1	198	238	300	539	103	230	22	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	100	94	29	6	0	5	5	23	1	1	0	309	350	532	882	223	367	23	5	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	SD	0%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		271	25	8	285	79	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SD	26%	207	188	41	8	1	5	15	52	2	3	1	218	283	351	634	133	273	25	7	288	81	-5	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	29	MLB MLE	SD	37%	262	238	53	10	1	7	20	65	2	4	1	223	288	361	650	139	273	25	8	288	81	-6	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	SD	26%	53	48	10	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	208	283	312	596	104	270	25	8	280	81	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	SD	37%	96	88	19	4	0	2	7	24	1	1	0	216	281	330	611	114	270	25	7	281	81	-2	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	149	136	29	6	0	3	11	37	2	2	0	213	282	324	605	110	271	25	7	280	69	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	126	26	0	13	48	161	9	9	0	212	282	322	604	110	270	25	7	280	69	-15	+2	-3	-4	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1660	1534	331	73	5	38	90	414	23	11	5	216	270	344	614	128	268	25	5	270	69	-11	+1	-2	-3	+10	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	130	29	2	15	35	162	9	4	2	216	270	346	616	130	269	25	5	270	69	-15	+1	-3	-4	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	285	7	4	221	283	357	-2	+0	0.0	0.0
/162	664	17	10	-4.0	+0.0	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
L.J. Jones (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	217/280/350	133	271	3	2	25%	7%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Quincy Latimore 2016 · AA	27	44→43	47→50	47→50	41	221/269/360	139	281	14	10	27%	6%	76	-0.4	208/258/334	126	277	15	7	29%	6%	65	-1.2	194/246/308	114	258	15	4	30%	6%	52	-1.6
✕Weston Wilson 2021 · AA	26	39→43	47→55	49→55	43	204/262/334	130	263	15	10	28%	7%	68	-1.0	212/275/360	148	284	19	18	31%	8%	78	-0.3	207/286/372	166	264	22	25	30%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Jeff Deardorff 2006 · AAA	27	43	48→50	47→50	46	220/277/360	140	273	16	7	26%	7%	79	-0.2	213/268/348	135	285	15	11	29%	7%	73	-0.6	191/245/319	128	258	14	12	31%	6%	54	-1.2
✕Jerad Head 2010 · AA	27	45→44	44→50	50	40	223/281/350	126	282	11	11	24%	5%	78	-0.3	229/279/377	148	283	16	7	25%	4%	84	+0.1	223/275/375	152	272	18	7	25%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	47→55	52→50	45	206/276/349	144	272	14	12	29%	8%	76	-0.4	214/274/384	170	291	20	15	32%	7%	84	+0.1	200/265/376	176	270	21	17	33%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	43→45	47→45	53→55	49	218/294/356	138	264	15	16	23%	8%	84	+0.2	221/293/346	125	274	14	24	24%	8%	82	-0.0	215/286/326	111	267	12	28	23%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Jamie Romak 2013 · AAA	27	43→49	46→55	47→45	45	219/278/349	130	265	14	6	23%	6%	76	-0.4	205/262/360	155	265	18	6	29%	6%	74	-0.6	207/263/389	182	276	22	5	33%	6%	78	-0.2
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2013 · AAA	27	40→46	49→55	50	42	209/268/364	155	265	16	10	28%	6%	76	-0.4	216/264/389	173	256	19	8	24%	6%	81	-0.1	233/278/405	172	262	21	11	20%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Caleb Stewart 2009 · AAA	27	44→45	47→50	44→45	45	221/277/357	136	264	14	6	22%	6%	78	-0.3	215/289/330	115	286	10	8	27%	8%	76	-0.4	182/281/267	85	268	6	4	31%	9%	57	-0.7
✕Alex Call 2022 · AAA	27	43→48	46→50	48→50	48	218/284/345	127	257	14	14	21%	8%	78	-0.3	226/320/367	141	263	15	15	19%	11%	97	+1.1	238/341/359	122	289	11	12	20%	12%	103	+0.8
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	48→50	46	199/285/316	117	280	13	9	32%	9%	73	-0.6	212/301/356	144	295	17	5	32%	9%	88	+0.4	207/301/369	163	277	20	1	31%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Jason Cooper 2008 · AAA	27	42→38	47→50	51→45	43	210/271/357	147	279	13	9	29%	7%	76	-0.4	211/281/340	129	269	10	8	24%	8%	76	-0.4	205/288/337	132	247	11	3	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Eliseo Aldazaba 2017 · AAA	26	44→46	47→50	47→50	41	223/275/358	135	279	16	13	26%	5%	78	-0.3	212/276/345	133	268	13	13	25%	7%	76	-0.4	183/258/317	134	223	13	12	24%	8%	62	-0.9
✕Narciso Crook 2022 · AAA	27	42→43	47→50	49→50	40	211/279/350	139	304	15	12	34%	7%	78	-0.3	208/282/351	143	321	16	15	38%	7%	80	-0.2	194/272/334	141	306	16	17	39%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Anthony García 2018 · AAA	26	45→47	45→55	45	45	226/284/350	124	271	13	8	22%	6%	79	-0.2	222/293/366	144	273	17	5	24%	8%	86	+0.3	210/291/362	152	253	19	1	25%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Luke Allen 2007 · AAA	28	44→43	48→50	49→45	45	227/276/368	141	273	16	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	246/296/363	117	287	12	7	18%	7%	86	+0.3	272/321/371	98	305	8	3	13%	6%	95	+0.5
✕Matt Carson 2008 · AA	27	42→50	46→60	50	40	214/264/345	131	270	14	9	26%	5%	71	-0.8	230/276/390	160	280	18	13	24%	5%	85	+0.2	226/275/415	188	271	23	16	26%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→44	47→50	52→50	48	191/275/320	128	248	15	12	29%	9%	70	-0.8	201/294/345	144	266	17	13	29%	11%	82	+0.0	187/289/332	145	245	18	12	30%	12%	76	-0.3
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	49→50	48→45	43	205/263/348	142	263	17	10	29%	7%	71	-0.8	223/279/369	146	284	18	8	27%	7%	82	-0.0	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	86	+0.1
✕Trey Amburgey 2021 · AAA	26	43→44	47→50	49→50	38	220/260/358	138	275	15	9	26%	4%	72	-0.7	208/258/339	131	303	13	6	34%	6%	67	-1.1	190/241/316	125	283	12	2	36%	6%	53	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps