L.J. Jones — OGILVIE

L.J. JonesOF ACL Padres

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 225 lbs ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .280 / .351

PA136

HR3

K%25

BB%7

ISO136

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	360	338	66	13	2	6	14	93	6	1	1	195	240	299	539	104	249	26	4	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	360	329	80	17	2	7	23	73	6	1	1	243	304	371	675	128	291	20	6	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	440	403	88	28	1	9	22	108	10	2	1	218	276	360	636	141	272	25	5	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	440	394	103	33	1	13	31	90	10	2	1	261	331	449	780	188	305	20	7	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	279	263	51	9	0	6	12	65	2	0	1	194	235	297	531	103	232	23	4	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	279	256	57	11	0	8	18	49	2	0	1	223	278	359	637	137	244	18	6	284	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK	ACL Padres	—	100	94	30	6	0	6	5	24	1	1	0	319	360	574	934	255	375	24	5	382	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	ROK	ACL Padres	—	100	91	38	9	0	6	8	16	1	1	0	418	470	714	1.184	297	464	16	8	512	250	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	SD	—	136	124	27	5	1	3	10	35	1	2	1	218	281	347	628	129	271	26	7	284	76	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	SD	26%	207	188	41	8	1	5	15	52	2	3	1	218	283	351	634	133	273	25	7	287	78	-5	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.1
2028	29	MLB	SD	37%	262	238	53	10	1	7	20	66	2	4	1	223	288	361	650	139	274	25	8	288	79	-6	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
2027	28	MLB	SD	26%	53	48	10	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	208	283	312	596	104	269	25	8	276	70	-2	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	29	MLB	SD	37%	96	88	19	4	0	2	7	24	1	1	0	216	281	330	611	114	270	25	7	277	70	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	149	136	29	6	0	3	11	37	2	2	0	213	282	324	605	110	271	25	7	277	70	-5	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	126	26	0	13	48	161	9	9	0	212	282	322	604	110	270	25	7	277	70	-22	+2	-3	-4	+18	-0.9
Career	—			—	1784	1648	356	79	6	42	98	443	24	13	6	216	270	348	618	132	267	25	5	271	66	-69	+0	-2	-11	+51	-3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	129	29	2	15	36	161	9	5	2	215	270	345	615	130	266	25	6	271	66	-25	+0	-1	-4	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	360	329	80	17	2	7	23	73	6	1	1	243	304	371	675	128	291	20	6	303	90	-4	-0	—	—	+10	0.6
2022	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	440	394	103	33	1	13	31	90	10	2	1	261	331	449	780	188	305	20	7	342	120	+10	+0	—	—	+12	2.3
2023	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	279	256	57	11	0	8	18	49	2	0	1	223	278	359	637	137	244	18	6	284	75	-8	-0	—	—	+8	-0.0
2024	25	ROK	ACL Padres	—	100	91	38	9	0	6	8	16	1	1	0	418	470	714	1.184	297	464	16	8	512	250	+17	+0	—	—	+3	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Chris Woodwardlast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,835 PA	9	1,835	33	9	242	299	370	+2	-0	2.2	2.7
	/162	664	12	3	242	299	370	+0.6	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	285	7	4	220	282	357	-2	+0	-0.0	-0.0
	/162	664	17	10	220	282	357	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
L.J. Jones (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	216/280/351	135	271	3	2	25%	7%	76	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Quincy Latimore 2016 · AA	27	42→41	48→50	47→50	40	215/263/356	141	280	15	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	203/251/329	126	276	15	7	31%	6%	57	-1.2	189/238/303	114	257	15	4	32%	5%	40	-1.7
✕Jamie Romak 2013 · AAA	27	42→48	48→55	47→45	43	218/275/357	139	264	16	6	24%	6%	75	-0.0	204/260/356	152	267	18	6	30%	6%	68	-0.5	200/257/371	171	274	21	5	34%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Weston Wilson 2021 · AA	26	38→43	48→55	48→55	42	200/258/333	133	262	16	10	30%	7%	61	-1.0	219/283/390	171	289	23	18	31%	8%	87	+0.8	212/291/397	185	265	26	25	30%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Jeff Deardorff 2006 · AAA	27	43	51→50	47→50	45	224/280/379	154	274	19	7	26%	7%	82	+0.5	214/267/352	138	285	15	11	29%	7%	69	-0.4	191/245/319	128	258	14	12	31%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Jerad Head 2010 · AA	27	45→46	45→55	50	40	223/281/352	129	283	11	11	25%	5%	76	+0.0	229/278/387	158	284	18	7	26%	4%	84	+0.6	221/273/386	164	270	20	7	26%	4%	79	+0.2
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	42→45	48→45	53→55	48	215/291/358	143	260	16	16	24%	8%	82	+0.5	217/288/337	120	273	13	24	24%	8%	76	+0.0	211/282/316	105	266	12	28	24%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Caleb Stewart 2009 · AAA	27	43→45	48→50	44→45	44	222/278/366	145	266	16	6	23%	6%	79	+0.3	215/288/334	119	290	11	8	28%	8%	75	-0.0	178/277/266	88	269	6	4	33%	9%	50	-0.7
✕Alfredo Silverio 2014 · AA	27	47→49	48→55	48→50	42	235/271/387	152	277	14	10	21%	4%	80	+0.4	212/244/323	111	275	12	8	27%	4%	52	-1.6	204/233/309	105	259	12	7	26%	3%	42	-0.7
✕Rylan Bannon 2022 · AAA	26	34→42	49→50	50	46	185/255/328	144	223	18	11	26%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/358	155	263	19	13	29%	10%	82	+0.5	197/295/350	153	257	19	12	30%	11%	80	+0.3
✕Adam Fox 2009 · AAA	27	43→44	44→50	50→45	43	216/267/332	116	267	12	8	24%	6%	64	-0.8	207/254/344	137	259	16	9	26%	5%	62	-0.9	194/237/339	145	237	18	7	27%	4%	50	-0.8
✕Jason Cooper 2008 · AAA	27	42→38	49→55	51→45	43	213/273/372	159	280	16	9	29%	7%	78	+0.2	213/281/351	138	268	12	8	24%	7%	76	+0.0	209/292/352	144	249	13	3	21%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Trey Amburgey 2021 · AAA	26	43→44	49→50	50	38	222/260/368	146	276	17	9	26%	4%	71	-0.3	212/260/345	133	309	13	6	34%	6%	65	-0.7	197/247/327	129	294	12	2	36%	6%	53	-0.6
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	41	47→50	48→50	45	204/288/334	129	286	15	9	32%	9%	76	+0.0	216/303/373	157	299	19	5	32%	9%	92	+1.2	212/305/392	180	282	23	1	32%	10%	92	+0.5
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→37	49→60	52→50	45	205/274/357	151	272	16	12	30%	8%	75	-0.0	214/272/399	185	289	23	15	33%	7%	85	+0.7	198/260/387	189	265	25	17	35%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Dustin Peterson 2023 · AAA	28	45→48	44→50	46→45	43	222/275/339	117	279	12	6	25%	6%	69	-0.4	206/264/350	144	277	18	7	32%	7%	68	-0.5	183/247/335	153	239	22	4	33%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	41→42	50	51→50	40	214/262/365	151	274	18	14	29%	6%	71	-0.3	204/254/325	121	278	13	12	30%	6%	57	-1.2	179/233/303	124	254	15	13	35%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Anthony García 2018 · AAA	26	45→47	45→55	45	44	224/282/347	123	273	13	8	23%	6%	76	+0.0	225/297/372	147	276	17	5	24%	8%	88	+0.9	216/299/373	157	260	19	1	24%	8%	88	+0.6
✕Carlos Moncrief 2016 · AAA	27	45→49	46→55	49→50	45	225/284/358	133	284	14	11	26%	7%	78	+0.2	225/284/342	117	302	11	11	28%	7%	74	-0.1	227/283/338	111	311	9	11	28%	7%	69	-0.1
✕Elier Hernandez 2022 · AAA	27	40→49	49→50	45→50	36	211/256/348	137	284	18	8	32%	4%	64	-0.8	236/285/384	148	309	15	10	28%	5%	85	+0.7	238/287/382	145	311	14	10	27%	5%	81	+0.4
✕Luke Allen 2007 · AAA	28	44→43	48→50	49→45	44	227/275/367	140	272	16	8	23%	6%	77	+0.1	246/294/368	122	287	12	7	18%	6%	85	+0.7	274/322/381	107	306	10	3	13%	6%	98	+0.8