Jonathan Meyer
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 22 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 588 | .263/.324/.403 | 16 | 3 | 61 | — | .212/.254/.316 |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 492 | .215/.276/.280 | 4 | 2 | 33 | — | .191/.239/.252 |
| 2015 | 24 | ATEX | 162 | .216/.280/.304 | 3 | 1 | 19 | — | .170/.211/.229 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | — | 259 | 221 | 42 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 69 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 304 | 299 | 602 | 109 | 258 | 27 | 14 | 279 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 507 | 461 | 113 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 108 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 245 | 305 | 317 | 622 | 72 | 314 | 21 | 7 | 282 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 552 | 484 | 128 | 23 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 125 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 264 | 347 | 399 | 746 | 134 | 325 | 23 | 11 | 333 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 543 | 504 | 137 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 101 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 272 | 318 | 375 | 693 | 103 | 323 | 19 | 6 | 309 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 535 | 484 | 126 | 24 | 0 | 15 | 41 | 109 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 260 | 322 | 403 | 725 | 143 | 302 | 20 | 8 | 321 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 53 | 49 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 340 | 408 | 748 | 122 | 361 | 23 | 8 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA | Oklahoma City RedHawks | — | 170 | 154 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 286 | 286 | 571 | 65 | 258 | 18 | 7 | 262 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 322 | 293 | 62 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 63 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 271 | 276 | 548 | 65 | 261 | 20 | 6 | 249 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 162 | 148 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 280 | 304 | 584 | 88 | 259 | 21 | 7 | 266 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 259 | 234 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 98 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 128 | 206 | 197 | 403 | 68 | 206 | 38 | 9 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 507 | 475 | 98 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 147 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 206 | 248 | 261 | 509 | 55 | 291 | 29 | 5 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 552 | 503 | 110 | 16 | 0 | 13 | 40 | 174 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 219 | 279 | 328 | 607 | 109 | 297 | 32 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 543 | 515 | 114 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 139 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 221 | 255 | 299 | 554 | 78 | 283 | 26 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 535 | 500 | 106 | 19 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 133 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 212 | 254 | 316 | 570 | 104 | 256 | 25 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City RedHawks | — | 170 | 157 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 256 | 268 | 523 | 64 | 245 | 23 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 322 | 299 | 55 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 78 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 184 | 230 | 244 | 474 | 60 | 237 | 24 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 162 | 153 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 170 | 211 | 229 | 440 | 59 | 226 | 29 | 4 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 259 | 234 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 98 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 128 | 206 | 197 | 403 | 68 | 206 | 38 | 9 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | Greeneville Astros | — | 259 | 221 | 42 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 69 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 304 | 299 | 602 | 109 | 258 | 27 | 14 | 279 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 507 | 475 | 98 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 147 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 206 | 248 | 261 | 509 | 55 | 295 | 29 | 5 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A RAW | Lexington Legends | — | 507 | 461 | 113 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 108 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 245 | 305 | 317 | 622 | 72 | 314 | 21 | 7 | 282 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 552 | 503 | 110 | 16 | 0 | 13 | 40 | 174 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 219 | 279 | 328 | 607 | 109 | 301 | 32 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ RAW | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 552 | 484 | 128 | 23 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 125 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 264 | 347 | 399 | 746 | 134 | 325 | 23 | 11 | 333 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 543 | 515 | 114 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 139 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 221 | 255 | 299 | 554 | 78 | 287 | 26 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ RAW | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 543 | 504 | 137 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 101 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 272 | 318 | 375 | 693 | 103 | 323 | 19 | 6 | 309 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 588 | 550 | 117 | 21 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 146 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 213 | 255 | 316 | 571 | 104 | 263 | 25 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 588 | 533 | 140 | 27 | 0 | 16 | 45 | 121 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 263 | 324 | 403 | 727 | 141 | 308 | 21 | 8 | 322 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 492 | 456 | 86 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 117 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 189 | 237 | 243 | 481 | 55 | 244 | 24 | 4 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 492 | 447 | 96 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 93 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 276 | 280 | 556 | 65 | 260 | 19 | 6 | 253 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 162 | 153 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 170 | 211 | 229 | 440 | 59 | 229 | 29 | 4 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 162 | 148 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 280 | 304 | 584 | 88 | 259 | 21 | 7 | 266 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 259 | 234 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 98 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 128 | 206 | 197 | 403 | 68 | 206 | 38 | 9 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 507 | 476 | 98 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 147 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 206 | 248 | 261 | 508 | 55 | 291 | 29 | 5 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 552 | 505 | 110 | 16 | 0 | 13 | 40 | 174 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 218 | 279 | 327 | 606 | 109 | 297 | 32 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 543 | 515 | 114 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 139 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 221 | 255 | 299 | 554 | 78 | 283 | 26 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 588 | 552 | 117 | 21 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 146 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 212 | 255 | 315 | 570 | 103 | 256 | 25 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 492 | 460 | 86 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 117 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 187 | 237 | 241 | 478 | 54 | 240 | 24 | 4 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 162 | 153 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 170 | 211 | 229 | 440 | 59 | 226 | 29 | 4 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3103 | 2886 | 581 | 96 | 6 | 40 | 163 | 868 | 19 | 16 | 19 | 201 | 249 | 280 | 529 | 79 | 270 | 28 | 5 | 236 | 46 | -201 | -4 | +0 | +11 | +67 | -13.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 121 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 182 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 200 | 247 | 276 | 523 | 76 | 269 | 28 | 5 | 236 | 46 | -42 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AHickory Crawdads · 162 PAwOBA .261 → .196 (−65)K% 21.0% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.99% | ÷0.967 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.042 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.970 | 4.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.970 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.93% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.970 | 19.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.51% | ÷0.971 | ×0.820 | ×0.985 | ×0.970 | 2.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.910 | ×0.940 | ×0.985 | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.229 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.970 | 1.70% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 96, 2B 94, 3B 82, K 93, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .261 → .196; ISO .088 → .057; BABIP .259 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 322 PAwOBA .243 → .211 (−32)K% 19.6% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.57% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.59% | ÷0.991 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.30% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 19.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.91% | ÷0.890 | ×0.840 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 3.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.985 | ×1.012 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.956 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.74% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .243 → .211; ISO .065 → .060; BABIP .261 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAOklahoma City RedHawks · 170 PAwOBA .258 → .227 (−31)K% 17.6% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷0.994 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.06% | ÷0.977 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 5.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | ×1.033 | ×1.048 | 21.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.935 | ×0.810 | ×1.033 | ×1.048 | 3.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.033 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.042 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 1.26% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 104, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .258 → .227; ISO .065 → .053; BABIP .258 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 535 PAwOBA .315 → .251 (−64)K% 20.4% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.37% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.29% | ÷1.117 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 4.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.20% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×1.027 | 20.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.40% | ÷1.067 | ×0.840 | ×0.964 | ×1.027 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.964 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.106 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.97% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 101, BB 123 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .315 → .251; ISO .143 → .108; BABIP .302 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 543 PAwOBA .303 → .243 (−60)K% 18.6% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.60% | ÷0.975 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.71% | ÷1.095 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 3.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.56% | ÷1.022 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 23.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.96% | ÷1.138 | ×0.820 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.014 | ×1.012 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.99% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 1.79% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 95, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .303 → .243; ISO .103 → .079; BABIP .323 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 552 PAwOBA .327 → .269 (−58)K% 22.6% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.64% | ÷0.960 | ×1.340 | — | — | 31.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.51% | ÷1.063 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 7.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.35% | ÷1.006 | ×0.910 | ×1.026 | ×1.027 | 24.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.41% | ÷1.132 | ×0.820 | ×1.026 | ×1.027 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.100 | ×0.760 | ×1.026 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.90% | ÷0.957 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 3.85% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 101, 2B 126, 3B 120, K 92, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .327 → .269; ISO .134 → .114; BABIP .325 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 ALexington Legends · 507 PAwOBA .276 → .228 (−48)K% 21.3% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.30% | ÷0.984 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.30% | ÷1.072 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 4.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.08% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×1.030 | 22.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.08% | ÷0.945 | ×0.820 | ×0.998 | ×1.030 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.998 | ×1.030 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.57% | ÷1.157 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 0.41% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 102, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .276 → .228; ISO .072 → .059; BABIP .314 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ROKGreeneville Astros · 259 PAwOBA .274 → .190 (−84)K% 26.6% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.64% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 37.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.008 | 8.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.982 | ×1.008 | 14.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.982 | ×1.008 | 4.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.982 | ×1.008 | 1.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.008 | 1.59% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .274 → .190; ISO .109 → .075; BABIP .258 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .