Darlin Moquete
OF Springfield Cardinals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A+/ASTL | 317 | .217/.301/.373 | 10 | 8 | 45 | — | .182/.242/.304 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+STL | 311 | .244/.309/.437 | 13 | 19 | 55 | — | .192/.248/.336 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 368 | .250/.328/.345 | 6 | 23 | 66 | — | .216/.271/.299 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBSTL | 3 | .212/.266/.322 | 0 | 0 | 65 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 28 | MLBSTL | 41 | .212/.267/.322 | 1 | 1 | 66 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 229 | 204 | 56 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 38 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 275 | 345 | 358 | 703 | 83 | 331 | 17 | 8 | 316 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 181 | 154 | 60 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 23 | 4 | 390 | 469 | 571 | 1.040 | 182 | 401 | 9 | 9 | 449 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | — | 84 | 73 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 329 | 417 | 384 | 800 | 55 | 453 | 24 | 11 | 369 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 245 | 220 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 56 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 223 | 290 | 364 | 654 | 141 | 256 | 23 | 7 | 290 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 223 | 195 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 205 | 282 | 369 | 652 | 164 | 225 | 21 | 8 | 284 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 94 | 81 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 247 | 344 | 383 | 727 | 136 | 265 | 13 | 12 | 327 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 311 | 279 | 68 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 77 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 244 | 309 | 437 | 747 | 194 | 288 | 25 | 8 | 326 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 290 | 261 | 64 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 245 | 316 | 356 | 672 | 111 | 305 | 23 | 8 | 304 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL | Senadores de San Juan | — | 78 | 67 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 269 | 372 | 299 | 670 | 30 | 316 | 13 | 14 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 229 | 210 | 39 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 46 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 186 | 243 | 229 | 472 | 43 | 229 | 20 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 181 | 160 | 38 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 23 | 4 | 237 | 311 | 319 | 629 | 81 | 246 | 11 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 84 | 77 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 298 | 273 | 570 | 39 | 360 | 35 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 245 | 226 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 79 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 186 | 237 | 301 | 537 | 115 | 238 | 32 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 223 | 201 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 169 | 227 | 294 | 520 | 124 | 198 | 28 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 94 | 85 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 212 | 280 | 329 | 609 | 118 | 241 | 18 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 311 | 286 | 55 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 97 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 192 | 248 | 336 | 583 | 143 | 241 | 31 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 290 | 268 | 58 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 81 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 216 | 271 | 299 | 569 | 82 | 288 | 28 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 229 | 210 | 39 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 46 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 186 | 243 | 229 | 472 | 43 | 236 | 20 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 229 | 204 | 56 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 38 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 275 | 345 | 358 | 703 | 83 | 331 | 17 | 8 | 316 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 181 | 160 | 38 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 23 | 4 | 237 | 311 | 319 | 629 | 81 | 254 | 11 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 181 | 154 | 60 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 23 | 4 | 390 | 469 | 571 | 1.040 | 182 | 401 | 9 | 9 | 449 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 84 | 77 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 298 | 273 | 570 | 39 | 375 | 35 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | FCL Cardinals | — | 84 | 73 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 329 | 417 | 384 | 800 | 55 | 453 | 24 | 11 | 369 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 245 | 226 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 79 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 186 | 237 | 301 | 537 | 115 | 243 | 32 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 245 | 220 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 56 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 223 | 290 | 364 | 654 | 141 | 256 | 23 | 7 | 290 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 317 | 285 | 51 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 79 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 179 | 243 | 291 | 534 | 112 | 218 | 25 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 317 | 276 | 60 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 59 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 217 | 301 | 373 | 674 | 156 | 238 | 19 | 9 | 297 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 311 | 286 | 55 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 97 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 192 | 248 | 336 | 583 | 143 | 249 | 31 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 311 | 279 | 68 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 77 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 244 | 309 | 437 | 747 | 194 | 288 | 25 | 8 | 326 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 368 | 342 | 73 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 103 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 213 | 265 | 292 | 557 | 79 | 289 | 28 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 368 | 328 | 82 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 76 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 250 | 328 | 345 | 672 | 95 | 308 | 21 | 9 | 307 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 229 | 211 | 39 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 46 | 3 | 21 | 5 | 185 | 243 | 227 | 471 | 43 | 229 | 20 | 6 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals Blue | — | 181 | 162 | 38 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 23 | 4 | 235 | 311 | 315 | 626 | 80 | 246 | 11 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 84 | 77 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 298 | 273 | 570 | 39 | 360 | 35 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 245 | 228 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 79 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 184 | 237 | 298 | 535 | 114 | 238 | 32 | 5 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 317 | 290 | 51 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 79 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 176 | 243 | 286 | 529 | 110 | 211 | 25 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 311 | 287 | 55 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 97 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 192 | 248 | 334 | 582 | 143 | 241 | 31 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 368 | 341 | 73 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 103 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 214 | 265 | 293 | 558 | 79 | 288 | 28 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 311 | 287 | 55 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 97 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 192 | 248 | 334 | 582 | 143 | 241 | 31 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 368 | 341 | 73 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 103 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 214 | 265 | 293 | 558 | 79 | 288 | 28 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | STL | 2% | 340 | 314 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 88 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 212 | 266 | 325 | 591 | 113 | 269 | 26 | 6 | 265 | 65 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | STL | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 266 | 322 | 588 | 110 | 271 | 33 | 0 | 264 | 65 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | STL | 27% | 154 | 142 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 212 | 266 | 324 | 591 | 112 | 269 | 26 | 6 | 265 | 66 | -6 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | STL | 27% | 41 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 267 | 322 | 588 | 110 | 271 | 27 | 5 | 264 | 66 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 41 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 268 | 359 | 627 | 128 | 296 | 27 | 5 | 264 | 53 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 618 | 143 | 32 | 0 | 16 | 32 | 174 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 231 | 269 | 361 | 630 | 129 | 297 | 27 | 5 | 264 | 53 | -27 | +3 | -3 | -4 | +14 | -1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2032 | 1860 | 374 | 50 | 11 | 37 | 115 | 530 | 30 | 108 | 33 | 201 | 259 | 299 | 558 | 98 | 257 | 26 | 6 | 247 | 53 | -12 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +6 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 120 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 170 | 10 | 35 | 11 | 202 | 260 | 303 | 563 | 101 | 258 | 26 | 6 | 247 | 53 | -27 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AASpringfield Cardinals · 290 PAwOBA .296 → .252 (−43)K% 22.8% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.76% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.24% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.62% | ÷0.966 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×0.988 | 23.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.62% | ÷0.916 | ×0.840 | ×1.017 | ×0.988 | 4.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.017 | ×0.988 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.105 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.20% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 93, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .296 → .252; ISO .111 → .087; BABIP .305 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Peoria Chiefs · 311 PAwOBA .319 → .249 (−70)K% 24.8% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.76% | ÷1.006 | ×1.270 | — | — | 31.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.04% | ÷0.930 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.64% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.29% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | 18.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | 3.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.44% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 5.07% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .319 → .249; ISO .194 → .144; BABIP .288 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Peoria Chiefs · 223 PAwOBA .279 → .221 (−58)K% 21.1% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.08% | ÷0.961 | ×1.270 | — | — | 27.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.62% | ÷1.065 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 5.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.89% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×0.988 | 15.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.05% | ÷0.992 | ×0.810 | ×1.027 | ×0.988 | 3.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×1.027 | ×0.988 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.093 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.91% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 106, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 92, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .279 → .221; ISO .164 → .123; BABIP .225 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 APalm Beach Cardinals · 94 PAwOBA .322 → .266 (−56)K% 12.8% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.77% | ÷0.950 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 7.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.29% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×1.037 | ×0.980 | 18.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.007 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×0.980 | 3.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.023 | ×0.910 | ×1.037 | ×0.980 | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.90% | ÷1.010 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 2.25% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 101, 3B 105, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .322 → .266; ISO .136 → .110; BABIP .265 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 APalm Beach Cardinals · 245 PAwOBA .287 → .234 (−53)K% 22.9% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.86% | ÷0.966 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.35% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 4.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.73% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | ×1.042 | ×0.990 | 19.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.27% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×1.042 | ×0.990 | 3.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.042 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.88% | ÷0.880 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 4.39% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .287 → .234; ISO .141 → .114; BABIP .256 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Cardinals · 84 PAwOBA .360 → .250 (−110)K% 23.8% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷0.999 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.007 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 6.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.74% | ÷0.988 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 30.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.55% | ÷0.973 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 5.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 98, 2B 95, 3B 88, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .360 → .250; ISO .055 → .036; BABIP .453 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 DSLDSL Cardinals Blue · 181 PAwOBA .445 → .286 (−160)K% 8.8% → 10.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.84% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 6.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.31% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 2.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 21.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 2.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 1.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 1.68% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .445 → .286; ISO .182 → .098; BABIP .401 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 DSLDSL Cardinals Blue · 229 PAwOBA .310 → .213 (−97)K% 16.6% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.59% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 5.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 18.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 3.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.28% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .310 → .213; ISO .083 → .050; BABIP .331 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .