Will Banfield

C Louisville Bats

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.238 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

AAA40-MANROOKIEPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	24	AAAMIA	371	.247/.301/.379	9	53	—	.210/.251/.317
2025	25	AAACIN	270	.214/.277/.292	2	26	—	.173/.223/.238
2026	26	AAACIN	296	.262/.307/.425	11	53	—	.211/.246/.329
2026	26	MLBCIN	21	.150/.150/.200	0	-14	0.3
2027PROJ30% MLB	27	MLBCIN	46	.205/.244/.308	1	51	-0.1
2028PROJ42% MLB	28	MLBCIN	110	.205/.246/.309	2	52	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.238First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.2M2031Ext$0.4M2032Ext$0.6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV78

K%47

Whiff%42

Z-Con%29

BB%14

Speed14

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsKevin Cash (age 27) · Ali Solis (age 27) · Jesús Sucre (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .244 / .308

PA46

HR1

K%28

BB%4

BABIP270

ISO114

MLB%30%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT40

xAVG

100.154

POWER35

Avg EV

1083.8

Bat Spd

4370.6

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.238 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	18	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	52	48	10	0	0	3	4	15	0	0	0	208	269	396	665	187	233	29	8	296	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	94	82	21	8	1	0	7	28	3	0	1	256	337	378	715	122	375	30	7	317	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	433	397	79	13	2	9	25	121	5	0	0	199	255	310	565	111	256	28	6	253	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	Beloit Snappers	—	298	266	48	14	1	6	25	95	4	1	0	180	261	308	569	128	250	32	8	258	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	46	39	9	2	0	1	5	7	1	0	1	231	333	359	692	128	250	15	11	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	126	116	31	5	1	3	5	25	2	0	0	267	309	405	714	138	308	20	4	311	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	289	269	55	13	1	8	11	68	3	1	1	204	244	349	593	145	236	24	4	258	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	495	458	118	25	2	23	25	122	6	3	0	258	305	472	776	214	299	25	5	337	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	371	340	84	14	2	9	24	105	2	0	0	247	301	379	680	132	325	28	6	301	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	270	243	52	13	0	2	18	69	3	0	0	214	277	292	569	78	281	26	7	256	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	21	20	3	1	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	150	150	200	350	50	214	33	0	147	-14	-3	+0	+0	+6	+0	0.3
2026	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	296	275	72	12	0	11	16	69	2	0	0	262	307	425	733	164	311	23	5	322	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	21	20	3	1	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	150	150	200	350	50	214	33	0	147	-14	-3	+0	+0	+6	+0	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	18	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	52	49	8	0	0	2	3	21	0	0	0	163	212	286	497	122	232	40	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	94	85	14	5	1	0	4	40	3	0	1	165	228	247	475	82	280	43	4	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	433	404	61	9	2	6	18	162	5	0	0	151	197	228	424	77	221	37	4	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+ MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	298	274	37	11	1	4	17	125	4	1	0	135	197	226	423	91	217	42	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	126	118	28	4	1	2	3	32	2	0	0	237	268	339	607	102	285	25	2	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	289	272	46	10	1	7	8	86	3	1	1	169	201	290	492	121	202	30	3	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	495	467	95	22	1	16	16	150	6	3	0	203	239	358	597	154	255	30	3	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	371	347	73	12	2	7	17	126	2	0	0	210	251	317	568	107	294	34	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	270	248	43	10	0	2	13	85	3	0	0	173	223	238	461	65	240	31	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	21	20	3	1	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	150	150	200	350	50	214	33	0	148	-14	-3	+0	+0	+6	+0	0.3
2026	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	296	280	59	9	0	8	11	83	2	0	0	211	246	329	574	118	265	28	4	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	146	134	22	5	1	2	7	61	3	0	1	164	222	261	483	97	274	42	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	146	130	31	8	1	3	11	43	3	0	1	238	312	385	697	146	326	29	8	310	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	433	404	61	9	2	6	18	162	5	0	0	151	197	228	424	77	227	37	4	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	—	433	397	79	13	2	9	25	121	5	0	0	199	255	310	565	111	256	28	6	253	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	344	315	43	13	1	5	20	144	5	1	1	137	200	232	432	95	224	42	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	344	305	57	16	1	7	30	102	5	1	1	187	271	315	585	128	250	30	9	265	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	415	390	74	15	2	9	11	117	5	1	1	190	222	308	529	118	238	28	3	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	415	385	86	18	2	11	16	93	5	1	1	223	264	366	630	143	259	22	4	274	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	495	467	95	22	1	16	16	150	6	3	0	203	239	358	597	154	258	30	3	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	495	458	118	25	2	23	25	122	6	3	0	258	305	472	776	214	299	25	5	337	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	371	347	73	12	2	7	17	126	2	0	0	210	251	317	568	107	301	34	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	371	340	84	14	2	9	24	105	2	0	0	247	301	379	680	132	325	28	6	301	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	270	248	43	10	0	2	13	85	3	0	0	173	223	238	461	65	246	31	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	—	270	243	52	13	0	2	18	69	3	0	0	214	277	292	569	78	281	26	7	256	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	317	300	62	10	0	8	11	90	2	0	0	207	240	320	560	113	265	28	3	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	317	295	75	13	0	11	16	76	2	0	0	254	297	410	707	156	305	24	5	310	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	146	135	22	5	1	2	7	61	3	0	1	163	222	259	481	96	263	42	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	433	407	61	9	2	6	18	162	5	0	0	150	197	226	423	76	221	37	4	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	344	316	43	13	1	5	20	144	5	1	1	136	200	231	431	95	217	42	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	415	396	74	15	2	9	11	117	5	1	1	187	222	303	525	116	227	28	3	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	495	470	95	22	1	16	16	150	6	3	0	202	239	355	595	153	255	30	3	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	371	349	73	12	2	7	17	126	2	0	0	209	251	315	567	106	294	34	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	270	252	43	10	0	2	13	85	3	0	0	171	223	234	458	63	240	31	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	317	301	62	10	0	8	11	90	2	0	0	206	240	319	559	113	262	28	3	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	371	349	73	12	2	7	17	126	2	0	0	209	251	315	567	106	294	34	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	270	252	43	10	0	2	13	85	3	0	0	171	223	234	458	63	240	31	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	317	301	62	10	0	8	11	90	2	0	0	206	240	319	559	113	262	28	3	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CIN	30%	354	333	68	13	1	6	15	102	3	1	0	203	242	302	545	100	269	29	4	244	51	-21	+0	-1	+6	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	CIN	30%	46	44	9	2	0	1	2	13	0	0	0	205	244	308	552	103	270	28	4	247	51	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CIN	42%	266	250	52	10	1	5	12	76	2	0	0	203	244	303	547	100	269	29	5	245	52	-15	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.6
2028	28	MLB CTX	CIN	42%	110	103	21	4	0	2	5	32	1	0	0	205	246	309	554	104	270	29	5	248	52	-6	+0	-0	+2	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	131	123	24	5	0	2	5	39	1	0	0	195	233	285	517	89	262	30	4	232	39	-9	+0	-0	+8	+3	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	610	119	25	0	10	25	194	5	0	0	195	233	285	518	90	262	30	4	232	39	-45	+0	-2	+38	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3212	3002	555	112	10	63	131	1056	34	6	3	185	227	292	519	107	256	33	4	226	39	-27	+0	-1	+13	+10	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	608	113	23	2	13	27	214	7	1	1	186	229	294	524	109	257	33	4	226	39	-40	+0	-2	+19	+14	-0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAALouisville Bats · 296 PAwOBA .314 → .246 (−68)K% 23.3% → 28.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.31%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	27.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.41%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.003	3.74%
HBP% /PA	0.68%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.64%
Singles /BIP	23.79%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.950	×1.003	21.08%
Doubles /BIP	5.83%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.950	×1.003	4.61%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.950	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.34%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.003	3.75%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .314 → .246; ISO .164 → .115; BABIP .311 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAALouisville Bats · 270 PAwOBA .255 → .206 (−49)K% 25.6% → 31.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.56%	÷0.975	×1.200	—	—	31.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.67%	÷1.002	×0.690	—	×1.018	4.67%
HBP% /PA	1.11%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.06%
Singles /BIP	21.26%	÷1.049	×0.930	×0.965	×1.018	18.51%
Doubles /BIP	7.47%	÷0.992	×0.830	×0.965	×1.018	6.14%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.965	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.15%	÷0.901	×0.700	—	×1.018	0.91%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .255 → .206; ISO .078 → .062; BABIP .281 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 371 PAwOBA .297 → .247 (−50)K% 28.3% → 34.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.30%	÷0.999	×1.200	—	—	33.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.47%	÷1.005	×0.690	—	×1.033	4.59%
HBP% /PA	0.54%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.52%
Singles /BIP	25.11%	÷1.016	×0.930	×0.977	×1.033	23.18%
Doubles /BIP	5.96%	÷0.970	×0.830	×0.977	×1.033	5.14%
Triples /BIP	0.85%	÷0.985	×0.970	×0.977	×1.033	0.85%
Home runs /BIP	3.83%	÷0.925	×0.700	—	×1.033	2.99%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .297 → .247; ISO .132 → .105; BABIP .325 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 495 PAwOBA .330 → .259 (−71)K% 24.6% → 30.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.65%	÷0.990	×1.220	—	—	30.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.05%	÷1.056	×0.680	—	×1.012	3.29%
HBP% /PA	1.21%	—	×0.840	—	×1.012	1.03%
Singles /BIP	20.24%	÷1.052	×0.920	×0.959	×1.012	17.17%
Doubles /BIP	7.44%	÷0.947	×0.910	×0.959	×1.012	6.94%
Triples /BIP	0.60%	÷1.097	×0.880	×0.959	×1.012	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	6.85%	÷1.091	×0.800	—	×1.012	5.08%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 89, 3B 119, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .330 → .259; ISO .214 → .163; BABIP .299 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 289 PAwOBA .256 → .210 (−46)K% 23.5% → 29.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.53%	÷1.011	×1.270	—	—	29.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.81%	÷0.983	×0.710	—	×0.998	2.74%
HBP% /PA	1.04%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	0.82%
Singles /BIP	16.42%	÷1.010	×0.920	×0.964	×0.998	14.39%
Doubles /BIP	6.47%	÷0.950	×0.810	×0.964	×0.998	5.31%
Triples /BIP	0.50%	÷1.068	×0.850	×0.964	×0.998	0.38%
Home runs /BIP	3.98%	÷0.885	×0.800	—	×0.998	3.59%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 114, K 102, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .256 → .210; ISO .145 → .121; BABIP .236 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 126 PAwOBA .309 → .267 (−42)K% 19.8% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.84%	÷0.964	×1.220	—	—	25.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.97%	÷1.021	×0.680	—	×1.027	2.71%
HBP% /PA	1.59%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	1.37%
Singles /BIP	24.18%	÷0.981	×0.920	×0.991	×1.027	23.08%
Doubles /BIP	5.49%	÷1.056	×0.910	×0.991	×1.027	4.82%
Triples /BIP	1.10%	÷1.150	×0.880	×0.991	×1.027	0.86%
Home runs /BIP	3.30%	÷1.048	×0.800	—	×1.027	2.58%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 93, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .309 → .267; ISO .138 → .110; BABIP .308 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Beloit Snappers · 298 PAwOBA .254 → .189 (−65)K% 31.9% → 42.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.88%	÷1.025	×1.350	—	—	42.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.39%	÷1.054	×0.710	—	×1.012	5.72%
HBP% /PA	1.34%	—	×0.810	—	×1.012	1.10%
Singles /BIP	15.79%	÷1.049	×0.910	×0.999	×1.012	13.85%
Doubles /BIP	8.19%	÷0.955	×0.830	×0.999	×1.012	7.19%
Triples /BIP	0.58%	÷0.977	×0.820	×0.999	×1.012	0.50%
Home runs /BIP	3.51%	÷1.082	×0.830	—	×1.012	2.72%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 110, 2B 91, 3B 95, K 105, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .254 → .189; ISO .128 → .094; BABIP .250 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AClinton LumberKings · 433 PAwOBA .250 → .190 (−60)K% 27.9% → 37.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.94%	÷1.019	×1.360	—	—	37.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.77%	÷0.972	×0.690	—	×1.030	4.22%
HBP% /PA	1.15%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	0.93%
Singles /BIP	19.93%	÷1.019	×0.920	×0.950	×1.030	17.60%
Doubles /BIP	4.71%	÷1.007	×0.830	×0.950	×1.030	3.80%
Triples /BIP	0.72%	÷0.936	×0.910	×0.950	×1.030	0.69%
Home runs /BIP	3.26%	÷1.085	×0.800	—	×1.030	2.48%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 87, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .250 → .190; ISO .111 → .079; BABIP .256 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Banfield (OGILVIE)	27	40	35	45	35	201/240/300	99	269	3	1	29%	4%	51	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Cash 2005 · MLB	27	39	44→40	47→30	41	199/255/313	114	254	12	4	26%	6%	60	-1.6	199/260/330	131	269	15	4	31%	6%	66	-1.1	191/261/270	78	260	9	0	29%	8%	52	-0.5
✕Ali Solis 2015 · AAA	27	40	39→45	45→30	33	199/228/283	84	274	7	5	30%	3%	41	-3.0	178/210/253	75	248	6	4	30%	3%	28	-3.9	187/222/301	114	244	14	2	30%	4%	42	-1.1
✕Jesús Sucre 2016 · MLB	28	43	38→40	43→40	42	207/241/281	74	249	6	4	20%	4%	45	-2.7	232/272/337	105	271	11	6	18%	4%	71	-0.8	238/274/330	93	272	11	3	17%	3%	70	-0.3
✕Craig Tatum 2010 · MLB	27	43→47	42→45	42→30	41	212/257/315	103	270	10	3	25%	5%	60	-1.6	212/270/288	76	271	6	6	22%	7%	59	-1.7	210/274/249	39	268	0	4	20%	8%	52	-0.6
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	43→40	48→30	40	194/251/303	109	259	11	5	29%	6%	56	-1.9	228/293/329	101	322	9	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	243/313/304	61	352	3	0	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	221/278/305	84	288	5	5	23%	6%	65	-1.2	212/268/277	65	275	2	2	22%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	38→45	46→50	39	192/245/267	75	277	6	8	32%	6%	45	-2.7	219/257/323	104	313	12	17	33%	5%	62	-1.4	225/250/332	107	324	14	23	34%	3%	58	-1.1
✕Luke Maile 2018 · MLB	27	39→49	40	44→40	41	194/236/281	87	238	8	4	23%	4%	45	-2.7	211/275/318	107	281	10	7	27%	8%	68	-1.0	227/310/346	119	311	10	4	28%	9%	88	+0.1
✕Drew Butera 2011 · MLB	27	41	40	43→40	44	198/247/292	94	230	7	3	18%	5%	51	-2.2	191/239/281	90	230	7	4	20%	5%	46	-2.6	226/286/352	126	282	12	0	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Joseph Odom 2019 · AAA	27	44	42→45	46→30	37	217/254/319	102	298	9	3	30%	5%	60	-1.6	201/252/294	93	309	9	4	36%	6%	54	-2.0	186/243/289	103	304	11	2	40%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Gustavo Molina 2009 · MLB	27	41→40	41→40	39→40	40	203/248/290	87	254	10	4	24%	5%	51	-2.2	205/239/323	118	242	14	4	21%	4%	56	-1.9	194/221/336	142	224	21	0	25%	3%	49	-0.6
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2010 · AAA	27	41	39→40	43→40	39	201/254/281	80	281	8	4	30%	6%	51	-2.2	214/275/301	87	296	7	3	28%	7%	64	-1.3	208/273/289	82	286	7	0	28%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2009 · MLB	27	44	43→45	46→50	43	217/266/322	105	271	11	4	24%	6%	65	-1.2	215/259/329	114	273	11	3	24%	5%	64	-1.3	204/260/329	125	265	13	1	27%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Roberto Peña 2019 · AAA	27	43	40	43→30	41	210/249/298	88	248	9	5	20%	4%	53	-2.1	212/273/322	110	260	11	7	22%	7%	68	-1.0	196/268/305	109	239	11	2	22%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Tim Roberson 2016 · AA	27	45→35	41→40	44→30	37	222/258/320	97	303	9	3	29%	4%	61	-1.5	218/256/307	89	311	7	4	30%	4%	57	-1.8	206/245/289	83	296	5	0	31%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Ronnie Freeman 2018 · AAA	27	45	38→40	42→30	41	215/259/294	80	284	6	3	26%	5%	56	-1.9	224/271/323	99	299	10	4	27%	6%	68	-1.0	208/256/308	99	271	13	0	27%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Jesus Flores 2012 · MLB	27	42→39	45→50	47→30	36	212/244/336	124	280	13	4	29%	4%	60	-1.6	194/226/295	101	246	10	4	25%	4%	44	-2.8	177/207/262	85	221	9	1	25%	3%	27	-1.6
✕Jackson Williams 2013 · AAA	27	39	45	40	39	200/249/319	119	256	14	3	28%	5%	59	-1.6	205/258/305	100	261	10	4	24%	6%	59	-1.7	196/257/270	74	249	6	2	23%	7%	48	-1.2
✕Donny Lucy 2010 · MLB	27	42→45	40	47→50	38	205/245/289	84	279	8	9	29%	5%	49	-2.4	198/245/296	98	262	9	8	27%	5%	52	-2.2	177/225/267	90	229	9	5	26%	4%	35	-1.1
✕Hayden Senger 2024 · AAA	27	40	41→45	45	37	192/262/290	97	307	9	5	38%	6%	57	-1.8	195/251/293	98	279	10	6	32%	5%	53	-2.1	187/233/284	97	254	12	4	31%	4%	42	-1.2