Hayden Senger — OGILVIE

Hayden SengerC Syracuse Mets

Age 29 R/R 6'1" / 210 lbs AAA H -5% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION257 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%5

BABIP257

ISO94

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

2713.6%

xAVG

100.203

POWER45

Barrel%

103.1

Avg EV

2987.5

Bat Spd

6572.9

EYE30

Chase%

2935.8%

SPEED45

Sprint

1024.8

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	ROK	Kingsport Mets	—	41	35	14	4	0	1	4	8	2	0	0	400	488	600	1.088	200	500	20	10	479	210	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2019	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	353	304	70	21	1	4	25	64	19	0	0	230	328	345	673	115	275	18	7	306	93	-3	+0	—	—	+8	0.5
2021	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	205	181	46	13	1	3	16	62	7	0	0	254	338	387	725	133	368	30	8	327	108	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2021	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	47	43	13	5	1	2	3	16	1	0	0	302	362	605	966	302	440	34	6	416	168	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2021	24	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	40	31	6	1	0	0	8	7	1	0	0	194	375	226	601	32	250	18	20	303	91	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	25	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	23	23	6	1	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	261	261	304	565	43	375	30	0	253	57	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	25	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	297	265	63	14	2	5	21	99	9	3	0	238	315	362	678	125	356	33	7	306	93	-2	+1	—	—	+6	0.5
2023	26	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	309	261	49	11	1	5	36	95	10	3	3	188	309	295	604	107	270	31	12	283	78	-8	-1	—	—	+7	-0.2
2024	27	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	166	147	37	11	1	3	12	39	4	0	0	252	325	401	727	150	321	23	7	321	103	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2024	27	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	18	17	1	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	59	111	59	170		91	33	6	89	-54	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	28	MLB	New York Mets	—	78	72	13	1	0	0	3	22	1	0	0	181	224	194	418	14	255	28	4	192	16	-8	+0	+5	+5	+2	0.5
2025	28	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	182	165	36	3	1	5	10	44	2	2	1	218	270	339	609	121	263	24	5	268	67	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	28	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	32	29	7	3	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	241	290	448	739	207	261	19	6	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	78	72	13	1	0	0	3	22	1	0	0	181	224	194	418	14	255	28	4	192	16	-8	+0	+5	+5	+2	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	ROK MLE	Kingsport Mets	—	41	36	11	3	0	1	3	11	2	0	0	306	390	472	862	167	402	27	7	345	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2019	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	353	315	56	15	1	3	14	89	19	0	0	178	256	260	516	83	225	25	4	230	42	-24	+0	—	—	+8	-1.7
2021	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	205	186	38	10	1	2	11	74	7	0	0	204	275	301	576	97	325	36	5	259	61	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2021	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	47	44	11	4	1	2	2	21	1	0	0	250	298	523	821	273	397	45	4	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	25	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	23	23	5	1	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	217	217	261	478	43	359	39	0	208	27	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	297	272	52	11	1	4	14	119	9	3	0	191	254	283	537	92	314	40	5	241	49	-18	+1	—	—	+6	-1.1
2023	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	309	273	43	9	1	4	24	116	10	3	3	158	251	242	493	84	244	38	8	225	38	-23	-1	—	—	+7	-1.7
2024	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	166	150	32	9	1	2	9	48	4	0	0	213	276	327	603	113	291	29	5	263	64	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2024	27	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	18	17	1	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	59	111	59	170		86	39	6	70	-66	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	28	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	78	72	13	1	0	0	3	22	1	0	0	181	224	194	418	14	255	28	4	194	17	-8	+0	+5	+5	+2	0.5
2025	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	182	169	31	2	1	3	7	54	2	2	1	183	225	260	485	77	235	30	4	211	29	-15	+0	—	—	+4	-1.2
2018	21	ROK MLE	Kingsport Mets	—	41	36	11	3	0	1	3	11	2	0	0	306	390	472	862	167	417	27	7	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	Kingsport Mets	—	41	35	14	4	0	1	4	8	2	0	0	400	488	600	1.088	200	500	20	10	479	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	353	315	56	15	1	3	14	89	19	0	0	178	256	260	516	83	233	25	4	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	353	304	70	21	1	4	25	64	19	0	0	230	328	345	673	115	275	18	7	306	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	292	267	57	17	2	4	15	110	9	0	0	213	278	337	615	124	344	38	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	292	255	65	19	2	5	27	85	9	0	0	255	347	404	751	149	361	29	9	338	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	320	295	57	12	1	4	14	128	9	3	0	193	252	281	533	88	321	40	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	320	288	69	15	2	5	21	106	9	3	0	240	311	358	669	118	358	33	7	302	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	309	273	43	9	1	4	24	116	10	3	3	158	251	242	493	84	252	38	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	309	261	49	11	1	5	36	95	10	3	3	188	309	295	604	107	270	31	12	283	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	184	168	33	9	1	2	9	55	4	0	0	196	254	298	552	101	277	30	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	184	164	38	11	1	3	13	45	4	0	0	232	304	366	670	134	299	24	7	298	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	292	271	49	4	1	3	11	85	3	2	1	181	221	236	457	55	246	29	4	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	292	266	56	7	1	6	15	72	3	2	1	211	260	312	572	102	260	25	5	253	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	Kingsport Mets	—	41	36	11	3	0	1	3	11	2	0	0	306	390	472	862	167	402	27	7	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	353	317	56	15	1	3	14	89	19	0	0	177	256	259	514	82	225	25	4	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	292	266	57	17	2	4	15	110	9	0	0	214	278	338	617	124	338	38	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	320	294	57	12	1	4	14	128	9	3	0	194	252	282	534	88	317	40	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	309	272	43	9	1	4	24	116	10	3	3	158	251	243	493	85	244	38	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	184	169	33	9	1	2	9	55	4	0	0	195	254	296	550	101	271	30	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	292	276	49	4	1	3	11	85	3	2	1	178	221	232	453	54	241	29	4	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	309	272	43	9	1	4	24	116	10	3	3	158	251	243	493	85	244	38	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	184	169	33	9	1	2	9	55	4	0	0	195	254	296	550	101	271	30	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	292	276	49	4	1	3	11	85	3	2	1	178	221	232	453	54	241	29	4	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	NYM	—	257	237	46	6	0	9	12	83	3	3	1	194	242	333	575	139	253	32	5	243	51	-15	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	NYM	—	17	15	2	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	133	133	333	467	200	100	24	0	176	51	-1	+0	+0	+5	+0	0.4
YTD	29	AAA RAW	NYM	—	240	215	51	7	0	11	18	66	3	3	1	237	304	423	727	186	288	28	8	319	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	MLB RAW	NYM	—	17	15	2	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	133	133	333	467	200	100	24	0	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	29	AAA MLE	NYM	10%	10	10	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	100	100	100	200		264	30	0	249	55	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	NYM	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						257	0	0	235	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	29	MLB A+C	NYM	—	18	16	2	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	125	125	312	438	188	91	22	0	179	51	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	29	AAA MLE	NYM	—	267	247	47	6	0	9	12	86	3	3	1	190	237	324	561	134	248	32	4	243	51	-16	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	NYM	27%	326	302	61	10	1	7	17	97	4	3	1	202	254	311	565	109	266	30	5	253	57	-16	+0	+4	+6	+7	0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	NYM	27%	89	83	16	3	0	2	5	27	1	1	0	193	247	301	548	108	259	30	6	239	57	-5	+0	+1	+2	+2	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	168	156	29	4	0	2	8	49	2	1	0	186	235	250	485	64	255	29	5	217	48	-12	+0	+6	+7	+4	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	112	15	0	8	31	190	8	4	0	185	235	250	485	65	254	29	5	217	48	-48	+1	+25	+26	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2127	1937	368	79	8	28	107	694	60	11	5	190	254	282	537	92	276	33	5	240	48	-25	+0	+9	+11	+9	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	112	24	2	9	33	212	18	3	2	189	253	282	536	93	274	33	5	240	48	-39	+0	+15	+18	+14	0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hayden Senger (OGILVIE)	29	40	45	45	30	196/246/303	107	264	6	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeff Mathis 2012 · MLB	29	38→46	41→50	43→45	41	191/242/288	96	249	9	6	27%	6%	49	-2.4	204/257/329	125	273	14	4	29%	6%	64	-1.3	210/260/314	105	285	8	1	28%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	42	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	223/280/308	85	291	5	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	217/273/283	67	280	2	2	22%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Eli Whiteside 2010 · MLB	30	41	45→50	46→40	38	210/250/331	121	270	13	5	27%	4%	62	-1.4	213/269/337	124	275	12	6	26%	6%	70	-0.8	198/259/304	106	255	9	3	25%	6%	56	-0.6
✕Anthony Bemboom 2020 · MLB	30	40	42→40	44→45	44	199/258/302	103	260	10	4	27%	7%	58	-1.7	206/276/328	122	265	13	5	26%	8%	72	-0.7	201/272/306	105	260	10	2	26%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Kevin Cash 2007 · MLB	29	38	43→40	42→30	39	194/254/304	109	271	11	4	32%	6%	57	-1.8	194/265/301	107	276	11	4	32%	8%	61	-1.5	194/266/271	78	265	9	0	29%	9%	52	-0.5
✕Jesús Sucre 2017 · MLB	29	47	39→40	42→40	42	227/265/312	85	273	7	4	20%	4%	62	-1.4	231/274/334	103	268	11	6	18%	5%	71	-0.8	222/263/302	80	260	8	3	17%	4%	56	-0.7
✕Jesus Flores 2014 · MLB	29	37→38	40→50	42→30	38	185/218/274	89	234	8	3	25%	4%	36	-3.4	201/249/303	102	264	10	5	27%	5%	55	-2.0	199/237/305	106	259	15	0	29%	5%	47	-0.6
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2015 · AAA	29	42	41→40	47→50	37	211/245/301	90	271	10	8	26%	4%	53	-2.1	221/271/337	116	288	13	14	27%	6%	71	-0.8	213/263/314	101	266	12	24	24%	5%	59	-0.4
✕Tyler Payne 2022 · AA	29	42	42→45	49→40	37	209/252/318	109	290	10	5	31%	5%	59	-1.6	234/273/332	98	317	8	5	27%	5%	70	-0.8	240/276/327	87	311	7	2	24%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Aramis Garcia 2023 · MLB	30	42→41	43→50	42→45	36	212/255/315	103	286	11	4	30%	4%	60	-1.6	192/246/326	134	268	18	8	35%	5%	60	-1.6	168/243/303	136	236	19	5	37%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2008 · MLB	29	41	42→45	48→30	43	203/254/302	99	259	10	5	25%	6%	57	-1.8	220/271/345	125	287	13	6	27%	6%	73	-0.6	208/258/338	130	272	15	0	29%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Ryan Budde 2009 · MLB	29	41	42→45	48→40	40	203/256/310	107	271	9	8	28%	5%	59	-1.6	195/256/288	93	287	9	6	33%	7%	55	-2.0	179/247/258	79	272	8	2	35%	8%	42	-1.2
✕Joseph Odom 2020 · AAA	28	43	41→45	44→30	37	209/253/305	96	303	9	3	33%	5%	56	-1.9	201/259/305	104	337	10	5	40%	7%	59	-1.6	172/243/297	124	339	14	3	49%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Carlos Corporán 2012 · MLB	28	42	43→45	43→40	40	207/264/318	111	271	10	4	27%	5%	65	-1.2	231/287/366	135	289	16	4	25%	5%	84	+0.2	234/290/372	138	286	18	1	24%	5%	85	+0.1
✕John Ryan Murphy 2019 · MLB	28	39→46	46→50	46→40	43	204/252/325	121	249	15	3	25%	6%	61	-1.5	205/257/356	151	281	20	5	33%	6%	71	-0.8	172/222/349	176	212	27	0	34%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Ali Solis 2018 · AAA	30	39	40→45	46→30	36	197/234/289	92	270	8	5	30%	4%	46	-2.6	204/241/328	124	285	14	6	33%	4%	57	-1.8	194/230/336	142	250	19	3	31%	4%	53	-1.3
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA	29	38	45	47→40	40	197/251/316	119	276	14	4	33%	7%	59	-1.6	196/255/316	120	281	15	5	34%	7%	61	-1.5	175/280/306	130	256	18	8	36%	11%	67	-0.3
✕Craig Tatum 2010 · MLB	27	43→47	42→45	42→30	41	211/257/311	100	269	10	3	25%	5%	59	-1.6	211/269/285	74	270	5	6	22%	7%	58	-1.7	209/273/247	38	267	0	4	20%	8%	49	-0.6
✕Gift Ngoepe 2018 · MLB	28	42	42→45	42→50	39	202/260/310	108	312	9	6	36%	7%	61	-1.5	185/257/288	103	336	10	8	44%	8%	55	-1.9	135/221/211	76	274	8	7	49%	9%	23	-1.3
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2010 · MLB	28	43	43→50	47→50	42	216/257/326	110	258	11	3	22%	5%	63	-1.4	222/270/345	123	289	12	3	27%	6%	72	-0.7	220/273/349	129	289	13	0	28%	6%	72	-0.4