Hayden Senger — OGILVIE

Hayden SengerC Syracuse Mets

Age 29 R/R 6'1" / 210 lbs AAA Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION157 act + 104 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .241 / .279

PA104

HR2

K%32

BB%5

BABIP259

ISO93

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

2713.6%

xwOBA

100.245

POWER45

Barrel%

103.1

Avg EV

2987.5

Bat Spd

6572.9

EYE30

Chase%

2935.8%

SPEED45

Sprint

1024.8

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Kingsport Mets	—	41	36	11	3	0	1	3	11	2	0	0	306	390	472	862	167	417	27	7	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK	Kingsport Mets	—	41	35	14	4	0	1	4	8	2	0	0	400	488	600	1.088	200	500	20	10	479	224	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	353	317	56	15	1	4	12	93	19	0	0	177	250	268	518	91	232	26	3	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	353	304	70	21	1	4	25	64	19	0	0	230	328	345	673	115	275	18	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	3 teams	—	292	267	56	16	2	5	15	113	9	0	0	210	275	341	616	131	340	39	5	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	3 teams	—	292	255	65	19	2	5	27	85	9	0	0	255	347	404	751	149	361	29	9	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	320	296	58	12	1	5	13	133	9	3	0	196	252	294	545	98	331	42	4	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	320	288	69	15	2	5	21	106	9	3	0	240	311	358	669	118	358	33	7	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	309	273	42	8	1	5	24	122	10	3	3	154	248	245	493	92	250	39	8	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	309	261	49	11	1	5	36	95	10	3	3	188	309	295	604	107	270	31	12	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	184	167	32	9	1	2	10	57	4	0	0	192	254	293	548	102	275	31	5	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	184	164	38	11	1	3	13	45	4	0	0	232	304	366	670	134	299	24	7	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	3 teams	—	292	271	50	4	1	3	11	86	3	2	1	185	225	240	464	55	253	29	4	207	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	3 teams	—	292	266	56	7	1	6	15	72	3	2	1	211	260	312	572	102	260	25	5	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	NYM	—	157	145	23	3	0	7	7	60	2	1	0	159	208	324	532	166	203	38	4	232	36	-11	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.4
YTD	29	AAA	NYM	—	157	142	28	4	0	9	10	51	2	1	0	197	260	415	675	218	229	32	6	292	82	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
ROS	29	AAA	NYM	55%	104	96	18	3	0	2	5	34	2	1	0	186	241	279	520	93	256	32	5	241	43	-7	+0	+2	+2	+3	0.0
ROS	29	MLB	NYM	55%	58	54	10	2	0	1	3	19	1	0	0	185	241	278	519	93	255	33	5	230	34	-4	+0	+1	+1	+2	-0.1
FULL	29	AAA	NYM	—	215	199	33	5	0	8	10	79	3	1	0	166	217	312	529	146	221	37	5	231	35	-16	+0	+1	+4	+6	-0.5
TOT	29	AAA	NYM	—	261	241	41	6	0	9	12	94	4	2	0	170	221	306	527	137	227	36	5	235	38	-18	+0	+2	+5	+7	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	NYM	54%	326	302	59	10	1	8	17	103	4	2	1	195	248	315	562	119	260	32	5	248	48	-19	+0	+4	+6	+9	-0.0
2028	31	MLB	NYM	53%	302	279	54	9	1	7	16	94	4	2	0	194	247	308	556	115	260	31	5	250	49	-17	+0	+3	+5	+9	-0.0
2027	30	MLB	NYM	54%	174	161	31	5	1	4	9	55	2	1	0	193	244	311	555	118	260	32	5	238	40	-12	+0	+2	+3	+5	-0.2
2028	31	MLB	NYM	53%	159	147	29	5	1	4	9	49	2	1	0	197	253	327	580	129	260	31	6	240	42	-10	+0	+1	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	469	434	83	13	2	9	24	145	6	2	0	191	244	293	536	101	261	31	5	230	34	-35	+0	+10	+12	+13	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	115	18	3	12	33	201	8	3	0	191	243	291	534	100	263	31	5	230	34	-48	+1	+14	+17	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2523	2304	436	89	9	42	126	846	66	13	5	189	252	290	542	101	274	34	5	240	42	-166	+1	+14	+45	+72	-3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	112	23	2	11	32	218	17	3	1	189	250	290	540	101	273	34	5	240	42	-43	+0	+3	+12	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Kingsport Mets	—	41	35	14	4	0	1	4	8	2	0	0	400	488	600	1.088	200	500	20	10	479	224	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2019	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	353	304	70	21	1	4	25	64	19	0	0	230	328	345	673	115	275	18	7	306	93	-3	+0	—	—	+10	0.7
2021	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	205	181	46	13	1	3	16	62	7	0	0	254	338	387	725	133	368	30	8	327	109	+2	+0	—	—	+6	0.8
2021	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	47	43	13	5	1	2	3	16	1	0	0	302	362	605	966	302	440	34	6	416	176	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2021	24	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	40	31	6	1	0	0	8	7	1	0	0	194	375	226	601	32	250	18	20	303	90	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	25	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	23	23	6	1	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	261	261	304	565	43	375	30	0	253	51	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	25	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	297	265	63	14	2	5	21	99	9	3	0	238	315	362	678	125	356	33	7	306	92	-3	+1	—	—	+8	0.7
2023	26	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	309	261	49	11	1	5	36	95	10	3	3	188	309	295	604	107	270	31	12	283	75	-9	-1	—	—	+9	-0.1
2024	27	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	166	147	37	11	1	3	12	39	4	0	0	252	325	401	727	150	321	23	7	321	103	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2024	27	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	18	17	1	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	59	111	59	170		91	33	6	89	-74	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	28	MLB	New York Mets	—	78	72	13	1	0	0	3	22	1	0	0	181	224	194	418	14	255	28	4	192	5	-8	+0	+5	+5	+2	0.5
2025	28	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	182	165	36	3	1	5	10	44	2	2	1	218	270	339	609	121	263	24	5	268	63	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2025	28	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	32	29	7	3	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	241	290	448	739	207	261	19	6	314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	78	72	13	1	0	0	3	22	1	0	0	181	224	194	418	14	255	28	4	192	5	-8	+0	+5	+5	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	520	9	3	193	242	288	+9	+16	-1.1	-0.8
	/162	664	12	4	193	242	288	+11.9	+20.7	-1.4	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hayden Senger (OGILVIE)	29	40	45	45	30	170/221/306	137	227	9	2	36%	5%	38	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeff Mathis 2012 · MLB	29	38→46	42→50	43→45	41	192/242/290	98	250	9	6	27%	6%	43	-2.2	205/257/330	125	274	14	4	29%	6%	59	-1.1	211/261/316	106	287	8	1	28%	6%	54	-0.4
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	39	200/246/285	85	278	6	5	30%	5%	43	-2.2	222/278/307	85	291	5	5	24%	6%	62	-0.9	216/271/282	67	281	3	2	23%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Eli Whiteside 2010 · MLB	30	41	45→50	46→40	38	210/249/332	122	270	13	5	28%	4%	56	-1.3	214/268/339	125	277	13	6	27%	6%	67	-0.5	200/260/308	108	259	10	3	26%	6%	51	-0.5
✕Anthony Bemboom 2020 · MLB	30	39	42→45	44→45	43	195/253/296	100	257	10	4	28%	7%	49	-1.8	210/278/339	129	269	14	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	209/279/326	117	268	12	2	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Kevin Cash 2007 · MLB	29	38	44→40	42→30	39	196/254/312	116	271	12	4	32%	6%	54	-1.4	196/265/310	114	277	12	4	32%	8%	59	-1.1	193/265/272	79	264	9	0	29%	9%	45	-0.5
✕Jesus Flores 2014 · MLB	29	36→38	40→50	42→30	37	182/215/271	89	231	8	3	25%	4%	25	-3.5	199/244/299	100	264	10	5	27%	5%	46	-2.0	191/227/296	105	255	15	0	31%	4%	33	-0.7
✕Tyler Payne 2022 · AA	29	42	43→45	48→40	36	208/251/319	110	295	10	5	32%	5%	53	-1.5	235/274/338	103	323	9	5	29%	4%	69	-0.4	241/277/335	94	316	8	2	25%	4%	64	-0.3
✕Jesús Sucre 2016 · MLB	28	43	38→40	43→40	41	207/239/282	75	248	6	4	19%	4%	38	-2.6	233/273/340	107	271	11	6	18%	4%	69	-0.4	240/279/336	96	274	11	3	17%	4%	65	-0.2
✕Ali Solis 2018 · AAA	30	40	41→45	46→30	36	200/236/296	95	271	9	5	30%	4%	41	-2.3	203/238/332	129	285	16	6	34%	4%	52	-1.6	188/222/339	151	246	22	3	34%	4%	44	-1.3
✕Ryan Budde 2009 · MLB	29	41	42→45	48→40	40	203/254/309	106	270	9	8	28%	5%	53	-1.5	193/252/284	91	286	8	6	33%	7%	46	-2.0	176/244/251	75	269	8	2	35%	8%	32	-1.3
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2008 · MLB	29	41	43→45	48→30	42	205/254/309	104	259	11	5	25%	6%	53	-1.5	222/270/355	133	287	15	6	27%	6%	72	-0.2	214/263/359	146	274	18	0	29%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA	29	37	45	47→40	39	194/245/315	121	274	14	4	34%	6%	51	-1.7	195/251/321	126	280	15	5	34%	7%	55	-1.4	184/288/333	149	265	21	8	37%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Jackson Williams 2015 · MLB	29	41	43→45	42→40	43	205/260/314	109	265	11	5	27%	7%	56	-1.3	197/252/268	71	254	5	4	23%	6%	41	-2.3	183/237/230	47	234	3	1	22%	6%	22	-1.6
✕Dane Sardinha 2009 · MLB	30	34→32	43→45	49→30	36	181/220/282	101	241	11	4	30%	4%	30	-3.1	182/230/289	107	254	12	4	32%	5%	38	-2.6	157/216/246	89	222	10	0	33%	6%	17	-1.3
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2015 · AAA	29	43	43→45	47→50	37	217/249/317	99	271	12	8	25%	3%	52	-1.6	223/267/352	129	282	15	14	26%	5%	69	-0.4	216/263/349	133	256	17	24	23%	4%	63	-0.2
✕Horacio Vasquez 2015 · AAA	29	44	39→40	41→40	37	215/243/295	80	278	7	7	25%	4%	43	-2.2	220/252/295	75	284	6	9	24%	4%	47	-1.9	221/247/266	45	286	2	6	23%	3%	35	-0.8
✕Jake Wald 2010 · AAA	29	41→42	41→45	51→50	41	201/265/300	99	287	8	10	31%	7%	56	-1.3	188/252/274	86	318	7	8	40%	7%	43	-2.2	130/202/174	44	264	1	2	47%	8%	-5	-2.2
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	37→47	38→45	46→50	39	184/239/256	72	270	6	8	33%	6%	33	-2.9	217/255/317	100	318	11	17	34%	4%	54	-1.4	222/246/322	99	331	13	23	36%	3%	49	-1.1
✕Dan Rohlfing 2017 · AAA	28	40→50	42→40	45→30	35	198/238/299	101	283	9	4	33%	4%	43	-2.2	181/233/278	97	316	10	6	43%	6%	36	-2.7	109/174/167	58	211	8	0	50%	7%	-19	-2.7
✕Alberto Rosario 2015 · AAA	28	43	40	45→50	39	211/255/294	83	279	8	7	27%	4%	49	-1.8	211/251/281	70	261	4	5	20%	4%	43	-2.2	225/259/263	38	281	2	3	20%	4%	39	-0.8