Gustavo Molina

PosC

B/TR/R

Born1982-02-24

Age (2027)45

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2016	34	INTLCardenales de…	82	.289/.333/.474	3	2	124	—
2017	35	INTLCardenales de…	105	.299/.340/.361	1	0	97	—
2018	36	INTLAguilas del Z…	60	.175/.190/.193	0	0	0	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	23	A+	Winston-Salem Warthogs	—	392	345	90	20	1	11	30	47	6	1	2	261	331	420	751	159	272	12	8	327	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	31	30	5	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	167	194	167	360		200	16	3	168	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	382	344	78	14	0	7	25	65	4	5	6	227	287	328	615	102	260	17	7	274	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	30	27	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	111	143	148	291	37	143	23	3	126	-28	-5	+0	+1	+5	+1	0.2
2007	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	156	139	29	4	0	2	9	27	2	0	2	209	267	281	547	72	243	17	6	243	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	80	77	28	4	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	364	388	416	803	52	418	12	4	362	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	250	228	47	7	0	7	16	56	5	0	0	206	273	329	602	123	241	22	6	273	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	227	211	44	15	0	2	6	25	1	0	1	209	234	308	542	100	227	11	3	233	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	119	112	27	5	0	8	7	23	0	0	0	241	286	500	786	259	235	19	6	341	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	98	88	15	2	0	5	2	17	2	0	0	170	207	364	570	193	152	17	2	235	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	173	162	41	6	0	4	7	37	1	0	0	253	288	364	652	111	303	21	4	287	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	INTL	Venezuela	—	151	132	32	8	0	0	11	26	2	0	0	242	310	303	613	61	296	17	7	272	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	116	109	19	5	0	4	4	29	1	0	0	174	211	330	541	156	195	25	3	236	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	24	23	7	1	0	2	1	2	0	0	0	304	333	609	942	304	263	8	4	407	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	INTL	Venezuela	—	183	171	36	6	0	7	5	39	2	0	0	211	242	368	610	158	228	21	3	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	111	100	23	4	0	3	10	26	1	0	0	230	306	360	666	130	282	23	9	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	110	98	24	5	0	0	8	26	1	0	0	245	308	296	604	51	333	24	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	82	76	22	5	0	3	4	18	1	2	0	289	333	474	807	184	345	22	5	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	105	97	29	3	0	1	6	19	0	0	0	299	340	361	701	62	359	18	6	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	36	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	60	57	10	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	175	190	193	383	18	222	22	2	169	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	30	27	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	111	143	148	291	37	143	23	3	126	-28	-5	+0	+1	+5	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Warthogs	—	392	356	81	16	1	10	19	67	6	1	2	228	278	362	641	135	243	17	5	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	31	30	5	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	167	194	167	360		195	19	3	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	382	352	73	13	0	6	17	79	4	5	6	207	252	295	547	88	240	21	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	30	27	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	111	143	148	291	37	143	23	3	126	-28	-5	+0	+1	+5	+1	0.2
2007	25	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	156	142	29	4	0	2	6	32	2	0	2	204	247	275	521	70	230	21	4	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	80	78	28	4	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	359	375	410	785	51	414	15	2	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	250	232	38	5	0	5	12	72	5	0	0	164	221	250	471	86	212	29	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	227	213	41	13	0	2	4	30	1	0	1	192	211	282	493	89	200	13	2	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	119	114	23	4	0	7	5	28	0	0	0	202	235	421	656	219	197	24	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	173	164	36	5	0	3	5	45	1	0	0	220	247	305	552	85	280	26	3	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees	—	116	110	14	3	0	3	3	35	1	0	0	127	158	236	394	109	156	30	3	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	AA MLE	Trenton Thunder	—	24	23	7	1	0	2	1	2	0	0	0	304	333	609	942	304	232	8	4	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Warthogs	—	392	356	81	16	1	10	19	67	6	1	2	228	278	362	641	135	252	17	5	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	23	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Warthogs	—	392	345	90	20	1	11	30	47	6	1	2	261	331	420	751	159	272	12	8	327	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	413	382	77	13	0	6	18	85	4	5	6	202	245	283	528	81	243	21	4	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	413	374	83	14	0	7	26	70	4	5	6	222	280	316	595	94	255	17	6	266	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	266	247	58	8	0	2	9	52	2	0	2	235	267	291	559	57	287	20	3	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	266	243	60	9	0	2	13	44	2	0	2	247	291	309	599	62	291	17	5	265	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	250	232	38	5	0	5	12	72	5	0	0	164	221	250	471	86	212	29	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA RAW	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	250	228	47	7	0	7	16	56	5	0	0	206	273	329	602	123	241	22	6	273	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	227	213	41	13	0	2	4	30	1	0	1	192	211	282	493	89	214	13	2	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA RAW	Syracuse Chiefs	—	227	211	44	15	0	2	6	25	1	0	1	209	234	308	542	100	227	11	3	233	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	217	201	42	7	0	13	8	51	2	0	0	209	246	438	684	229	212	24	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	217	200	42	7	0	13	9	40	2	0	0	210	251	440	691	230	197	18	4	294	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	324	303	69	10	0	6	9	84	3	0	0	228	257	320	577	92	292	26	3	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	324	294	73	14	0	4	18	63	3	0	0	248	298	337	635	88	300	19	6	280	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	323	305	49	10	0	11	8	87	3	0	0	161	190	302	492	141	181	27	2	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	323	303	62	12	0	13	10	70	3	0	0	205	237	373	610	168	220	22	3	264	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	INTL MLE	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	111	100	23	4	0	3	10	26	1	0	0	230	306	360	666	130	282	23	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	31	INTL RAW	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	111	100	23	4	0	3	10	26	1	0	0	230	306	360	666	130	282	23	9	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	INTL MLE	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	110	98	24	5	0	0	8	26	1	0	0	245	308	296	604	51	333	24	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	32	INTL RAW	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	110	98	24	5	0	0	8	26	1	0	0	245	308	296	604	51	333	24	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	INTL MLE	Cardenales de Lara	—	82	76	22	5	0	3	4	18	1	2	0	289	333	474	807	184	345	22	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	34	INTL RAW	Cardenales de Lara	—	82	76	22	5	0	3	4	18	1	2	0	289	333	474	807	184	345	22	5	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	INTL MLE	Cardenales de Lara	—	105	97	29	3	0	1	6	19	0	0	0	299	340	361	701	62	359	18	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	35	INTL RAW	Cardenales de Lara	—	105	97	29	3	0	1	6	19	0	0	0	299	340	361	701	62	359	18	6	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	36	INTL MLE	Aguilas del Zulia	—	60	57	10	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	175	190	193	383	18	222	22	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	36	INTL RAW	Aguilas del Zulia	—	60	57	10	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	175	190	193	383	18	222	22	2	169	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Warthogs	—	392	364	81	16	1	10	19	67	6	1	2	223	278	354	633	132	243	17	5	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	413	388	77	13	0	6	18	85	4	5	6	198	245	278	523	80	237	21	4	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	266	253	58	8	0	2	9	52	2	0	2	229	267	285	552	55	276	20	3	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	26	AAA MLE	New Orleans Zephyrs	—	250	231	38	5	0	5	12	72	5	0	0	165	221	251	472	87	212	29	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Chiefs	—	227	220	41	13	0	2	4	30	1	0	1	186	211	273	484	86	200	13	2	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	217	205	42	7	0	13	8	51	2	0	0	205	246	429	676	224	197	24	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	324	309	69	10	0	6	9	84	3	0	0	223	257	314	571	91	280	26	3	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	30	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	323	309	49	10	0	11	8	87	3	0	0	159	190	298	488	139	169	27	2	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	30	27	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	111	143	148	291	37	143	23	3	126	20	-5	+0	+1	+5	+1	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	65	22	0	0	22	152	0	0	0	111	144	149	292	38	143	23	3	126	20	-99	+0	+15	+103	+14	3.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2880	2667	563	100	1	62	116	630	29	8	11	211	252	319	571	108	252	22	4	198	20	-5	+0	+1	+5	+1	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	127	23	0	14	26	142	7	2	2	211	252	319	571	108	251	22	4	198	20	-99	+0	+15	+103	+14	3.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2012 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees · 116 PAwOBA .231 → .180 (−51)K% 25.0% → 30.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷0.988	×1.200	—	—	30.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.45%	÷1.012	×0.690	—	×0.972	2.28%
HBP% /PA	0.86%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.79%
Singles /BIP	12.50%	÷1.006	×0.930	×0.950	×0.972	10.67%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷1.076	×0.830	×0.950	×0.972	4.45%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.926	×0.970	×0.950	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.00%	÷0.945	×0.840	—	×0.972	4.32%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 101, 2B 115, 3B 85, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .231 → .180; ISO .156 → .123; BABIP .195 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AATrenton Thunder · 24 PAwOBA .394 → .322 (−72)K% 8.3% → 10.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.33%	÷0.990	×1.220	—	—	10.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.17%	÷0.955	×0.700	—	×0.948	2.89%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.948	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.05%	÷0.980	×0.970	—	×0.948	17.86%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.058	×0.860	—	×0.948	3.67%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.950	—	×0.948	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.52%	÷0.975	×0.780	—	×0.948	7.22%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 96, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 98, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .394 → .322; ISO .304 → .230; BABIP .263 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre Yankees · 173 PAwOBA .281 → .245 (−36)K% 21.4% → 25.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.39%	÷0.990	×1.200	—	—	25.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.05%	÷1.005	×0.690	—	×0.982	2.73%
HBP% /PA	0.58%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.53%
Singles /BIP	24.80%	÷0.976	×0.930	×1.002	×0.982	23.24%
Doubles /BIP	4.80%	÷0.931	×0.830	×1.002	×0.982	4.21%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.113	×0.970	×1.002	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.20%	÷0.965	×0.840	—	×0.982	2.74%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 95, 2B 86, 3B 123, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .281 → .245; ISO .111 → .094; BABIP .303 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 119 PAwOBA .331 → .276 (−55)K% 19.3% → 23.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.33%	÷0.994	×1.200	—	—	23.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.88%	÷1.037	×0.690	—	×0.992	3.88%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	15.73%	÷1.016	×0.930	×0.964	×0.992	13.77%
Doubles /BIP	5.62%	÷1.030	×0.830	×0.964	×0.992	4.33%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.964	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.99%	÷0.898	×0.840	—	×0.992	8.34%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 99, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .331 → .276; ISO .259 → .227; BABIP .235 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 227 PAwOBA .227 → .201 (−26)K% 11.0% → 13.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.01%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	13.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.64%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.003	1.83%
HBP% /PA	0.44%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.42%
Singles /BIP	14.52%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.986	×1.003	13.35%
Doubles /BIP	8.06%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.986	×1.003	6.62%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.986	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.08%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.003	0.91%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .227 → .201; ISO .100 → .085; BABIP .227 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 250 PAwOBA .267 → .214 (−53)K% 22.4% → 28.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.40%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	28.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.40%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.018	4.63%
HBP% /PA	2.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	2.00%
Singles /BIP	19.19%	÷1.000	×0.900	×0.985	×1.018	17.32%
Doubles /BIP	4.07%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.985	×1.018	3.31%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.985	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.07%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.018	3.23%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .267 → .214; ISO .123 → .092; BABIP .241 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAACharlotte Knights · 156 PAwOBA .238 → .218 (−20)K% 17.3% → 20.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.31%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	20.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.77%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.033	4.11%
HBP% /PA	1.28%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.24%
Singles /BIP	20.54%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.002	×1.033	19.76%
Doubles /BIP	3.57%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.002	×1.033	3.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.002	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.79%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.033	1.55%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .238 → .218; ISO .072 → .064; BABIP .243 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AABowie Baysox · 80 PAwOBA .352 → .334 (−19)K% 12.5% → 15.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.50%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	15.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.75%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.998	2.62%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	35.82%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.041	×0.998	36.11%
Doubles /BIP	5.97%	÷1.000	×0.860	×1.041	×0.998	5.34%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.950	×1.041	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.998	0.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .352 → .334; ISO .052 → .046; BABIP .418 → .414. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .