Nick Flair
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A/ROK2 orgs | 214 | .220/.290/.361 | 4 | 1 | 24 | — | .158/.214/.250 |
| 2016 | 23 | ROKOrem Owlz | 223 | .348/.372/.581 | 8 | 3 | 64 | — | .230/.248/.376 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 190 | 170 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 50 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 218 | 293 | 371 | 663 | 153 | 282 | 26 | 9 | 295 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK | AZL Angels | — | 24 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 273 | 286 | 558 | 48 | 263 | 12 | 4 | 233 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 223 | 210 | 73 | 23 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 348 | 372 | 581 | 953 | 233 | 422 | 23 | 4 | 406 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 190 | 175 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 66 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 154 | 213 | 251 | 464 | 97 | 226 | 35 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 24 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 227 | 238 | 465 | 48 | 204 | 17 | 4 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 223 | 213 | 49 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 73 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 248 | 376 | 623 | 146 | 307 | 33 | 2 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 214 | 196 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 70 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 158 | 214 | 250 | 464 | 92 | 230 | 33 | 7 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 214 | 191 | 42 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 53 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 220 | 290 | 361 | 652 | 141 | 279 | 25 | 9 | 288 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 223 | 213 | 49 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 73 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 248 | 376 | 623 | 146 | 319 | 33 | 2 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 223 | 210 | 73 | 23 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 348 | 372 | 581 | 953 | 233 | 422 | 23 | 4 | 406 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 214 | 198 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 70 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 157 | 214 | 247 | 462 | 91 | 224 | 33 | 7 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 223 | 216 | 49 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 73 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 248 | 370 | 618 | 144 | 307 | 33 | 2 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 437 | 409 | 80 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 143 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 196 | 231 | 315 | 547 | 120 | 277 | 33 | 4 | 234 | 45 | -29 | -0 | +0 | -8 | +9 | -2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 608 | 119 | 36 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 213 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 196 | 231 | 314 | 545 | 118 | 278 | 33 | 4 | 234 | 45 | -43 | -0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -4.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 ROKOrem Owlz · 223 PAwOBA .399 → .263 (−136)K% 22.9% → 32.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.955 | 2.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.988 | ×0.955 | 19.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.988 | ×0.955 | 9.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.988 | ×0.955 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.955 | 3.60% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .399 → .263; ISO .233 → .148; BABIP .422 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ABurlington Bees · 190 PAwOBA .289 → .206 (−83)K% 26.3% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.32% | ÷1.029 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.47% | ÷0.936 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.107 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×0.990 | 13.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×0.990 | 8.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.990 | ×0.990 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.423 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.86% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 121, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 106, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .289 → .206; ISO .153 → .098; BABIP .282 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKAZL Angels · 24 PAwOBA .237 → .186 (−51)K% 12.5% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 2.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 17.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 3.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .237 → .186; ISO .048 → .035; BABIP .263 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).