Wilner Berroteran

Wilner Berroteran P DSL Angels

Age 18 RHP 6'3" / 192 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 1.6 · 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.59

FIP4.59

K%22.1%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%11.3%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$45M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$6M		$15M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	5	5	22	85	23	8	0	100%	4.4	18.4%	11.8%	6.6%	0.0%	1.64	3.04	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	5	5	22	85	23	8	0	100%	4.4	18.4%	11.8%	6.6%	0.0%	1.64	3.04	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	5	5	22	85	23	8	0	100%	4.4	27.1%	9.4%	17.6%	0.0%	1.64	2.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	11	58	248	57	24	5	92%	4.8	15.6%	12.1%	3.5%	2.8%	3.41	4.86	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	11	58	248	57	24	5	92%	4.8	15.6%	12.1%	3.5%	2.8%	3.41	4.86	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	LAA	12	11	58	248	57	24	5	92%	4.8	23.0%	9.7%	13.3%	2.0%	3.41	3.49	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	LAA	12	12	60	252	57	25	7	100%	5.0	22.7%	10.1%	12.6%	2.9%	4.48	4.42	+0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	LAA	12	12	63	264	61	25	7	100%	5.2	23.1%	9.5%	13.6%	2.8%	4.36	4.29	+0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	LAA	13	13	66	277	65	25	8	100%	5.1	23.5%	9.1%	14.4%	2.8%	4.25	4.17	+0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	LAA	14	14	69	291	71	25	8	100%	4.9	24.4%	8.6%	15.8%	2.7%	4.10	4.00	+0.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	LAA	13	13	72	302	76	25	8	100%	5.5	25.1%	8.3%	16.8%	2.7%	3.96	3.87	+0.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	LAA	13	13	73	310	80	25	8	100%	5.6	25.7%	8.1%	17.6%	2.6%	3.86	3.79	+1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	LAA	13	13	74	314	82	25	8	100%	5.7	26.1%	8.0%	18.1%	2.6%	3.78	3.73	+1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	LAA	12	12	74	314	82	25	8	100%	6.2	26.3%	7.9%	18.4%	2.6%	3.74	3.71	+1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	LAA	12	12	73	309	81	25	8	100%	6.1	26.3%	8.0%	18.3%	2.7%	3.74	3.75	+1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	LAA	12	12	71	300	78	24	8	100%	5.9	26.1%	8.1%	18.0%	2.8%	3.79	3.83	+0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	LAA	11	11	68	286	74	24	8	100%	6.2	25.9%	8.4%	17.5%	2.9%	3.89	3.96	+0.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	LAA	11	11	64	269	69	23	8	100%	5.8	25.6%	8.7%	16.9%	3.1%	4.04	4.14	+0.6
2027	19	MLB CTX	LAA	6	6	29	122	28	12	4	100%	4.8	22.7%	10.1%	12.6%	2.9%	4.51	4.45	+0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	LAA	9	9	46	194	45	19	6	100%	5.1	23.1%	9.5%	13.6%	2.9%	4.39	4.32	+0.3
2029	21	MLB CTX	LAA	11	11	55	232	55	21	7	100%	5.0	23.5%	9.1%	14.4%	2.8%	4.28	4.20	+0.5
2030	22	MLB CTX	LAA	12	12	62	262	64	23	7	100%	5.2	24.4%	8.6%	15.8%	2.8%	4.13	4.03	+0.7
2031	23	MLB CTX	LAA	12	12	66	279	70	23	8	100%	5.5	25.1%	8.3%	16.8%	2.7%	3.99	3.90	+0.8
2032	24	MLB CTX	LAA	12	12	69	291	75	24	8	100%	5.8	25.7%	8.1%	17.6%	2.7%	3.89	3.82	+0.9
2033	25	MLB CTX	LAA	12	12	71	300	78	24	8	100%	5.9	26.1%	8.0%	18.1%	2.7%	3.81	3.76	+1.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	LAA	12	12	71	300	79	24	8	100%	5.9	26.3%	7.9%	18.4%	2.7%	3.77	3.74	+1.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	LAA	12	12	70	296	78	24	8	100%	5.8	26.3%	8.0%	18.3%	2.7%	3.77	3.78	+1.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	LAA	11	11	67	283	74	23	8	100%	6.1	26.1%	8.1%	18.0%	2.8%	3.82	3.86	+0.9
2037	29	MLB CTX	LAA	11	11	64	270	70	23	8	100%	5.8	25.9%	8.4%	17.5%	3.0%	3.92	3.99	+0.7
2038	30	MLB CTX	LAA	10	10	61	258	66	22	8	100%	6.1	25.6%	8.7%	16.9%	3.2%	4.07	4.17	+0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		130	130	730	3084	780	260	87	100%	5.6	25.3%	8.4%	16.8%	2.8%	3.99	3.58	+11.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	214	71	24	100%	5.6	25.3%	8.4%	16.8%	2.8%	3.99	3.58	+3.2
Career	—	MLE		17	16	80	333	54	40	7	94%	4.7	16.3%	12.0%	4.3%	2.1%	2.92	4.40	+9.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		42	40	200	832	136	100	17	94%	4.7	16.3%	12.0%	4.3%	2.1%	2.92	4.40	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilner Berroteran (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.59	22.1%	10.8%	2.9%	—	4.29	23.1%	13.5%	188	-0.30	—	—	—
Andry Lara R 2021 · 4.98 FIP	18	SP-	4.98	19.1%	9.7%	4.1%	.294	4.77	16.6%	6.7%	334	-0.21	4.57	535	81
Alec Kisena R 2015 · 4.01 FIP	19	SP	4.01	17.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	248	79
Carlos Naveda R 2017 · 3.77 FIP	18	SP	3.77	19.9%	10.5%	1.9%	.297	2.63	16.9%	11.7%	64	-1.14	2.63	120	79
Miguel Mora R 2021 · 4.21 FIP	19	SP	4.21	17.9%	11.2%	2.2%	.221	4.89	16.6%	-3.6%	107	+0.68	2.95	151	78
Daniel Corniel R 2022 · 3.50 FIP	18	SP	3.50	17.5%	9.6%	1.2%	.311	4.51	17.9%	3.7%	135	+1.01	3.50	218	78
Ivan Oviedo R 2021 · 3.75 FIP	18	SP	3.75	18.8%	7.7%	2.3%	.286	4.42	19.5%	7.2%	111	+0.67	3.75	174	78
Kyle Glogoski R 2018 · 3.46 FIP	19	SP-	3.46	19.9%	8.5%	1.7%	.277	3.92	20.6%	9.1%	93	+0.46	3.32	206	78
Caden Dana R 2023 · 3.64 FIP	19	SP	3.64	24.2%	12.3%	1.9%	.297	4.62	20.2%	9.5%	348	+0.98	3.64	417	78
Luis Arejula R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	19	SP	3.52	21.9%	8.7%	2.1%	.318	4.46	15.7%	3.5%	71	+0.94	3.52	115	77
Listher Sosa R 2019 · 3.93 FIP	17	SP	3.93	16.5%	8.9%	2.0%	.262	4.36	16.5%	7.4%	100	+0.43	3.51	279	77
Eddy Yean R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	18	SP	4.56	16.8%	10.3%	2.9%	.284	4.81	17.7%	3.4%	120	+0.25	3.76	451	77
Logan Gragg R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	20	SP	4.14	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.343	5.20	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.06	4.14	412	77
Andry Rondon R 2015 · 3.46 FIP	19	SP	3.46	19.8%	8.2%	1.8%	.283	3.98	15.6%	1.1%	49	+0.52	3.26	105	77
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	77
Carlos Jimenez R 2019 · 4.07 FIP	17	SP	4.07	18.1%	12.6%	1.7%	.324	4.66	20.9%	5.2%	104	+0.59	4.07	257	77
Reggie Lawson R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	19	SP	4.73	21.0%	13.2%	3.2%	.313	4.68	18.5%	7.2%	145	-0.05	4.19	293	76
Jordy Vargas R 2022 · 4.35 FIP	18	SP	4.35	22.1%	10.0%	3.4%	.239	4.64	19.8%	6.3%	95	+0.29	3.02	290	76
John Klein R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	21	SP	4.47	17.4%	11.4%	2.5%	.287	4.09	19.4%	9.7%	290	-0.38	3.21	343	76
Jose Montero R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	19	SP	3.72	20.8%	7.9%	2.5%	.377	4.03	15.8%	4.6%	234	+0.31	3.72	375	75
Eury Rosado R 2021 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP	3.83	17.2%	9.2%	1.9%	.231	6.00	19.2%	5.1%	55	+2.17	3.83	109	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.2	65	25.1%	8.6%	1.07	3.99
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Joe Jiménez ('24)	1.9	53	29.8%	8.6%	1.11	4.06
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
JT Chargois ('24)	1.2	33	23.3%	9.3%	0.97	3.35