Wilner Berroteran

P DSL Angels

Age 19 RHP 6'3" / 192 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038 peak 0.8 · 2032

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#932ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKLAA	5	5	22	1.64	2.10	27.1%	9.4%	—	K 18.4% · BB 11.8% · FIP 3.04
2026	18	ROKLAA	12	11	58	3.41	3.50	23.0%	9.7%	—	K 15.6% · BB 12.1% · FIP 4.86
2027PROJ	19	MLBLAA	—	—	0	4.94	4.94	19.4%	11.7%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBLAA	4	4	22	4.80	4.73	20.4%	10.7%	0.2
2029PROJ73% MLB	21	MLBLAA	6	6	33	4.64	4.55	21.1%	10.0%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAlec Kisena (age 19) · John Klein (age 21) · Patricio Aquino (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%19.4%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%7.8%

Proj IP32

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$33M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	5	5	22	85	23	8	0	100%	4.4	18.4%	11.8%	6.6%	0.0%	1.64	3.04	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	5	5	22	85	23	8	0	100%	4.4	18.4%	11.8%	6.6%	0.0%	1.64	3.04	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	5	5	22	85	23	8	0	100%	4.4	27.1%	9.4%	17.6%	0.0%	1.64	2.10	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	11	58	248	57	24	5	92%	4.8	15.6%	12.1%	3.5%	2.8%	3.41	4.86	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	11	58	248	57	24	5	92%	4.8	15.6%	12.1%	3.5%	2.8%	3.41	4.86	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	12	11	58	248	57	24	5	92%	4.8	23.0%	9.7%	13.3%	2.0%	3.41	3.50	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	LAA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.4%	11.7%	7.8%	3.0%	4.94	4.94	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	LAA	9	9	46	193	39	21	6	100%	5.1	20.4%	10.7%	9.8%	2.9%	4.77	4.70	+0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	LAA	9	9	46	193	41	19	5	100%	5.1	21.1%	10.0%	11.1%	2.8%	4.61	4.52	+0.5
2030	22	MLB MLE	LAA	9	9	46	196	43	18	5	100%	5.2	22.1%	9.3%	12.8%	2.8%	4.43	4.32	+0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	LAA	9	9	48	201	46	18	6	100%	5.3	22.9%	8.8%	14.1%	2.8%	4.28	4.18	+0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	LAA	9	9	48	201	47	17	5	100%	5.3	23.4%	8.6%	14.9%	2.7%	4.16	4.08	+0.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	LAA	8	8	47	198	47	17	5	100%	5.9	23.8%	8.4%	15.4%	2.7%	4.08	4.02	+0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	LAA	8	8	47	200	48	17	5	100%	5.9	24.0%	8.4%	15.6%	2.7%	4.03	4.00	+0.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	LAA	8	8	46	195	47	17	5	100%	5.8	24.0%	8.5%	15.6%	2.8%	4.04	4.04	+0.7
2028	20	MLB CTX	LAA	4	4	22	93	19	10	3	100%	5.5	20.4%	10.7%	9.8%	3.0%	4.80	4.73	+0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	LAA	6	6	33	139	29	14	4	100%	5.5	21.1%	10.0%	11.1%	2.9%	4.64	4.55	+0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	LAA	8	8	39	165	36	15	5	100%	4.9	22.1%	9.3%	12.8%	2.9%	4.46	4.35	+0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	LAA	8	8	43	182	42	16	5	100%	5.4	22.9%	8.8%	14.1%	2.8%	4.31	4.21	+0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	LAA	8	8	44	186	44	16	5	100%	5.5	23.4%	8.6%	14.9%	2.8%	4.19	4.11	+0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	LAA	8	8	44	186	44	16	5	100%	5.5	23.8%	8.4%	15.4%	2.8%	4.11	4.05	+0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	LAA	8	8	45	190	46	16	5	100%	5.6	24.0%	8.4%	15.6%	2.8%	4.06	4.03	+0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	LAA	7	7	44	186	45	16	5	100%	6.3	24.0%	8.5%	15.6%	2.8%	4.07	4.07	+0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		57	57	314	1327	305	119	37	100%	5.5	23.0%	8.9%	14.0%	2.8%	4.28	3.84	+5.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	194	76	24	100%	5.5	23.0%	8.9%	14.0%	2.8%	4.28	3.84	+3.7
Career	—	MLE		17	16	80	333	54	40	7	94%	4.7	16.3%	12.0%	4.3%	2.1%	2.92	4.40	+5.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		42	40	200	832	136	100	17	94%	4.7	16.3%	12.0%	4.3%	2.1%	2.92	4.40	+2.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKDSL Angels · 58 IPFIP 3.49 → 4.86 (+1.37)K% 23.0% → 15.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.98%	—	×0.680	15.63%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.68%	—	×1.250	12.10%
HR / BF /BF	2.02%	÷1.000	×1.400	2.82%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.49 → 4.86, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKDSL Angels · 22 IPFIP 2.01 → 3.04 (+1.03)K% 27.1% → 18.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	27.06%	—	×0.680	18.40%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.41%	—	×1.250	11.76%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.975	×1.400	0.00%

Result: FIP 2.01 → 3.04, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilner Berroteran (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	19.4%	11.7%	3.0%	—	4.51	21.2%	11.3%	138	-0.43	—	—	—
Alec Kisena R 2015 · 4.01 FIP	19	SP	4.01	17.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	248	87
John Klein R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	21	SP	4.47	17.4%	11.4%	2.5%	.287	4.18	19.6%	9.9%	293	-0.29	3.19	346	86
Patricio Aquino R 2022 · 4.24 FIP	19	SP	4.24	21.9%	13.2%	2.4%	.321	3.95	15.1%	5.8%	234	-0.29	3.54	313	86
Miguel Mora R 2021 · 4.21 FIP	19	SP	4.21	17.9%	11.2%	2.2%	.221	4.89	16.6%	-3.6%	107	+0.68	2.95	151	85
Reggie Lawson R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	19	SP	4.73	21.0%	13.2%	3.2%	.313	4.68	18.5%	7.2%	145	-0.05	4.19	293	84
Tyler Schlaffer R 2021 · 5.17 FIP	20	SP	5.17	16.1%	10.7%	3.8%	.344	5.23	17.2%	4.5%	154	+0.06	3.79	399	84
Luis Maracara R 2024 · 3.75 FIP	16	SP	3.75	18.4%	10.4%	1.6%	.344	6.03	18.9%	1.0%	78	+2.28	3.75	123	83
Sean Douglass R 2001 · 4.81 FIP	22	SP	4.81	18.1%	11.7%	3.2%	.286	5.28	18.9%	5.4%	92	+0.47	4.81	200	82
Silvano Hechavarria R 2024 · 4.05 FIP	21	SP	4.05	20.0%	10.3%	2.4%	.212	5.06	15.6%	5.4%	169	+1.01	3.90	218	82
Mat Latos R 2009 · 4.67 FIP	21	SP	4.67	18.4%	10.4%	3.3%	.250	3.22	23.3%	16.6%	588	-1.45	2.88	1,196	82
Eddy Yean R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	18	SP	4.56	16.8%	10.3%	2.9%	.284	4.81	17.7%	3.4%	120	+0.25	3.65	455	82
Adrian Heredia R 2024 · 3.77 FIP	19	SP	3.77	21.6%	12.8%	1.6%	.300	5.38	14.9%	1.8%	104	+1.61	3.34	149	82
Logan Gragg R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	20	SP	4.14	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.343	5.20	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.06	4.14	412	82
Trevor Harrison R 2024 · 4.03 FIP	18	SP	4.03	21.0%	10.6%	2.5%	.331	4.94	19.7%	7.0%	205	+0.91	3.79	277	82
Eury Rosado R 2021 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP	3.83	17.2%	9.2%	1.9%	.231	6.00	19.2%	5.1%	55	+2.17	3.83	109	82
Edgar Manzo R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	18	SP	4.75	14.7%	11.1%	2.7%	.326	5.12	15.4%	3.0%	121	+0.37	4.46	249	82
Chih-Jung Liu R 2021 · 4.41 FIP	22	SP	4.41	18.8%	10.5%	2.9%	.331	6.08	21.6%	9.0%	233	+1.67	4.41	283	82
Frank German R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SP	5.01	19.5%	12.4%	3.6%	.308	4.56	18.9%	9.4%	123	-0.45	3.10	218	82
Noe Toribio R 2019 · 4.21 FIP	19	SP	4.21	16.6%	9.1%	2.5%	.264	4.19	16.6%	6.5%	133	-0.02	4.14	335	81
Alex Vallecillo R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	19	SP	4.51	15.5%	10.3%	2.6%	.208	4.91	17.8%	4.0%	112	+0.40	4.51	152	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	45	22.5%	9.3%	1.08	4.35
Jacob Barnes ('25)	1.7	48	22.0%	9.2%	1.15	4.79
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Shane Greene ('23)	2.4	59	21.7%	8.6%	1.12	4.50
Tony Fossas ('88-'99, 2 WAR*)	2.1	42	21.9%*	9.3%*	0.99*	3.88*
Ken Dayley ('82-'93, 4 WAR*)	2.9	64	21.8%*	9.1%*	0.97*	4.10*
Xavier Hernandez ('89-'98, 3 WAR*)	3.4	67	23.9%*	9.1%*	1.12*	4.20*