Edgar Manzo
P
Peoria Chiefs
Age 25
RHP
5'11" / 181 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%22.4%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP49
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 12 | 12 | 59 | 259 | 56 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 4.9 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.68 | 4.75 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 12 | 12 | 59 | 259 | 56 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 4.9 | 21.6% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 1.9% | 3.68 | 3.48 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 25 | 6 | 66 | 288 | 65 | 30 | 5 | 24% | 2.6 | 16.7% | 12.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.91 | 4.71 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 25 | 6 | 66 | 288 | 65 | 30 | 5 | 24% | 2.6 | 22.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 1.7% | 4.91 | 3.48 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 5 | 55 | 257 | 47 | 28 | 8 | 19% | 2.1 | 13.9% | 12.7% | 1.2% | 4.2% | 6.59 | 5.86 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 5 | 55 | 257 | 47 | 28 | 8 | 19% | 2.1 | 18.3% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 6.59 | 4.82 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 4 | 73 | 312 | 54 | 20 | 7 | 13% | 2.3 | 12.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 4.95 | 4.35 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 4 | 73 | 312 | 54 | 20 | 7 | 13% | 2.3 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 2.2% | 4.95 | 3.69 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | STL | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 46 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | STL | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 47 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | STL | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 46 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | STL | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 45 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | STL | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | STL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | STL | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 83 | 0 | 87 | 366 | 83 | 34 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.02 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 78 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 94 | 27 | 252 | 1116 | 161 | 120 | 33 | 29% | 2.7 | 14.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.00 | 4.88 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 21 | 200 | 886 | 128 | 96 | 26 | 29% | 2.7 | 14.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.00 | 4.88 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Edgar Manzo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.39 | 22.7% | 13.6% | 144 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 86 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 82 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 82 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 81 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 80 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 80 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2029 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 79 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 79 |
| Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 19.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | .283 | 3.86 | 19.3% | 11.7% | 124 | -0.19 | 3.47 | 171 | 79 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 79 |
| Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 78 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2028 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 78 |
| Dylan King R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 78 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 78 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 77 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 76 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 76 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2029 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 76 |
| Ariel Peña R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 21.3% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .300 | 4.91 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 92 | +1.00 | 3.91 | 223 | 76 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2024 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 48 | 22.6% | 9.1% | 1.17 | 4.38 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |