Noe Toribio
P
Altoona Curve
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%23.2%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP40
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates | 13 | 13 | 57 | 261 | 49 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 4.4 | 12.8% | 12.5% | 0.3% | 3.8% | 4.13 | 5.66 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates | 13 | 13 | 57 | 261 | 49 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 4.4 | 18.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 4.13 | 4.35 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 12 | 12 | 51 | 239 | 43 | 22 | 3 | 100% | 4.2 | 12.2% | 11.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 5.68 | 4.49 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 12 | 12 | 51 | 239 | 43 | 22 | 3 | 100% | 4.2 | 18.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 1.3% | 5.68 | 3.48 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 7 | 7 | 38 | 156 | 35 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 16.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 3.79 | 4.20 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 7 | 7 | 38 | 156 | 35 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.4% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | 3.79 | 3.23 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA | Altoona Curve | 14 | 8 | 50 | 217 | 40 | 13 | 5 | 57% | 3.6 | 14.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 4.37 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA | Altoona Curve | 14 | 8 | 50 | 217 | 40 | 13 | 5 | 57% | 3.6 | 18.4% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 2.3% | 4.32 | 3.58 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 3 | 83 | 366 | 77 | 42 | 6 | 8% | 2.2 | 17.6% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 4.45 | 4.11 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 3 | 83 | 366 | 77 | 42 | 6 | 8% | 2.2 | 21.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 1.6% | 4.45 | 3.70 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 64 | 274 | 72 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.8 | 22.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 3.53 | 4.05 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 64 | 274 | 72 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.8 | 26.3% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 2.2% | 3.53 | 3.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 38 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 39 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 37 | 0 | 39 | 166 | 39 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 36 | 0 | 38 | 161 | 37 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 35 | 0 | 36 | 154 | 35 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 60 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 62 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.12 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 82 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 119 | 43 | 342 | 1513 | 246 | 166 | 37 | 36% | 2.9 | 16.2% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 4.32 | 4.47 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 25 | 200 | 885 | 144 | 97 | 22 | 36% | 2.9 | 16.2% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 4.32 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Noe Toribio (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.48 | 23.1% | 13.4% | 114 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 79 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 78 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 77 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 76 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 76 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.41 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 368 | 76 |
| TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.63 | 23.7% | 8.7% | 4.4% | .317 | 3.95 | 22.5% | 14.7% | 87 | -0.68 | 3.36 | 432 | 76 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 76 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.65 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .319 | 4.96 | 18.4% | 6.6% | 242 | +0.31 | 4.39 | 353 | 75 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 75 |
| Stephen Perakslis R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.17 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 1.5% | .313 | 5.36 | 11.8% | 5.9% | 42 | +2.19 | 3.17 | 211 | 75 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 75 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 75 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 75 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 74 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 74 |
| Dylan King R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 74 |
| Jake Lyons R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 74 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 74 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 38 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 1.20 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |