Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres | 5 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 60% | 1.7 | 17.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 8.31 | 2.59 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres | 5 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 60% | 1.7 | 17.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 8.31 | 2.52 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 17 | 17 | 73 | 314 | 89 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 4.3 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 5.30 | 4.65 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 17 | 17 | 73 | 314 | 89 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 4.3 | 28.3% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 2.5% | 5.30 | 3.52 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 24 | 22 | 117 | 523 | 117 | 51 | 11 | 92% | 4.9 | 17.2% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.69 | 5.20 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 24 | 22 | 117 | 523 | 117 | 51 | 11 | 92% | 4.9 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 2.1% | 4.69 | 3.63 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 6 | 6 | 28 | 121 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 4.6 | 24.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 2.4% | 5.20 | 3.86 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 6 | 6 | 28 | 121 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 4.6 | 29.8% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 3.3% | 5.20 | 3.79 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 4 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 1.7 | 25.7% | 17.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 9.45 | 6.24 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 4 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 1.7 | 25.7% | 17.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 9.45 | 7.00 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 17 | 17 | 62 | 287 | 55 | 50 | 11 | 100% | 3.7 | 15.5% | 19.2% | -3.6% | 6.2% | 5.63 | 7.63 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 17 | 17 | 62 | 287 | 55 | 50 | 11 | 100% | 3.7 | 19.2% | 17.4% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.63 | 6.04 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 13 | 0 | 13 | 72 | 14 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 26.0% | -10.2% | 0.0% | 8.10 | 5.06 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 13 | 0 | 13 | 72 | 14 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 23.6% | -4.2% | 0.0% | 8.10 | 4.83 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | SD | 1 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 7.9 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SD | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SD | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.26 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 96 | 32 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 86 | 69 | 309 | 1393 | 257 | 197 | 52 | 80% | 3.6 | 18.4% | 14.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.42 | 5.40 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 45 | 200 | 903 | 167 | 128 | 34 | 80% | 3.6 | 18.4% | 14.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.42 | 5.40 | -0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reggie Lawson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.64 | 22.5% | 11.5% | 20 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Preston Johnson R 2024 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 77 |
| Connor Schultz R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 71 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 71 |
| Ariel Peña R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.93 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 5.94 | 19.9% | -5.7% | 21 | +2.01 | 3.91 | 223 | 70 |
| Jake Walkinshaw R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.11 | 16.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .244 | 3.82 | 15.6% | 4.1% | 68 | -0.29 | 2.20 | 286 | 69 |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.66 | 16.3% | 11.3% | 2.8% | .380 | 7.26 | 10.9% | 1.2% | 25 | +2.60 | 3.26 | 118 | 68 |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.14 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 470 | 67 |
| Brian Edgington R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 66 |
| Darien Smith R 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.67 | 19.0% | 12.9% | 2.8% | .212 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 102 | 65 |
| Mason Adams R 2024 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.23 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 254 | 65 |
| Sam Lewis R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 65 |
| Cody Anderson R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.36 | 18.9% | 7.5% | 3.5% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 279 | 65 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.89 | 17.6% | 12.4% | 1.3% | .211 | 4.90 | 16.9% | 9.7% | 230 | +1.01 | 3.89 | 250 | 65 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 64 |
| Chi Chi González R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.39 | 17.6% | 11.0% | 2.5% | .306 | 4.76 | 13.7% | 6.8% | 327 | +0.37 | 4.00 | 800 | 64 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 63 |
| Blake Beers R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 63 |
| Omar Bencomo R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | .333 | 4.43 | 14.9% | 10.1% | 186 | +0.05 | 3.67 | 381 | 62 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 62 |
| Markus Solbach R 2025 · 3.61 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.61 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.76 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 111 | +1.15 | 3.25 | 391 | 61 |