Reggie Lawson — OGILVIE

Reggie Lawson P San Antonio Missions

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 205 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.41

FIP5.41

K%20.4%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%4.0%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	5	3	9	41	7	3	0	60%	1.7	17.1%	7.3%	9.8%	0.0%	8.31	2.59	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	5	3	9	41	7	3	0	60%	1.7	17.1%	7.3%	9.8%	0.0%	8.31	2.52	—
2017	19	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	17	17	73	314	89	35	8	100%	4.3	21.0%	13.2%	7.8%	3.2%	5.30	4.73	—
2017	19	A RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	17	17	73	314	89	35	8	100%	4.3	28.3%	11.1%	17.2%	2.5%	5.30	3.52	—
2018	20	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	24	22	117	523	117	51	11	92%	4.9	17.2%	11.2%	6.0%	3.1%	4.69	4.79	—
2018	20	A+ RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	24	22	117	523	117	51	11	92%	4.9	22.4%	9.8%	12.6%	2.1%	4.69	3.63	—
2019	21	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	6	6	28	121	36	13	4	100%	4.6	24.1%	11.8%	12.3%	3.0%	5.20	4.19	—
2019	21	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	6	6	28	121	36	13	4	100%	4.6	29.8%	10.7%	19.0%	3.3%	5.20	3.79	—
2021	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	4	4	7	35	9	6	2	100%	1.7	25.7%	17.1%	8.6%	5.7%	9.45	6.24	—
2021	23	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	4	4	7	35	9	6	2	100%	1.7	25.7%	17.1%	8.6%	5.7%	9.45	7.00	—
2022	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	17	17	62	287	55	50	11	100%	3.7	15.5%	19.2%	-3.6%	5.3%	5.63	7.12	—
2022	24	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	17	17	62	287	55	50	11	100%	3.7	19.2%	17.4%	1.7%	3.8%	5.63	6.04	—
2024	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	13	0	13	72	14	17	0	0%	1.0	15.8%	26.0%	-10.2%	0.0%	8.10	5.06	—
2024	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	13	0	13	72	14	17	0	0%	1.0	15.8%	26.0%	-10.2%	0.0%	8.10	5.06	—
2024	26	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	13	0	13	72	14	17	0	0%	1.0	19.4%	23.6%	-4.2%	0.0%	8.10	4.83	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	SD	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	20.4%	16.4%	4.0%	2.9%	5.41	5.41	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SD	3	3	20	84	17	13	3	100%	6.7	20.4%	15.9%	4.5%	3.0%	5.38	5.43	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	SD	1	1	6	25	5	4	1	100%	6.0	20.4%	15.9%	4.5%	3.0%	5.38	5.43	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	6	26	5	4	1	100%	6.3	20.5%	15.9%	4.5%	3.0%	5.38	5.05	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	160	128	32	100%	6.0	20.5%	15.9%	4.5%	3.0%	5.38	5.05	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		86	69	309	1393	257	197	47	80%	3.6	18.4%	14.1%	4.3%	3.4%	5.42	5.19	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	45	200	903	167	128	31	80%	3.6	18.4%	14.1%	4.3%	3.4%	5.42	5.19	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reggie Lawson (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.41	20.4%	16.4%	2.9%	—	5.43	20.4%	4.5%	20	+0.02	—	—	—
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.84	19.6%	8.0%	114	-2.22	3.68	136	69
Vanny Valenzuela R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	28	SP	4.54	16.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.380	6.25	10.9%	1.2%	25	+1.71	3.26	118	68
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	19.3%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.96	3.02	341	64
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	64
Chi Chi González R 2020 · 4.61 FIP	28	SP-	4.61	17.6%	11.0%	2.9%	.306	4.85	13.5%	6.9%	327	+0.24	4.01	800	61
Jason García R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	28	SP-	4.76	17.7%	13.5%	2.6%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	356	61
Keyvius Sampson R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	26	SP-	5.08	19.6%	16.4%	2.8%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	61
Jayden Murray R 2023 · 5.97 FIP	26	SP-	5.97	16.4%	13.6%	4.6%	.385	3.87	20.2%	9.7%	122	-2.10	3.80	363	60
Alex Blackford R 2017 · 5.59 FIP	26	SP	5.59	14.9%	12.5%	4.0%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	229	58
Riley Thompson R 2023 · 5.81 FIP	27	SP-	5.81	17.8%	12.9%	4.7%	.284	4.53	17.0%	8.1%	107	-1.28	4.53	340	58
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	58
Brady Rodgers R 2019 · 5.44 FIP	28	SP-	5.44	14.7%	9.0%	4.4%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	1.98	354	58
Tyler Beede R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	28	SP	5.72	18.0%	18.9%	3.2%	.301	4.77	16.3%	5.8%	98	-0.95	3.79	776	58
Noah Bremer R 2023 · 5.82 FIP	27	SP	5.82	13.1%	11.9%	4.2%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	271	58
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	58
Carlos Pimentel R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SP	4.61	11.9%	12.5%	1.7%	.372	—	—	—	—	—	4.30	301	57
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	57
Chris Ellis R 2021 · 5.41 FIP	28	SP	5.41	19.6%	11.5%	4.6%	.274	6.19	11.8%	-1.3%	64	+0.78	3.84	780	57
Colin Rea R 2018 · 5.61 FIP	28	SP	5.61	17.6%	11.3%	4.7%	.344	4.14	17.7%	9.8%	198	-1.47	2.57	1,112	56
Johnny Hellweg R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	27	SP	5.43	8.9%	14.1%	2.4%	.370	2.98	20.2%	7.7%	27	-2.45	2.98	109	56