Ismael Mejia — OGILVIE

Ismael MejiaC DSL Arizona Black

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION131 act + 87 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .309 / .328

PA87

HR1

K%23

BB%7

BABIP309

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.7	$14M	+$13M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.8	$13M	+$13M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.8	$12M	+$12M
2035	Arb-1	$6M	+2.8	$11M	+$9M
2036	Arb-2	$9M	+2.7	$10M	+$7M
2037	Arb-3	$12M	+2.6	$9M	+$5M
Totals		$30M		$70M	+$59M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	53	7	2	0	0	6	13	0	3	0	132	220	170	390	38	175	22	10	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	49	8	2	0	0	10	9	0	3	0	163	305	204	509	41	200	15	17	254	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	ARI	—	131	115	38	8	0	2	9	26	7	0	1	330	412	452	864	122	414	20	7	358	132	+5	-0	+0	+2	+4	1.1
YTD	18	ROK	ARI	—	131	110	47	11	0	2	14	18	7	0	1	427	519	582	1.101	155	500	14	11	488	232	+20	-0	+0	+2	+4	2.6
ROS	18	ROK	ARI	0%	87	79	19	4	0	1	6	20	2	1	0	239	309	328	637	88	320	23	7	302	89	-1	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
ROS	18	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		323	—	—	287	77	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	ARI	—	131	116	38	8	0	2	9	26	7	0	1	328	412	448	860	121	409	20	7	358	132	+5	-0	+0	+2	+4	1.1
TOT	18	ROK	ARI	—	218	194	57	12	0	3	15	46	9	1	1	293	371	401	772	108	372	21	7	336	115	+4	-0	+0	+4	+6	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	ARI	34%	244	219	54	10	1	3	18	56	5	2	1	247	318	342	661	96	315	23	7	302	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2028	20	MLB	ARI	48%	371	332	84	16	2	6	28	84	8	3	1	253	326	367	694	114	315	23	8	309	94	-2	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.5
2029	21	MLB	ARI	54%	465	417	105	20	2	8	35	105	10	4	2	252	325	367	692	115	315	23	8	313	98	-1	+0	+0	+8	+13	2.1
2030	22	MLB	ARI	57%	520	464	117	22	2	10	40	117	11	4	2	252	326	373	699	121	316	22	8	317	101	+0	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2031	23	MLB	ARI	58%	520	464	119	22	2	11	40	116	11	4	2	256	330	384	714	127	316	22	8	320	103	+2	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.6
2032	24	MLB	ARI	57%	520	464	119	22	2	11	40	116	11	4	2	256	330	384	714	127	317	22	8	322	105	+3	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.7
2033	25	MLB	ARI	57%	520	464	119	22	2	11	40	116	11	4	2	256	330	384	714	127	317	22	8	323	106	+3	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2034	26	MLB	ARI	57%	520	464	120	22	2	12	40	116	11	4	2	259	332	392	724	134	317	22	8	324	106	+4	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2035	27	MLB	ARI	55%	520	463	119	22	2	12	41	116	11	4	2	257	332	391	723	134	317	22	8	324	106	+4	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2036	28	MLB	ARI	55%	520	463	118	22	2	11	41	117	11	4	2	255	330	382	712	127	317	22	8	323	106	+3	+0	-1	+9	+15	2.7
2037	29	MLB	ARI	53%	520	462	118	22	2	11	42	118	11	4	2	255	332	383	715	128	316	23	8	321	104	+2	+0	-1	+9	+15	2.6
2038	30	MLB	ARI	53%	520	462	118	22	2	11	42	119	11	4	1	255	332	383	715	128	315	23	8	319	102	+1	+0	-2	+9	+15	2.4
2039	31	MLB	ARI	52%	504	448	112	21	2	10	40	117	11	3	1	250	327	373	699	123	312	23	8	314	99	-1	+0	-3	+9	+14	2.0
2040	32	MLB	ARI	52%	489	437	106	19	2	9	39	115	10	2	1	243	319	357	676	114	309	24	8	309	94	-3	+0	-4	+9	+14	1.6
2041	33	MLB	ARI	52%	473	422	101	18	1	9	38	114	10	2	1	239	317	351	668	111	305	24	8	302	89	-6	+0	-4	+8	+13	1.2
2042	34	MLB	ARI	47%	430	384	88	15	1	7	34	106	9	1	0	229	307	328	635	99	299	25	8	293	82	-9	+0	-5	+8	+12	0.7
2027	19	MLB	ARI	34%	84	76	19	4	0	1	6	19	2	1	0	250	321	342	664	92	318	23	7	289	79	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2028	20	MLB	ARI	48%	180	161	41	8	1	3	13	41	4	2	1	255	326	373	699	118	318	23	7	295	84	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2029	21	MLB	ARI	54%	252	225	58	11	1	5	19	57	6	2	1	258	332	382	714	124	318	23	8	300	88	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2030	22	MLB	ARI	57%	294	264	67	13	1	6	22	66	6	3	1	254	325	379	704	125	318	22	7	304	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2031	23	MLB	ARI	58%	299	267	68	13	1	6	23	67	7	3	1	255	330	378	708	124	319	22	8	306	93	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2032	24	MLB	ARI	57%	296	265	68	13	1	6	23	66	6	3	1	257	330	381	711	125	320	22	8	309	94	-2	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2033	25	MLB	ARI	57%	295	264	69	13	1	7	23	66	6	3	1	261	334	398	732	136	320	22	8	310	95	-2	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.3
2034	26	MLB	ARI	57%	294	263	69	13	1	7	23	65	6	3	1	262	336	399	735	137	320	22	8	311	96	-1	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.3
2035	27	MLB	ARI	55%	289	258	68	13	1	7	23	64	6	2	1	264	338	403	741	140	320	22	8	311	96	-1	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.2
2036	28	MLB	ARI	55%	286	255	65	12	1	6	23	64	6	2	1	255	331	380	711	125	319	22	8	310	95	-2	+0	-0	+5	+8	1.2
2037	29	MLB	ARI	53%	278	248	64	12	1	6	22	63	6	2	1	258	333	387	720	129	318	23	8	308	94	-2	+0	-1	+5	+8	1.0
2038	30	MLB	ARI	53%	274	244	63	12	1	6	22	63	6	2	1	258	335	389	724	131	317	23	8	305	92	-3	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.9
2039	31	MLB	ARI	52%	263	234	59	11	1	5	21	61	6	2	1	252	330	372	701	120	315	23	8	301	89	-3	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.7
2040	32	MLB	ARI	52%	254	227	56	10	1	5	20	60	5	1	1	247	321	366	687	119	311	24	8	295	84	-5	-0	-2	+5	+7	0.5
2041	33	MLB	ARI	52%	245	219	53	9	1	5	19	59	5	1	0	242	317	361	678	119	307	24	8	289	79	-6	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.4
2042	34	MLB	ARI	47%	203	181	43	7	1	4	16	50	4	1	0	238	313	354	667	116	301	25	8	280	72	-6	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4086	3652	930	174	15	85	318	931	87	33	13	255	329	380	709	126	319	23	8	303	90	-46	+1	-10	+73	+116	13.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	148	28	2	14	51	148	14	5	2	255	330	382	712	127	318	23	8	303	90	-7	+0	-2	+12	+18	2.2
Career	—			—	7802	6961	1743	323	29	153	610	1781	164	57	24	250	325	371	696	121	314	23	8	315	99	-10	+2	-20	+139	+221	34.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	145	27	2	13	51	148	14	5	2	250	326	371	696	121	313	23	8	315	99	-1	+0	-2	+12	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	49	8	2	0	0	10	9	0	3	0	163	305	204	509	41	200	15	17	254	52	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Matt Wieterslast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,387 PA	11	4,387	146	9	250	313	411	+78	+81	30.0	28.4
	/162	664	22	1	250	313	411	+11.9	+12.2	4.5	pk7: 27
#2Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#3Carlos Ruizlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,069 PA	12	4,069	71	25	264	350	391	+73	+6	25.2	24.6
	/162	664	12	4	264	350	391	+11.9	+1.0	4.1	pk7: 24
#4Jordy Mercerlast yr '21 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,394 PA	9	3,394	66	13	257	315	387	+35	+50	17.0	16.7
	/162	664	13	3	257	315	387	+6.9	+9.8	3.3	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,182	83	32	253	324	375	+75	+36	18.8	14.8
	/162	664	13	5	253	324	375	+11.9	+5.7	3.0	pk7: 11
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#6Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ismael Mejia (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	293/371/401	108	372	3	1	21%	7%	115	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	42→44	37→45	47→60	37	197/271/278	80	298	4	8	33%	5%	53	-1.5	219/295/319	100	315	8	15	31%	6%	74	-0.1	224/303/332	108	321	10	20	31%	6%	76	+0.1
●Josmil Pinto 2007 · A	18	42→52	38→55	44→40	47	204/259/282	78	245	6	5	19%	7%	47	-1.9	204/266/305	101	247	8	4	20%	7%	57	-1.2	251/317/419	167	299	19	0	22%	8%	105	+1.7
●Ramón Urías 2012 · A	18	42→52	37→50	47→50	46	199/275/269	70	250	4	6	21%	6%	53	-1.5	210/273/284	74	251	4	6	17%	5%	55	-1.4	261/328/377	117	313	12	14	20%	5%	99	+1.0
✕Luis Alvarez 2008 · A	18	43	39→45	45	45	208/273/291	82	251	7	4	20%	6%	56	-1.3	229/300/339	110	282	10	5	21%	7%	81	+0.4	228/295/347	119	269	13	3	20%	6%	77	+0.0
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→60	48→55	45	217/278/318	101	276	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	233/279/390	157	315	18	19	31%	6%	85	+0.7	273/321/471	198	320	23	21	22%	6%	120	+2.5
●Thairo Estrada 2014 · A	18	44→54	39→55	48→55	41	210/265/306	95	269	5	9	23%	5%	56	-1.3	224/273/318	94	286	6	9	23%	5%	63	-0.9	280/334/443	164	322	19	21	19%	6%	118	+2.4
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
●Elvis Andrus 2006 · A	17	47→57	39→50	47→60	46	226/288/308	82	287	6	9	23%	7%	66	-0.6	232/281/307	75	309	4	22	25%	6%	63	-0.9	277/330/410	133	307	11	23	13%	7%	107	+2.4
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
●Jamie Westbrook 2014 · A	19	45→55	39→50	50→45	43	213/266/306	93	279	4	6	24%	6%	56	-1.3	226/266/334	108	276	10	7	21%	4%	64	-0.8	249/316/391	143	292	15	4	20%	7%	97	+1.2
●Mark Vientos 2018 · A	18	42→49	40→60	41→30	38	206/251/301	95	290	8	3	31%	5%	50	-1.8	204/254/325	121	276	14	3	30%	5%	57	-1.2	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→45	41→55	46→55	40	199/248/293	95	266	8	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	209/269/336	127	287	13	8	30%	7%	66	-0.6	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Edmundo Sosa 2014 · A	18	48→49	40→55	47→50	50	227/285/322	95	254	7	9	14%	7%	69	-0.4	218/265/304	86	270	6	8	21%	5%	56	-1.3	252/297/422	170	304	19	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→47	36→55	49→30	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	43	-2.2	204/277/283	79	275	6	5	26%	8%	56	-1.3	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4