Ismael Mejia — OGILVIE

Ismael MejiaC DSL Arizona Red

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION153 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .286 / .308

PA14

HR0

K%21

BB%7

BABIP301

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$48M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$9M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$21M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	49	8	2	0	0	10	9	0	3	0	163	305	204	509	41	200	15	17	254	58	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	53	7	2	0	0	6	13	0	3	0	132	220	170	390	38	170	22	10	184	11	-6	+1	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	53	7	2	0	0	6	13	0	3	0	132	220	170	390	38	175	22	10	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	49	8	2	0	0	10	9	0	3	0	163	305	204	509	41	200	15	17	254	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	53	7	2	0	0	6	13	0	3	0	132	220	170	390	38	170	22	10	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	53	7	2	0	0	6	13	0	3	0	132	220	170	390	38	170	22	10	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	ARI	—	153	132	30	7	0	1	11	36	10	4	2	227	333	303	636	76	305	24	7	278	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	ARI	—	153	126	37	10	0	1	17	25	10	4	2	294	418	397	815	103	360	16	11	377	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	ARI	0%	14	13	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	231	286	308	593	77	295	21	7	282	77	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	ARI	—	167	145	33	8	0	1	12	39	10	4	2	228	329	303	633	76	305	23	7	278	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	214	191	44	9	1	3	16	52	5	4	1	230	307	335	642	105	295	24	7	287	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2028	20	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	348	309	71	14	2	5	27	83	9	7	2	230	310	337	647	107	296	24	8	295	85	-6	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.9
2029	21	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	448	399	93	19	2	7	35	106	11	9	3	233	312	343	656	110	297	24	8	299	89	-6	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	519	460	109	22	2	9	41	121	13	10	3	237	317	352	669	115	298	23	8	303	91	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	ARI	58%	520	461	109	22	2	9	41	121	13	11	3	236	317	351	668	115	299	23	8	304	92	-5	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	520	461	110	22	2	10	41	121	13	11	3	239	318	360	679	121	299	23	8	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	520	461	110	22	2	10	41	121	13	11	3	239	318	360	679	121	299	23	8	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	520	461	110	22	2	10	41	121	13	11	3	239	318	360	679	121	299	23	8	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	520	460	110	22	2	10	42	121	13	11	3	239	320	361	681	122	299	23	8	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	520	460	110	22	2	10	42	122	13	10	3	239	320	361	681	122	299	23	8	306	93	-4	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	520	459	107	21	2	9	43	123	13	10	3	233	317	346	663	113	298	24	8	304	92	-5	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	520	459	107	21	2	9	43	124	13	10	3	233	317	346	663	113	297	24	8	301	90	-6	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	504	445	102	20	2	8	41	122	13	9	3	229	313	337	650	108	294	24	8	297	87	-8	+1	-3	+9	+11	1.0
2040	32	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	489	434	98	19	2	8	40	120	12	9	3	226	309	334	643	108	291	25	8	292	84	-10	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.7
2041	33	MLB MLE	ARI	58%	473	419	92	17	2	7	39	118	12	8	2	220	304	320	624	100	287	25	8	285	79	-12	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.4
2042	34	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	430	381	81	15	1	6	35	110	11	7	2	213	297	304	602	92	281	26	8	276	73	-14	+1	-5	+8	+9	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	74	66	15	3	0	1	6	18	2	1	0	227	311	318	629	91	301	24	8	273	81	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	169	150	35	7	1	2	13	40	4	3	1	233	311	333	645	100	303	24	8	279	85	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2029	21	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	243	216	51	11	1	4	19	57	6	5	1	236	315	352	667	116	303	23	8	284	89	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2030	22	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	294	262	62	13	1	5	23	69	7	6	2	237	315	351	666	115	304	23	8	287	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2031	23	MLB CTX	ARI	58%	299	265	64	13	2	5	24	70	8	6	2	242	323	362	685	121	305	23	8	289	92	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	296	263	64	13	2	5	23	69	8	6	2	243	323	365	688	122	306	23	8	291	93	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	295	262	63	13	2	5	23	68	8	6	2	240	321	363	683	122	306	23	8	291	94	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	294	261	62	13	1	5	23	68	8	6	2	238	318	352	671	115	305	23	8	292	94	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	289	257	61	13	1	5	23	67	7	6	2	237	317	354	671	117	305	23	8	292	94	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	286	254	61	13	1	5	23	67	7	6	2	240	320	358	679	118	305	23	8	291	93	-2	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.9
2037	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	278	246	58	12	1	5	23	66	7	5	2	236	319	354	672	118	304	24	8	289	92	-3	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.8
2038	30	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	274	242	58	12	1	5	23	65	7	5	2	240	324	360	683	120	303	24	8	286	90	-3	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2039	31	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	285	253	59	12	1	5	23	69	7	5	2	233	314	348	662	115	300	24	8	282	87	-4	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.6
2040	32	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	266	235	54	11	1	4	22	65	7	5	1	230	314	336	651	106	297	24	8	276	84	-5	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.4
2041	33	MLB CTX	ARI	58%	273	242	54	11	1	4	22	68	7	5	1	223	306	326	633	103	292	25	8	270	79	-7	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2042	34	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	229	202	44	8	1	3	19	59	6	4	1	218	304	312	616	94	286	26	8	261	73	-7	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4144	3676	865	178	18	68	332	985	106	80	25	235	317	349	666	114	302	24	8	284	88	-54	+6	-11	+74	+90	10.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	136	28	3	11	52	155	17	13	4	236	317	352	669	116	303	24	8	284	88	-9	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	7658	6786	1573	312	30	130	615	1822	190	151	43	232	313	344	657	112	296	24	8	299	88	-101	+12	-20	+136	+165	19.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	133	26	3	11	52	155	16	13	4	231	312	344	655	113	295	24	8	299	88	-9	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.4	4,228	72	82	233	312	346	+75	+40	14.1	11.2
/162	664	11	13	+11.9	+6.3	2.2	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ismael Mejia (OGILVIE)	18	48→53	30→35	48→53	54	221/302/305	84	295	1	2	25%	7%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	74	-0.5	234/279/310	76	290	3	12	19%	5%	66	-1.1	270/316/373	102	329	4	17	18%	5%	92	+0.5
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	82	-0.0	227/281/295	68	274	3	9	17%	6%	65	-1.2	245/328/327	82	296	5	2	17%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→45	55→45	57	230/329/297	67	301	2	9	22%	12%	84	+0.2	231/325/325	94	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.5	229/319/329	99	290	10	8	22%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	74	-0.6	226/277/349	123	297	11	12	27%	6%	76	-0.4	254/305/388	134	310	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Ivan Ramirez 2010 · A	18	50	38→40	50→40	43	235/293/316	81	288	5	5	20%	5%	74	-0.5	244/294/308	64	287	3	3	15%	6%	72	-0.7	263/310/310	48	297	2	1	12%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	74	-0.6	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	63	-1.4	183/236/245	62	242	4	19	25%	4%	36	-1.1
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→45	52→55	46	204/259/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	53	-2.1	228/282/303	75	268	3	15	15%	6%	67	-1.1	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	77	-0.3	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	59	-1.7	214/269/283	68	275	5	4	23%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Samad Taylor 2017 · A	19	45→54	38→45	50→65	42	214/266/292	78	290	4	10	27%	6%	58	-1.7	192/258/286	94	273	6	18	30%	7%	55	-2.0	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	66	-1.1	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	87	+0.4	246/316/336	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	88	+0.4	234/303/348	114	293	12	10	23%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Mikey Edie 2015 · A	18	48	37→30	47→50	45	227/308/301	74	283	5	13	20%	6%	78	-0.3	214/275/269	55	304	2	15	29%	5%	57	-1.8	194/246/238	44	286	1	12	31%	3%	36	-1.2
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	50→58	37→45	50	49	234/297/309	75	303	3	13	23%	8%	74	-0.6	243/310/336	93	291	7	13	18%	9%	85	+0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	71	-0.8	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	47	-2.5	278/317/371	94	319	8	6	15%	4%	95	+0.7
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	74	-0.5	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	55	-2.0	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	26	-1.1
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	49→55	38→45	51→60	51	232/298/315	83	281	5	13	18%	8%	76	-0.4	230/288/333	103	317	10	30	29%	7%	76	-0.4	238/295/340	102	321	10	39	28%	7%	77	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps