Victor Marquez — OGILVIE

Victor MarquezC DSL Pirates Gold

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION77 act + 51 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .292 / .287

PA51

HR1

K%27

BB%10

BABIP264

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$8M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.7	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.6	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$20M		$45M	+$38M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	134	109	19	2	0	3	18	44	2	14	0	174	302	275	578	101	242	33	13	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	134	99	22	3	0	3	28	30	2	14	0	222	403	343	747	121	271	22	21	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	PIT	—	77	61	11	1	0	0	9	20	6	5	0	180	342	197	539	16	262	26	12	246	46	-5	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
YTD	18	ROK	PIT	—	77	56	13	1	0	0	14	14	6	5	0	232	434	250	684	18	302	18	18	342	120	+2	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.6
ROS	18	ROK	PIT	0%	51	45	9	1	0	1	5	14	1	2	0	199	292	287	579	88	275	27	10	272	66	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	18	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		273	—	—	253	52	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	PIT	—	77	62	11	1	0	0	9	20	6	5	0	177	342	194	536	16	256	26	12	246	46	-5	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK	PIT	—	128	106	20	2	0	1	14	34	7	7	0	188	322	235	557	47	263	26	11	256	54	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	PIT	34%	202	175	36	5	1	3	20	54	5	5	1	206	305	297	602	91	277	27	10	279	72	-6	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2028	20	MLB	PIT	48%	339	295	64	10	2	6	33	88	8	9	1	217	312	325	638	108	280	26	10	287	78	-9	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.9
2029	21	MLB	PIT	54%	443	387	83	13	2	8	43	114	10	12	1	214	309	320	630	106	282	26	10	292	81	-9	+2	+0	+8	+13	1.3
2030	22	MLB	PIT	57%	516	448	98	15	2	10	51	131	12	14	2	219	315	328	643	109	283	25	10	295	84	-10	+2	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2031	23	MLB	PIT	58%	520	452	98	15	2	10	51	132	12	14	2	217	313	325	638	108	283	25	10	296	85	-9	+2	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2032	24	MLB	PIT	57%	520	452	99	15	2	10	51	131	12	14	2	219	315	327	642	108	284	25	10	298	86	-8	+2	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2033	25	MLB	PIT	57%	520	452	99	15	2	10	51	131	12	14	2	219	315	327	642	108	284	25	10	298	86	-8	+2	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2034	26	MLB	PIT	57%	520	451	100	15	2	11	52	131	12	14	2	222	318	337	655	115	284	25	10	298	87	-8	+2	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2035	27	MLB	PIT	55%	520	451	99	15	2	11	52	131	12	14	2	220	317	335	651	115	284	25	10	298	87	-8	+2	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2036	28	MLB	PIT	55%	520	450	98	15	2	10	53	132	12	14	2	218	317	327	643	109	283	25	10	297	86	-8	+2	-1	+9	+15	1.7
2037	29	MLB	PIT	53%	520	450	98	15	2	10	53	133	12	13	2	218	317	327	643	109	282	26	10	296	84	-9	+2	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2038	30	MLB	PIT	53%	520	450	98	15	2	10	53	134	12	13	2	218	317	327	643	109	281	26	10	293	82	-10	+2	-2	+9	+15	1.4
2039	31	MLB	PIT	52%	504	437	93	14	2	9	51	132	11	12	2	213	311	316	626	103	278	26	10	289	79	-12	+2	-3	+9	+14	1.0
2040	32	MLB	PIT	56%	489	425	88	13	2	8	50	130	11	11	1	207	307	304	610	96	275	27	10	283	75	-14	+2	-4	+9	+14	0.7
2041	33	MLB	PIT	59%	473	412	84	12	2	8	48	128	10	10	1	204	302	301	603	97	271	27	10	277	70	-16	+2	-4	+8	+13	0.3
2042	34	MLB	PIT	54%	435	379	74	10	2	6	44	121	9	9	1	195	294	280	574	84	266	28	10	269	64	-18	+1	-5	+8	+12	-0.1
2043	35	MLB	PIT	50%	372	324	61	8	1	5	37	106	8	8	1	188	287	265	553	77	260	28	10	260	57	-18	+1	-6	+7	+11	-0.5
2027	19	MLB	PIT	34%	69	60	12	2	0	1	7	18	2	2	0	200	304	283	588	83	276	26	10	262	59	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB	PIT	48%	164	143	31	5	1	3	16	43	4	4	1	217	313	329	642	112	278	26	10	269	64	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2029	21	MLB	PIT	54%	240	209	45	7	1	4	24	62	5	6	1	215	311	316	627	100	280	26	10	274	68	-9	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2030	22	MLB	PIT	57%	292	254	56	9	1	6	29	74	7	8	1	220	317	335	652	114	281	25	10	277	70	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2031	23	MLB	PIT	58%	299	261	57	9	1	6	29	76	7	8	1	218	313	330	643	111	282	25	10	279	71	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2032	24	MLB	PIT	57%	296	258	57	9	1	6	29	75	7	8	1	221	316	333	650	112	283	25	10	280	72	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2033	25	MLB	PIT	57%	295	257	56	9	1	6	29	74	7	8	1	218	314	331	645	113	283	25	10	281	73	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2034	26	MLB	PIT	57%	294	256	56	9	1	6	29	74	7	8	1	219	315	332	647	113	283	25	10	281	73	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2035	27	MLB	PIT	55%	289	251	54	8	1	6	29	73	7	8	1	215	314	327	640	112	282	25	10	281	73	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2036	28	MLB	PIT	55%	286	248	54	8	1	6	29	73	7	8	1	218	317	331	648	113	282	26	10	280	72	-9	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.5
2037	29	MLB	PIT	53%	278	242	52	8	1	5	28	71	6	7	1	215	312	318	630	103	281	26	10	278	71	-9	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2038	30	MLB	PIT	53%	274	238	51	8	1	5	28	71	6	7	1	214	312	319	632	105	280	26	10	275	69	-10	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.3
2039	31	MLB	PIT	52%	263	228	48	7	1	5	27	69	6	6	1	211	310	316	626	105	277	26	10	271	66	-10	+1	-1	+5	+7	0.1
2040	32	MLB	PIT	56%	275	239	49	7	1	5	28	73	6	6	1	205	304	305	609	100	274	27	10	266	62	-12	+1	-2	+5	+8	-0.0
2041	33	MLB	PIT	59%	279	243	49	7	1	4	28	76	6	6	1	202	300	288	588	86	270	27	10	260	57	-14	+1	-2	+5	+8	-0.2
2042	34	MLB	PIT	54%	237	206	41	5	1	4	24	66	5	5	1	199	298	291	589	92	265	28	10	252	51	-13	+1	-3	+4	+7	-0.4
2043	35	MLB	PIT	50%	186	162	31	4	1	3	18	53	4	4	0	191	288	284	572	93	259	28	10	244	45	-12	+1	-3	+3	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4316	3756	799	121	16	81	431	1121	99	109	15	213	310	318	628	105	279	26	10	273	67	-162	+16	-14	+77	+122	4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	120	18	2	12	65	169	15	16	2	212	310	314	624	102	279	26	10	273	67	-24	+2	-2	+12	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	8118	7044	1498	223	32	149	816	2117	183	216	27	213	310	317	627	104	280	26	10	289	79	-188	+32	-25	+145	+230	19.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	121	18	3	12	65	169	15	17	2	215	312	321	633	106	282	26	10	289	79	-15	+3	-2	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	134	99	22	3	0	3	28	30	2	14	0	222	403	343	747	121	271	22	21	340	118	+3	+3	—	—	+4	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,428	81	112	215	308	321	+72	+40	11.4	9.3
	/162	664	12	17	215	308	321	+10.9	+6.0	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Marquez (OGILVIE)	18	33→38	37→42	59→64	70	188/322/235	47	263	1	7	26%	11%	54	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→49	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	54	-1.4	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	47	-1.9	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	45→46	38→45	55→60	46	212/281/288	76	301	6	19	30%	8%	59	-1.1	193/251/266	73	311	6	18	37%	7%	40	-2.4	212/279/312	100	297	8	33	29%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	44	38→40	51→60	58	207/313/298	91	265	4	12	22%	12%	76	+0.1	218/305/301	83	307	6	23	28%	10%	73	-0.1	216/305/292	77	301	7	32	28%	10%	68	-0.2
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	38→40	55→60	45	206/289/290	83	281	5	13	27%	8%	63	-0.8	190/255/255	65	322	4	20	39%	6%	40	-2.4	197/270/275	78	320	7	32	37%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	48→40	38→45	56→55	45	226/283/308	82	272	4	16	18%	5%	64	-0.8	211/271/311	100	265	9	15	23%	6%	61	-1.0	208/271/326	118	246	13	18	21%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→40	55→45	58	230/334/299	69	299	2	9	22%	12%	85	+0.7	231/326/326	95	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.9	220/314/312	92	279	9	9	22%	11%	79	+0.1
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→50	58→50	55	210/300/285	75	268	4	16	22%	11%	66	-0.6	232/290/328	96	308	7	11	25%	7%	72	-0.2	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	45→46	39→50	51→55	53	209/310/290	81	290	7	9	27%	11%	73	-0.1	209/281/326	117	306	11	14	33%	8%	69	-0.4	230/282/341	111	315	10	15	29%	6%	69	-0.3
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→35	40→45	55	45	230/305/328	98	330	7	18	30%	8%	80	+0.4	188/317/307	119	267	12	20	31%	11%	83	+0.6	183/337/342	159	234	19	21	28%	12%	99	+0.8
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→30	52→50	46	204/257/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	46	-2.0	230/283/304	74	270	3	15	15%	6%	63	-0.9	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	48→49	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/308	87	276	3	15	20%	12%	79	+0.3	223/313/311	88	314	5	21	27%	11%	79	+0.3	222/315/321	99	301	8	23	26%	12%	81	+0.2
✕Andruw Monasterio 2015 · A	18	46→55	35→45	55	46	215/270/274	59	269	2	16	20%	6%	50	-1.8	204/258/265	61	260	2	11	21%	6%	43	-2.2	246/325/351	106	317	10	23	24%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Cristofer Torin 2023 · A	18	49→50	35→40	53→50	59	226/322/293	67	276	2	19	17%	12%	79	+0.3	217/296/292	75	270	5	14	20%	9%	66	-0.6	221/293/314	93	267	7	10	19%	8%	68	-0.4