Victor Marquez

C DSL Pirates Black

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#817ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Pirates B…	134	.222/.403/.343	3	14	53	—	.150/.295/.224
2026	18	ROKDSL Pirates B…	137	.220/.418/.250	0	12	45	—	.148/.313/.167
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBPIT	247	.217/.307/.295	2	6	75	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPIT	43	.221/.311/.306	0	1	79	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPIT	108	.224/.314/.317	1	3	83	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%95

Z-Con%94

K%86

BB%82

Chase%79

Speed54

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCristofer Torin (age 19) · Nacho Alvarez Jr. (age 20) · Alexander Albertus (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 71 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .304 / .292

PA71

HR1

K%25

BB%10

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$35M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE77

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	134	99	22	3	0	3	28	30	2	14	0	222	403	343	747	121	271	22	21	340	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	137	100	22	3	0	0	28	19	6	12	1	220	418	250	668	30	265	14	20	328	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	134	107	16	2	0	2	20	37	2	14	0	150	295	224	519	75	188	28	15	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	137	108	16	2	0	0	20	23	6	12	1	148	313	167	480	19	177	17	15	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	134	107	16	2	0	2	20	37	2	14	0	150	295	224	519	75	194	28	15	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	134	99	22	3	0	3	28	30	2	14	0	222	403	343	747	121	271	22	21	340	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	137	108	16	2	0	0	20	23	6	12	1	148	313	167	480	19	184	17	15	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	137	100	22	3	0	0	28	19	6	12	1	220	418	250	668	30	265	14	20	328	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	134	111	16	2	0	2	20	37	2	14	0	144	295	216	511	72	188	28	15	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	137	110	16	2	0	0	20	23	6	12	1	145	313	164	477	18	177	17	15	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	134	111	16	2	0	2	20	37	2	14	0	144	295	216	511	72	188	28	15	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	137	110	16	2	0	0	20	23	6	12	1	145	313	164	477	18	177	17	15	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	247	217	46	7	1	2	25	62	3	6	1	217	307	295	602	78	290	25	10	278	75	-7	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	125	110	24	4	1	1	12	31	2	3	1	221	311	308	619	87	291	25	10	285	79	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	223	196	44	7	1	3	22	54	3	6	1	225	314	319	633	95	292	24	10	290	83	-5	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	22	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	336	295	67	11	2	5	33	81	5	9	2	227	316	328	645	101	293	24	10	295	86	-6	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.9
2031	23	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	413	363	83	13	2	7	41	99	6	11	2	230	318	336	654	106	294	24	10	298	88	-6	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	445	392	92	15	3	8	44	106	6	12	2	232	319	342	661	111	295	24	10	301	90	-5	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	445	392	92	15	3	8	44	106	6	12	2	232	319	343	662	112	295	24	10	301	90	-5	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	445	392	91	15	3	8	44	106	6	12	2	232	319	344	663	112	295	24	10	301	90	-5	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	445	392	90	15	2	8	44	107	6	12	2	231	318	341	659	110	294	24	10	300	89	-6	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	445	392	89	14	2	8	44	108	6	11	2	229	316	336	652	107	293	24	10	297	87	-7	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	445	392	88	14	2	7	44	109	6	11	2	226	313	330	643	103	292	24	10	293	85	-8	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	445	393	88	14	2	7	43	111	6	10	2	223	309	321	631	98	290	25	10	289	82	-10	+1	-2	+8	+10	0.7
2039	31	MLB MLE	PIT	60%	426	377	82	13	2	6	41	108	5	8	3	219	305	311	616	93	287	25	10	283	77	-11	+0	-3	+8	+9	0.3
2040	32	MLB MLE	PIT	61%	407	360	77	12	2	5	39	105	5	7	3	214	299	299	598	85	283	26	10	275	72	-13	+0	-4	+7	+9	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	43	38	7	1	0	0	4	11	1	1	0	221	311	306	617	85	292	26	9	284	79	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	108	94	21	3	1	1	11	26	2	3	1	224	314	317	630	93	293	24	10	289	83	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	182	159	37	6	1	3	18	44	3	5	1	227	316	326	641	99	294	24	10	293	86	-3	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	234	206	47	8	1	4	23	56	3	6	1	229	317	333	650	104	295	24	10	297	88	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	252	221	51	9	1	4	25	60	4	7	1	231	318	339	657	108	295	24	10	299	90	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	251	220	51	9	1	4	25	60	4	7	1	231	318	340	658	109	295	24	10	300	90	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	251	220	51	9	1	4	25	60	4	7	1	231	318	340	658	109	295	24	10	300	90	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	247	218	49	8	1	4	24	59	3	7	1	230	317	337	654	107	294	24	10	298	89	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	244	215	49	8	1	4	24	59	3	6	1	228	315	333	648	105	293	24	10	296	87	-4	+1	-0	+4	+5	0.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	238	210	48	8	1	4	23	58	3	6	1	225	312	326	639	101	292	24	10	292	85	-4	+1	-1	+4	+5	0.5
2038	30	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	254	224	50	8	1	4	25	63	3	6	1	222	309	318	627	96	290	25	10	287	82	-6	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	PIT	60%	254	225	48	8	1	3	24	64	3	5	2	218	304	309	613	90	287	25	9	281	77	-7	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	PIT	61%	249	220	46	7	1	3	24	64	3	5	2	213	298	297	595	84	283	26	10	274	72	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2807	2470	555	92	12	42	275	684	39	71	14	225	312	323	635	98	292	24	10	292	83	-51	+9	-6	+50	+61	6.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	129	21	3	10	64	158	9	16	3	226	314	325	639	100	292	24	10	292	83	-12	+2	-1	+12	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5387	4724	1052	168	27	84	542	1309	77	152	27	223	313	323	636	100	288	24	10	291	83	-93	+15	-10	+91	+111	11.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	126	20	3	10	65	158	9	18	3	221	311	319	630	98	286	24	10	291	83	-12	+2	-1	+12	+14	1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Pirates Black · 137 PAwOBA .327 → .235 (−92)K% 13.9% → 16.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.87%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	16.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.44%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	14.41%
HBP% /PA	4.38%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	3.09%
Singles /BIP	23.46%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.990	×1.008	15.91%
Doubles /BIP	3.70%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.990	×1.008	2.22%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.990	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .327 → .235; ISO .030 → .020; BABIP .265 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Pirates Black · 134 PAwOBA .343 → .247 (−96)K% 22.4% → 27.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.39%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	27.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.90%	÷0.987	×0.700	—	×1.022	15.15%
HBP% /PA	1.49%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	1.07%
Singles /BIP	23.19%	÷1.004	×0.680	×1.033	×1.022	16.58%
Doubles /BIP	4.35%	÷0.972	×0.600	×1.033	×1.022	2.83%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.019	×0.600	×1.033	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.35%	÷0.931	×0.470	—	×1.022	2.24%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 104, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .343 → .247; ISO .121 → .073; BABIP .271 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	2.5	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
/162	664	14	9	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Mike Fitzgerald'83-'92 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	48	31	234*	320*	372*	+43	-1	9.5	9.3
/162	664	12	8	+10.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.3	2,879	46	72	227	311	330	+51	+32	8.6	7.4
/162	664	11	17	+11.9	+7.4	2.0	pk7: 6
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Jake Gibbs'63-'71 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	25	28	244*	299*	362*	+32	+0	5.4	5.4
/162	664	9	10	+11.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Marquez (OGILVIE)	19	50→55	32→37	60→65	77	215/304/292	77	290	1	2	25%	10%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2024 · A	19	45→36	39→40	55→60	56	209/320/298	89	285	6	19	26%	12%	82	-0.0	221/297/305	84	297	7	25	26%	9%	74	-0.6	206/283/289	83	268	8	31	25%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	50→54	36→45	60→55	50	229/296/300	71	270	2	24	15%	7%	72	-0.7	231/278/311	80	292	4	22	21%	5%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	47	40→45	60→65	53	222/313/322	100	267	5	29	18%	9%	84	+0.1	234/309/354	120	293	11	18	23%	8%	90	+0.6	231/312/342	111	292	7	11	21%	9%	84	+0.0
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2009 · A	19	44→54	37→45	58→60	48	208/269/282	74	252	4	24	19%	7%	57	-1.8	242/293/325	83	287	5	28	16%	6%	75	-0.5	278/316/373	95	318	7	16	14%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	48	37→45	53→50	53	218/293/303	85	243	3	11	12%	7%	72	-0.7	240/312/325	85	281	5	9	16%	7%	84	+0.1	232/299/348	116	287	12	10	23%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Ryan Brett 2012 · A	20	48→58	40→45	57→60	47	227/276/330	103	266	5	18	16%	6%	70	-0.8	251/295/355	104	308	7	26	20%	5%	83	+0.1	266/307/374	108	325	8	30	20%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Dameury Pena 2024 · A	18	49→59	36→30	53→55	51	226/285/298	73	256	2	16	13%	7%	67	-1.1	228/286/308	80	252	6	15	12%	7%	70	-0.9	241/299/311	70	264	6	18	11%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2

Victor Marquez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps