Stiven Marinez — OGILVIE

Stiven MarinezSS DSL NYY Yankees

Age 18 L/R 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION250 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP278

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$84M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE80

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$6M	+1.9	$8M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$11M	+1.9	$8M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$15M	+1.7	$6M	+$1M
Totals		$35M		$50M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	160	44	7	3	1	41	46	2	22	6	275	429	375	804	100	374	22	20	370	137	+9	+2	—	—	+4	1.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	175	35	5	2	1	26	66	2	22	6	200	310	269	579	69	299	32	13	263	64	-9	+2	—	—	+4	-0.2
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	175	35	5	2	1	26	66	2	22	6	200	310	269	579	69	309	32	13	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	160	44	7	3	1	41	46	2	22	6	275	429	375	804	100	374	22	20	370	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	175	35	5	2	1	26	66	2	22	6	200	310	269	579	69	299	32	13	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	175	35	5	2	1	26	66	2	22	6	200	310	269	579	69	299	32	13	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	NYY	—	250	215	50	6	5	6	26	45	7	39	7	233	335	391	725	158	265	18	10	315	99	-0	+5	+0	+3	+5	1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	NYY	—	250	200	63	8	7	8	41	31	7	39	7	315	448	545	993	230	337	12	16	433	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	NYY	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		277	20	10	304	92	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	NYY	—	260	224	51	6	5	6	27	47	7	40	7	228	329	379	709	152	260	18	10	315	99	-0	+5	-0	+3	+6	1.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	NYY	43%	298	261	60	9	4	6	30	64	5	11	2	230	321	364	685	134	278	21	10	309	95	-2	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.9
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYY	61%	413	361	84	13	5	9	42	87	7	13	2	233	324	371	696	139	281	21	10	314	99	-1	+2	-1	+4	+9	1.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	NYY	68%	498	437	103	16	6	12	50	104	8	14	3	236	325	382	707	146	282	21	10	318	102	+1	+2	-1	+5	+11	1.8
2030	22	MLB MLE	NYY	71%	556	486	116	18	6	14	56	115	9	15	3	239	328	387	715	148	283	21	10	321	104	+2	+2	-1	+6	+12	2.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	NYY	72%	596	520	126	20	7	15	61	123	10	15	3	242	333	394	728	152	284	21	10	323	105	+4	+2	-1	+6	+13	2.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	NYY	72%	621	541	131	21	7	16	64	127	11	15	3	242	334	396	730	153	285	20	10	325	106	+5	+2	-1	+7	+13	2.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYY	71%	631	550	133	21	7	16	65	129	11	15	3	242	334	393	727	151	285	20	10	326	107	+5	+2	-1	+7	+14	2.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	NYY	71%	637	555	133	21	7	16	66	130	11	15	3	240	332	389	721	150	285	20	10	326	107	+5	+2	-2	+7	+14	2.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	NYY	70%	636	554	133	21	7	16	66	130	11	15	3	240	333	390	723	150	285	20	10	326	107	+5	+2	-2	+7	+14	2.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	NYY	69%	630	548	132	21	7	16	66	130	11	15	3	241	334	392	727	151	284	21	10	326	106	+5	+2	-2	+7	+14	2.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	NYY	73%	620	539	129	20	7	16	65	129	11	14	3	239	333	391	725	152	284	21	10	324	105	+4	+2	-3	+7	+13	2.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	NYY	76%	609	530	125	20	6	15	64	128	10	13	2	236	329	381	711	145	283	21	11	321	104	+3	+2	-4	+7	+13	2.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	NYY	78%	595	517	121	19	6	14	63	127	10	12	2	234	329	375	704	141	281	21	11	317	101	+1	+2	-4	+6	+13	1.8
2040	32	MLB MLE	NYY	79%	576	500	116	18	6	13	61	125	10	11	2	232	327	370	697	138	278	22	11	312	97	-2	+1	-5	+6	+12	1.4
2041	33	MLB MLE	NYY	80%	547	476	108	16	6	12	57	122	9	10	2	227	321	361	682	134	274	22	10	306	93	-5	+1	-5	+6	+12	0.9
2042	34	MLB MLE	NYY	76%	499	436	94	13	5	10	52	114	8	9	2	216	310	337	648	122	269	23	10	298	88	-7	+1	-6	+5	+11	0.4
2043	35	MLB MLE	NYY	71%	443	387	81	11	4	8	46	105	7	7	1	209	305	320	625	111	264	24	10	288	81	-10	+1	-7	+5	+10	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	NYY	43%	129	113	27	4	2	3	13	27	2	5	1	239	328	389	718	150	280	21	10	301	95	-1	+1	-0	+1	+3	0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYY	61%	251	220	52	8	3	6	25	53	4	8	1	236	325	382	707	145	282	21	10	306	99	-0	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.9
2029	21	MLB CTX	NYY	68%	339	296	71	11	4	9	34	71	6	10	2	240	330	395	726	155	284	21	10	310	102	+1	+1	-1	+4	+7	1.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	NYY	71%	395	345	82	13	4	10	40	82	7	10	2	238	329	386	715	148	285	21	10	313	104	+2	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	NYY	72%	431	377	92	15	5	12	44	89	7	11	2	244	334	406	740	162	286	21	10	315	105	+3	+1	-1	+5	+9	1.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	NYY	72%	444	388	94	15	5	12	45	91	8	11	2	242	333	399	733	157	286	20	10	317	106	+3	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYY	71%	449	392	95	15	5	12	46	92	8	11	2	242	334	398	732	156	286	20	10	318	107	+4	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	NYY	71%	452	394	95	15	5	12	47	92	8	11	2	241	334	396	730	155	286	20	10	318	107	+4	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	NYY	70%	442	385	94	15	5	12	46	90	8	11	2	244	337	403	740	158	286	20	10	318	107	+4	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.9
2036	28	MLB CTX	NYY	69%	433	378	92	15	5	12	45	89	7	10	2	243	335	405	740	161	286	21	10	317	106	+3	+1	-2	+5	+9	1.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	NYY	73%	452	393	95	15	5	12	48	94	8	10	2	242	336	397	733	155	285	21	11	315	105	+3	+1	-2	+5	+10	1.7
2038	30	MLB CTX	NYY	76%	462	402	96	15	5	12	49	97	8	10	2	239	333	391	724	152	284	21	11	313	104	+2	+1	-3	+5	+10	1.6
2039	31	MLB CTX	NYY	78%	463	403	96	15	5	12	49	99	8	10	2	238	333	390	722	151	282	21	11	309	101	+1	+1	-3	+5	+10	1.4
2040	32	MLB CTX	NYY	79%	456	397	92	14	5	11	48	99	8	9	2	232	327	375	702	144	279	22	11	304	97	-1	+1	-4	+5	+10	1.1
2041	33	MLB CTX	NYY	80%	438	382	86	13	4	10	46	98	7	8	2	225	320	359	678	134	276	22	11	297	93	-4	+1	-4	+5	+9	0.7
2042	34	MLB CTX	NYY	76%	377	329	72	10	4	8	39	86	6	7	1	219	313	347	659	128	271	23	10	289	88	-6	+1	-5	+4	+8	0.3
2043	35	MLB CTX	NYY	71%	315	274	58	8	3	6	33	75	5	5	1	212	308	328	636	117	265	24	10	280	81	-7	+1	-5	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6728	5868	1389	216	74	171	697	1424	115	157	30	237	329	386	716	149	283	21	10	309	100	+9	+19	-35	+72	+146	21.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	135	21	7	17	67	138	11	15	3	238	330	390	720	152	284	21	10	309	100	+1	+2	-3	+7	+14	2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	9620	8382	1961	303	105	225	1001	2057	161	242	48	234	327	376	703	142	282	21	10	317	100	+13	+27	-48	+101	+204	30.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	132	20	7	15	68	139	11	16	3	233	327	373	700	140	282	21	10	317	100	+1	+2	-3	+7	+14	2.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	11.1	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
/162	664	17	8	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#2Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#3Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#4B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	10.4	6,930	163	161	235	325	378	+69	+18	28.7	22.1
/162	664	16	15	+6.6	+1.7	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Jason Kipnislast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,984 PA	7.5	4,984	126	136	260	333	416	+18	-11	22.6	21.9
/162	664	17	18	+2.4	-1.4	3.0	pk7: 21
#6Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	7.7	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
/162	664	20	11	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stiven Marinez (OGILVIE)	18	20→46	25→41	55→58	80	223/317/348	125	277	4	15	22%	10%	92	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	55	216/324/330	114	293	8	18	27%	12%	91	+0.6	237/321/380	143	308	13	20	25%	10%	100	+1.3	237/324/389	152	306	14	21	25%	10%	100	+0.9
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51	43→50	50→55	51	244/315/357	114	300	9	14	21%	9%	92	+0.7	228/318/325	97	308	8	17	26%	11%	86	+0.3	228/320/369	141	283	16	24	24%	11%	94	+0.8
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→60	41→50	49→50	58	237/329/342	104	299	8	10	22%	12%	94	+0.9	248/333/382	134	332	12	14	26%	11%	104	+1.6	244/329/380	136	317	13	15	25%	11%	100	+1.3
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	52→60	40→50	48→55	57	247/331/355	109	280	6	11	14%	10%	98	+1.2	235/295/332	97	297	6	18	22%	5%	79	-0.2	260/325/413	154	312	16	25	21%	5%	105	+1.5
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	45→37	40	52→60	57	212/316/313	100	269	5	12	21%	12%	83	+0.1	225/310/312	87	311	7	23	27%	10%	80	-0.1	226/313/303	78	310	7	32	27%	10%	77	-0.1
●Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	69	-0.9	218/303/296	78	282	4	15	22%	9%	74	-0.5	257/357/385	127	281	12	19	12%	12%	112	+2.1
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	47→51	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/307	86	277	4	15	20%	12%	81	-0.1	224/315/307	83	317	4	21	27%	12%	81	-0.1	223/313/312	89	304	7	28	26%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	49→56	39→45	51→45	51	232/296/328	96	272	5	7	16%	8%	78	-0.3	222/288/298	76	282	5	5	21%	8%	68	-1.0	258/330/364	106	310	10	6	19%	9%	97	+0.8
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→45	55→45	57	230/329/297	67	301	2	9	22%	12%	84	+0.2	231/325/325	94	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.5	229/319/329	99	290	10	8	22%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	35→30	52→60	54	219/315/281	62	294	3	16	24%	11%	76	-0.4	215/296/270	55	306	2	18	27%	9%	65	-1.2	232/319/263	31	312	0	30	23%	9%	71	-0.4
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	50→58	37→45	50	49	234/297/309	75	303	3	13	23%	8%	74	-0.6	243/310/336	93	291	7	13	18%	9%	85	+0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
●Trent Grisham 2016 · A	19	49	38→60	56→55	48	230/300/314	84	311	4	19	26%	8%	76	-0.4	198/281/285	87	301	6	16	32%	10%	63	-1.3	240/327/432	192	284	22	14	23%	10%	111	+1.7
✕Abraham Almonte 2007 · A	18	41→51	45→55	54→55	54	205/293/332	127	260	12	26	25%	11%	79	-0.2	208/266/308	100	276	8	19	26%	7%	62	-1.4	228/326/410	182	278	20	11	24%	12%	106	+1.0
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	47	38→40	50→60	51	221/294/308	87	285	4	13	23%	9%	73	-0.6	208/298/278	70	288	3	18	26%	11%	68	-1.0	213/291/276	63	314	3	36	30%	10%	62	-0.7
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	71	-0.8	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	47	-2.5	278/317/371	94	319	8	6	15%	4%	95	+0.7
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	65	-1.2	190/247/308	118	273	11	8	33%	7%	55	-1.9	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	52	40→45	50	57	243/333/344	100	295	6	10	18%	11%	96	+1.0	217/286/295	78	282	3	7	22%	8%	67	-1.1	202/252/280	79	255	0	6	20%	6%	47	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps