Stiven Marinez — OGILVIE

Stiven MarinezSS DSL NYY Bombers

Age 18 L/R 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK HR +8%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 4.3 · 2034

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .295 / .320

PA174

HR3

K%30

BB%10

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗46

PWR

25↗41

SPD

55↗58

FLD

40↗53

EYE

66↗80

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.5peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.9	$37M	+$36M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+4.2	$41M	+$40M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+4.3	$44M	+$43M
2035	Arb-1	$9M	+4.3	$45M	+$36M
2036	Arb-2	$14M	+4.2	$45M	+$31M
2037	Arb-3	$20M	+3.9	$43M	+$23M
Totals		$47M		$255M	+$209M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	205	174	35	5	2	1	27	67	2	22	6	.201	.315	.270	.585	.069	.315	33	13	.264	60	-9	+2	+0	+2	+6	0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	NYY	174	152	32	6	1	3	18	52	2	3	1	.211	.302	.322	.625	.112	.289	30	10	.283	75	-5	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	NYY	257	224	52	9	2	6	28	73	3	6	2	.232	.325	.371	.696	.138	.303	28	11	.306	92	-2	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.8
2028	20	MLB 28%	NYY	382	331	77	13	2	9	43	105	5	10	3	.233	.330	.366	.695	.133	.309	27	11	.318	102	+1	+1	-1	+4	+11	1.6
2029	21	MLB 48%	NYY	475	411	97	16	3	13	55	126	6	13	3	.236	.335	.384	.719	.148	.310	27	12	.326	108	+4	+1	-1	+5	+13	2.3
2030	22	MLB 65%	NYY	541	463	112	19	3	15	65	141	8	14	3	.242	.345	.393	.738	.151	.310	26	12	.332	112	+8	+2	-1	+6	+15	3.0
2031	23	MLB 86%	NYY	586	501	124	21	4	18	72	150	8	15	3	.248	.351	.413	.764	.166	.310	26	12	.338	117	+11	+2	-1	+6	+17	3.5
2032	24	MLB	NYY	615	524	130	22	4	19	77	155	9	15	3	.248	.354	.414	.768	.166	.310	25	13	.342	120	+14	+2	-1	+7	+17	3.9
2033	25	MLB	NYY	632	537	133	22	4	20	81	158	9	15	3	.248	.356	.415	.771	.168	.311	25	13	.345	122	+16	+2	-1	+7	+18	4.2
2034	26	MLB	NYY	640	543	135	22	4	21	83	160	9	15	3	.249	.357	.420	.777	.171	.312	25	13	.347	124	+17	+2	-2	+7	+18	4.3
2035	27	MLB	NYY	640	543	134	22	4	20	83	161	9	15	3	.247	.356	.413	.768	.166	.312	25	13	.347	124	+17	+2	-2	+7	+18	4.3
2036	28	MLB	NYY	635	538	133	22	4	20	83	161	9	15	3	.247	.357	.414	.772	.167	.311	25	13	.346	123	+16	+2	-2	+7	+18	4.2
2037	29	MLB	NYY	625	529	130	21	4	20	82	160	9	14	2	.246	.356	.414	.770	.168	.310	26	13	.344	121	+15	+2	-3	+7	+18	3.9
2038	30	MLB	NYY	615	521	127	21	4	19	81	160	8	13	2	.244	.354	.409	.763	.165	.309	26	13	.341	119	+13	+2	-4	+7	+17	3.6
2039	31	MLB	NYY	600	508	121	20	3	18	79	158	8	12	1	.238	.350	.396	.745	.157	.308	26	13	.337	116	+11	+2	-4	+6	+17	3.3
2040	32	MLB	NYY	582	493	116	19	3	17	76	157	8	11	0	.235	.347	.389	.736	.154	.306	27	13	.332	112	+8	+2	-5	+6	+16	2.9
2041	33	MLB	NYY	552	468	108	17	3	15	72	152	7	11	0	.231	.342	.376	.718	.145	.305	28	13	.327	108	+5	+2	-6	+6	+16	2.4
2042	34	MLB	NYY	505	428	97	15	3	13	66	144	6	10	0	.227	.338	.367	.705	.140	.303	29	13	.320	103	+2	+2	-6	+5	+14	1.8
2043	35	MLB	NYY	448	381	83	13	2	11	58	132	6	9	0	.218	.330	.349	.679	.131	.301	29	13	.312	97	-1	+2	-7	+5	+13	1.1
2044	36	MLB	NYY	387	330	71	11	2	9	49	118	5	8	0	.215	.326	.342	.668	.127	.298	30	13	.303	90	-4	+2	-7	+4	+11	0.5
2045	37	MLB	NYY	322	274	58	9	2	7	41	101	4	7	0	.212	.323	.336	.659	.124	.294	31	13	.294	83	-6	+1	-8	+3	+9	-0.0
2046	38	MLB	NYY	252	216	43	6	1	5	31	81	3	5	0	.199	.308	.306	.614	.106	.289	32	12	.283	75	-7	+1	-8	+3	+7	-0.5
2047	39	MLB	NYY	178	152	29	4	1	3	22	58	2	4	0	.191	.301	.289	.591	.099	.283	33	12	.272	67	-7	+1	-9	+2	+5	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10848	9241	2177	355	65	302	1372	2930	145	262	41	.236	.343	.386	.729	.151	.309	27	13	.328	109	+115	+36	-80	+116	+307	50.5
/ 162G	—			650	554	130	21	4	18	82	176	9	16	2	.235	.343	.384	.727	.150	.309	27	13	.328	109	+7	+2	-5	+7	+18	3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	205	160	44	7	3	1	41	46	2	22	6	.275	.429	.375	.804	.100	.374	22	20	.370	141	+10	+2	—	—	+6	1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stiven Marinez (OGILVIE)	18	20→46	25→41	55→58	80	.207/.295/.320	.113	.289	3	3	30%	10%	75	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	51	.218/.295/.314	.096	.275	8	8	22%	9%	72	-0.2	.225/.288/.359	.134	.280	15	4	24%	8%	80	+0.4	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→52	43→50	52→55	54	.219/.321/.336	.117	.295	9	17	27%	11%	89	+1.0	.230/.314/.374	.144	.298	13	20	25%	10%	95	+1.4	.229/.316/.381	.152	.296	15	21	26%	10%	95	+0.9
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→59	41→50	50	56	.236/.325/.340	.104	.299	8	10	22%	12%	91	+1.1	.251/.334/.388	.137	.334	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	.247/.330/.386	.139	.319	14	15	25%	10%	103	+1.9
✕Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	50→44	42→40	50→55	51	.242/.315/.355	.113	.299	9	14	21%	9%	90	+1.0	.231/.320/.328	.097	.309	8	16	25%	11%	86	+0.8	.218/.319/.316	.098	.293	9	21	26%	12%	80	+0.2
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	42	42→45	50→30	47	.200/.281/.306	.106	.296	9	6	33%	10%	64	-0.8	.208/.272/.296	.088	.261	6	3	21%	7%	56	-1.3	.212/.269/.300	.089	.261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	.211/.278/.300	.089	.298	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	.194/.251/.313	.119	.273	11	7	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	39→41	42→50	53→55	44	.191/.270/.293	.102	.283	10	11	34%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.283/.318	.119	.317	11	15	37%	9%	69	-0.4	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
★Geraldo Perdomo 2018 · A	18	44→54	35→45	48→55	58	.202/.300/.259	.057	.257	3	12	21%	12%	61	-1.0	.220/.306/.290	.070	.279	3	17	20%	10%	70	-0.3	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	57→50	55	.211/.299/.288	.077	.267	4	15	21%	11%	67	-0.5	.229/.289/.320	.091	.303	6	11	25%	7%	70	-0.3	.255/.302/.371	.117	.316	8	12	21%	6%	85	+0.5
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	44→46	38→45	46→50	44	.204/.277/.282	.078	.314	6	9	34%	9%	56	-1.3	.209/.295/.306	.097	.329	7	14	35%	9%	70	-0.3	.219/.297/.335	.116	.314	10	18	31%	8%	75	+0.0
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	.228/.289/.349	.121	.291	8	9	24%	7%	77	+0.1	.249/.303/.399	.150	.321	15	8	26%	6%	97	+1.5	.288/.348/.497	.209	.353	27	29	25%	7%	136	+3.8
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	53→52	38→45	51→50	54	.246/.334/.327	.081	.326	6	14	24%	11%	92	+1.2	.211/.307/.286	.075	.348	4	12	35%	12%	70	-0.3	.200/.298/.277	.076	.341	4	13	38%	12%	61	-0.5
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	49→58	37→45	50	48	.231/.293/.308	.076	.300	4	13	23%	8%	69	-0.4	.243/.308/.337	.094	.291	8	13	18%	8%	82	+0.5	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	44	39→40	50→60	57	.208/.311/.297	.090	.266	5	12	22%	12%	75	-0.0	.220/.309/.303	.083	.307	6	23	27%	10%	76	+0.0	.224/.312/.299	.075	.311	7	32	27%	10%	72	-0.1
●Trent Grisham 2016 · A	19	49→48	38→60	55	48	.229/.299/.313	.084	.311	4	18	26%	8%	72	-0.2	.199/.282/.286	.087	.299	6	16	32%	10%	59	-1.1	.238/.325/.431	.194	.282	22	14	23%	10%	110	+1.9
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→50	41→45	52→50	47	.214/.293/.319	.105	.323	8	13	34%	10%	72	-0.2	.209/.310/.338	.129	.295	15	12	31%	12%	85	+0.7	.208/.302/.326	.118	.280	14	14	29%	11%	76	+0.1
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	47→56	41→45	56→70	47	.226/.290/.328	.102	.300	7	17	26%	8%	72	-0.2	.218/.270/.316	.098	.284	7	16	24%	6%	60	-1.0	.260/.332/.371	.111	.354	9	50	27%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→50	57→50	40	.222/.271/.344	.122	.287	10	14	26%	5%	69	-0.4	.224/.289/.328	.104	.294	9	12	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.212/.286/.306	.093	.292	9	9	28%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	40	40→45	46→45	47	.186/.285/.282	.096	.298	8	6	36%	11%	61	-1.0	.184/.262/.261	.077	.294	6	6	36%	9%	44	-2.1	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Abraham Almonte 2007 · A	18	42→52	45→55	54→55	53	.207/.294/.332	.125	.264	12	24	26%	11%	76	+0.1	.204/.263/.305	.101	.268	9	19	26%	7%	55	-1.4	.232/.330/.424	.192	.279	22	11	24%	12%	111	+1.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)