Stiven Marinez — OGILVIE

Stiven MarinezSS DSL NYY Yankees

Age 18 L/R 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION148 act + 98 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .304 / .342

PA98

HR2

SB6

K%23

BB%10

BABIP271

ISO125

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE80

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$13M	+$13M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.6	$13M	+$13M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.7	$13M	+$12M
2034	Arb-1	$6M	+2.8	$12M	+$10M
2035	Arb-2	$9M	+2.8	$11M	+$8M
2036	Arb-3	$13M	+2.6	$10M	+$5M
Totals		$31M		$72M	+$60M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	174	35	5	2	1	27	67	2	22	6	201	315	270	585	69	315	33	13	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	160	44	7	3	1	41	46	2	22	6	275	429	375	804	100	374	22	20	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	NYY	—	148	129	29	3	3	4	16	27	3	25	3	225	324	388	712	163	255	18	11	309	95	-1	+4	+0	+2	+4	0.9
YTD	18	ROK	NYY	—	148	119	36	4	4	5	26	19	3	25	3	303	439	529	969	227	326	13	18	427	185	+14	+4	+0	+2	+4	2.4
ROS	18	ROK	NYY	0%	98	87	19	3	1	2	10	23	1	6	1	217	304	342	646	125	276	23	10	294	83	-2	+1	-0	+1	+3	0.3
ROS	18	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	287	78	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	NYY	—	148	130	29	3	3	4	16	27	3	25	3	223	324	385	709	162	253	18	11	309	95	-1	+4	+0	+2	+4	0.9
TOT	18	ROK	NYY	—	246	216	48	6	4	6	26	50	4	31	4	222	316	369	685	148	261	20	11	303	90	-3	+5	-0	+3	+7	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	NYY	43%	283	248	55	8	3	5	29	65	4	9	1	222	313	339	652	117	280	23	10	301	89	-4	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.8
2028	20	MLB	NYY	61%	401	351	79	12	4	8	41	91	6	12	2	225	317	350	667	125	282	23	10	307	93	-3	+2	-1	+4	+11	1.4
2029	21	MLB	NYY	68%	489	429	99	15	5	11	50	110	7	13	2	231	321	366	687	135	284	22	10	311	96	-2	+2	-1	+5	+14	1.8
2030	22	MLB	NYY	71%	551	481	114	18	6	13	57	123	8	14	2	237	328	380	708	143	285	22	10	314	99	-1	+2	-1	+6	+16	2.2
2031	23	MLB	NYY	72%	593	518	122	19	6	14	61	132	9	15	2	236	327	376	703	141	286	22	10	316	100	+0	+2	-1	+6	+17	2.4
2032	24	MLB	NYY	72%	619	541	128	20	6	15	64	137	9	15	2	237	327	379	706	142	286	22	10	318	101	+1	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.6
2033	25	MLB	NYY	71%	629	550	129	20	6	15	65	139	9	15	2	235	325	375	700	140	286	22	10	318	102	+1	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.7
2034	26	MLB	NYY	71%	636	556	133	21	7	16	66	140	9	15	2	239	330	388	718	149	286	22	10	319	102	+1	+2	-2	+7	+18	2.8
2035	27	MLB	NYY	70%	635	554	129	20	6	15	67	140	9	15	2	233	325	372	697	139	286	22	11	319	102	+2	+2	-2	+7	+18	2.8
2036	28	MLB	NYY	74%	630	549	128	20	6	15	67	140	9	15	2	233	326	373	700	140	286	22	11	318	101	+1	+2	-2	+7	+18	2.6
2037	29	MLB	NYY	77%	620	540	127	20	6	15	66	139	9	14	2	235	328	378	706	143	285	22	11	316	100	+0	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.4
2038	30	MLB	NYY	78%	609	530	123	19	6	14	65	138	9	13	2	232	326	370	696	138	284	23	11	314	98	-1	+2	-4	+7	+17	2.1
2039	31	MLB	NYY	80%	595	518	118	18	6	13	63	137	9	12	2	228	322	361	683	133	282	23	11	310	95	-3	+2	-4	+6	+17	1.8
2040	32	MLB	NYY	80%	576	502	112	17	5	12	61	135	8	12	2	223	317	349	666	125	279	23	11	305	91	-6	+2	-5	+6	+16	1.4
2041	33	MLB	NYY	82%	546	475	104	15	5	11	58	131	8	10	1	219	314	341	655	122	276	24	11	298	86	-8	+2	-5	+6	+15	0.9
2042	34	MLB	NYY	77%	499	436	93	13	5	9	53	123	7	9	1	213	308	328	636	115	271	25	11	290	80	-11	+1	-6	+5	+14	0.4
2043	35	MLB	NYY	73%	443	388	80	11	4	8	46	112	6	8	1	206	300	317	617	111	265	25	10	281	73	-13	+1	-7	+5	+13	-0.1
2044	36	MLB	NYY	64%	382	335	66	8	3	6	39	100	5	6	1	197	290	293	583	96	260	26	10	272	66	-15	+1	-7	+4	+11	-0.6
2027	19	MLB	NYY	43%	122	106	24	4	1	2	13	28	2	4	1	226	322	340	662	113	281	23	11	294	83	-2	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.3
2028	20	MLB	NYY	61%	244	214	50	8	3	5	25	56	3	7	1	234	322	369	691	136	284	23	10	299	87	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.7
2029	21	MLB	NYY	68%	333	291	68	11	3	8	34	75	5	9	1	234	324	375	699	141	285	23	10	303	90	-4	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.0
2030	22	MLB	NYY	71%	392	343	80	13	4	9	40	88	6	10	1	233	324	373	697	140	286	22	10	306	92	-3	+2	-1	+4	+11	1.3
2031	23	MLB	NYY	72%	429	376	89	14	4	11	44	95	6	11	2	237	326	383	709	146	287	22	10	308	94	-3	+1	-1	+5	+12	1.4
2032	24	MLB	NYY	72%	443	387	93	15	5	11	46	98	7	11	2	240	332	390	722	150	288	22	10	309	95	-3	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.5
2033	25	MLB	NYY	71%	448	392	94	15	5	11	46	99	7	11	2	240	330	388	718	148	288	22	10	310	95	-2	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.6
2034	26	MLB	NYY	71%	452	395	94	15	5	11	47	100	7	11	2	238	330	385	714	147	288	22	10	310	96	-2	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.6
2035	27	MLB	NYY	70%	442	386	91	14	4	11	46	98	7	11	2	236	328	378	706	142	287	22	10	310	96	-2	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.6
2036	28	MLB	NYY	74%	468	408	97	15	5	12	50	104	7	11	2	238	331	387	718	150	287	22	11	310	95	-3	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.6
2037	29	MLB	NYY	77%	476	415	98	15	5	12	51	107	7	11	2	236	330	383	713	147	286	22	11	308	94	-3	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.5
2038	30	MLB	NYY	78%	477	416	97	15	5	11	51	108	7	10	1	233	327	373	700	139	285	23	11	305	92	-4	+2	-3	+5	+14	1.3
2039	31	MLB	NYY	80%	473	413	95	15	4	11	50	109	7	10	1	230	323	366	689	136	283	23	11	302	89	-6	+2	-3	+5	+13	1.1
2040	32	MLB	NYY	80%	463	404	91	14	4	10	49	108	7	9	1	225	320	354	674	129	281	23	11	296	85	-8	+1	-4	+5	+13	0.8
2041	33	MLB	NYY	82%	448	392	86	13	4	9	47	107	6	8	1	219	312	342	654	122	277	24	10	290	80	-10	+1	-5	+5	+13	0.4
2042	34	MLB	NYY	77%	387	338	73	10	4	8	41	95	5	7	1	216	310	340	650	124	272	25	11	282	74	-11	+1	-5	+4	+11	0.0
2043	35	MLB	NYY	73%	323	282	59	8	3	6	34	82	4	6	1	209	303	323	626	113	266	25	11	273	67	-12	+1	-5	+3	+9	-0.3
2044	36	MLB	NYY	64%	244	214	42	5	2	4	25	64	3	4	1	196	289	294	584	98	261	26	10	264	60	-11	+0	-5	+3	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7064	6173	1421	219	70	162	739	1621	103	161	25	230	323	367	690	137	285	23	10	301	88	-94	+22	-40	+76	+200	16.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	130	20	6	15	68	149	9	15	2	229	321	364	685	136	283	23	10	301	88	-9	+2	-4	+7	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	10039	8762	1993	302	98	218	1055	2322	143	250	38	227	320	359	679	131	283	23	11	308	94	-72	+35	-55	+108	+284	30.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	129	20	6	14	68	150	9	16	2	228	319	358	677	131	283	23	10	308	94	-5	+2	-4	+7	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	160	44	7	3	1	41	46	2	22	6	275	429	375	804	100	374	22	20	370	141	+10	+2	—	—	+6	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#2Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	13	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
	/162	664	18	5	233	301	384	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	14	7,255	160	165	229	318	363	+71	+19	24.7	19.4
	/162	664	15	15	229	318	363	+6.5	+1.7	2.3	pk7: 14
#3Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	11	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
	/162	664	13	19	256	330	390	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stiven Marinez (OGILVIE)	18	20→46	25→41	55→58	80	222/316/369	148	261	6	31	20%	11%	90	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→50	58→50	55	210/300/285	75	268	4	16	22%	11%	66	-0.6	232/290/328	96	308	7	11	25%	7%	72	-0.2	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51→42	43→45	51→55	52	244/320/360	116	300	9	14	21%	9%	94	+1.3	228/320/325	97	311	8	17	26%	11%	85	+0.7	226/320/360	134	289	14	26	25%	12%	91	+0.8
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	49→53	39→45	51→45	51	232/297/329	97	272	5	7	16%	8%	76	+0.0	218/285/291	73	279	5	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	257/332/370	113	311	11	7	20%	9%	99	+1.0
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→59	41→50	49→50	58	241/333/346	105	301	8	10	21%	12%	96	+1.5	249/334/387	138	332	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	244/330/384	140	317	13	15	25%	11%	101	+1.8
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	48→49	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/308	87	276	3	15	20%	12%	79	+0.3	223/313/311	88	314	5	21	27%	11%	79	+0.3	222/315/321	99	301	8	23	26%	12%	81	+0.2
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	44	38→40	51→60	58	207/313/298	91	265	4	12	22%	12%	76	+0.1	218/305/301	83	307	6	23	28%	10%	73	-0.1	216/305/292	77	301	7	32	28%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→49	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	54	-1.4	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	47	-1.9	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	35→30	52→60	54	219/315/281	62	294	3	16	24%	11%	72	-0.2	215/296/270	55	306	2	18	27%	9%	61	-1.0	232/319/263	31	312	0	30	23%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→58	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	73	-0.1	221/273/317	96	291	7	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
●Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→54	42→55	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	77	+0.1	195/265/303	108	302	7	13	35%	8%	56	-1.3	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	53	39→40	51→50	54	247/334/327	80	325	6	15	24%	11%	92	+1.2	210/306/286	76	353	4	12	36%	12%	69	-0.4	219/305/313	93	356	7	15	36%	11%	72	-0.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	47→46	38→40	50→55	52	219/294/304	85	285	4	13	23%	10%	68	-0.5	206/296/277	71	288	3	18	26%	11%	63	-0.8	200/290/257	57	280	2	27	26%	11%	54	-0.7
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	52→55	47	210/291/312	102	321	7	14	34%	10%	70	-0.3	212/314/339	127	299	15	12	31%	12%	88	+0.9	207/304/326	119	281	14	14	29%	11%	78	+0.2