Stiven Marinez

SS DSL NYY Yankees

Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP40OGV rank#388ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	205	.275/.429/.375	1	22	58	—	.175/.305/.222
2026	18	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	250	.315/.448/.545	8	39	73	—	.193/.306/.311
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBNYY	360	.215/.298/.311	4	10	75	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBNYY	64	.220/.304/.328	1	2	80	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBNYY	146	.224/.308/.340	2	4	84	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$4M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed99

wOBA91

ISO90

K%90

wRC+85

Whiff%69

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsHector Osorio (age 19) · Kevyn Castillo (age 19) · Marco Vargas (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 137 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .296 / .308

PA137

HR2

K%24

BB%9

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$8M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$11M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	160	44	7	3	1	41	46	2	22	6	275	429	375	804	100	374	22	20	370	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	250	200	63	8	7	8	41	31	7	39	7	315	448	545	993	230	337	12	16	433	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	171	30	4	2	0	30	56	2	22	6	175	305	222	528	47	250	27	15	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	250	212	41	5	4	4	28	38	7	39	7	193	306	311	618	118	209	15	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	171	30	4	2	0	30	56	2	22	6	175	305	222	528	47	256	27	15	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	160	44	7	3	1	41	46	2	22	6	275	429	375	804	100	374	22	20	370	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	250	213	41	5	4	4	28	38	7	39	7	192	306	310	616	117	214	15	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	250	200	63	8	7	8	41	31	7	39	7	315	448	545	993	230	337	12	16	433	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	171	30	4	2	0	30	56	2	22	6	175	305	222	528	47	250	27	15	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	250	213	41	5	4	4	28	38	7	39	7	192	306	310	616	117	209	15	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	205	171	30	4	2	0	30	56	2	22	6	175	305	222	528	47	250	27	15	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	250	213	41	5	4	4	28	38	7	39	7	192	306	310	616	117	209	15	11	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	360	319	69	11	4	4	34	87	4	10	2	215	298	311	609	96	280	24	9	279	75	-11	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	185	163	37	6	2	3	18	44	2	5	1	219	304	325	628	105	282	24	10	286	80	-4	+1	-1	+2	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	302	266	59	9	3	5	29	72	4	8	2	223	307	336	643	113	284	24	10	292	84	-6	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	NYY	54%	401	355	80	13	4	7	38	94	5	10	2	226	310	344	654	118	285	23	9	296	87	-6	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	462	409	94	15	5	9	44	108	6	11	2	228	312	351	663	123	286	23	10	299	89	-6	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	502	444	103	17	5	10	47	117	6	12	2	230	313	356	669	126	287	23	9	302	90	-6	+2	+1	+5	+11	1.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	526	464	106	17	5	10	50	122	7	13	3	230	313	357	670	126	287	23	10	302	91	-6	+1	+1	+6	+11	1.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	538	475	110	18	5	11	51	125	7	13	3	230	313	356	669	126	287	23	9	302	91	-6	+1	+1	+6	+12	1.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	539	476	110	18	5	11	51	126	7	12	3	229	312	354	666	125	286	23	9	301	90	-7	+1	+1	+6	+12	1.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	536	474	108	18	5	10	51	127	6	11	2	227	310	349	659	122	286	24	10	298	88	-8	+1	+1	+6	+12	1.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	523	463	104	17	5	9	49	125	6	10	2	225	308	343	651	118	285	24	9	295	86	-9	+1	-0	+6	+11	0.9
2038	30	MLB MLE	NYY	57%	511	452	101	16	5	9	48	124	6	9	2	222	304	336	640	114	283	24	9	290	83	-11	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.6
2039	31	MLB MLE	NYY	60%	494	440	95	15	4	8	46	122	5	8	3	218	299	326	626	108	280	25	9	284	79	-13	+0	-2	+5	+11	0.2
2040	32	MLB MLE	NYY	61%	473	422	90	14	4	7	43	119	5	7	4	213	294	315	608	101	277	25	9	277	74	-15	-0	-2	+5	+10	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	64	57	13	2	1	1	6	15	1	2	0	220	304	328	633	108	282	23	9	288	80	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	146	129	29	5	2	2	14	35	2	4	1	224	308	340	648	116	284	24	10	294	84	-3	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	NYY	54%	217	191	43	7	2	4	21	51	3	5	1	227	311	349	660	122	285	24	10	298	87	-3	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	262	232	53	8	3	5	25	61	3	6	1	229	313	356	669	127	286	23	10	302	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	284	251	58	9	3	6	27	66	4	7	1	231	314	361	675	130	287	23	10	304	90	-3	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	297	263	61	10	3	6	28	69	4	7	1	231	314	362	676	131	287	23	9	305	91	-3	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	304	268	62	10	3	6	29	71	4	7	1	231	314	362	676	131	287	23	10	304	91	-3	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	299	265	61	10	3	6	28	70	4	7	1	230	313	359	672	129	287	23	9	303	90	-4	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	294	261	60	10	3	6	28	69	3	6	1	228	311	354	666	126	286	23	10	300	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	280	249	56	9	3	5	26	67	3	6	1	226	308	348	657	122	285	24	9	297	86	-5	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2038	30	MLB CTX	NYY	57%	292	260	58	9	3	5	27	71	3	5	1	223	305	340	645	117	283	24	9	292	83	-6	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	NYY	60%	294	262	58	9	3	5	27	72	3	5	2	219	300	331	631	112	280	24	9	286	79	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	NYY	61%	290	259	55	9	2	4	26	73	3	4	2	214	294	318	613	104	277	25	9	279	74	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3323	2947	667	107	34	61	312	790	40	71	14	226	309	348	657	121	287	24	9	297	84	-57	+9	-1	+36	+72	6.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	131	21	7	12	61	155	8	14	3	227	310	351	661	123	289	24	9	297	84	-11	+2	-0	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6584	5808	1294	206	64	115	636	1552	83	194	45	223	308	340	648	117	282	24	10	293	84	-106	+14	-2	+66	+133	10.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	127	20	6	11	63	153	8	19	4	222	307	335	643	113	281	24	10	293	84	-11	+1	-0	+7	+14	1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 250 PAwOBA .425 → .276 (−150)K% 12.4% → 15.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.40%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	15.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.40%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	11.42%
HBP% /PA	2.80%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.95%
Singles /BIP	23.67%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.970	×0.995	15.53%
Doubles /BIP	4.73%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.970	×0.995	2.74%
Triples /BIP	4.14%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.970	×0.995	2.40%
Home runs /BIP	4.73%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	2.21%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .425 → .276; ISO .230 → .127; BABIP .337 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL NYY Bombers · 205 PAwOBA .366 → .254 (−111)K% 22.4% → 27.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.44%	÷0.997	×1.220	—	—	27.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.00%	÷0.966	×0.700	—	×1.008	14.59%
HBP% /PA	0.98%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.69%
Singles /BIP	28.95%	÷0.985	×0.680	×0.996	×1.008	20.05%
Doubles /BIP	6.14%	÷1.019	×0.600	×0.996	×1.008	3.63%
Triples /BIP	2.63%	÷0.961	×0.600	×0.996	×1.008	1.65%
Home runs /BIP	0.88%	÷1.090	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.38%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 97, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 99, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .366 → .254; ISO .100 → .059; BABIP .374 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Alex Gonzalez'94-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,528 PA	8.3	5,528	137	97	232*	290*	379*	+55	+6	8.3	10.0
/162	664	16	12	+6.6	+0.8	1.0	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.2	3,459	61	75	226	305	344	+37	+11	8.0	7.0
/162	664	12	14	+7.1	+2.1	1.5	pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Stiven Marinez (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	213/296/308	95	280	2	4	24%	9%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hector Osorio 2024 · A	19	44	35→45	51→50	62	200/321/262	62	245	2	15	17%	13%	76	-0.4	216/319/308	92	262	8	12	19%	11%	84	+0.1	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Marco Vargas 2024 · A	19	45→46	37→40	50→60	57	208/302/289	81	267	4	13	22%	12%	72	-0.7	214/295/280	66	304	3	25	27%	10%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2024 · A	19	47→46	36→45	51→55	59	218/319/284	66	282	2	16	21%	12%	78	-0.3	220/304/299	79	303	4	13	26%	10%	75	-0.5	214/298/296	82	295	5	16	27%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	35→44	42→50	53→55	51	176/278/284	108	252	10	16	32%	11%	63	-1.3	209/288/321	112	322	10	16	35%	9%	74	-0.5	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	40→46	40→45	50→55	58	188/306/284	96	264	6	16	28%	14%	74	-0.5	205/300/295	90	282	5	20	26%	11%	74	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2024 · A	19	45→36	39→40	55→60	56	209/320/298	89	285	6	19	26%	12%	82	-0.0	221/297/305	84	297	7	25	26%	9%	74	-0.6	206/283/289	83	268	8	31	25%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	50→54	37→40	51→50	59	233/335/302	69	298	4	15	21%	12%	88	+0.4	212/309/287	75	349	4	12	35%	12%	75	-0.5	225/310/326	101	351	8	14	35%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2024 · A	19	40→43	40→45	50→60	54	191/279/282	92	228	7	12	19%	10%	62	-1.4	201/284/307	106	276	10	23	29%	9%	70	-0.8	195/276/301	106	276	11	32	31%	9%	63	-0.9
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	48	38→40	50	60	221/321/305	85	261	4	10	16%	12%	83	+0.1	203/276/272	69	258	3	7	20%	9%	58	-1.7	170/226/236	67	206	0	6	17%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Dario Laverde 2024 · A	19	46→34	37→40	52→30	50	214/292/297	83	279	3	11	23%	9%	70	-0.9	207/268/284	77	295	4	4	29%	7%	57	-1.8	196/254/265	68	282	4	0	30%	6%	45	-1.6
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3

Stiven Marinez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps