Jubrayker Salaya

Jubrayker Salaya P ACL Cubs

Age 19 RHP 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%22.7%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%10.6%

ROS IP28

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	1	0	2	7	2	0	0	0%	2.0	28.6%	0.0%	28.6%	0.0%	4.50	0.69	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	1	0	2	7	2	0	0	0%	2.0	28.6%	0.0%	28.6%	0.0%	4.50	0.69	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	1	0	2	7	2	0	0	0%	2.0	28.6%	0.0%	28.6%	0.0%	4.50	1.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	16	10	39	175	46	24	1	62%	2.5	18.3%	16.8%	1.5%	0.8%	6.18	4.12	—
YTD	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	16	10	39	175	46	24	1	62%	2.5	18.3%	16.8%	1.5%	0.8%	6.18	4.12	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	CHC	12	6	28	125	34	15	1	50%	2.3	27.2%	12.0%	15.2%	0.8%	6.11	2.76	—
2026	19	A RAW	CHC	4	4	11	50	12	9	0	100%	2.8	24.0%	18.0%	6.0%	0.0%	6.35	3.35	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CHC	9	9	40	171	40	19	5	100%	4.5	23.2%	11.0%	12.2%	2.9%	4.58	4.52	+0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	CHC	4	4	20	84	20	9	2	100%	5.0	23.2%	11.0%	12.2%	2.9%	4.58	4.52	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	20	84	19	9	2	100%	5.0	23.2%	11.0%	12.2%	2.9%	4.58	4.14	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	191	91	20	100%	4.6	23.2%	11.0%	12.2%	2.9%	4.58	4.14	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		17	10	41	182	34	29	1	59%	2.4	18.7%	16.1%	2.5%	0.8%	6.10	3.99	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	48	200	881	165	142	7	59%	2.4	18.7%	16.1%	2.5%	0.8%	6.10	3.99	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jubrayker Salaya (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	22.7%	12.1%	3.0%	—	4.52	23.2%	12.2%	40	-0.20	—	—	—
Luis Victorino R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	19	SP-	4.26	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.98	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.72	4.26	149	84
Jose Morban R 2017 · 4.42 FIP	19	SP-	4.42	18.7%	11.2%	2.7%	.333	3.98	16.9%	5.8%	61	-0.44	3.98	178	80
Edwin Jimenez R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	19	SP-	4.03	19.3%	8.9%	2.6%	.330	4.79	16.5%	8.0%	277	+0.76	4.03	406	80
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	80
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	79
Jerming Rosario R 2021 · 4.97 FIP	19	SW	4.97	21.1%	10.5%	4.2%	.303	4.43	20.9%	5.7%	281	-0.54	3.05	505	79
Alimber Santa R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	18	SW	4.85	17.0%	11.4%	3.2%	.304	5.08	20.9%	1.8%	125	+0.23	3.32	274	78
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	78
Reynardo Cruz R 2021 · 3.96 FIP	19	SP-	3.96	22.5%	14.8%	1.6%	.264	5.44	16.1%	-2.1%	40	+1.48	3.96	216	78
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	78
Carlos Jimenez R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP-	4.08	20.6%	12.9%	2.0%	.274	5.21	20.4%	-0.0%	141	+1.13	4.07	257	77
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	77
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	77
Fraynel Nova R 2022 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP-	3.83	16.4%	7.9%	2.0%	.296	4.17	14.9%	4.9%	110	+0.34	3.38	129	77
Sean Paul Liñan R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP-	4.05	17.7%	8.3%	2.5%	.324	4.30	22.1%	10.2%	210	+0.25	3.29	272	77
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	77
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	77
Alexander Cornielle R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	19	SW	4.01	24.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.329	4.37	19.2%	7.6%	312	+0.36	3.88	548	76
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	76
Henson Leal R 2023 · 5.16 FIP	19	SP-	5.16	17.6%	10.0%	4.2%	.408	4.05	17.7%	7.8%	146	-1.11	3.49	193	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	23.0%	11.4%	1.14	4.64
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82