Jerming Rosario — OGILVIE

Jerming Rosario P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.37

FIP5.37

K%19.5%

BB%17.0%

K-BB%2.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD4040

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	13	13	45	176	43	15	0	100%	3.5	16.6%	10.7%	6.0%	0.0%	0.79	3.05	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	13	13	45	176	43	15	0	100%	3.5	24.4%	8.5%	15.9%	0.0%	0.79	2.20	—
2021	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	7	40	187	54	17	6	50%	2.9	21.1%	10.5%	10.6%	4.2%	7.36	4.97	—
2021	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	7	40	187	54	17	6	50%	2.9	28.9%	9.1%	19.8%	3.2%	7.36	3.62	—
2022	20	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	26	14	85	404	112	60	9	54%	3.3	20.5%	17.5%	3.0%	2.3%	6.64	4.86	—
2022	20	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	26	14	85	404	112	60	9	54%	3.3	27.7%	14.9%	12.9%	2.2%	6.64	3.96	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	15	92	393	114	40	8	60%	3.7	22.1%	11.8%	10.3%	2.7%	4.21	4.18	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	15	92	393	114	40	8	60%	3.7	22.1%	11.8%	10.3%	2.7%	4.21	4.18	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	15	92	393	114	40	8	60%	3.7	29.0%	10.2%	18.8%	2.0%	4.21	3.06	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	23	109	477	120	73	6	85%	4.0	20.2%	16.4%	3.8%	1.5%	4.47	4.31	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	23	109	477	120	73	6	85%	4.0	20.2%	16.4%	3.8%	1.5%	4.47	4.31	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	23	109	477	120	73	6	85%	4.0	25.2%	15.3%	9.9%	1.3%	4.47	3.62	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	46	6	79	358	87	51	6	13%	1.7	19.7%	15.7%	4.0%	2.1%	4.67	4.58	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	46	6	79	358	87	51	6	13%	1.7	19.7%	15.7%	4.0%	2.1%	4.67	4.58	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	46	6	79	358	87	51	6	13%	1.7	24.3%	14.2%	10.1%	1.7%	4.67	3.82	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	50	0	63	280	78	35	8	0%	1.3	23.1%	11.2%	11.9%	3.1%	3.14	4.30	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	50	0	63	280	78	35	8	0%	1.3	23.1%	11.2%	11.9%	3.1%	3.14	4.30	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AAA RAW	LAD	50	0	63	280	78	35	8	0%	1.3	27.9%	12.5%	15.4%	2.9%	3.14	3.90	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	LAD	6	0	6	26	5	4	1	0%	1.0	19.5%	17.0%	2.5%	2.5%	5.37	5.37	-0.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	69	306	83	39	9	—	—	27.2%	12.9%	14.3%	2.8%	3.34	4.39	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAD	94	0	99	418	84	62	11	0%	1.1	20.2%	14.8%	5.3%	2.6%	5.14	5.06	-0.6
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	94	0	99	418	86	60	11	0%	1.1	20.5%	14.3%	6.2%	2.6%	5.02	4.98	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAD	93	0	98	412	85	58	11	0%	1.0	20.6%	14.0%	6.6%	2.7%	4.98	4.98	-0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAD	90	0	95	399	82	56	11	0%	1.1	20.5%	14.0%	6.5%	2.8%	5.01	5.05	-0.5
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAD	86	0	90	381	77	54	11	0%	1.1	20.2%	14.2%	6.0%	2.9%	5.11	5.18	-0.6
2032	30	MLB MLE	LAD	81	0	85	358	71	52	11	0%	1.0	19.9%	14.5%	5.3%	3.1%	5.26	5.35	-0.7
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAD	46	0	48	203	41	30	5	0%	1.0	20.2%	14.8%	5.3%	2.6%	5.14	5.06	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	66	0	69	291	60	42	8	0%	1.0	20.5%	14.3%	6.2%	2.6%	5.02	4.98	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAD	73	0	77	325	67	46	9	0%	1.1	20.6%	14.0%	6.6%	2.7%	4.98	4.98	-0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAD	77	0	81	342	70	48	9	0%	1.1	20.5%	14.0%	6.5%	2.8%	5.01	5.05	-0.5
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAD	76	0	80	338	68	48	10	0%	1.1	20.2%	14.2%	6.0%	2.9%	5.11	5.18	-0.6
2032	30	MLB CTX	LAD	73	0	77	325	65	47	10	0%	1.1	19.9%	14.5%	5.3%	3.1%	5.26	5.35	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		411	0	431	1821	370	260	51	0%	1.0	20.3%	14.3%	6.0%	2.8%	5.08	4.72	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	121	24	0%	1.1	20.3%	14.3%	6.0%	2.8%	5.08	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		201	78	514	2275	470	321	51	39%	2.6	20.7%	14.1%	6.5%	2.3%	4.56	4.38	-3.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		78	30	200	886	183	125	20	39%	2.6	20.7%	14.1%	6.5%	2.3%	4.56	4.38	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jerming Rosario (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.37	19.5%	17.0%	2.5%	—	5.01	20.4%	6.0%	296	-0.36	—	—	—
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	87
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	83
Alex Amalfi R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	22	SW	4.24	19.9%	18.5%	0.9%	.300	4.43	22.7%	10.8%	249	+0.19	2.67	299	83
Kris Hall R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	18.3%	17.8%	1.5%	.281	7.01	12.7%	-7.8%	34	+2.38	4.63	106	82
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	81
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	80
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	80
Noah Murdock R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.8%	17.1%	1.8%	.314	3.18	22.5%	9.0%	144	-1.38	2.60	306	80
Richard Guasch R 2022 · 4.41 FIP	24	SW	4.41	22.3%	16.2%	2.1%	.287	3.24	23.8%	11.8%	72	-1.17	2.94	316	80
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	79
Austin Vernon R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	24	SW	5.75	22.1%	16.8%	4.3%	.325	3.69	23.2%	9.9%	100	-2.06	3.37	261	79
Yoel Espinal R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	21.4%	23.1%	2.1%	.255	4.24	22.9%	10.0%	99	-1.13	3.86	231	79
James Acuna R 2022 · 4.33 FIP	24	SU	4.33	19.4%	14.8%	1.8%	.217	—	—	—	—	—	4.33	107	78
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	78
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	78
David Trexler R 2015 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	17.7%	13.4%	2.4%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.18	4.44	100	77
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	77
Eiberson Castellano R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SW	4.25	18.3%	14.1%	1.7%	.359	4.06	20.9%	10.7%	248	-0.19	3.67	383	77
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	77
Robbie Peto R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	24	SU	5.39	15.6%	19.4%	2.1%	.242	5.75	15.3%	1.9%	80	+0.36	5.39	232	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.2	90	20.2%	14.6%	1.06	5.11
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32