Preston Johnson — OGILVIE

Preston Johnson P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 250 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 30 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.30

FIP5.30

K%21.4%

BB%16.0%

K-BB%5.5%

ROS IP30

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	0%	0.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	0%	0.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	25	4	55	247	76	39	2	16%	2.2	23.7%	18.2%	5.5%	1.0%	4.72	3.94	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	25	4	55	247	76	39	2	16%	2.2	23.7%	18.2%	5.5%	1.0%	4.72	3.94	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	25	4	55	247	76	39	2	16%	2.2	30.8%	15.8%	15.0%	0.8%	4.72	2.94	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	2	49	219	56	35	6	8%	1.9	20.8%	16.2%	4.6%	2.9%	6.10	4.99	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	2	49	219	56	35	6	8%	1.9	20.8%	16.2%	4.6%	2.9%	6.10	4.99	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	2	49	219	56	35	6	8%	1.9	25.6%	16.0%	9.6%	2.7%	6.10	4.56	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	23	17	86	347	104	30	13	74%	3.7	24.3%	9.5%	14.8%	4.5%	3.89	4.72	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	23	17	86	347	104	30	13	74%	3.7	24.3%	9.5%	14.8%	4.5%	3.89	4.72	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	MIN	23	17	86	347	104	30	13	74%	3.7	30.0%	8.6%	21.3%	3.7%	3.89	3.72	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIN	79	0	83	349	75	53	10	0%	1.0	21.5%	15.2%	6.2%	3.0%	5.22	5.23	-0.6
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIN	76	0	80	338	72	50	10	0%	1.1	21.4%	14.8%	6.6%	3.1%	5.20	5.24	-0.6
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIN	73	0	76	323	75	45	10	0%	1.0	23.2%	13.9%	9.3%	3.2%	5.09	5.05	-0.4
2030	30	MLB MLE	MIN	68	0	72	304	69	43	10	0%	1.1	22.8%	14.1%	8.8%	3.4%	5.16	5.21	-0.5
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIN	30	0	31	131	28	20	4	0%	1.0	21.5%	15.2%	6.2%	3.0%	5.22	5.23	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIN	46	0	48	203	43	30	6	0%	1.0	21.4%	14.8%	6.6%	3.1%	5.20	5.24	-0.4
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIN	51	0	54	228	53	32	7	0%	1.1	23.2%	13.9%	9.3%	3.2%	5.09	5.05	-0.3
2030	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53	0	56	236	54	33	8	0%	1.1	22.8%	14.1%	8.8%	3.4%	5.16	5.21	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		180	0	189	799	178	115	26	0%	1.1	22.3%	14.4%	8.0%	3.2%	5.16	4.80	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	188	122	27	0%	1.1	22.3%	14.4%	8.0%	3.2%	5.16	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		75	23	190	817	188	113	24	31%	2.5	23.1%	13.9%	9.2%	3.0%	4.68	4.55	-2.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		79	24	200	858	198	119	26	31%	2.5	23.1%	13.9%	9.2%	3.0%	4.68	4.55	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Preston Johnson (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	21.4%	16.0%	2.9%	—	5.18	22.0%	7.3%	239	-0.12	—	—	—
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	78
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	78
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	78
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	75
Joe Record R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	16.6%	15.3%	2.2%	.236	3.59	20.3%	8.6%	172	-1.23	2.64	280	75
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	74
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.30 FIP	25	SW	5.30	21.4%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	73
Austin Vernon R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	24	SW	5.75	22.1%	16.8%	4.3%	.325	3.69	23.2%	9.9%	100	-2.06	3.37	261	73
Adrian Chaidez R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	24	SW	4.96	19.4%	16.3%	2.6%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	4.96	144	73
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	73
Ben Gross R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	17.6%	15.6%	2.3%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	118	72
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	71
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	71
Deylen Miley R 2023 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP-	5.34	22.3%	17.5%	3.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.07	185	70
Nick Green R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	26	SW	4.40	17.8%	15.1%	1.6%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	2.44	416	70
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	70
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	69
Jacob Wosinski R 2023 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	17.7%	12.4%	5.7%	.351	4.73	16.8%	5.2%	148	-1.58	3.89	181	69
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	69
Andrew Bash R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	26	SW	4.63	17.6%	12.7%	2.6%	.249	4.07	16.7%	7.2%	231	-0.56	3.52	483	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	22.1%	14.6%	1.22	5.18
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77