Preston Johnson
P
Chesapeake Baysox
+0.0
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 250 lbs
AA
ERA4.97
FIP4.97
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.4%
BB%14.0%
K-BB%8.4%
IP43
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 25 | 4 | 55 | 247 | 76 | 39 | 2 | 23.7% | 18.2% | 1.0% | 4.72 | 3.94 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 26 | 2 | 49 | 219 | 56 | 35 | 6 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.9% | 6.10 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 43 | — | 43 | 183 | 41 | 26 | 5 | 22.4% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 42 | — | 42 | 179 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 22.5% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.90 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 41 | — | 41 | 175 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 22.4% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 40 | — | 40 | 170 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 4.93 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 39 | — | 39 | 164 | 36 | 22 | 5 | 22.0% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.99 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 21.8% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 5.07 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 36 | — | 36 | 150 | 32 | 20 | 5 | 21.4% | 13.6% | 3.3% | 5.16 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 34 | — | 34 | 142 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.4% | 5.26 | 5.33 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | BAL | 32 | — | 32 | 134 | 28 | 19 | 5 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 3.5% | 5.37 | 5.45 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | BAL | 30 | — | 30 | 125 | 25 | 18 | 5 | 20.3% | 14.3% | 3.7% | 5.50 | 5.58 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 52 | 6 | 105 | 470 | 105 | 83 | 9 | 22.3% | 17.6% | 1.9% | 5.33 | 4.48 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 99 | 11 | 200 | 898 | 201 | 159 | 17 | 22.3% | 17.6% | 1.9% | 5.33 | 4.48 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Preston Johnson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.97 | 22.4% | 14.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.91 | 22.5% | 9.2% | 127 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.8% | .256 | 4.33 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.08 | 3.88 | 180 | 90 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.41 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.4% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 154 | 89 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.93 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +0.96 | 3.84 | 299 | 88 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.00 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .306 | 3.65 | 20.1% | 13.5% | 54 | -0.35 | 2.94 | 157 | 87 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 87 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.55 | 24.0% | 16.8% | 2.5% | .225 | 5.69 | 21.5% | 6.0% | 78 | +1.14 | 3.90 | 158 | 84 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.04 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.5% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 117 | 84 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 84 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.54 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 83 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .273 | 4.53 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.31 | 3.70 | 187 | 83 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2025 · 5.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.36 | 19.6% | 14.7% | 3.7% | .256 | 3.85 | 15.0% | 5.6% | 61 | -1.51 | 3.85 | 189 | 83 |
| Derek Eitel R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.34 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.29 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.05 | 4.00 | 138 | 83 |
| Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.26 | 23.4% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .282 | 4.71 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 35 | +0.45 | 2.59 | 233 | 82 |
| Manny Barreda R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.08 | 21.2% | 14.7% | 3.5% | .286 | 3.67 | 19.6% | 9.5% | 186 | -1.41 | 3.25 | 376 | 82 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.83 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.5% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.07 | 1.61 | 124 | 82 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 82 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.50 | 20.5% | 16.2% | 2.0% | .351 | 3.77 | 14.2% | 4.6% | 18 | -0.73 | 3.77 | 108 | 82 |
| Alex Hoppe R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 2.0% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 176 | 82 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.94 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.64 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.70 | 3.84 | 272 | 82 |
| Justin Courtney R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.14 | 16.8% | 12.8% | 3.3% | .331 | 8.65 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 21 | +3.51 | 4.59 | 108 | 82 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.