Preston Johnson
P
Wichita Wind Surge
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 250 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 30 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.96
FIP4.96
K%22.4%
BB%14.0%
K-BB%8.4%
ROS IP30
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 3.10 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 25 | 4 | 55 | 247 | 76 | 39 | 2 | 16% | 2.2 | 23.7% | 18.2% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 4.72 | 3.93 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 25 | 4 | 55 | 247 | 76 | 39 | 2 | 16% | 2.2 | 30.8% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 0.8% | 4.72 | 2.94 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 2 | 49 | 219 | 56 | 35 | 6 | 8% | 1.9 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 6.10 | 5.04 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 2 | 49 | 219 | 56 | 35 | 6 | 8% | 1.9 | 25.6% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 6.10 | 4.56 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 12 | 9 | 42 | 173 | 50 | 15 | 3 | 75% | 3.5 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 2.1% | 4.32 | 3.47 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIN | 5 | 5 | 30 | 128 | 29 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.96 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIN | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.96 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 72 | 301 | 79 | 33 | 7 | — | — | 26.1% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 2.2% | 4.59 | 4.10 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.4% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.96 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 28 | 0 | 30 | 126 | 28 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.92 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.92 | 4.93 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 50 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.92 | 4.56 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 183 | 2 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 119 | 17 | 1% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.92 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 64 | 15 | 146 | 643 | 145 | 99 | 12 | 23% | 2.3 | 22.6% | 15.4% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 5.04 | 4.18 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 21 | 200 | 879 | 198 | 135 | 17 | 23% | 2.3 | 22.6% | 15.4% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 5.04 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Preston Johnson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.96 | 22.4% | 14.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.93 | 22.5% | 8.9% | 30 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 83 |
| Sean Isaac R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 79 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 78 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2025 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.50 | 22.7% | 16.4% | 4.1% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 181 | 76 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.56 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 259 | 75 |
| Logan Taylor R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.78 | 17.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 300 | 74 |
| Donovan Benoit R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.61 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 183 | 74 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 74 |
| Frankie Scalzo Jr. R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.17 | 17.2% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 237 | 74 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.50 | 23.0% | 11.9% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.53 | 13.7% | 3.1% | 41 | +0.03 | 4.50 | 119 | 74 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 18.2% | 14.1% | 1.0% | .263 | 5.50 | 18.7% | -1.2% | 38 | +1.63 | 3.87 | 192 | 73 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 73 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 73 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 72 |
| Linder Castro R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.55 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .305 | 5.45 | 21.1% | 6.3% | 62 | +0.90 | 4.27 | 279 | 72 |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 72 |
| Gabriel Ponce R 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 161 | 72 |
| Fernando Baez R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 72 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 72 |
| Austin Vernon R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 2.1% | .205 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 261 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 30 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 1.14 | 4.94 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |