Romeli Espinosa — OGILVIE

Romeli EspinosaSS FCL Phillies

Age 18 R/R 6'4" / 169 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION205 act + 136 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .258 / .294

PA136

HR2

K%27

BB%5

BABIP262

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.2	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.2	$5M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+1.0	$4M	+$1M
Totals		$18M		$23M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	168	153	30	4	2	2	6	55	9	12	4	196	268	288	555	92	292	33	4	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	168	149	42	6	5	2	10	34	9	12	4	282	363	430	793	148	354	20	6	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	PHI	—	205	182	28	3	2	1	10	60	7	2	4	154	226	209	435	55	218	29	5	191	4	-22	-1	+0	+2	+6	-1.6
YTD	18	ROK	PHI	—	205	175	34	4	3	1	17	42	7	2	4	194	291	269	560	74	244	20	8	257	55	-11	-1	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
ROS	18	ROK	PHI	0%	136	125	25	4	1	2	7	37	3	2	1	199	258	294	552	95	257	27	5	243	44	-9	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.4
ROS	18	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		259	—	—	228	33	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	PHI	—	205	183	28	3	2	1	10	60	7	2	4	153	226	208	434	55	216	29	5	191	4	-22	-1	+0	+2	+6	-1.6
TOT	18	ROK	PHI	—	341	307	53	7	3	3	17	97	10	4	5	172	239	244	483	72	236	28	5	212	20	-31	-1	-1	+4	+10	-2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	PHI	34%	332	303	63	10	3	6	19	88	7	6	3	208	271	320	591	112	263	27	6	260	57	-16	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.5
2028	20	MLB	PHI	48%	438	400	84	13	4	9	26	114	9	9	4	210	274	330	604	120	267	26	6	272	67	-17	+0	-3	+5	+12	-0.2
2029	21	MLB	PHI	54%	514	466	101	16	4	12	32	131	11	11	5	217	283	345	628	129	270	25	6	281	73	-15	+0	-3	+6	+15	0.2
2030	22	MLB	PHI	57%	566	514	113	17	5	15	35	143	12	12	6	220	285	360	645	140	272	25	6	287	78	-14	+0	-3	+6	+16	0.5
2031	23	MLB	PHI	58%	600	544	120	19	5	16	38	151	13	13	6	221	287	362	650	142	272	25	6	291	81	-13	+0	-3	+6	+17	0.7
2032	24	MLB	PHI	57%	622	565	126	19	5	18	39	156	13	14	7	223	288	370	658	147	273	25	6	294	84	-12	+0	-4	+7	+18	0.9
2033	25	MLB	PHI	57%	634	576	129	20	5	19	40	159	13	14	7	224	289	375	664	151	274	25	6	297	85	-11	+0	-4	+7	+18	1.1
2034	26	MLB	PHI	57%	639	580	130	20	5	19	41	160	13	14	7	224	290	374	664	150	274	25	6	298	86	-10	+0	-4	+7	+18	1.2
2035	27	MLB	PHI	55%	637	578	129	20	5	19	41	160	13	14	7	223	290	374	663	151	273	25	6	298	86	-10	+0	-4	+7	+18	1.2
2036	28	MLB	PHI	55%	631	571	127	19	5	19	42	159	13	14	7	222	291	373	664	151	273	25	7	297	86	-10	+0	-4	+7	+18	1.0
2037	29	MLB	PHI	58%	620	561	124	19	5	18	41	157	13	13	6	221	289	369	658	148	272	25	7	296	84	-11	+0	-5	+7	+18	0.9
2038	30	MLB	PHI	60%	609	550	122	18	5	18	41	156	13	13	6	222	291	371	662	149	271	26	7	293	82	-12	+0	-6	+7	+17	0.6
2039	31	MLB	PHI	62%	594	538	117	17	5	17	39	154	12	12	6	217	285	362	648	145	269	26	7	289	79	-14	+0	-6	+6	+17	0.3
2040	32	MLB	PHI	63%	575	520	111	16	4	16	38	152	12	11	5	213	282	352	634	138	267	26	7	284	75	-16	+0	-7	+6	+16	-0.0
2027	19	MLB	PHI	34%	114	105	21	3	1	2	6	30	2	2	1	200	257	305	561	105	265	26	5	246	47	-7	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.3
2028	20	MLB	PHI	48%	212	193	41	6	2	5	13	55	4	4	2	212	276	342	618	130	269	26	6	259	56	-10	+0	-1	+2	+6	-0.3
2029	21	MLB	PHI	54%	279	254	55	9	2	7	17	71	6	6	3	217	282	350	632	134	272	25	6	268	63	-12	+0	-2	+3	+8	-0.2
2030	22	MLB	PHI	57%	320	290	64	10	3	8	20	81	7	7	3	221	287	359	646	138	273	25	6	274	68	-12	+0	-2	+3	+9	-0.1
2031	23	MLB	PHI	58%	345	313	71	11	3	10	22	87	7	8	4	227	292	377	669	150	274	25	6	278	71	-11	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.0
2032	24	MLB	PHI	57%	354	322	72	11	3	10	22	89	7	8	4	224	288	370	657	146	275	25	6	281	73	-11	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.1
2033	25	MLB	PHI	57%	360	326	74	11	3	11	23	90	8	8	4	227	294	380	674	153	275	25	6	283	75	-10	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.2
2034	26	MLB	PHI	57%	362	328	74	11	3	11	23	90	8	8	4	226	292	378	671	152	275	25	6	285	76	-10	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.2
2035	27	MLB	PHI	55%	353	320	72	11	3	11	23	88	7	8	4	225	291	381	673	156	275	25	7	285	76	-10	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.2
2036	28	MLB	PHI	55%	347	314	72	11	3	11	23	87	7	8	4	229	297	389	685	159	275	25	7	284	75	-10	+0	-2	+4	+10	0.2
2037	29	MLB	PHI	58%	360	325	73	11	3	11	24	91	8	8	4	225	294	378	673	154	274	25	7	282	74	-10	+0	-3	+4	+10	0.1
2038	30	MLB	PHI	60%	367	332	74	11	3	11	24	94	8	8	4	223	291	373	665	151	273	26	7	280	72	-11	+0	-3	+4	+10	-0.1
2039	31	MLB	PHI	62%	367	332	73	11	3	11	24	95	8	7	3	220	288	370	659	151	271	26	7	276	69	-13	+0	-4	+4	+10	-0.2
2040	32	MLB	PHI	63%	361	327	70	10	3	10	24	95	7	7	3	214	282	355	637	141	268	26	7	271	66	-14	+0	-4	+4	+10	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4501	4082	906	137	38	129	288	1143	94	97	47	222	289	369	658	147	274	25	6	277	70	-150	+1	-32	+48	+128	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	131	20	5	19	42	165	14	14	7	222	290	370	660	148	274	25	6	277	70	-22	+0	-5	+7	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	8315	7544	1651	251	68	225	525	2132	179	184	87	219	286	360	645	141	273	26	6	288	79	-200	+2	-57	+89	+236	7.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	130	20	5	18	41	167	14	14	7	220	287	363	650	142	275	26	6	288	79	-16	+0	-4	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	168	149	42	6	5	2	10	34	9	12	4	282	363	430	793	148	354	20	6	356	130	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,706	128	100	221	284	363	+50	+6	7.2	6.3
	/162	664	18	14	221	284	363	+7.1	+0.8	1.0	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Romeli Espinosa (OGILVIE)	18	20→41	30→54	60→56	30	172/239/244	72	236	3	4	28%	5%	20	-2.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→48	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	45	-2.1	206/254/321	115	262	11	14	25%	5%	56	-1.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2018 · A	18	45	37→55	51→40	37	209/263/281	71	306	3	8	31%	5%	49	-1.8	197/253/262	65	271	2	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	183/253/290	107	242	12	2	29%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	102	+1.8	224/283/382	158	270	19	2	24%	5%	86	+0.4
✕Wilin Rosario 2007 · A	18	41→49	37→60	47→45	36	199/243/268	69	296	6	7	34%	5%	37	-2.7	206/248/304	98	304	10	5	34%	5%	49	-1.8	234/270/419	184	278	26	3	26%	4%	85	+0.5
✕Hector Garcia 2008 · A	18	38	40→45	49→40	41	188/237/274	86	249	7	6	27%	6%	36	-2.7	212/263/289	77	269	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Franklin Barreto 2015 · A	19	43→48	41→55	49→50	37	205/257/317	111	296	7	9	32%	5%	56	-1.3	231/268/343	112	307	10	14	27%	4%	67	-0.5	217/273/384	168	316	20	13	36%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Echedry Vargas 2023 · A	18	44→45	41→50	52→55	42	214/268/324	110	261	6	12	20%	4%	63	-0.9	205/251/325	120	285	12	16	32%	5%	56	-1.3	201/241/325	123	274	14	14	31%	4%	48	-1.0
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→45	41→55	46→55	40	199/248/293	95	266	8	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	209/269/336	127	287	13	8	30%	7%	66	-0.6	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3