Romeli Espinosa — OGILVIE

Romeli EspinosaSS FCL Phillies

Age 18 R/R 6'4" / 169 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION251 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%5

BABIP264

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	168	149	42	6	5	2	10	34	9	12	4	282	363	430	793	148	354	20	6	356	127	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	168	153	31	4	3	2	6	52	9	12	4	203	274	307	581	105	276	31	4	239	48	-10	+1	—	—	+4	-0.6
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	168	153	31	4	3	2	6	52	9	12	4	203	274	307	581	105	293	31	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	168	149	42	6	5	2	10	34	9	12	4	282	363	430	793	148	354	20	6	356	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	168	151	31	4	3	2	6	52	9	12	4	205	274	311	585	106	276	31	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	168	151	31	4	3	2	6	52	9	12	4	205	274	311	585	106	276	31	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	PHI	—	251	223	36	4	3	1	12	79	9	3	4	161	234	220	453	58	238	31	5	196	19	-24	-1	+0	+3	+5	-1.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	PHI	—	234	203	43	5	3	1	18	48	7	3	4	212	298	281	579	69	268	21	8	264	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	A RAW	PHI	—	17	13	2	0	1	0	1	7	2	0	0	154	312	308	620	154	286	41	6	276	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	PHI	0%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		262	33	0	243	51	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	PHI	—	260	232	37	4	3	1	12	82	9	3	4	159	229	216	445	56	235	32	5	198	20	-25	-1	-0	+3	+6	-1.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	308	281	58	9	3	5	17	83	7	5	2	206	269	313	582	107	267	27	6	260	62	-14	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.6
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	420	384	81	12	4	9	24	111	9	8	4	211	273	333	607	122	271	26	6	273	71	-14	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	502	456	99	15	4	12	30	130	11	10	5	217	282	346	628	129	274	26	6	283	78	-13	+0	-3	+5	+11	0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	557	506	112	17	5	15	34	142	12	12	6	221	286	364	650	142	275	25	6	289	82	-12	+0	-3	+6	+12	0.3
2031	23	MLB MLE	PHI	58%	594	540	120	18	5	17	36	151	13	13	6	222	287	369	655	146	276	25	6	294	85	-11	+0	-3	+6	+13	0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	618	561	126	19	5	18	38	156	14	14	6	225	290	373	663	148	277	25	6	297	87	-9	+0	-4	+7	+13	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	632	574	130	20	5	19	39	160	14	14	7	226	292	378	670	152	277	25	6	299	89	-9	+0	-4	+7	+14	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	637	578	131	20	5	20	40	161	14	14	7	227	293	382	675	156	277	25	6	301	90	-8	+0	-4	+7	+14	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	636	577	131	20	5	20	40	161	14	14	7	227	293	383	676	156	277	25	6	301	90	-8	+0	-4	+7	+14	0.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	630	570	128	19	5	19	41	160	14	14	6	225	293	375	668	151	277	25	7	300	89	-8	+0	-4	+7	+14	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	619	560	126	19	5	19	40	159	14	13	6	225	293	379	672	154	276	26	6	298	88	-9	+0	-5	+7	+13	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	608	549	122	18	5	18	40	158	14	13	6	222	292	372	663	149	275	26	7	296	86	-10	+0	-6	+7	+13	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	594	537	118	17	5	17	39	156	13	12	5	220	289	365	654	145	273	26	7	292	84	-12	+0	-6	+6	+13	0.2
2040	32	MLB MLE	PHI	59%	575	520	112	16	4	16	37	153	13	11	5	215	284	354	638	138	270	27	6	287	80	-14	+0	-7	+6	+12	-0.2
2027	19	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	106	97	20	3	1	2	6	29	2	2	1	206	267	320	586	113	269	27	6	247	62	-5	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	204	185	40	6	2	5	12	54	5	4	2	216	282	351	634	135	274	26	6	261	71	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	272	248	54	8	2	7	16	70	6	6	3	218	281	351	632	133	276	26	6	271	78	-7	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	315	286	65	10	3	9	19	81	7	7	3	227	292	378	669	150	278	26	6	278	82	-7	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	PHI	58%	342	310	71	11	3	10	21	87	8	8	3	229	295	381	676	152	279	25	6	282	85	-6	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	352	319	73	11	3	11	22	89	8	8	4	229	295	386	681	157	280	25	6	286	87	-5	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	358	325	75	11	3	12	22	90	8	8	4	231	296	394	690	163	280	25	6	288	89	-5	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	360	327	75	11	3	12	22	91	8	8	4	229	294	391	686	162	280	25	6	290	90	-4	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	353	320	74	11	3	12	22	89	8	8	4	231	297	397	694	166	280	25	6	290	90	-4	+0	-2	+4	+8	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	346	313	72	11	3	11	22	88	8	8	4	230	297	390	687	160	279	25	6	289	89	-4	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	331	300	69	10	3	11	21	85	7	7	3	230	296	393	689	163	279	26	6	287	88	-5	+0	-3	+4	+7	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	320	289	66	10	3	10	21	83	7	7	3	228	297	388	684	159	278	26	7	285	86	-5	+0	-3	+3	+7	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	336	304	68	10	3	10	22	88	7	7	3	224	291	375	666	151	276	26	7	281	84	-7	+0	-4	+4	+7	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	PHI	59%	340	308	68	10	3	10	22	91	7	6	3	221	288	370	658	149	273	27	6	276	80	-8	+0	-4	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4335	3931	890	133	38	132	270	1115	96	94	44	226	292	380	673	154	280	26	6	282	83	-80	+1	-31	+46	+94	3.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	134	20	6	20	40	167	14	14	7	228	292	384	676	156	281	26	6	282	83	-12	+0	-5	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	8107	7355	1626	243	68	226	501	2096	185	179	82	221	288	365	652	144	276	26	6	291	83	-150	+2	-56	+85	+172	5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	129	19	5	18	40	168	15	14	7	219	285	359	645	141	273	26	6	291	83	-12	+0	-5	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.8	4,526	125	96	223	285	367	+48	+6	8.8	7.5
/162	664	18	14	+7.1	+0.8	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Romeli Espinosa (OGILVIE)	18	20→41	30→54	60→56	30	192/251/278	86	262	2	3	28%	5%	51	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→50	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	196/245/302	106	303	10	7	37%	5%	53	-2.1	225/276/346	121	319	13	2	32%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→38	40→55	56→55	37	198/247/291	93	281	6	10	31%	5%	51	-2.2	189/248/281	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	49	-2.4	184/245/315	131	287	12	17	38%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→52	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	51	-2.2	205/253/316	111	261	11	14	25%	5%	59	-1.6	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	43	-2.8	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	66	-1.1	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	67	-0.4
✕René Pinto 2015 · A	18	43	37→55	51→40	41	204/249/275	71	265	4	7	24%	5%	47	-2.5	217/260/333	116	271	10	5	23%	5%	65	-1.2	232/273/330	99	296	7	1	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→50	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	58	-1.7	242/287/359	117	276	12	5	17%	5%	82	-0.0	243/286/377	134	275	16	5	18%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→41	40→45	49→55	42	206/266/301	95	275	7	13	27%	6%	61	-1.5	209/266/312	103	295	9	17	31%	6%	63	-1.3	203/255/293	90	297	8	23	33%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	40	-3.0	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	74	-0.6	220/275/339	119	277	13	9	24%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→45	52→55	46	204/259/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	53	-2.1	228/282/303	75	268	3	15	15%	6%	67	-1.1	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→46	41→55	46→55	40	199/248/293	95	266	8	5	28%	5%	52	-2.2	209/270/337	128	287	13	8	30%	7%	71	-0.8	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Hector Garcia 2008 · A	18	38	40→45	49→40	41	188/237/274	86	249	7	6	27%	6%	43	-2.8	212/263/289	77	269	6	4	22%	6%	57	-1.8	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	61	-0.4
●Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	42→52	39→50	52→50	42	203/266/292	89	271	6	13	26%	6%	59	-1.6	205/253/299	94	283	8	9	29%	4%	55	-1.9	249/315/369	120	307	12	15	22%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	44	-2.8	221/272/301	80	288	7	19	24%	6%	63	-1.4	235/283/299	64	303	5	24	23%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	73	-0.6	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps