Maximo Acosta — OGILVIE

Maximo Acosta3B Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 187 lbs AAA HR -10%H -3% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION180 act + 23 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%9

BABIP235

ISO190

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

5910.0%

xAVG

460.248

POWER45

Barrel%

8613.5

Avg EV

9093.5

Bat Spd

2368.5

EYE50

Chase%

7726.5%

SPEED55

Sprint

8428.8

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2025 · 61 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

115

▶▶R

wOBA

238

339

▶▶R

ISO

—

270

—

BABIP

300

208

◀◀L

35.0%

24.4%

▶▶R

BB%

10.0%

9.8%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	68	61	15	2	2	1	3	15	1	7	2	246	292	393	686	148	292	22	4	291	83	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	456	404	106	26	1	4	40	87	9	44	17	262	342	361	704	99	325	19	9	320	102	+1	+2	—	—	+10	1.3
2023	20	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	473	431	112	21	1	11	33	100	2	26	8	260	315	390	705	130	311	21	7	312	97	-2	+2	—	—	+10	1.1
2024	21	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	434	386	111	23	3	8	34	58	8	26	9	288	357	425	782	137	316	13	8	346	121	+11	+2	—	—	+9	2.2
2024	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	80	71	24	8	1	1	8	15	1	8	2	338	412	521	934	183	418	19	10	412	165	+6	+1	—	—	+2	0.9
2025	22	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	61	54	11	1	0	3	6	17	1	1	2	204	295	389	684	185	235	28	10	308	95	-0	-1	-2	+2	+1	0.0
2025	22	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	465	410	92	13	3	13	50	123	4	33	9	224	315	366	681	141	287	26	11	308	95	-3	+3	—	—	+10	1.0
2025	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	117	104	33	4	0	5	11	23	1	8	1	317	388	500	888	183	364	20	9	390	150	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	61	54	11	1	0	3	6	17	1	1	2	204	295	389	684	185	235	28	10	308	95	-0	-1	-2	+2	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	68	62	11	1	1	1	2	22	1	7	2	177	215	274	490	97	239	32	3	220	35	-5	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	456	419	92	20	1	4	25	122	9	44	17	220	278	301	579	81	295	27	5	254	58	-23	+2	—	—	+10	-1.1
2023	20	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	473	442	93	17	1	9	22	138	2	26	8	210	251	314	566	104	273	29	5	246	53	-27	+2	—	—	+10	-1.5
2024	21	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	434	397	101	20	2	6	23	70	8	26	9	254	308	360	669	106	285	16	5	293	84	-8	+2	—	—	+9	0.3
2025	22	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	61	54	11	1	0	3	6	17	1	1	2	204	295	389	684	185	235	28	10	313	98	-0	-1	-2	+2	+1	0.1
2025	22	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	465	427	76	10	2	10	33	151	4	33	9	178	244	281	525	103	247	32	7	235	45	-30	+3	—	—	+10	-1.8
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	68	62	11	1	1	1	2	22	1	7	2	177	215	274	490	97	238	32	3	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	68	61	15	2	2	1	3	15	1	7	2	246	292	393	686	148	292	22	4	291	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	456	419	92	20	1	4	25	122	9	44	17	220	278	301	579	81	299	27	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	456	404	106	26	1	4	40	87	9	44	17	262	342	361	704	99	325	19	9	320	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	473	442	93	17	1	9	22	138	2	26	8	210	251	314	566	104	280	29	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	473	431	112	21	1	11	33	100	2	26	8	260	315	390	705	130	311	21	7	312	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	514	472	120	24	3	7	27	83	9	34	11	254	307	362	669	108	291	16	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	514	457	135	31	4	9	42	73	9	34	11	295	366	440	806	144	331	14	8	357	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	643	587	107	14	3	16	48	205	6	42	12	182	251	298	549	116	247	32	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	643	568	136	18	3	21	67	163	6	42	12	239	326	393	719	153	298	25	10	323	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	68	65	11	1	1	1	2	22	1	7	2	169	215	262	477	92	239	32	3	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	456	419	92	20	1	4	25	122	9	44	17	220	278	301	579	81	295	27	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	473	446	93	17	1	9	22	138	2	26	8	209	251	312	563	103	273	29	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	514	473	120	24	3	7	27	83	9	34	11	254	307	362	669	108	285	16	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	643	584	107	14	3	16	48	205	6	42	12	183	251	300	551	116	246	32	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	473	446	93	17	1	9	22	138	2	26	8	209	251	312	563	103	273	29	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	514	473	120	24	3	7	27	83	9	34	11	254	307	362	669	108	285	16	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	643	584	107	14	3	16	48	205	6	42	12	183	251	300	551	116	246	32	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	MIA	—	180	166	20	5	0	2	11	65	1	14	3	120	180	187	367	66	178	36	6	166	-1	-22	+2	+0	+1	+4	-1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AAA RAW	MIA	—	180	161	23	6	0	3	16	54	1	14	3	143	225	236	461	93	189	30	9	214	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AAA MLE	MIA	10%	23	21	5	1	0	1	2	7	0	1	0	238	304	429	733	190	241	30	9	250	55	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	23	MLB CTX	MIA	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						235	50	0	237	55	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	MLB A+C	MIA	—	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							50	0	237	5	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AAA MLE	MIA	—	203	187	25	6	0	3	13	72	1	15	3	134	194	214	408	80	193	35	6	176	5	-23	+2	-0	+1	+4	-1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIA	42%	568	519	102	18	2	15	39	158	5	33	7	197	259	326	585	129	246	28	7	261	63	-25	+4	-2	+2	+12	-1.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIA	58%	608	554	111	19	2	17	44	166	5	35	7	200	265	334	599	134	250	27	7	268	68	-23	+4	-3	+2	+13	-0.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	608	553	112	20	2	17	45	164	5	35	7	203	269	338	607	136	252	27	7	272	70	-21	+4	-3	+2	+13	-0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIA	66%	603	548	112	20	2	17	45	162	5	35	7	204	271	341	612	137	253	27	7	274	71	-21	+4	-3	+2	+13	-0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIA	67%	595	540	110	19	2	17	45	161	5	32	7	204	271	341	612	137	253	27	8	273	71	-21	+4	-3	+2	+13	-0.5
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIA	72%	583	529	107	19	2	16	44	159	5	30	6	202	270	336	606	134	252	27	8	271	70	-21	+4	-4	+2	+13	-0.7
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIA	69%	571	517	103	18	2	15	44	157	5	26	5	199	269	329	597	130	251	27	8	269	68	-22	+3	-5	+2	+12	-0.9
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIA	42%	241	220	42	7	1	6	17	67	2	14	3	191	255	314	569	123	240	28	7	248	63	-11	+2	-1	+1	+5	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIA	58%	350	319	61	10	1	9	25	95	3	20	4	191	256	313	570	122	243	27	7	254	68	-13	+2	-2	+1	+8	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	393	357	70	12	1	10	29	106	4	23	5	196	264	319	583	123	245	27	7	258	70	-14	+3	-2	+1	+9	-0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIA	66%	399	362	71	12	1	11	30	107	4	23	5	196	265	326	591	130	246	27	8	260	71	-14	+3	-2	+1	+9	-0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIA	67%	399	362	71	12	1	11	30	108	4	22	4	196	265	326	591	130	246	27	8	259	71	-14	+3	-2	+1	+9	-0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIA	72%	418	379	73	12	1	11	32	114	4	21	4	193	263	317	579	124	245	27	8	257	70	-15	+3	-3	+1	+9	-0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIA	69%	392	356	68	11	1	10	30	108	3	18	4	191	260	312	571	121	244	28	8	255	68	-15	+2	-3	+1	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2655	2411	467	77	7	71	199	723	25	142	31	194	262	320	582	126	243	27	7	258	66	-96	+16	-16	+12	+58	-2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	114	19	2	17	49	177	6	35	8	193	262	319	581	125	243	27	8	258	66	-24	+4	-4	+3	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6313	5763	1185	210	23	152	432	1704	62	380	96	206	268	329	598	124	262	27	7	265	66	-156	+26	-25	+17	+91	-4.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	122	22	2	16	44	175	6	39	10	206	267	331	598	125	261	27	7	265	66	-24	+4	-4	+3	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.0	2,678	75	143	202	267	337	+28	-11	2.2	2.2
/162	664	19	35	+7.0	-2.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Maximo Acosta (OGILVIE)	23	45	45	55	50	186/247/303	117	241	6	15	29%	7%	55	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswald Peraza 2023 · MLB	23	46→52	48→45	57→60	41	232/284/367	135	293	16	31	27%	6%	83	+0.1	212/278/332	120	269	14	25	26%	7%	73	-0.6	200/266/303	103	265	13	24	28%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Anthony Volpe 2023 · AAA	22	42→50	52→55	60→55	48	218/298/397	180	264	19	29	25%	8%	96	+1.0	219/284/371	152	274	16	24	25%	8%	84	+0.2	224/284/362	138	278	14	23	24%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Eguy Rosario 2023 · AAA	23	45→52	48→55	51→55	44	224/288/368	143	289	15	21	27%	7%	84	+0.2	210/273/359	149	279	16	17	30%	7%	78	-0.3	189/253/336	146	255	17	17	32%	7%	62	-0.7
✕José Rodríguez 2023 · AA	22	51→52	45→50	58→55	43	249/286/376	126	289	12	28	18%	5%	85	+0.2	230/264/349	119	281	13	26	23%	4%	71	-0.8	224/253/334	110	274	13	27	24%	3%	60	-0.7
✕Felix Valerio 2023 · AA	22	43→48	43→45	53→55	49	211/280/324	113	249	11	23	20%	8%	72	-0.7	204/266/302	98	265	9	16	25%	7%	61	-1.5	190/252/275	85	254	8	13	27%	6%	46	-1.1
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→50	48→50	55	46	234/298/377	143	301	16	24	27%	8%	91	+0.6	226/293/350	124	292	12	15	25%	8%	82	+0.0	225/293/333	108	284	10	17	23%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	42→40	51→50	51→55	45	218/285/381	163	274	18	17	27%	7%	87	+0.4	175/249/292	117	254	14	21	35%	7%	54	-2.0	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Travis Witherspoon 2013 · AA	24	45→47	45	56→55	42	223/276/343	120	295	13	24	28%	6%	74	-0.6	205/261/321	116	276	12	22	29%	7%	63	-1.3	188/244/294	106	252	12	24	29%	7%	49	-1.6
✕Jose Morban 2005 · MLB	25	43→45	49→45	58→50	45	221/281/363	142	270	17	23	25%	7%	81	-0.1	221/275/346	125	323	13	16	33%	7%	75	-0.5	211/264/329	118	314	11	17	35%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2015 · MLB	23	46→49	48→55	57→55	40	230/272/381	150	301	15	23	28%	5%	81	-0.1	207/248/343	136	293	12	22	32%	5%	63	-1.3	212/259/369	157	293	16	14	32%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Daniel Carroll 2013 · AA	24	47→48	45	58→60	43	222/300/344	121	330	13	31	34%	8%	84	+0.1	204/278/292	88	306	7	25	33%	6%	64	-1.3	182/258/250	68	283	4	28	34%	5%	47	-1.0
✕Brent Lillibridge 2008 · AAA	24	51→55	43→50	59→60	45	245/303/361	116	313	10	31	24%	7%	88	+0.4	216/273/314	98	288	7	29	26%	6%	66	-1.1	222/280/354	132	299	17	36	30%	6%	77	-0.1
✕Samad Taylor 2023 · AAA	25	46→54	48→45	58→65	42	230/293/371	140	312	17	33	31%	7%	87	+0.4	233/305/343	110	322	10	40	28%	9%	85	+0.2	233/306/336	103	319	9	43	28%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Victor Robles 2020 · MLB	23	50→52	48→50	55→60	44	249/317/399	151	302	14	26	22%	6%	103	+1.6	228/302/351	123	292	11	19	25%	6%	86	+0.3	282/352/386	105	351	6	51	20%	6%	110	+0.7
✕Tito Polo 2018 · AA	23	48→54	42→45	57→60	39	233/286/342	109	313	9	29	28%	5%	78	-0.3	225/275/329	104	295	8	25	25%	5%	70	-0.8	215/263/312	97	271	7	34	23%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Lolo Sanchez 2022 · A	23	43	45	53→55	48	217/291/339	122	258	13	23	21%	7%	80	-0.2	204/278/293	89	247	9	13	20%	8%	64	-1.3	187/264/251	64	226	6	9	19%	8%	46	-1.1
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	49→55	59→55	47	205/293/360	155	287	16	24	33%	10%	86	+0.3	245/323/418	173	327	19	21	29%	9%	109	+2.0	229/312/387	159	297	19	21	28%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Ryan Kalish 2011 · MLB	23	49→51	47→50	57→55	48	245/304/382	137	296	14	23	22%	8%	94	+0.9	228/283/336	108	294	10	21	25%	7%	75	-0.5	214/261/305	91	289	8	20	27%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	47→50	58→55	46	200/276/339	139	268	15	19	30%	9%	74	-0.5	213/284/345	132	280	14	17	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Mikey Perez 2023 · A	23	42→35	44→45	58→60	43	204/289/330	125	286	11	31	31%	8%	78	-0.3	198/284/316	118	296	12	26	35%	8%	72	-0.7	150/256/252	101	230	14	36	38%	9%	47	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps