Teilon Serrano — OGILVIE

Teilon SerranoOF FCL Twins

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 200 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION194 act + 19 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%37

BB%11

BABIP282

ISO59

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$8M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$10M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	189	155	40	7	2	5	28	48	5	21	5	258	388	426	814	168	340	25	15	367	135	+8	+2	—	—	+4	1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	189	166	30	5	1	4	17	70	5	21	5	181	277	295	572	114	266	37	9	250	55	-10	+2	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	189	166	30	5	1	4	17	70	5	21	5	181	277	295	572	114	280	37	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	189	155	40	7	2	5	28	48	5	21	5	258	388	426	814	168	340	25	15	367	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	189	165	30	5	1	4	17	70	5	21	5	182	277	297	574	115	266	37	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	189	165	30	5	1	4	17	70	5	21	5	182	277	297	574	115	266	37	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	MIN	—	194	153	22	6	3	2	33	86	5	14	5	144	314	261	576	118	299	44	17	264	65	-8	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	MIN	—	194	133	28	8	4	3	53	60	5	14	5	211	450	398	849	188	347	31	27	389	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	MIN	4%	19	17	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	1	0	176	263	235	498	59	282	37	11	277	73	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	18	MLB CTX	MIN	4%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						282	0	0	265	73	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	18	MLB A+C	MIN	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	265	66	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	MIN	—	213	170	25	7	3	2	35	93	5	15	5	147	310	259	568	112	299	44	16	265	66	-9	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIN	36%	257	221	43	8	2	6	30	85	4	7	2	195	302	330	632	136	283	33	12	288	81	-6	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.2
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIN	49%	382	329	67	13	3	10	44	123	6	10	3	204	309	353	661	149	286	32	12	299	88	-5	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	475	410	85	16	4	13	54	149	8	12	3	207	311	361	672	154	287	31	11	306	94	-4	+1	-1	-3	+10	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	540	465	99	19	5	16	61	167	9	14	4	213	316	378	694	166	289	31	11	312	97	-2	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	584	502	107	20	5	18	67	180	10	15	4	213	318	380	698	167	290	31	11	316	100	-0	+1	-1	-4	+13	1.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	613	527	114	21	5	20	70	188	11	15	4	216	321	389	710	173	291	31	11	319	102	+1	+1	-1	-4	+13	1.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	627	539	117	22	5	21	72	192	11	16	4	217	322	393	715	176	291	31	11	321	103	+2	+2	-1	-4	+14	1.3
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	634	545	119	22	5	22	73	195	11	16	4	218	323	398	721	180	291	31	12	322	104	+3	+2	-1	-4	+14	1.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	634	544	118	22	5	22	74	195	11	16	4	217	323	397	720	180	290	31	12	322	104	+3	+2	-1	-4	+14	1.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	629	539	116	21	5	21	74	194	11	15	4	215	322	390	712	174	290	31	12	321	104	+3	+1	-2	-4	+14	1.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	619	530	114	21	5	21	73	192	11	15	4	215	322	392	715	177	289	31	12	319	102	+2	+1	-3	-4	+13	1.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	609	522	111	20	5	20	72	191	10	14	4	213	320	385	705	172	287	31	12	316	100	+0	+1	-3	-4	+13	0.8
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	595	510	106	19	5	19	70	188	10	13	4	208	315	376	692	169	285	32	12	312	98	-2	+1	-4	-4	+13	0.5
2040	32	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	576	494	101	18	4	18	67	185	10	12	3	204	312	366	678	162	281	32	12	307	94	-4	+1	-5	-3	+12	0.2
2041	33	MLB MLE	MIN	59%	546	468	93	16	4	16	64	178	9	11	3	199	307	353	659	154	276	33	12	300	89	-7	+1	-5	-3	+12	-0.3
2027	19	MLB CTX	MIN	36%	93	81	16	3	1	2	11	31	1	2	1	198	301	333	634	136	283	33	12	277	81	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIN	49%	188	162	33	6	2	5	21	60	3	5	1	204	306	358	664	154	286	32	11	287	88	-3	+1	-0	-1	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	259	224	46	9	2	7	29	81	4	7	2	205	307	357	665	152	288	31	11	294	94	-2	+1	-0	-2	+6	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	306	263	57	11	3	9	35	95	5	8	2	217	320	384	704	167	289	31	11	300	97	-1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	337	290	63	12	3	11	38	104	6	9	2	217	320	393	713	176	290	31	11	303	100	-0	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	349	300	65	12	3	11	40	107	6	9	2	217	321	387	707	170	291	31	11	306	102	+1	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	356	306	66	12	3	12	41	109	6	9	2	216	320	392	712	176	291	31	12	308	103	+1	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	359	309	66	12	3	12	41	110	6	9	2	214	317	388	706	175	291	31	11	310	104	+2	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	352	302	66	12	3	12	41	108	6	9	2	219	324	397	721	179	291	31	12	310	104	+2	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	345	296	65	12	3	12	40	107	6	8	2	220	325	402	727	182	290	31	12	309	104	+1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	331	283	61	11	3	11	39	103	6	8	2	216	323	392	715	177	289	31	12	307	102	+1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	321	274	60	11	3	11	38	101	6	7	2	219	327	401	729	182	287	31	12	304	100	+0	+1	-2	-2	+7	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	310	266	55	10	2	10	36	98	5	7	2	207	313	372	685	165	285	32	12	300	98	-1	+1	-2	-2	+7	0.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	324	278	56	10	2	10	38	104	5	7	2	201	308	360	668	158	281	32	12	295	94	-2	+1	-3	-2	+7	0.1
2041	33	MLB CTX	MIN	59%	322	276	55	10	2	10	38	105	5	6	2	199	307	359	666	159	276	33	12	288	89	-4	+0	-3	-2	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4553	3911	830	153	38	145	526	1423	76	110	28	212	317	382	699	170	289	31	12	302	97	-7	+11	-16	-27	+99	6.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	558	119	22	5	21	75	203	11	16	4	213	318	384	702	170	290	31	12	302	97	-1	+2	-2	-4	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	8528	7328	1543	284	68	267	984	2679	147	223	59	211	316	377	693	167	288	31	12	312	97	-15	+19	-30	-50	+181	10.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	559	117	22	5	20	75	204	11	17	4	209	315	374	689	165	287	31	12	312	97	-1	+1	-2	-4	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	8.0	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
/162	664	24	18	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#2Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	5.1	3,373	207	32	195	320	459	-29	-11	13.5	14.1
/162	664	41	6	-5.6	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 15
#3Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.9	4,557	145	109	213	315	383	-27	-16	10.1	8.4
/162	664	21	16	-4.0	-2.3	1.5	pk7: 7
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Teilon Serrano (OGILVIE)	18	35→39	40→56	65→60	55	183/293/301	119	282	3	7	35%	12%	73	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	55	216/324/330	114	293	8	18	27%	12%	91	+0.6	237/321/380	143	308	13	20	25%	10%	100	+1.3	237/324/389	152	306	14	21	25%	10%	100	+0.9
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	73	-0.6	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→52	43→50	56→55	47	203/279/323	120	288	8	13	30%	9%	71	-0.8	213/282/343	130	314	11	16	33%	9%	76	-0.4	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	42	44→45	47→30	43	207/277/335	127	282	11	6	29%	7%	74	-0.6	230/289/339	109	300	8	5	24%	7%	78	-0.3	252/312/362	110	332	10	2	25%	7%	89	+0.2
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	68	-1.0	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	62	-1.4	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→46	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	64	-1.3	188/251/299	111	251	9	7	28%	7%	55	-2.0	219/282/397	178	265	23	8	27%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	202/254/274	72	296	2	25	30%	6%	49	-2.4	242/294/410	167	331	20	27	32%	6%	94	+0.4
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→55	43→45	57→45	40	220/270/339	119	285	9	15	26%	5%	71	-0.8	223/290/326	103	293	9	12	26%	7%	76	-0.4	233/299/331	99	302	8	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→45	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	54	-2.0	216/272/315	99	296	8	14	28%	7%	66	-1.1	219/279/346	127	314	10	7	32%	7%	73	-0.6
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	46→54	44→50	54→60	41	222/283/347	125	322	10	12	33%	7%	78	-0.3	212/271/329	117	349	11	13	39%	7%	69	-0.9	208/278/361	153	307	17	29	36%	8%	78	-0.3
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→50	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	196/245/302	106	303	10	7	37%	5%	53	-2.1	225/276/346	121	319	13	2	32%	5%	71	-0.3
●Jesús Sánchez 2016 · A	18	48→52	41→60	55→50	43	232/272/335	103	278	7	8	19%	5%	70	-0.9	243/273/369	126	310	12	5	25%	4%	78	-0.3	253/320/456	203	316	25	4	27%	8%	113	+1.7
✕Abraham Almonte 2007 · A	18	41→51	45→55	54→55	54	205/293/332	127	260	12	26	25%	11%	79	-0.2	208/266/308	100	276	8	19	26%	7%	62	-1.4	228/326/410	182	278	20	11	24%	12%	106	+1.0
✕Marcelo Mayer 2022 · A	19	46	42→50	52→50	42	215/278/321	106	327	10	12	35%	8%	70	-0.8	219/284/361	142	316	14	12	33%	8%	82	-0.0	221/283/367	147	304	15	14	31%	7%	81	-0.0
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51	43→50	50→55	51	244/315/357	114	300	9	14	21%	9%	92	+0.7	228/318/325	97	308	8	17	26%	11%	86	+0.3	228/320/369	141	283	16	24	24%	11%	94	+0.8
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A	19	40→43	41→55	48→50	50	195/275/298	102	255	8	6	26%	9%	64	-1.3	195/268/291	96	304	8	7	35%	8%	60	-1.6	209/318/396	187	271	23	9	30%	12%	102	+1.1
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	51→45	43	216/277/350	134	270	12	10	25%	6%	77	-0.3	235/294/358	123	286	13	8	22%	5%	85	+0.2	253/307/381	128	303	13	6	20%	5%	92	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps