Teilon Serrano — OGILVIE

Teilon SerranoOF DSL Twins

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 200 lbs ROK BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 3.9 · 2034

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .284 / .341

PA159

HR4

K%30

BB%8

MLB%4%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35↗39

PWR

40↗56

SPD

65↘60

FLD

45→45

EYE

55→55

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.0peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+3.1	$29M	+$28M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.5	$33M	+$33M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.7	$36M	+$35M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+3.9	$40M	+$32M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+3.9	$41M	+$27M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$19M	+3.7	$40M	+$21M
Totals		$43M		$219M	+$176M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	189	165	30	5	1	4	18	70	5	21	5	.182	.282	.297	.579	.115	.283	37	10	.247	47	-11	+2	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	MIN	159	143	30	5	1	4	13	48	2	3	1	.210	.285	.343	.627	.133	.286	30	8	.283	75	-5	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 14%	MIN	244	217	50	8	2	7	22	70	3	6	2	.230	.310	.382	.692	.152	.302	29	9	.312	97	-1	+0	-0	-1	+7	0.5
2028	20	MLB 31%	MIN	372	328	79	13	2	13	36	104	5	10	3	.241	.325	.412	.737	.171	.309	28	10	.326	108	+3	+1	-1	-2	+11	1.2
2029	21	MLB 51%	MIN	468	411	100	16	3	17	47	127	7	13	3	.243	.331	.421	.752	.178	.310	27	10	.336	115	+8	+1	-1	-3	+13	1.9
2030	22	MLB 73%	MIN	535	466	117	19	3	21	56	142	8	15	3	.251	.342	.440	.781	.189	.310	27	10	.343	121	+12	+2	-1	-3	+15	2.6
2031	23	MLB 93%	MIN	581	506	128	21	4	23	62	151	8	16	3	.253	.344	.447	.790	.194	.310	26	11	.349	125	+16	+2	-1	-3	+16	3.1
2032	24	MLB	MIN	611	530	135	22	4	25	67	157	9	16	3	.255	.348	.453	.801	.198	.311	26	11	.353	128	+19	+2	-1	-4	+17	3.5
2033	25	MLB	MIN	628	544	138	22	4	26	70	161	9	16	3	.254	.348	.452	.801	.199	.311	26	11	.356	131	+22	+2	-1	-4	+18	3.7
2034	26	MLB	MIN	636	550	141	23	4	27	72	163	9	16	3	.256	.352	.460	.812	.204	.312	26	11	.358	132	+23	+2	-1	-4	+18	3.9
2035	27	MLB	MIN	636	549	140	22	4	27	73	163	9	16	3	.255	.352	.457	.809	.202	.312	26	11	.358	132	+23	+2	-1	-4	+18	3.9
2036	28	MLB	MIN	632	545	138	22	4	26	73	163	9	15	3	.253	.351	.451	.802	.198	.312	26	12	.357	131	+22	+2	-2	-4	+18	3.7
2037	29	MLB	MIN	622	536	136	22	4	26	72	163	9	15	2	.254	.352	.455	.807	.201	.311	26	12	.355	129	+21	+2	-3	-4	+18	3.5
2038	30	MLB	MIN	611	526	131	21	3	25	71	162	9	14	2	.249	.348	.443	.791	.194	.309	27	12	.351	127	+19	+2	-3	-4	+17	3.2
2039	31	MLB	MIN	597	514	127	20	3	24	69	161	9	13	1	.247	.346	.438	.784	.191	.308	27	12	.348	124	+16	+2	-4	-4	+17	2.9
2040	32	MLB	MIN	579	499	122	19	3	23	67	159	8	12	0	.244	.343	.433	.776	.188	.306	27	12	.343	121	+13	+2	-5	-3	+16	2.5
2041	33	MLB	MIN	549	473	114	18	3	21	63	154	8	11	0	.241	.340	.425	.765	.184	.305	28	11	.337	116	+10	+2	-5	-3	+16	2.0
2042	34	MLB	MIN	502	432	101	15	3	18	58	145	7	11	0	.234	.334	.407	.741	.174	.303	29	12	.330	111	+6	+2	-6	-3	+14	1.4
2043	35	MLB	MIN	445	385	87	13	2	15	51	133	6	10	0	.226	.326	.387	.713	.161	.301	30	11	.322	105	+2	+2	-6	-3	+13	0.8
2044	36	MLB	MIN	384	333	73	11	2	12	43	119	5	9	0	.219	.318	.372	.690	.153	.298	31	11	.313	98	-1	+2	-7	-2	+11	0.2
2045	37	MLB	MIN	319	277	59	9	2	9	35	102	4	7	0	.213	.310	.357	.668	.144	.294	32	11	.302	90	-4	+1	-8	-2	+9	-0.3
2046	38	MLB	MIN	249	217	44	6	1	7	27	82	3	6	0	.203	.300	.336	.636	.134	.288	33	11	.291	81	-5	+1	-8	-1	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10548	9146	2220	352	62	400	1165	2899	151	271	40	.243	.338	.426	.764	.183	.308	27	11	.339	118	+210	+38	-65	-63	+299	42.8
/ 162G	—			650	564	138	22	4	25	72	179	9	17	2	.245	.340	.431	.770	.186	.311	28	11	.339	118	+13	+3	-4	-4	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	189	155	40	7	2	5	28	48	5	21	5	.258	.388	.426	.814	.168	.340	25	15	.367	139	+8	+2	—	—	+5	1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Teilon Serrano (OGILVIE)	18	35→39	40→56	65→60	55	.209/.284/.341	.131	.286	4	3	30%	8%	75	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	39→41	42→50	53→55	44	.191/.270/.293	.102	.283	10	11	34%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.283/.318	.119	.317	11	15	37%	9%	69	-0.4	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→52	43→65	54→55	44	.209/.272/.318	.108	.282	10	12	29%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.253/.326	.133	.287	13	12	36%	7%	57	-1.2	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	.228/.289/.349	.121	.291	8	9	24%	7%	77	+0.1	.249/.303/.399	.150	.321	15	8	26%	6%	97	+1.5	.288/.348/.497	.209	.353	27	29	25%	7%	136	+3.8
●Teoscar Hernández 2012 · A	19	41→51	44→65	54→55	44	.206/.265/.330	.124	.258	11	13	24%	7%	63	-0.9	.204/.256/.328	.124	.293	11	14	33%	6%	59	-1.1	.276/.326/.479	.204	.351	27	8	28%	6%	126	+3.6
●Riley Greene 2021 · A	20	44→54	44→60	53→50	39	.215/.271/.330	.115	.305	11	9	32%	6%	66	-0.6	.252/.315/.404	.152	.357	15	10	31%	8%	103	+1.9	.263/.332/.466	.203	.338	25	5	28%	9%	124	+3.1
●Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	46→51	44→55	54→60	41	.222/.283/.345	.123	.322	10	12	33%	7%	74	-0.1	.211/.269/.329	.118	.341	11	12	38%	7%	64	-0.8	.215/.284/.387	.172	.311	20	29	36%	8%	83	+0.5
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→50	57→50	40	.222/.271/.344	.122	.287	10	14	26%	5%	69	-0.4	.224/.289/.328	.104	.294	9	12	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.212/.286/.306	.093	.292	9	9	28%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	52→50	41	.218/.277/.333	.115	.291	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	.218/.286/.320	.102	.285	6	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
★Austin Meadows 2014 · A	19	45→55	43→65	49→55	43	.214/.282/.336	.122	.308	10	6	32%	8%	72	-0.2	.242/.292/.362	.120	.310	9	10	24%	6%	82	+0.5	.255/.336/.495	.240	.289	30	8	23%	10%	129	+2.7
●Joc Pederson 2012 · A	20	48→52	44→65	53→55	45	.235/.293/.354	.119	.299	12	15	25%	7%	81	+0.4	.242/.308/.399	.157	.308	19	20	26%	8%	99	+1.7	.257/.362/.473	.216	.296	28	5	22%	12%	134	+3.0
●Franmil Reyes 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→65	50→45	42	.204/.266/.299	.095	.285	6	10	29%	7%	55	-1.4	.208/.259/.302	.094	.287	7	6	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.256/.325/.480	.224	.314	34	0	29%	9%	126	+2.6
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→46	43→60	51→45	46	.200/.266/.317	.117	.249	9	7	23%	7%	60	-1.0	.189/.251/.300	.111	.250	9	7	27%	7%	50	-1.8	.224/.290/.404	.180	.268	24	8	26%	8%	90	+0.8
★Corey Seager 2013 · A	19	46→56	46→65	51→45	44	.231/.283/.361	.130	.288	14	9	25%	6%	79	+0.3	.250/.299/.420	.170	.314	19	7	26%	6%	101	+1.8	.291/.353/.484	.193	.337	22	4	20%	8%	135	+4.6
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	42	42→45	50→30	47	.200/.281/.306	.106	.296	9	6	33%	10%	64	-0.8	.208/.272/.296	.088	.261	6	3	21%	7%	56	-1.3	.212/.269/.300	.089	.261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→51	43→55	56→55	48	.206/.282/.325	.120	.283	9	13	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.212/.283/.340	.128	.306	11	16	32%	9%	73	-0.1	.232/.314/.375	.143	.300	15	24	26%	11%	91	+0.8
●Corbin Carroll 2021 · A	20	46→54	40→60	57→60	46	.216/.286/.313	.097	.312	6	16	31%	9%	67	-0.5	.247/.323/.431	.184	.329	19	26	29%	9%	114	+2.7	.245/.332/.462	.217	.278	24	37	21%	10%	121	+3.5
★Rafael Devers 2015 · A	18	48→58	43→65	51→45	45	.232/.290/.349	.116	.298	9	6	25%	7%	78	+0.2	.242/.281/.377	.135	.300	13	6	23%	5%	82	+0.5	.277/.351/.516	.240	.303	32	4	20%	9%	138	+4.7
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	.214/.294/.340	.125	.274	14	15	26%	8%	79	+0.3	.220/.281/.362	.142	.292	16	13	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.205/.253/.387	.182	.264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
★Jason Heyward 2008 · A	18	46→56	41→55	47→50	41	.220/.274/.320	.100	.304	7	7	29%	6%	64	-0.8	.259/.317/.406	.147	.307	14	9	20%	7%	105	+2.1	.255/.348/.438	.183	.301	21	14	22%	12%	121	+3.1
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	42	43→45	48→30	43	.205/.276/.323	.118	.282	9	6	29%	7%	66	-0.6	.226/.287/.334	.108	.294	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	.246/.302/.354	.108	.308	8	2	22%	7%	82	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)