Teilon Serrano — OGILVIE

Teilon SerranoOF FCL Twins

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 200 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION171 act + 114 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .292 / .306

PA114

HR2

K%33

BB%11

BABIP271

ISO122

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$8M	+$7M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+1.9	$8M	+$5M
2036	Arb-3	$8M	+1.7	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$21M		$47M	+$39M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	189	165	30	5	1	4	18	70	5	21	5	182	282	297	579	115	283	37	10	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	189	155	40	7	2	5	28	48	5	21	5	258	388	426	814	168	340	25	15	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	MIN	—	171	133	19	6	2	2	30	72	5	11	4	143	321	263	585	120	279	42	18	268	63	-7	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
YTD	18	ROK	MIN	—	171	115	24	8	3	2	48	50	5	11	4	209	458	383	841	174	338	29	28	388	155	+11	+1	+0	-1	+5	1.5
ROS	18	ROK	MIN	4%	114	98	18	4	1	2	13	38	2	4	1	184	292	306	598	122	277	33	11	278	71	-4	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	MIN	4%	5	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	250	400	250	650		277	40	20	265	61	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	18	ROK	MIN	—	176	137	20	6	2	2	31	74	5	11	4	146	324	263	586	117	286	42	18	268	63	-7	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.3
TOT	18	ROK	MIN	—	285	231	37	10	3	4	43	110	7	15	5	160	310	281	591	121	275	39	15	272	66	-11	+1	-0	-2	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIN	36%	302	259	51	10	3	6	35	97	5	8	2	197	304	328	633	131	281	32	12	289	80	-7	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.0
2028	20	MLB	MIN	49%	416	359	72	14	3	10	47	129	7	10	3	201	305	340	645	139	285	31	11	300	88	-6	+1	-1	-2	+12	0.4
2029	21	MLB	MIN	55%	499	431	91	18	4	14	56	151	9	13	3	211	315	369	683	158	286	30	11	307	93	-4	+1	-1	-3	+14	0.8
2030	22	MLB	MIN	57%	557	479	102	20	4	16	63	167	10	14	4	213	317	372	689	159	288	30	11	312	97	-2	+1	-1	-3	+16	1.1
2031	23	MLB	MIN	58%	596	512	111	21	5	18	68	178	11	15	4	217	321	383	704	166	289	30	11	316	100	+0	+1	-1	-4	+17	1.4
2032	24	MLB	MIN	57%	621	534	117	22	5	20	71	185	11	16	4	219	323	391	714	172	290	30	11	320	103	+2	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.7
2033	25	MLB	MIN	57%	631	543	120	23	5	21	72	187	11	16	4	221	324	398	722	177	290	30	11	322	104	+3	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.8
2034	26	MLB	MIN	57%	637	548	120	23	5	21	73	189	11	16	4	219	323	394	717	175	290	30	11	323	105	+4	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.9
2035	27	MLB	MIN	55%	636	547	120	23	5	21	73	189	11	16	4	219	323	395	718	176	289	30	11	323	105	+4	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.9
2036	28	MLB	MIN	55%	631	542	118	22	5	21	73	189	11	15	4	218	323	393	716	175	289	30	12	322	105	+3	+1	-2	-4	+18	1.7
2037	29	MLB	MIN	58%	620	532	115	22	5	20	72	187	11	15	4	216	322	389	711	173	288	30	12	320	103	+2	+1	-3	-4	+18	1.5
2038	30	MLB	MIN	60%	609	522	113	21	5	20	71	185	11	14	4	216	323	391	714	174	286	30	12	317	101	+1	+1	-3	-4	+17	1.3
2039	31	MLB	MIN	62%	595	510	108	20	4	19	70	182	10	13	3	212	319	378	697	167	284	31	12	313	98	-1	+1	-4	-4	+17	1.0
2040	32	MLB	MIN	63%	576	494	103	19	4	18	67	179	10	12	3	209	315	372	688	164	280	31	12	308	94	-4	+1	-5	-3	+16	0.6
2041	33	MLB	MIN	63%	547	469	95	17	4	16	64	173	9	11	3	203	310	358	668	156	275	32	12	301	89	-7	+1	-5	-3	+15	0.1
2042	34	MLB	MIN	59%	499	430	83	14	3	14	58	161	8	9	2	193	300	337	638	144	269	32	12	293	82	-10	+1	-6	-3	+14	-0.4
2027	19	MLB	MIN	36%	109	93	19	4	1	2	13	35	2	3	1	204	315	333	648	129	282	32	12	278	71	-4	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	MIN	49%	204	175	36	7	2	5	23	63	4	5	1	206	312	354	666	149	285	31	11	287	78	-5	+1	-0	-1	+6	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	MIN	55%	272	234	49	10	2	7	31	83	5	7	2	209	315	359	674	150	286	31	11	294	84	-5	+1	-0	-2	+8	0.1
2030	22	MLB	MIN	57%	316	271	58	11	3	9	36	95	6	8	2	214	319	376	696	162	288	30	11	300	88	-4	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.3
2031	23	MLB	MIN	58%	343	295	64	12	3	11	39	102	6	9	2	217	321	390	710	173	289	30	11	304	91	-4	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.4
2032	24	MLB	MIN	57%	354	305	67	13	3	11	40	105	6	9	2	220	322	390	712	170	290	30	11	307	93	-3	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.6
2033	25	MLB	MIN	57%	358	308	68	13	3	12	41	106	6	9	2	221	324	399	723	179	290	30	11	309	95	-2	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.6
2034	26	MLB	MIN	57%	361	311	68	13	3	12	41	107	6	9	2	219	321	395	717	177	290	30	11	310	96	-2	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.7
2035	27	MLB	MIN	55%	353	303	67	13	3	12	41	105	6	9	2	221	326	403	728	182	290	30	12	310	96	-2	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.7
2036	28	MLB	MIN	55%	347	298	66	12	3	12	40	104	6	8	2	221	326	403	728	181	289	30	12	309	95	-2	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.6
2037	29	MLB	MIN	58%	360	309	68	13	3	12	42	108	6	9	2	220	325	398	723	178	288	30	12	307	93	-3	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.5
2038	30	MLB	MIN	60%	367	315	68	13	3	12	43	111	6	8	2	216	321	390	712	175	286	30	12	305	91	-4	+1	-2	-2	+10	0.4
2039	31	MLB	MIN	62%	367	315	67	12	3	12	43	112	6	8	2	213	319	384	703	171	284	31	12	301	88	-5	+1	-2	-2	+10	0.2
2040	32	MLB	MIN	63%	362	311	65	12	3	11	42	112	6	8	2	209	315	373	688	164	280	31	12	296	84	-6	+1	-3	-2	+10	-0.0
2041	33	MLB	MIN	63%	347	298	60	11	2	10	40	109	6	7	2	201	308	352	660	151	275	31	12	289	79	-8	+1	-3	-2	+10	-0.3
2042	34	MLB	MIN	59%	294	253	48	8	2	8	34	95	5	6	1	190	298	332	630	142	269	32	12	281	73	-9	+1	-3	-2	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5119	4398	939	177	42	158	590	1554	88	122	29	214	319	381	699	167	288	30	12	301	88	-67	+13	-21	-31	+145	4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	118	22	5	20	75	197	11	15	4	211	317	376	693	165	284	30	12	301	88	-9	+1	-3	-4	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	9275	7974	1687	318	71	281	1064	2836	163	238	61	212	317	375	692	163	287	31	11	312	97	-36	+23	-36	-56	+263	16.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	559	118	22	5	20	75	199	11	17	4	211	316	376	692	165	286	31	12	312	97	-3	+2	-3	-4	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	189	155	40	7	2	5	28	48	5	21	5	258	388	426	814	168	340	25	15	367	139	+8	+2	—	—	+5	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	13	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
	/162	664	24	18	235	314	428	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#2Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	9	3,373	207	32	195	320	459	-29	-11	13.5	14.1
#2Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	/162	664	41	6	195	320	459	-5.6	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 15
#3Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	5,122	158	121	214	316	380	-31	-18	10.7	9.0
	/162	664	20	16	214	316	380	-4.0	-2.3	1.4	pk7: 7
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Teilon Serrano (OGILVIE)	18	35→39	40→56	65→60	55	160/310/281	121	275	4	15	39%	15%	66	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	41	43→50	47→40	43	202/274/320	118	277	9	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	227/287/334	107	295	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	248/308/368	120	321	11	2	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
●Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→52	42→55	56→55	46	201/275/316	115	288	8	13	31%	9%	63	-0.8	212/280/338	126	319	10	16	34%	8%	72	-0.2	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→44	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	59	-1.1	188/250/298	110	251	9	7	28%	7%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	46→53	44→55	54→60	41	222/283/347	125	322	10	12	33%	7%	75	-0.0	211/270/330	119	351	11	13	40%	7%	65	-0.7	214/281/384	170	311	19	29	36%	8%	81	+0.4
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→49	43→60	54→55	44	208/271/317	109	280	11	13	29%	7%	63	-0.9	191/252/319	128	296	13	13	38%	7%	56	-1.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	45→49	41→60	55→50	47	217/288/313	96	267	8	16	21%	7%	69	-0.4	215/262/314	99	286	8	16	27%	5%	57	-1.2	261/322/478	218	301	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A	20	45→55	43→60	57→50	42	218/277/333	115	296	10	13	29%	7%	69	-0.4	234/291/434	200	292	25	13	28%	7%	102	+1.9	227/288/440	213	276	26	14	28%	7%	100	+1.5
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→50	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/320	103	296	8	14	28%	7%	63	-0.8	218/277/350	132	309	11	7	31%	7%	70	-0.3
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	52→45	43	216/277/348	132	271	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	235/292/359	124	285	14	8	22%	5%	82	+0.5	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→58	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	73	-0.1	221/273/317	96	291	7	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Marcelo Mayer 2022 · A	19	46→45	43→50	53→50	42	216/280/325	108	329	10	12	35%	8%	68	-0.5	216/281/362	146	316	16	12	34%	8%	79	+0.3	231/283/364	133	283	15	10	23%	6%	77	+0.1