Ayden Johnson — OGILVIE

Ayden JohnsonSS DSL Athletics

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 4.1 · 2034

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .281 / .330

PA117

HR3

K%31

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗40

PWR

35↗55

SPD

50→50

FLD

30↗50

EYE

55→55

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.6peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.7	$35M	+$34M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.0	$39M	+$38M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.1	$42M	+$41M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+4.1	$43M	+$34M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+4.0	$43M	+$29M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$20M	+3.8	$42M	+$22M
Totals		$46M		$244M	+$199M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	140	118	20	3	1	0	14	54	7	15	2	.169	.295	.212	.507	.042	.308	39	10	.235	38	-10	+2	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	OAK	117	105	23	4	1	3	10	36	1	2	0	.219	.293	.362	.655	.143	.287	31	9	.278	71	-4	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	OAK	207	183	42	7	1	6	19	60	3	4	1	.230	.312	.377	.689	.148	.303	29	9	.308	94	-1	+0	-1	+2	+6	0.6
2028	20	MLB 28%	OAK	342	301	72	12	2	11	33	97	5	8	2	.239	.324	.402	.726	.163	.309	28	10	.321	104	+1	+1	-2	+4	+10	1.3
2029	21	MLB 48%	OAK	445	391	94	15	3	15	44	123	7	10	2	.240	.328	.409	.737	.169	.310	28	10	.329	110	+5	+1	-3	+5	+13	2.1
2030	22	MLB 65%	OAK	518	452	110	18	3	18	53	140	8	11	2	.243	.333	.416	.749	.173	.310	27	10	.336	115	+9	+1	-4	+6	+15	2.7
2031	23	MLB 86%	OAK	567	493	123	20	4	21	60	151	9	12	2	.249	.342	.434	.776	.185	.310	27	11	.342	120	+13	+2	-4	+6	+16	3.3
2032	24	MLB	OAK	599	520	130	21	4	23	65	157	9	12	2	.250	.343	.438	.782	.188	.311	26	11	.346	123	+16	+2	-4	+6	+17	3.7
2033	25	MLB	OAK	618	536	134	21	4	24	68	161	9	12	2	.250	.344	.438	.783	.188	.312	26	11	.349	125	+18	+2	-4	+7	+18	4.0
2034	26	MLB	OAK	627	542	137	22	4	25	70	163	10	12	2	.253	.349	.446	.795	.194	.312	26	11	.351	127	+19	+2	-4	+7	+18	4.1
2035	27	MLB	OAK	628	542	137	22	4	25	71	164	10	12	2	.253	.350	.446	.796	.194	.312	26	11	.351	127	+19	+2	-4	+7	+18	4.1
2036	28	MLB	OAK	624	539	134	21	4	24	71	165	9	11	2	.249	.346	.436	.782	.187	.312	26	11	.350	126	+18	+1	-5	+7	+18	4.0
2037	29	MLB	OAK	615	530	133	21	4	24	71	164	9	11	1	.251	.349	.442	.791	.191	.311	27	12	.348	124	+17	+2	-6	+7	+17	3.8
2038	30	MLB	OAK	604	521	128	20	4	23	69	163	9	10	1	.246	.344	.432	.776	.186	.310	27	11	.345	122	+15	+2	-6	+6	+17	3.4
2039	31	MLB	OAK	590	508	123	19	3	22	68	162	9	9	0	.242	.342	.421	.763	.179	.308	27	12	.341	119	+13	+2	-7	+6	+17	3.1
2040	32	MLB	OAK	572	494	118	18	3	21	65	160	8	8	0	.239	.337	.415	.752	.176	.307	28	11	.336	115	+10	+2	-8	+6	+16	2.7
2041	33	MLB	OAK	542	467	110	17	3	19	62	155	8	8	0	.236	.335	.407	.742	.171	.305	29	11	.330	111	+7	+2	-8	+6	+15	2.2
2042	34	MLB	OAK	495	429	99	15	3	17	56	146	7	8	0	.231	.329	.399	.728	.168	.304	29	11	.324	106	+3	+2	-8	+5	+14	1.6
2043	35	MLB	OAK	439	381	85	13	2	14	49	134	6	7	0	.223	.321	.378	.699	.155	.301	31	11	.316	100	-0	+1	-9	+5	+12	1.0
2044	36	MLB	OAK	378	328	70	10	2	11	42	119	5	6	0	.213	.312	.357	.669	.143	.298	31	11	.307	93	-3	+1	-9	+4	+11	0.4
2045	37	MLB	OAK	313	272	58	8	2	9	34	102	4	5	0	.213	.310	.357	.666	.143	.294	33	11	.296	85	-5	+1	-9	+3	+9	-0.1
2046	38	MLB	OAK	243	212	42	6	1	6	26	81	3	4	0	.198	.295	.321	.615	.123	.289	33	11	.285	77	-6	+1	-9	+3	+7	-0.6
2047	39	MLB	OAK	169	147	29	4	1	4	18	57	2	3	0	.197	.293	.320	.613	.122	.283	34	11	.274	68	-6	+1	-10	+2	+5	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10392	9011	2151	337	63	365	1138	2914	157	200	23	.239	.334	.412	.746	.173	.309	28	11	.332	112	+147	+31	-128	+111	+294	46.5
/ 162G	—			650	564	135	21	4	23	71	182	10	13	1	.239	.335	.413	.748	.174	.309	28	11	.332	112	+9	+2	-8	+7	+18	2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	140	109	28	5	1	0	23	38	7	15	2	.257	.417	.321	.738	.064	.389	27	16	.351	127	+4	+2	—	—	+4	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ayden Johnson (OGILVIE)	18	20→40	35→55	50	55	.207/.281/.330	.123	.287	3	2	31%	8%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	40	42→50	48→55	43	.195/.271/.297	.102	.274	9	9	31%	8%	58	-1.2	.218/.289/.357	.139	.282	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	.220/.291/.383	.163	.271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→52	43→65	54→55	44	.209/.272/.318	.108	.282	10	12	29%	7%	63	-0.8	.193/.253/.326	.133	.287	13	12	36%	7%	57	-1.2	.270/.336/.500	.231	.327	29	25	26%	8%	134	+3.6
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	52→50	41	.218/.277/.333	.115	.291	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	.218/.286/.320	.102	.285	6	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	42→46	41→50	48→45	47	.202/.283/.303	.101	.271	9	13	27%	9%	65	-0.7	.209/.282/.326	.117	.298	11	8	31%	8%	69	-0.4	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→55	49→55	45	.217/.279/.319	.102	.277	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	.233/.280/.389	.156	.311	18	19	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
●Miguel Sanó 2011 · A	18	44→52	43→70	45	37	.212/.262/.323	.112	.317	11	6	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.211/.275/.398	.187	.296	23	6	35%	7%	85	+0.7	.243/.334/.470	.227	.340	31	2	35%	11%	124	+3.1
✕Esmerlyn Valdez 2022 · A	18	44→42	45→55	48→40	40	.212/.282/.337	.125	.313	13	7	35%	7%	73	-0.1	.198/.275/.323	.125	.300	13	5	36%	8%	66	-0.6	.194/.284/.363	.169	.278	23	2	37%	9%	78	+0.1
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	44→52	49→65	49→45	45	.226/.283/.369	.143	.276	17	6	25%	7%	81	+0.4	.250/.300/.421	.171	.300	23	7	24%	6%	102	+1.8	.258/.305/.479	.221	.284	33	5	22%	6%	116	+2.6
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	45→60	43→30	45	.215/.274/.337	.122	.275	14	3	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.206/.251/.346	.140	.279	17	2	32%	5%	62	-0.9	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
★Carlos Correa 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→60	51→55	37	.205/.244/.299	.094	.289	6	8	31%	5%	45	-2.1	.257/.317/.390	.133	.320	11	13	22%	7%	100	+1.7	.284/.360/.488	.204	.328	24	14	20%	10%	137	+4.4
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	43→55	48→40	43	.202/.265/.315	.112	.256	11	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	.237/.309/.408	.171	.278	22	4	23%	7%	103	+1.9	.224/.284/.381	.157	.267	19	2	23%	5%	85	+0.4
●Willy Adames 2015 · A	19	48→53	41→60	47→50	46	.224/.293/.338	.114	.316	6	6	29%	8%	76	+0.1	.224/.290/.335	.111	.332	7	8	32%	8%	75	-0.0	.263/.332/.462	.199	.341	24	5	28%	9%	122	+2.4
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A	19	40→44	41→55	48→50	50	.198/.276/.300	.102	.259	8	6	26%	9%	60	-1.0	.193/.268/.290	.097	.299	8	7	35%	8%	54	-1.4	.213/.322/.409	.196	.275	24	9	30%	12%	106	+1.6
●Gleyber Torres 2015 · A	18	46→54	37→60	46→50	46	.215/.278/.292	.076	.296	4	10	27%	8%	58	-1.2	.231/.286/.324	.093	.321	6	13	28%	7%	69	-0.4	.258/.343/.395	.138	.293	16	6	17%	11%	111	+2.7
✕Jeral Perez 2023 · A	18	43→41	46→50	49→45	47	.215/.281/.349	.134	.266	14	7	24%	8%	75	-0.0	.204/.280/.348	.144	.274	17	7	30%	8%	75	-0.0	.193/.265/.343	.150	.253	19	6	31%	7%	65	-0.5
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	.228/.289/.349	.121	.291	8	9	24%	7%	77	+0.1	.249/.303/.399	.150	.321	15	8	26%	6%	97	+1.5	.288/.348/.497	.209	.353	27	29	25%	7%	136	+3.8
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→49	44→55	48→45	41	.207/.263/.315	.109	.281	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	.234/.289/.391	.157	.301	19	7	28%	7%	89	+1.0	.233/.291/.410	.177	.289	23	6	27%	7%	93	+1.0
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→37	44→50	44→45	43	.199/.265/.312	.113	.271	12	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	.198/.260/.317	.119	.255	13	9	27%	7%	58	-1.2	.195/.258/.323	.128	.235	16	9	24%	7%	56	-0.7
●Gary Sánchez 2011 · A	18	49→51	47→65	46→45	39	.239/.293/.375	.135	.327	14	5	30%	6%	86	+0.8	.220/.268/.368	.148	.299	18	6	32%	5%	75	-0.0	.232/.315/.480	.248	.254	37	1	26%	9%	119	+2.3
✕Josue Briceño 2023 · A	18	39→41	42→60	44→40	38	.195/.242/.294	.099	.280	10	5	33%	6%	43	-2.2	.222/.286/.353	.131	.282	14	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	.228/.304/.389	.161	.273	19	2	23%	9%	94	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)