Ayden Johnson — OGILVIE

Ayden JohnsonSS DSL Athletics

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION134 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .250 / .182

PA12

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP291

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	140	109	28	5	1	0	23	38	7	15	2	257	417	321	738	64	389	27	16	351	124	+4	+2	—	—	+3	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	140	118	20	3	1	0	14	54	7	15	2	169	295	212	507	42	297	39	10	235	45	-9	+2	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	140	118	20	3	1	0	14	54	7	15	2	169	295	212	507	42	308	39	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	140	109	28	5	1	0	23	38	7	15	2	257	417	321	738	64	389	27	16	351	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	140	118	20	3	1	0	14	54	7	15	2	169	295	212	507	42	297	39	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	140	118	20	3	1	0	14	54	7	15	2	169	295	212	507	42	297	39	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	OAK	—	134	116	19	2	1	0	15	56	2	5	1	164	271	198	469	34	311	42	11	215	32	-11	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	OAK	—	134	107	25	3	1	0	24	39	2	5	1	234	383	280	664	47	362	29	18	319	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	OAK	0%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		286	33	8	251	56	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	OAK	—	146	127	21	2	1	0	16	60	2	5	1	165	269	197	466	31	309	41	11	218	34	-12	+1	-0	+2	+3	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	OAK	34%	210	186	37	6	1	3	19	67	3	4	1	199	284	290	574	91	288	32	9	266	66	-9	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	OAK	48%	345	305	63	10	2	6	32	106	5	7	1	207	292	311	604	105	291	31	9	277	74	-11	+1	-2	+4	+7	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	OAK	54%	447	395	83	13	3	9	42	135	7	8	2	210	297	327	624	116	292	30	9	285	79	-11	+1	-3	+5	+10	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	519	458	98	15	3	12	48	155	8	10	2	214	300	338	638	124	293	30	9	291	83	-10	+1	-4	+6	+11	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	OAK	58%	568	501	109	17	3	14	53	169	9	11	2	218	304	347	651	130	294	30	9	295	86	-10	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	600	529	116	18	4	15	56	178	10	11	2	219	306	353	659	134	295	30	9	298	88	-9	+1	-4	+6	+13	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	618	545	121	19	4	17	58	183	10	12	2	222	308	365	673	143	295	30	9	301	90	-8	+2	-4	+7	+13	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	627	553	122	19	4	17	59	185	10	12	2	221	307	362	669	141	295	30	9	302	91	-7	+2	-4	+7	+14	1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	628	553	122	19	4	17	60	186	10	12	2	221	308	362	670	141	295	30	10	302	91	-7	+2	-4	+7	+14	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	624	549	120	18	4	17	60	186	10	12	2	219	307	359	666	140	295	30	10	302	90	-7	+2	-5	+7	+14	1.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	615	540	118	18	3	17	60	184	10	11	2	219	308	357	666	139	294	30	10	300	89	-8	+1	-6	+7	+13	0.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	604	530	114	17	3	16	59	183	10	11	2	215	306	349	655	134	293	30	10	297	87	-9	+1	-6	+6	+13	0.6
2039	31	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	590	519	111	17	3	15	57	180	9	10	2	214	303	345	647	131	291	31	10	293	85	-11	+1	-7	+6	+13	0.3
2040	32	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	572	503	105	15	3	14	55	177	9	9	2	209	298	334	632	125	288	31	10	288	81	-13	+1	-8	+6	+12	-0.1
2041	33	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	542	477	98	14	3	13	52	171	8	8	2	205	294	329	623	124	284	32	10	282	77	-15	+1	-8	+6	+12	-0.5
2027	19	MLB CTX	OAK	34%	72	64	12	2	0	1	7	23	1	1	0	188	278	266	543	78	294	32	10	257	66	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	OAK	48%	167	147	31	5	1	3	15	51	3	3	1	211	297	320	617	109	296	31	9	268	74	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	OAK	54%	242	214	46	8	1	5	22	73	4	5	1	215	300	332	632	117	297	30	9	276	79	-6	+1	-2	+3	+5	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	294	260	57	9	2	7	27	88	5	6	1	219	305	350	655	131	298	30	9	282	83	-6	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	OAK	58%	327	288	63	10	2	8	31	97	5	6	1	219	306	351	656	132	299	30	9	285	86	-6	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	342	301	67	11	2	9	32	101	6	6	1	223	310	362	672	140	300	30	9	288	88	-5	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	351	309	69	11	2	9	33	104	6	7	1	223	310	359	670	136	301	30	9	291	90	-4	+1	-3	+4	+8	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	355	313	70	11	2	10	33	105	6	7	1	224	310	367	677	144	301	30	9	292	91	-4	+1	-3	+4	+8	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	348	306	68	11	2	9	33	103	6	7	1	222	310	359	670	137	301	30	9	292	91	-4	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	343	301	67	11	2	9	33	102	6	6	1	223	312	362	674	140	300	30	10	292	90	-4	+1	-3	+4	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	329	289	64	10	2	9	32	99	5	6	1	221	310	363	673	142	299	30	10	290	89	-4	+1	-3	+4	+7	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	318	279	62	10	2	8	31	96	5	6	1	222	311	358	670	136	298	30	10	287	87	-5	+1	-3	+3	+7	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	308	270	59	9	2	8	30	94	5	5	1	219	308	356	664	137	296	31	10	284	85	-6	+1	-4	+3	+7	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	297	261	56	9	2	7	29	92	5	5	1	215	305	345	650	130	293	31	10	279	81	-7	+1	-4	+3	+6	-0.0
2041	33	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	304	267	56	8	2	7	29	96	5	5	1	210	299	333	632	124	289	32	10	273	77	-8	+1	-5	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4397	3869	847	135	26	109	417	1324	73	81	14	219	307	352	658	133	300	30	9	285	84	-76	+11	-39	+47	+95	3.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	125	20	4	16	62	196	11	12	2	219	307	351	659	133	299	30	10	285	84	-11	+2	-6	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	8261	7272	1559	238	48	202	785	2503	135	163	30	214	303	344	646	129	294	30	10	293	84	-144	+18	-73	+87	+176	6.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	123	19	4	16	62	197	11	13	2	215	304	346	650	131	296	30	10	293	84	-12	+1	-6	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.8	4,515	112	82	216	300	347	+48	+0	9.9	8.3
/162	664	16	12	+7.1	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ayden Johnson (OGILVIE)	18	20→40	35→55	50	55	188/274/261	74	286	1	3	33%	9%	56	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→48	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	67	-1.1	211/270/308	97	287	7	34	27%	7%	64	-1.3	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	66	-1.1	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→45	39→45	47→55	48	202/296/282	81	254	6	12	22%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/305	95	253	9	16	20%	9%	74	-0.5	215/297/320	105	260	12	19	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→50	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	196/245/302	106	303	10	7	37%	5%	53	-2.1	225/276/346	121	319	13	2	32%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→52	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	51	-2.2	205/253/316	111	261	11	14	25%	5%	59	-1.6	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕José Fermín 2017 · A	18	42→51	37→45	48→55	44	201/258/285	84	274	3	8	27%	7%	54	-2.0	203/252/278	75	241	4	11	17%	4%	50	-2.3	244/330/367	123	265	11	26	12%	10%	98	+0.7
✕Yairo Muñoz 2013 · A	18	41→51	37→45	48→55	41	195/247/274	79	274	2	8	29%	6%	47	-2.6	202/253/288	86	262	6	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	263/305/392	130	320	14	17	22%	5%	92	+0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→41	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	58	-1.7	196/241/316	120	278	11	5	32%	5%	55	-2.0	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2010 · A	18	46→48	39→55	46→30	42	217/277/301	85	310	6	7	31%	7%	65	-1.2	213/251/356	143	261	18	3	26%	4%	68	-1.0	238/283/415	178	287	23	1	26%	4%	92	+0.5
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	44	-2.8	221/272/301	80	288	7	19	24%	6%	63	-1.4	235/283/299	64	303	5	24	23%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	43	-2.8	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→50	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	58	-1.7	242/287/359	117	276	12	5	17%	5%	82	-0.0	243/286/377	134	275	16	5	18%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	43→41	41→50	47→50	51	206/290/306	101	284	7	8	28%	10%	72	-0.7	190/261/308	118	286	11	9	35%	8%	61	-1.5	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps