Aldo Gaxiola — OGILVIE

Aldo Gaxiola3B Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 187 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION242 act + 161 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .243 / .306

PA161

HR3

K%34

BB%4

BABIP279

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	74	65	11	1	0	1	6	22	2	3	1	169	260	231	491	62	233	30	8	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	74	61	15	2	0	1	10	16	2	3	1	246	370	328	698	82	311	22	14	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	133	118	27	6	0	4	7	30	6	1	0	229	305	381	687	153	267	23	5	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	133	112	32	8	0	4	13	20	6	1	0	286	389	464	854	179	311	15	10	377	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	225	208	36	5	1	1	16	57	1	3	1	173	236	221	457	48	233	25	7	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	225	198	51	7	1	2	25	40	1	3	1	258	342	333	676	76	314	18	11	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	TOR	—	242	227	40	9	1	7	8	102	7	1	0	176	227	317	544	141	280	42	3	229	33	-18	+0	+0	+1	+7	-1.0
YTD	20	A	TOR	—	242	224	51	11	1	9	11	72	7	1	0	228	285	406	691	179	294	30	5	308	94	-2	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.6
ROS	20	A	TOR	0%	161	150	29	6	1	3	7	55	3	2	0	193	243	306	549	113	279	34	4	249	49	-9	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.4
ROS	20	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		280	—	—	236	38	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	TOR	—	242	228	40	9	1	7	8	102	7	1	0	175	227	316	543	140	277	42	3	229	33	-18	+0	+0	+1	+7	-1.0
TOT	20	A	TOR	—	403	377	69	15	2	10	15	157	10	3	0	183	234	313	546	130	279	39	4	237	40	-28	+1	+0	+1	+11	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TOR	34%	381	351	71	15	2	8	20	123	7	4	1	202	259	325	584	123	279	32	5	259	56	-19	+0	+0	+1	+11	-0.6
2028	22	MLB	TOR	48%	460	423	87	18	2	11	26	144	8	5	1	206	265	336	600	130	281	31	6	268	63	-19	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.4
2029	23	MLB	TOR	54%	506	463	97	20	2	12	29	155	9	5	1	210	269	339	609	130	283	31	6	274	68	-19	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.2
2030	24	MLB	TOR	55%	535	489	103	21	2	13	32	162	9	6	1	211	272	342	613	131	284	30	6	277	70	-18	+1	+0	+2	+15	-0.0
2031	25	MLB	TOR	56%	550	502	107	22	2	14	33	166	10	6	1	213	275	349	624	135	284	30	6	278	71	-18	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.0
2027	21	MLB	TOR	34%	131	121	25	5	1	3	7	42	2	1	0	207	262	339	600	132	281	32	5	246	47	-8	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
2028	22	MLB	TOR	48%	223	205	42	9	1	5	12	70	4	2	1	205	262	332	594	127	283	31	5	255	54	-12	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.5
2029	23	MLB	TOR	54%	274	251	53	11	1	7	16	84	5	3	1	211	272	347	619	135	284	31	6	261	58	-13	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.4
2030	24	MLB	TOR	55%	297	272	57	12	1	7	18	90	5	3	1	210	271	338	609	129	285	30	6	265	61	-13	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2031	25	MLB	TOR	56%	308	282	60	12	1	8	18	93	5	3	1	213	272	348	620	135	285	30	6	266	62	-13	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1233	1132	237	49	5	30	71	379	21	12	4	209	269	341	610	132	284	31	6	261	58	-59	+1	+0	+4	+35	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	126	26	3	16	37	200	11	6	2	211	270	345	615	134	286	31	6	261	58	-31	+0	+0	+2	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	3025	2769	568	114	12	67	176	914	55	35	7	205	266	328	594	122	278	30	6	266	62	-131	+4	+0	+11	+86	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	122	24	3	14	38	196	12	8	2	205	267	326	593	121	278	30	6	266	62	-28	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	74	61	15	2	0	1	10	16	2	3	1	246	370	328	698	82	311	22	14	324	106	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	133	112	32	8	0	4	13	20	6	1	0	286	389	464	854	179	311	15	10	377	147	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	225	198	51	7	1	2	25	40	1	3	1	258	342	333	676	76	314	18	11	311	96	-1	+0	—	—	+6	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,510	34	18	209	265	335	+5	+2	-1.1	-0.6
	/162	664	15	8	209	265	335	+2.4	+0.7	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aldo Gaxiola (OGILVIE)	20	40	20	40	40	183/234/313	130	279	10	3	39%	4%	40	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Jose Bellorin 2011 · A	20	42	39→40	47→50	42	203/257/285	81	265	6	10	25%	6%	47	-1.9	223/280/308	85	271	6	9	19%	6%	63	-0.8	239/295/316	78	276	6	10	15%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Victor Moscote 2014 · A	20	40	37→30	40→45	37	194/243/263	69	285	4	5	32%	5%	36	-2.7	209/262/265	56	278	2	5	24%	6%	44	-2.1	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Luis Palacios 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	45→50	44	205/265/285	81	267	6	7	25%	6%	51	-1.7	184/229/259	75	281	5	5	35%	5%	28	-3.2	142/174/195	54	228	4	4	38%	3%	-14	-1.2
✕Joshual Ramirez 2016 · A	20	44	36→30	44→50	41	209/258/275	66	277	4	9	25%	5%	45	-2.1	196/245/277	81	273	4	8	28%	5%	40	-2.4	154/194/243	89	210	3	6	27%	4%	7	-1.1
✕Luis Reynoso 2015 · A	20	41	37→30	43→50	39	194/249/260	66	291	4	7	33%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/244	53	335	3	5	41%	6%	32	-3.0	171/227/194	23	314	1	2	43%	6%	9	-1.2
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	44	38→45	42→40	40	212/269/287	76	277	6	6	25%	5%	54	-1.4	203/254/282	79	289	6	5	30%	5%	46	-2.0	147/189/214	67	208	8	0	33%	3%	-2	-1.0
✕Francisco Medina 2018 · A	20	40	38→40	45→40	39	194/247/263	69	280	6	5	32%	6%	37	-2.6	179/229/253	74	344	5	6	46%	6%	27	-3.3	135/180/213	77	254	5	6	47%	5%	-6	-1.3
✕Adonis Paula 2014 · A	20	42	38→40	46→40	43	198/268/282	84	272	4	5	27%	7%	52	-1.6	190/244/266	76	305	4	4	37%	6%	37	-2.6	163/210/219	56	303	4	2	45%	5%	8	-1.4
✕Luis Cruz 2013 · A	20	44	39→40	44→45	43	213/263/291	78	265	6	5	22%	5%	51	-1.7	221/272/313	92	282	8	5	24%	5%	61	-1.0	224/267/291	67	318	4	1	29%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Christopher Tamarez 2014 · A	20	42	38→45	36→40	41	203/248/281	78	264	6	3	25%	5%	43	-2.2	202/244/257	55	288	3	5	29%	5%	33	-2.9	184/216/191	7	263	0	3	29%	4%	0	-1.7
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	42	-2.3	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	-1	-1.2
✕Yusniel Díaz 2017 · A	20	43→50	43→45	44→50	41	216/262/326	110	287	11	9	29%	6%	60	-1.0	225/279/341	116	300	11	8	27%	7%	72	-0.2	223/281/345	123	293	12	7	27%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Eduardo Urbina 2008 · A	20	42	37→40	44→50	41	198/260/265	67	276	4	8	28%	6%	44	-2.1	209/279/285	76	290	5	8	28%	7%	57	-1.2	193/274/251	58	260	5	7	26%	7%	47	-0.6
✕Cristian Santana 2017 · A	20	39→48	42→45	39→30	35	198/229/297	99	268	10	4	30%	4%	38	-2.6	228/252/352	124	317	16	2	33%	3%	63	-0.9	249/275/348	99	334	10	0	28%	3%	68	-0.3
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Darwin Rivera 2012 · A	20	40	40	40→30	35	195/235/283	88	285	8	3	34%	4%	37	-2.6	202/248/286	84	285	7	3	30%	5%	44	-2.1	192/240/269	77	263	7	0	28%	5%	34	-0.9
✕Juan Fernandez 2019 · A	20	42→52	38→40	39→50	43	202/259/282	81	260	5	4	24%	6%	48	-1.9	205/262/300	95	269	8	5	26%	6%	54	-1.4	239/301/332	93	297	10	9	22%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Cristian Cano 2014 · A	20	46	36→30	44→50	48	215/293/277	63	284	4	9	24%	8%	62	-0.9	199/259/277	78	290	5	7	31%	6%	46	-2.0	146/196/224	77	221	4	2	34%	5%	4	-1.0
✕Roberto Feliz 2008 · A	20	43	41→45	41→45	40	211/263/308	98	277	9	5	27%	5%	56	-1.3	205/261/318	113	289	12	7	32%	6%	59	-1.1	155/212/288	133	206	18	8	35%	5%	28	-0.9