Aldo Gaxiola — OGILVIE

Aldo Gaxiola3B Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 187 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION369 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP288

ISO114

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	74	61	15	2	0	1	10	16	2	3	1	246	370	328	698	82	311	22	14	324	105	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	133	112	32	8	0	4	13	20	6	1	0	286	389	464	854	179	311	15	10	377	141	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2025	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	225	198	51	7	1	2	25	40	1	3	1	258	342	333	676	76	314	18	11	311	97	-1	+0	—	—	+5	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	74	65	11	1	0	1	6	23	2	3	1	169	260	231	491	62	232	31	8	222	36	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	133	118	26	6	0	3	7	30	6	1	0	220	298	347	645	127	247	23	5	284	78	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	225	208	37	5	1	1	16	58	1	3	1	178	240	226	466	48	240	26	7	212	30	-19	+0	—	—	+5	-1.4
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	74	65	11	1	0	1	6	23	2	3	1	169	260	231	491	62	238	31	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	—	74	61	15	2	0	1	10	16	2	3	1	246	370	328	698	82	311	22	14	324	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	133	118	26	6	0	3	7	30	6	1	0	220	298	347	645	127	264	23	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	—	133	112	32	8	0	4	13	20	6	1	0	286	389	464	854	179	311	15	10	377	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	225	208	37	5	1	1	16	58	1	3	1	178	240	226	466	48	242	26	7	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	—	225	198	51	7	1	2	25	40	1	3	1	258	342	333	676	76	314	18	11	311	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	74	66	11	1	0	1	6	23	2	3	1	167	260	227	488	61	232	31	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	133	119	26	6	0	3	7	30	6	1	0	218	298	345	642	126	247	23	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	225	206	37	5	1	1	16	58	1	3	1	180	240	228	468	49	240	26	7	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	74	66	11	1	0	1	6	23	2	3	1	167	260	227	488	61	232	31	8	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	133	119	26	6	0	3	7	30	6	1	0	218	298	345	642	126	247	23	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	225	206	37	5	1	1	16	58	1	3	1	180	240	228	468	49	240	26	7	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	TOR	—	369	340	69	14	1	14	16	144	11	1	0	203	262	374	635	171	299	39	4	274	72	-12	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	TOR	—	369	335	88	17	2	18	21	101	11	1	0	263	327	487	814	224	321	27	6	356	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	TOR	0%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		287	33	0	269	68	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	TOR	—	378	349	70	14	1	14	16	147	11	1	0	201	258	367	625	166	295	39	4	274	71	-13	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	380	348	72	14	1	11	21	127	8	2	0	207	268	348	616	141	288	33	6	279	75	-11	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	459	419	89	17	2	14	27	148	10	2	0	212	276	363	639	150	289	32	6	287	80	-11	+0	+0	+2	+10	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	506	459	100	19	2	16	31	160	11	2	1	218	283	373	656	155	290	32	6	292	84	-10	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	535	486	107	20	2	18	33	166	11	3	1	220	285	381	666	160	291	31	6	296	86	-9	+0	+0	+2	+12	0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	549	498	109	21	2	18	35	170	11	3	1	219	285	378	662	159	291	31	6	297	87	-8	+0	+0	+2	+12	0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	556	504	111	21	2	19	35	172	12	3	1	220	287	383	670	163	291	31	6	298	88	-8	+0	+0	+2	+12	0.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	555	502	111	21	2	19	36	172	12	3	1	221	289	384	674	163	290	31	6	298	88	-8	+0	+0	+2	+12	0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	549	497	109	21	2	18	36	171	11	2	1	219	287	378	665	159	290	31	7	296	87	-9	+0	-1	+2	+12	0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	TOR	58%	539	487	106	20	2	18	36	169	11	2	0	218	287	378	664	160	289	31	7	294	85	-9	+0	-1	+2	+12	0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	TOR	60%	528	477	103	19	2	17	35	167	11	2	0	216	285	371	656	155	287	32	7	292	83	-10	+0	-2	+2	+11	0.1
2037	31	MLB MLE	TOR	62%	514	464	97	18	1	16	34	164	11	2	0	209	279	356	635	147	284	32	7	287	81	-12	+0	-3	+2	+11	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	131	120	25	5	0	4	7	44	3	1	0	208	269	350	619	142	290	34	5	264	75	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	222	202	43	8	1	7	13	72	5	1	0	213	277	366	644	153	291	32	6	272	80	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	274	249	54	10	1	9	17	86	6	1	0	217	283	373	657	157	291	31	6	278	84	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	297	270	59	11	1	10	19	92	6	1	0	219	285	378	663	159	292	31	6	281	86	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	307	279	61	12	1	10	19	95	6	1	0	219	283	376	659	158	292	31	6	283	87	-5	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	313	283	63	12	1	11	20	97	7	1	0	223	290	389	679	166	292	31	6	283	88	-5	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	307	278	61	12	1	10	20	95	6	1	0	219	286	378	664	158	292	31	7	283	88	-5	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	301	272	59	11	1	10	20	94	6	1	0	217	285	375	660	158	291	31	7	282	87	-5	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	TOR	58%	313	283	62	12	1	10	21	98	6	1	0	219	287	375	662	155	290	31	7	280	85	-5	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	TOR	60%	318	287	62	12	1	10	21	101	7	1	0	216	286	369	655	153	288	32	7	277	83	-6	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	TOR	62%	317	287	61	11	1	10	21	101	6	1	0	213	280	362	643	150	286	32	7	273	81	-7	+0	-2	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3100	2810	610	116	10	101	198	975	64	11	0	217	284	373	657	156	291	31	6	279	82	-57	+2	-4	+11	+67	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	127	24	2	21	42	204	13	2	0	216	283	370	653	154	288	31	6	279	82	-12	+0	-1	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6111	5541	1189	223	21	189	388	1900	128	33	8	215	281	365	646	150	287	31	6	289	82	-106	+3	-7	+20	+123	3.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	126	24	2	20	41	202	14	4	1	214	281	363	644	149	286	31	6	289	82	-12	+0	-1	+2	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	5.4	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
/162	664	24	1	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,377	108	16	217	280	371	+12	+4	3.8	3.6
/162	664	21	3	+2.4	+0.7	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aldo Gaxiola (OGILVIE)	20	40	20	40	40	199/258/337	137	287	8	1	35%	5%	68	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	44→55	39	190/253/289	99	277	10	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	206/263/300	94	283	6	11	28%	6%	59	-1.6	204/262/298	94	272	5	15	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	44	38→45	42→40	40	212/269/287	76	277	6	6	25%	5%	59	-1.6	203/254/282	79	289	6	5	30%	5%	52	-2.2	147/189/214	67	208	8	0	33%	3%	9	-1.0
✕Ramon Mendoza 2021 · A	20	46→49	39→45	41→45	44	215/285/308	93	302	6	4	29%	7%	70	-0.9	194/268/272	78	284	4	5	30%	8%	55	-1.9	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	73	-0.6	183/264/287	104	286	10	6	37%	8%	58	-1.7	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Cutter Dykstra 2009 · A	20	44→54	42→40	41→55	45	214/279/314	100	286	9	7	28%	8%	69	-0.9	212/272/289	77	299	6	14	29%	7%	60	-1.6	239/307/326	86	317	6	16	24%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Darwin Rivera 2012 · A	20	40	40	40→30	35	195/235/283	88	285	8	3	34%	4%	45	-2.7	202/248/286	84	285	7	3	30%	5%	51	-2.3	192/240/269	77	263	7	0	28%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Yusniel Díaz 2017 · A	20	45→50	43→45	45→50	41	221/269/333	112	293	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.9	230/286/346	116	301	11	8	26%	7%	78	-0.3	229/288/350	122	294	12	7	25%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Victor Moscote 2013 · A	19	41	40→30	41→45	41	200/260/288	88	281	8	4	31%	6%	55	-1.9	204/254/265	61	283	3	5	27%	5%	47	-2.5	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Edinson Rincon 2011 · A	20	41→51	44→45	42→30	42	208/258/322	114	260	11	3	25%	6%	63	-1.4	243/281/359	116	300	11	3	22%	5%	79	-0.2	251/290/355	104	312	9	1	22%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Deivi Mejia 2010 · A	20	40	41→40	46→30	41	197/265/294	97	276	9	5	30%	6%	59	-1.6	205/261/294	89	269	7	4	25%	6%	57	-1.8	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	64	-0.5
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	41	39→40	45→55	37	197/251/289	92	304	6	8	36%	6%	53	-2.1	211/275/294	83	302	6	15	30%	6%	63	-1.4	216/288/295	79	292	7	22	26%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Travis Harrison 2014 · A	21	43→49	43→40	41→45	42	208/279/317	109	297	11	3	32%	7%	70	-0.8	212/290/302	90	294	6	6	27%	8%	70	-0.8	206/288/287	80	287	4	7	27%	9%	65	-1.1
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Roberto Feliz 2008 · A	20	43	41→45	41→45	40	211/263/308	98	277	9	5	27%	5%	61	-1.5	205/261/318	113	289	12	7	32%	6%	63	-1.3	155/212/288	133	206	18	8	35%	5%	36	-0.9
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	45→50	44	202/274/296	94	295	7	8	32%	8%	63	-1.3	225/292/371	146	302	16	5	30%	7%	87	+0.4	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Dariel Lopez 2022 · A	20	46→48	41→45	43→45	39	220/276/314	95	320	8	4	32%	6%	68	-1.0	229/270/344	115	334	13	6	34%	4%	72	-0.7	235/266/352	117	336	16	6	34%	3%	69	-0.7
✕Bubba Thompson 2018 · A	20	42→52	42→45	45→65	36	205/254/310	105	295	9	9	33%	5%	59	-1.7	196/244/296	100	329	8	20	40%	5%	51	-2.2	240/283/362	122	332	11	46	30%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Yu Chang 2016 · A	20	40→44	42→50	45	38	202/251/306	105	274	10	6	30%	5%	56	-1.9	199/255/338	139	279	14	8	33%	6%	65	-1.2	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Mitch Einertson 2006 · A	20	42→52	41→45	43→45	43	202/280/298	96	291	8	6	31%	8%	67	-1.1	209/259/329	120	263	11	5	24%	5%	65	-1.2	233/275/358	125	286	12	5	22%	4%	75	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps