Aldo Gaxiola

3B Dunedin Blue Jays
Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 187 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKTOR133.286/.389/.4644153—.179/.267/.274
202519ROKTOR225.258/.342/.3332331—.183/.244/.231
202620A/INTL2 orgs411.262/.325/.48119274—.208/.264/.372
2027PROJMLE21MLBTOR479.199/.253/.32913362-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBTOR110.204/.260/.3403167-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBTOR192.208/.265/.3486271-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Max EV94
Z-Con%45
Speed45
K%40
Whiff%36
Chase%16
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 4.9, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 82%
CompsTravis Harrison (age 21) · Omar Estévez (age 21) · Dante Bichette Jr. (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .251 / .326
PA210
HR6
K%34
BB%5
ISO130
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -9.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Arb-1$0.2M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Blue Jays — 7461 15201 10162 31 246370328698 82311 2214 324 29 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Blue Jays — 133112 32804 13206 10 286389464854 179311 1510 377 53 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 225198 51712 25401 31 258342333676 76314 1811 311 31 — — — — — —
202620 ADunedin Blue Jays — 369335 8817218 2110111 10 263327487814 224321 276 356 70 — — — — — —
202620 INTLMayos de Navojoa — 4239 10211 3120 10 256310436745 179346 297 328 108 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 7464 9100 7192 31 141247156403 16196 269 211 29 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 133117 21502 8256 10 179267274541 94204 196 247 53 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 225208 38511 16581 31 183244231475 48241 267 214 31 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 369341 7113213 1513711 10 208264372637 164295 374 272 70 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 7464 9100 7192 31 141247156403 16196 269 211 29 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Blue Jays — 7461 15201 10162 31 246370328698 82311 2214 324 29 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 133117 21502 8256 10 179267274541 94207 196 247 53 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Blue Jays — 133112 32804 13206 10 286389464854 179311 1510 377 53 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 225208 38511 16581 31 183244231475 48248 267 214 31 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWFCL Blue Jays — 225198 51712 25401 31 258342333676 76314 1811 311 31 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 411382 7914215 1615311 20 207259372631 165296 374 272 70 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 411374 9819319 2411311 20 262325481806 219324 276 353 70 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 7465 9100 7192 31 138247154400 15196 269 211 29 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 133118 21502 8256 10 178267271538 93204 196 247 53 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 225206 38511 16581 31 184244233477 49241 267 214 31 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 411381 7914215 1615311 20 207259373632 165295 374 272 70 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 133118 21502 8256 10 178267271538 93204 196 247 53 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 225206 38511 16581 31 184244233477 49241 267 214 31 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 411381 7914215 1615311 20 207259373632 165295 374 272 70 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLETOR 0% 479444 8916213 241638 31 199253329582 130279 345 260 62 -21 +0 +0 +2 +10 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLETOR 34% 320294 601119 171066 21 204260339599 135280 335 268 67 -12 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.5
202923 MLB MLETOR 48% 397365 7614211 221287 31 207265347612 140282 326 273 71 -14 +0 +0 +1 +9 -0.4
203024 MLB MLETOR 53% 446411 8615213 251417 31 211269353622 143283 326 277 74 -14 +0 +0 +2 +10 -0.2
203125 MLB MLETOR 55% 473434 9317214 281488 41 213272357629 144283 316 281 76 -14 +0 +0 +2 +10 -0.1
203226 MLB MLETOR 56% 486446 9517214 291498 31 214274359634 145284 316 282 77 -13 +0 +0 +2 +11 -0.1
203327 MLB MLETOR 55% 489448 9517214 301518 31 213273356630 144283 316 281 76 -14 +0 +0 +2 +11 -0.1
203428 MLB MLETOR 55% 486447 9417214 291517 21 211271352623 141282 316 278 74 -15 +0 -1 +2 +11 -0.3
203529 MLB MLETOR 53% 475437 9016213 281497 00 208268345613 137280 316 274 72 -16 +0 -1 +2 +10 -0.5
202822 MLB CTXTOR 34% 110101 21403 6362 10 204260340600 136281 335 268 67 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
202923 MLB CTXTOR 48% 192176 38716 11623 20 208265348613 140283 326 274 71 -7 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
203024 MLB CTXTOR 53% 235216 46817 13744 20 211270354624 143284 316 278 74 -7 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
203125 MLB CTXTOR 55% 259238 51918 15814 20 213273358631 145285 316 281 76 -7 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.0
203226 MLB CTXTOR 56% 271249 541018 16834 20 215275360635 145285 316 283 77 -7 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.0
203327 MLB CTXTOR 55% 269247 52918 16834 20 214274357631 144284 316 282 76 -8 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.0
203428 MLB CTXTOR 55% 266244 52918 16834 10 212272353624 141283 316 279 74 -8 +0 -0 +1 +6 -0.2
203529 MLB CTXTOR 53% 253232 49917 15794 00 209269346615 137281 316 275 72 -9 +0 -1 +1 +5 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 18551703 36365755 10858129 120 213272356628 143287 316 278 70 -57 +2 -1 +7 +40 -0.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650597 12723219 3820410 40 213271353625 141286 316 278 70 -20 +1 -0 +2 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 46254247 87515619126 265144982 309 206266341607 135278 316 271 70 -121 +1 -2 +14 +82 -2.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650597 12422318 3720412 41 208268345613 137280 316 271 70 -21 +0 -0 +2 +14 -0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADunedin Blue Jays · 369 PAwOBA .348 → .272 (−76)K% 27.4% → 37.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.37%÷1.000×1.360——37.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.69%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0304.04%
HBP% /PA2.98%—×0.780—×1.0302.39%
Singles /BIP21.79%÷1.000×0.920×1.007×1.03020.81%
Doubles /BIP7.26%÷1.000×0.830×1.007×1.0306.26%
Triples /BIP0.85%÷1.000×0.910×1.007×1.0300.81%
Home runs /BIP7.69%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0306.34%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .348 → .272; ISO .224 → .167; BABIP .321 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 225 PAwOBA .304 → .214 (−90)K% 17.8% → 25.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.78%÷1.002×1.440——25.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.11%÷1.001×0.620—×1.0086.93%
HBP% /PA0.44%—×0.720—×1.0080.32%
Singles /BIP25.95%÷1.038×0.820×0.980×1.00820.24%
Doubles /BIP4.43%÷0.956×0.720×0.980×1.0083.29%
Triples /BIP0.63%÷1.150×0.720×0.980×1.0080.39%
Home runs /BIP1.27%÷1.077×0.780—×1.0080.92%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 108, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .304 → .214; ISO .076 → .052; BABIP .314 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Blue Jays · 133 PAwOBA .371 → .247 (−124)K% 15.0% → 18.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.04%÷0.973×1.220——18.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.02%÷1.015×0.700—×1.0086.27%
HBP% /PA4.51%—×0.700—×1.0083.18%
Singles /BIP21.74%÷0.958×0.680×0.969×1.00815.06%
Doubles /BIP8.70%÷0.964×0.600×0.969×1.0085.28%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.969×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP4.35%÷0.892×0.470—×1.0082.31%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 92, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .371 → .247; ISO .179 → .104; BABIP .311 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Blue Jays · 74 PAwOBA .321 → .211 (−109)K% 21.6% → 26.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.62%÷1.014×1.220——26.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.51%÷0.979×0.700—×1.0229.88%
HBP% /PA2.70%—×0.700—×1.0221.93%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷1.016×0.680×0.950×1.02217.34%
Doubles /BIP4.44%÷1.059×0.600×0.950×1.0222.45%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.950×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP2.22%÷1.083×0.470—×1.0220.99%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .321 → .211; ISO .082 → .041; BABIP .311 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .