Payton Henry — OGILVIE

Payton HenryC Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 29 R/R 6'1" / 229 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION362 act + 241 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .276 / .325

PA241

HR6

K%29

BB%5

BABIP287

ISO108

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2022

CONTACT45

Whiff%

5011.0%

xwOBA

460.304

POWER55

Barrel%

113.1

Avg EV

1082.7

EYE40

Chase%

6928.1%

SPEED45

Sprint

2226.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	19	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	93	84	16	5	0	0	4	27	4	0	1	190	261	250	511	60	276	29	4	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	93	82	21	7	0	0	6	19	4	0	1	256	337	341	678	85	328	20	6	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	ROK	Helena Brewers	—	241	219	36	11	1	5	18	99	3	1	0	164	237	292	530	128	267	41	7	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	ROK	Helena Brewers	—	241	207	50	17	1	7	30	69	3	1	0	242	346	435	781	193	326	29	12	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	389	345	59	11	1	6	30	180	10	1	3	171	257	261	518	90	327	46	8	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	389	337	79	15	2	10	38	124	10	1	3	234	330	380	710	145	335	32	10	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	482	441	70	10	1	9	15	216	22	1	1	159	224	247	471	88	277	45	3	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	482	430	104	22	1	14	26	142	22	1	1	242	318	395	713	153	324	29	5	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	3 teams	—	292	265	62	9	1	6	18	101	7	0	1	234	300	343	643	109	350	35	6	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	3 teams	—	292	256	68	11	1	6	27	80	7	0	1	266	352	387	738	121	360	27	9	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	2 teams	—	118	101	18	3	0	1	10	44	5	0	0	178	284	238	522	59	293	37	8	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	2 teams	—	118	99	21	3	0	1	12	36	5	0	0	212	328	273	600	61	312	31	10	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	255	242	70	10	0	9	8	74	5	0	1	289	325	442	768	153	384	29	3	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	255	238	70	11	0	9	12	59	5	0	1	294	341	454	795	160	359	23	5	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	104	97	26	6	0	3	5	23	2	0	0	268	317	423	740	155	324	22	5	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	104	95	26	6	0	3	7	19	2	0	0	274	337	432	768	158	315	18	7	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	269	249	57	6	0	10	12	85	7	1	0	229	284	373	657	145	303	32	4	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	269	241	60	7	0	11	20	70	7	1	0	249	325	415	740	166	304	26	7	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	PHI	—	362	331	65	7	0	7	23	109	8	0	0	196	265	281	546	85	270	30	6	243	44	-23	+0	+0	+6	+10	-0.6
YTD	29	AAA	PHI	—	362	320	70	8	0	8	34	91	8	0	0	219	309	319	628	100	281	25	9	291	81	-8	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.9
ROS	29	AAA	PHI	10%	241	221	48	6	0	6	13	70	5	1	0	217	276	325	601	108	290	29	5	278	71	-8	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.3
ROS	29	MLB	PHI	10%	24	22	6	1	0	1	1	7	1	0	0	273	333	455	788	182	292	29	4	265	61	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	29	AAA	PHI	—	386	353	71	8	0	8	24	116	9	0	0	201	269	292	561	91	275	30	6	245	45	-24	+0	-0	+7	+11	-0.6
TOT	29	AAA	PHI	—	603	552	113	13	0	13	36	179	13	1	0	205	269	299	568	94	277	30	6	257	55	-31	+0	-0	+11	+17	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	PHI	33%	312	284	63	9	0	8	19	90	6	1	0	222	285	338	623	116	290	29	6	280	72	-10	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.3
2027	30	MLB	PHI	33%	102	93	21	3	0	3	6	29	2	0	0	226	287	355	642	129	292	28	6	267	63	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	177	158	35	5	0	4	13	49	5	0	0	222	301	329	630	108	292	28	7	265	61	-8	+0	+0	+10	+5	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	128	18	0	15	48	180	18	0	0	221	300	329	630	109	290	28	7	265	61	-29	+0	+1	+35	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	2796	2548	525	86	4	63	152	1009	76	6	7	206	271	317	588	111	309	36	5	259	57	-137	-2	-1	+50	+79	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	122	20	1	15	35	235	18	1	2	206	271	319	591	113	309	36	5	259	57	-32	-1	-0	+12	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	19	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	93	82	21	7	0	0	6	19	4	0	1	256	337	341	678	85	328	20	6	310	95	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2017	20	ROK	Helena Brewers	—	241	207	50	17	1	7	30	69	3	1	0	242	346	435	781	193	326	29	12	348	124	+7	+0	—	—	+7	1.4
2018	21	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	389	337	79	15	2	10	38	124	10	1	3	234	330	380	710	145	335	32	10	319	103	+1	-1	—	—	+11	1.1
2019	22	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	482	430	104	22	1	14	26	142	22	1	1	242	318	395	713	153	324	29	5	319	103	+1	-0	—	—	+14	1.5
2021	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	16	15	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	267	312	333	646	67	400	31	6	294	83	-0	+0	+1	+5	+0	0.6
2021	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	151	130	29	5	0	5	14	43	5	0	1	223	322	377	699	154	286	28	9	314	99	-0	-0	—	—	+4	0.4
2021	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	125	111	35	5	1	1	12	32	2	0	0	315	392	405	797	90	436	26	10	362	135	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2022	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	35	28	4	0	0	0	5	8	2	0	0	143	314	143	457		200	23	14	245	46	-2	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.1
2022	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	83	71	17	3	0	1	7	28	3	0	0	239	333	324	657	85	364	34	8	299	87	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	255	238	70	11	0	9	12	59	5	0	1	294	341	454	795	160	359	23	5	354	129	+8	-0	—	—	+7	1.5
2024	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	104	95	26	6	0	3	7	19	2	0	0	274	337	432	768	158	315	18	7	343	121	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	28	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	269	241	60	7	0	11	20	70	7	1	0	249	325	415	740	166	304	26	7	331	111	+3	+0	—	—	+8	1.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	51	43	8	1	0	0	6	13	2	0	0	186	314	209	523	23	267	25	12	260	57	-2	+0	+1	+7	+1	0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Payton Henry (OGILVIE)	29	45	55	45	40	205/269/299	94	277	13	1	30%	6%	55	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕John Hicks 2019 · MLB	29	51→50	50→60	43→50	41	256/300/409	153	326	18	6	27%	6%	98	+1.6	243/282/426	183	316	24	6	30%	5%	95	+1.4	230/264/432	202	298	27	9	33%	4%	87	+0.5
✕Pedro Severino 2022 · MLB	29	48	48→50	47→45	48	241/306/377	137	298	16	4	24%	8%	93	+1.3	234/292/369	135	299	15	9	26%	7%	85	+0.7	224/277/350	126	286	14	11	26%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Michael McKenry 2014 · MLB	29	45→47	51→55	45→40	48	232/299/392	160	279	19	4	24%	8%	94	+1.3	231/315/383	152	289	17	7	24%	10%	98	+1.6	214/312/358	144	276	15	5	26%	11%	87	+0.3
✕Cameron Rupp 2018 · MLB	29	45→48	54→60	47→30	45	233/300/416	183	301	22	3	30%	8%	101	+1.8	206/276/375	169	295	21	3	36%	8%	80	+0.4	174/245/332	158	248	21	0	38%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Luis Torrens 2023 · MLB	27	46→47	52→55	46→30	44	238/295/399	161	303	20	3	28%	7%	94	+1.3	232/286/372	140	298	15	4	26%	6%	83	+0.6	227/280/355	128	284	13	2	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Anthony Recker 2013 · MLB	29	43→48	51→55	44→45	47	223/298/385	162	285	20	7	28%	9%	92	+1.2	210/278/372	162	283	21	6	32%	8%	80	+0.4	196/276/340	144	260	18	3	31%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Josh Phegley 2017 · MLB	29	48→47	51→60	46→40	45	244/296/415	171	280	18	3	20%	6%	98	+1.6	228/286/377	149	268	15	3	21%	6%	85	+0.7	221/276/376	155	255	16	0	20%	5%	80	+0.1
✕Tim Beckham 2019 · MLB	29	48→55	50→55	41→50	43	242/296/394	151	309	18	5	27%	7%	93	+1.3	240/293/424	184	306	23	5	28%	7%	100	+1.7	257/306/445	189	333	25	3	30%	6%	108	+0.9
✕Welington Castillo 2016 · MLB	29	46→56	53→55	47→30	45	240/304/411	171	285	22	2	24%	7%	102	+1.8	254/308/423	169	316	22	3	26%	7%	105	+2.1	257/308/416	159	323	22	2	27%	6%	101	+1.0
●James McCann 2018 · MLB	28	49→56	51→50	44→45	44	249/305/404	155	304	19	3	24%	6%	99	+1.7	251/306/404	153	319	19	4	26%	6%	100	+1.7	255/316/415	160	332	21	4	28%	7%	104	+1.1
✕Tim Federowicz 2017 · MLB	29	45→50	48→50	49→40	39	228/271/367	140	290	16	6	27%	5%	76	+0.0	227/278/366	139	297	16	5	28%	6%	78	+0.2	213/268/346	133	280	15	3	29%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Jett Bandy 2019 · MLB	29	43	48→50	47→45	41	218/283/355	137	263	16	6	24%	5%	79	+0.3	206/269/342	136	270	17	5	30%	5%	69	-0.4	174/240/294	120	233	17	0	33%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Nick Hundley 2014 · MLB	30	45→46	49→55	40	45	229/288/378	149	279	17	3	25%	7%	85	+0.7	239/287/375	136	292	15	5	23%	6%	84	+0.6	241/291/409	168	298	18	1	25%	6%	89	+0.5
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	41→42	50	42→40	43	209/294/364	155	295	17	3	34%	8%	85	+0.7	225/296/383	158	313	17	4	32%	7%	91	+1.1	219/289/370	151	311	17	2	33%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Brian O'Keefe 2023 · AAA	30	45	52→55	45→40	40	230/281/398	168	305	21	5	31%	6%	88	+0.9	205/264/366	161	262	19	4	29%	7%	72	-0.2	181/239/323	142	224	19	3	29%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	43	48→50	44→45	45	219/279/365	145	272	15	5	25%	7%	79	+0.3	213/262/323	110	282	10	6	27%	6%	59	-1.1	198/242/289	91	267	7	4	28%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Scott Moore 2013 · MLB	29	49→51	49→55	42→50	46	243/308/393	150	299	16	5	24%	7%	98	+1.6	207/273/342	135	273	14	3	29%	6%	70	-0.3	180/249/302	122	242	13	1	30%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Gerald Laird 2009 · MLB	29	51→47	45→50	42→50	46	248/303/377	129	294	12	6	20%	6%	91	+1.1	227/295/337	110	264	9	7	17%	7%	78	+0.2	268/338/369	101	310	6	3	14%	8%	97	+0.4
✕Steve Holm 2009 · MLB	29	48	47→50	43→40	51	238/314/376	138	280	14	5	20%	8%	96	+1.5	216/280/324	108	269	9	4	22%	7%	68	-0.5	195/257/288	93	248	7	1	23%	6%	48	-0.7