Payton Henry — OGILVIE

Payton HenryC Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 29 R/R 6'1" / 229 lbs AAA HR +14% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION251 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%5

BABIP300

ISO124

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2022

CONTACT45

Whiff%

5011.0%

xAVG

100.218

POWER55

Barrel%

113.1

Avg EV

1082.7

EYE40

Chase%

6928.1%

SPEED45

Sprint

2226.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	19	ROK	AZL Brewers	—	93	82	21	7	0	0	6	19	4	0	1	256	337	341	678	85	328	20	6	310	96	-0	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2017	20	ROK	Helena Brewers	—	241	207	50	17	1	7	30	69	3	1	0	242	346	435	781	193	326	29	12	348	121	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2018	21	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	389	337	79	15	2	10	38	124	10	1	3	234	330	380	710	145	335	32	10	319	102	+1	-1	—	—	+8	0.9
2019	22	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	482	430	104	22	1	14	26	142	22	1	1	242	318	395	713	153	324	29	5	319	102	+1	-0	—	—	+10	1.2
2021	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	16	15	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	267	312	333	646	67	400	31	6	294	85	-0	+0	+1	+5	+0	0.6
2021	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	151	130	29	5	0	5	14	43	5	0	1	223	322	377	699	154	286	28	9	314	99	-0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	125	111	35	5	1	1	12	32	2	0	0	315	392	405	797	90	436	26	10	362	131	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2022	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	35	28	4	0	0	0	5	8	2	0	0	143	314	143	457		200	23	14	245	52	-2	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.1
2022	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	83	71	17	3	0	1	7	28	3	0	0	239	333	324	657	85	364	34	8	299	88	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	255	238	70	11	0	9	12	59	5	0	1	294	341	454	795	160	359	23	5	354	125	+8	-0	—	—	+6	1.3
2024	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	104	95	26	6	0	3	7	19	2	0	0	274	337	432	768	158	315	18	7	343	118	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	28	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	269	241	60	7	0	11	20	70	7	1	0	249	325	415	740	166	304	26	7	331	110	+3	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	51	43	8	1	0	0	6	13	2	0	0	186	314	209	523	23	267	25	12	260	62	-2	+0	+1	+7	+1	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	19	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	—	93	84	16	5	0	0	4	27	4	0	1	190	261	250	511	60	265	29	4	222	36	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2017	20	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	241	219	36	11	1	5	18	99	3	1	0	164	237	292	530	128	262	41	7	230	42	-17	+0	—	—	+5	-1.1
2018	21	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	389	347	61	11	1	7	28	174	10	1	3	176	257	274	531	98	315	45	7	238	47	-24	-1	—	—	+8	-1.7
2019	22	A+ MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	482	441	74	12	1	10	15	208	22	1	1	168	232	268	500	100	272	43	3	219	34	-38	-0	—	—	+10	-2.8
2021	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	16	15	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	267	312	333	646	67	400	31	6	299	88	-0	+0	+1	+5	+0	0.6
2021	24	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	151	134	26	4	0	4	10	52	5	0	1	194	275	313	589	119	276	34	7	264	65	-6	-0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2021	24	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	125	116	31	4	1	1	7	40	2	0	0	267	320	345	665	78	397	32	6	292	84	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2022	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	35	28	4	0	0	0	5	8	2	0	0	143	314	143	457		200	23	14	244	51	-2	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.1
2022	25	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	83	73	15	3	0	1	5	35	3	0	0	205	284	288	572	82	320	42	6	240	49	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	255	242	65	9	0	7	8	72	5	0	1	269	306	393	698	124	355	28	3	301	90	-3	-0	—	—	+6	0.2
2024	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	104	97	24	5	0	2	5	23	2	0	0	247	298	361	659	113	301	22	5	288	81	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2025	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	269	248	54	6	0	8	13	84	7	1	0	218	276	339	615	121	290	31	5	268	68	-10	+0	—	—	+6	-0.4
2016	19	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	—	93	84	16	5	0	0	4	27	4	0	1	190	261	250	511	60	276	29	4	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	AZL Brewers	—	93	82	21	7	0	0	6	19	4	0	1	256	337	341	678	85	328	20	6	310	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	241	219	36	11	1	5	18	99	3	1	0	164	237	292	530	128	267	41	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	Helena Brewers	—	241	207	50	17	1	7	30	69	3	1	0	242	346	435	781	193	326	29	12	348	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	389	347	61	11	1	7	28	174	10	1	3	176	257	274	531	98	320	45	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	389	337	79	15	2	10	38	124	10	1	3	234	330	380	710	145	335	32	10	319	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	482	441	74	12	1	10	15	208	22	1	1	168	232	268	500	100	282	43	3	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Carolina Mudcats	—	482	430	104	22	1	14	26	142	22	1	1	242	318	395	713	153	324	29	5	319	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	292	265	62	9	1	5	18	97	7	0	1	234	300	332	632	98	345	33	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	292	256	68	11	1	6	27	80	7	0	1	266	352	387	738	121	360	27	9	334	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	118	101	19	3	0	1	10	43	5	0	0	188	293	248	541	59	305	36	8	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	118	99	21	3	0	1	12	36	5	0	0	212	328	273	600	61	312	31	10	283	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	255	242	65	9	0	7	8	72	5	0	1	269	306	393	698	124	356	28	3	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	255	238	70	11	0	9	12	59	5	0	1	294	341	454	795	160	359	23	5	354	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	104	97	24	5	0	2	5	23	2	0	0	247	298	361	659	113	306	22	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	104	95	26	6	0	3	7	19	2	0	0	274	337	432	768	158	315	18	7	343	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	269	248	54	6	0	8	13	84	7	1	0	218	276	339	615	121	293	31	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	269	241	60	7	0	11	20	70	7	1	0	249	325	415	740	166	304	26	7	331	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK MLE	AZL Brewers	—	93	85	16	5	0	0	4	27	4	0	1	188	261	247	508	59	265	29	4	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	241	218	36	11	1	5	18	99	3	1	0	165	237	294	531	128	262	41	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	389	348	61	11	1	7	28	174	10	1	3	175	257	273	530	98	315	45	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	482	442	74	12	1	10	15	208	22	1	1	167	232	267	499	100	272	43	3	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	292	265	62	9	1	5	18	97	7	0	1	234	300	332	632	98	335	33	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	118	102	19	3	0	1	10	43	5	0	0	186	293	245	538	59	284	36	8	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	255	240	65	9	0	7	8	72	5	0	1	271	306	396	702	125	355	28	3	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	104	96	24	5	0	2	5	23	2	0	0	250	298	365	663	115	301	22	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	269	247	54	6	0	8	13	84	7	1	0	219	276	340	616	121	290	31	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	255	240	65	9	0	7	8	72	5	0	1	271	306	396	702	125	355	28	3	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	104	96	24	5	0	2	5	23	2	0	0	250	298	365	663	115	301	22	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	269	247	54	6	0	8	13	84	7	1	0	219	276	340	616	121	290	31	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	PHI	—	251	234	44	6	0	5	12	90	5	0	0	188	243	278	521	90	281	36	5	234	45	-17	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA RAW	PHI	—	251	228	51	7	0	8	18	75	5	0	0	224	295	360	654	136	297	30	7	297	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	29	AAA MLE	PHI	10%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		298	33	0	269	68	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	29	MLB CTX	PHI	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						300	0	0	259	68	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	29	MLB A+C	PHI	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	259	45	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	29	AAA MLE	PHI	—	260	243	45	6	0	5	12	93	5	0	0	185	238	272	510	86	276	36	5	235	45	-17	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PHI	33%	312	287	63	10	0	8	16	96	6	1	0	220	275	338	613	118	296	31	5	273	71	-11	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	PHI	33%	102	94	21	3	0	3	5	32	2	0	0	223	277	351	628	128	299	31	5	264	71	-4	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	154	138	29	4	0	3	11	45	4	0	0	210	288	304	592	94	286	29	7	263	58	-6	+0	+0	+9	+3	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	123	17	0	13	46	190	17	0	0	211	288	308	595	96	287	29	7	263	58	-25	+0	+1	+39	+14	3.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2564	2340	475	81	4	53	135	926	71	5	7	203	267	309	576	106	306	36	5	254	58	-13	+0	-1	+13	+8	0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	120	21	1	13	34	235	18	1	2	202	267	307	574	105	307	36	5	254	58	-24	+0	-2	+23	+14	1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Payton Henry (OGILVIE)	29	45	55	45	40	215/268/326	111	298	6	1	32%	5%	68	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕John Hicks 2019 · MLB	29	51→52	48→60	43→50	41	253/297/397	144	324	16	6	27%	6%	95	+0.9	236/276/407	171	311	22	6	31%	5%	89	+0.5	218/253/398	180	289	24	9	33%	4%	76	-0.2
✕Pedro Severino 2022 · MLB	29	48→49	48→50	47→45	48	242/308/378	135	300	16	4	24%	8%	94	+0.9	234/292/366	132	299	15	9	26%	7%	86	+0.3	221/275/344	123	283	14	11	26%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Tim Federowicz 2017 · MLB	29	44→50	47→50	49→40	40	225/271/358	133	289	15	6	28%	5%	76	-0.4	226/277/357	131	298	14	5	28%	6%	78	-0.3	214/267/338	125	282	14	3	28%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Jett Bandy 2019 · MLB	29	43	48→50	47→45	42	221/286/359	138	263	16	6	23%	5%	83	+0.1	206/271/343	137	270	17	5	30%	5%	74	-0.6	172/238/290	118	231	17	0	33%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Aramis Garcia 2022 · MLB	29	41	47→50	44→45	37	211/260/340	129	290	15	4	32%	5%	68	-1.0	197/240/316	119	272	15	7	33%	4%	55	-1.9	168/243/303	136	236	19	5	37%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Anthony Recker 2013 · MLB	29	43→49	50	44→45	47	219/293/368	149	282	18	7	28%	9%	87	+0.4	212/280/372	160	287	20	6	32%	8%	83	+0.1	197/277/342	145	263	18	3	31%	9%	72	-0.3
✕Brad Davis 2012 · MLB	29	46	44→50	46→45	42	226/277/345	119	292	11	4	26%	6%	75	-0.5	202/249/302	100	271	8	8	27%	5%	54	-2.0	164/205/243	79	220	5	7	28%	5%	22	-1.3
✕Brian O'Keefe 2023 · AAA	30	43	50→55	44→40	41	220/276/371	151	294	18	5	31%	7%	81	-0.1	202/263/360	158	259	19	4	29%	7%	74	-0.5	180/239/313	133	225	17	3	29%	7%	52	-0.7
✕Cameron Rupp 2017 · MLB	28	45→48	51→55	45→30	43	232/291/392	160	294	18	3	27%	7%	92	+0.7	212/283/383	171	296	21	3	34%	8%	87	+0.4	183/262/347	163	262	22	1	37%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Mike Marjama 2018 · AAA	29	47→50	46→50	44→45	42	234/282/368	134	280	13	5	22%	5%	82	+0.0	218/270/352	134	273	13	8	24%	6%	74	-0.5	195/238/336	142	241	12	5	25%	4%	55	-0.6
✕Tim Beckham 2019 · MLB	29	48→55	50→55	41→50	43	244/297/394	150	312	18	5	27%	7%	94	+0.9	239/293/421	182	306	22	5	28%	7%	99	+1.2	254/304/433	180	332	23	3	30%	6%	103	+0.6
✕Nick Green 2008 · MLB	29	46→47	49→50	42→45	40	231/282/376	145	300	16	7	28%	6%	84	+0.2	215/263/341	126	276	13	5	26%	5%	69	-0.9	210/257/339	129	256	12	3	23%	4%	64	-0.8
✕Dan DeMent 2007 · AAA	29	43→53	48→50	42→45	41	221/275/363	142	293	16	6	30%	6%	79	-0.2	229/285/357	128	305	12	6	28%	7%	81	-0.1	239/296/361	121	316	10	2	26%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Jeff Baisley 2012 · AAA	29	48→50	46→50	47→40	42	239/284/366	127	286	13	5	22%	5%	82	+0.0	233/283/368	135	282	14	5	22%	5%	82	+0.0	214/265/338	124	253	12	0	20%	5%	70	-0.5
✕Brett Nicholas 2018 · MLB	30	48→52	46→50	43→40	40	240/281/368	128	298	13	4	24%	5%	82	-0.0	230/280/365	135	289	15	5	25%	6%	81	-0.1	219/271/352	133	271	15	1	25%	6%	72	-0.6
✕Ryan Casteel 2019 · AAA	28	45→49	44→55	46→40	40	225/265/339	114	295	11	5	28%	5%	69	-0.9	216/269/374	158	294	20	4	32%	6%	80	-0.2	190/247/356	166	245	23	0	33%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Brett Hayes 2013 · MLB	29	48	47→45	48→40	39	234/279/373	139	322	14	5	31%	6%	82	+0.0	202/239/353	151	257	19	5	29%	4%	63	-1.4	165/201/299	134	201	17	2	29%	4%	34	-1.2
✕Bryan Holaday 2017 · MLB	29	46	44→45	43→40	42	227/275/344	117	280	11	5	23%	5%	74	-0.5	227/281/349	122	263	12	3	18%	6%	78	-0.3	220/288/344	124	255	13	2	19%	7%	76	-0.1
✕Josh Phegley 2017 · MLB	29	47	51→55	46→40	45	242/295/412	170	277	18	3	20%	6%	98	+1.2	227/285/377	150	267	15	3	21%	6%	86	+0.3	219/275/376	157	253	17	0	21%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2012 · AAA	30	47→45	47→55	48→40	44	231/295/363	132	321	15	5	32%	8%	86	+0.3	220/282/386	166	313	22	4	35%	7%	87	+0.4	209/274/369	160	294	22	2	35%	7%	78	-0.2