Payton HenryC
Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Age 29
R/R
6'1" / 229 lbs
AAA
HR +8%BB +8%
Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 0.7 · 2027
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .284 / .366
PA250
HR7
K%28
BB%5
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
55→55
SPD
45→45
EYE
40→40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-3
MLB Debut 2021
Service 5.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2026
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-3 | $3M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $1M | $1M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | AZL Brewers | 93 | 84 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 1 | .190 | .261 | .250 | .511 | .060 | .276 | 29 | 4 | .222 | 28 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Helena Brewers | 241 | 219 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 99 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .164 | .237 | .292 | .530 | .128 | .267 | 41 | 7 | .230 | 34 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | -0.7 |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 389 | 346 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 163 | 10 | 1 | 3 | .188 | .270 | .289 | .559 | .101 | .324 | 42 | 7 | .248 | 48 | -23 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | 482 | 441 | 74 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 209 | 22 | 1 | 1 | .168 | .232 | .268 | .500 | .100 | .283 | 43 | 3 | .219 | 26 | -40 | -0 | +0 | +9 | +14 | -1.9 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | 3 teams | 292 | 265 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 100 | 7 | 0 | 1 | .230 | .297 | .340 | .636 | .109 | .342 | 34 | 6 | .279 | 72 | -9 | -0 | +1 | +5 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | 2 teams | 118 | 101 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .188 | .293 | .248 | .541 | .059 | .305 | 36 | 8 | .240 | 42 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 255 | 242 | 65 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 72 | 5 | 0 | 1 | .269 | .306 | .405 | .711 | .136 | .352 | 28 | 3 | .309 | 95 | -2 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 1.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 104 | 97 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .237 | .288 | .351 | .639 | .113 | .292 | 22 | 5 | .295 | 84 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 269 | 248 | 55 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 84 | 7 | 1 | 0 | .222 | .280 | .355 | .635 | .133 | .295 | 31 | 5 | .280 | 72 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 50 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .156 | .240 | .311 | .551 | .156 | .208 | 38 | 10 | .214 | 22 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | NYY | 200 | 183 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 58 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .219 | .278 | .355 | .633 | .137 | .286 | 29 | 6 | .288 | 78 | -5 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +6 | 0.6 |
| TOT | 29 | MLB | NYY | 250 | 228 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 77 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .206 | .270 | .346 | .617 | .140 | .271 | 31 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -9 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +7 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB 20% | NYY | 311 | 282 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 78 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .220 | .286 | .358 | .644 | .138 | .270 | 25 | 7 | .291 | 81 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB 33% | NYY | 287 | 262 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 73 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .221 | .284 | .359 | .643 | .137 | .271 | 25 | 7 | .290 | 80 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB 43% | NYY | 260 | 236 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .220 | .287 | .356 | .643 | .136 | .270 | 26 | 7 | .287 | 78 | -7 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB 52% | NYY | 225 | 205 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 59 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .215 | .278 | .346 | .624 | .132 | .269 | 26 | 7 | .282 | 74 | -7 | +0 | -3 | +4 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB 64% | NYY | 180 | 163 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .215 | .281 | .344 | .624 | .129 | .268 | 27 | 7 | .276 | 69 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3706 | 3374 | 705 | 121 | 8 | 89 | 217 | 1204 | 87 | 8 | 8 | .209 | .274 | .329 | .603 | .120 | .293 | 32 | 6 | .268 | 63 | -155 | -2 | -12 | +66 | +105 | 0.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 592 | 123 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 211 | 15 | 1 | 1 | .208 | .273 | .328 | .601 | .120 | .290 | 32 | 6 | .268 | 63 | -27 | -0 | -2 | +12 | +18 | 0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | AZL Brewers | 93 | 82 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | .256 | .337 | .341 | .678 | .085 | .328 | 20 | 6 | .310 | 95 | -1 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Helena Brewers | 241 | 207 | 50 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .242 | .346 | .435 | .781 | .193 | .326 | 29 | 12 | .348 | 124 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 1.4 |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 389 | 337 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 124 | 10 | 1 | 3 | .234 | .330 | .380 | .710 | .145 | .335 | 32 | 10 | .319 | 103 | +1 | -1 | — | — | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | 482 | 430 | 104 | 22 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 142 | 22 | 1 | 1 | .242 | .318 | .395 | .713 | .153 | .324 | 29 | 5 | .319 | 103 | +1 | -0 | — | — | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 16 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .267 | .312 | .333 | .646 | .067 | .400 | 31 | 6 | .294 | 83 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +0 | 0.6 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 151 | 130 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 1 | .223 | .322 | .377 | .699 | .154 | .286 | 28 | 9 | .314 | 99 | -0 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 125 | 111 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .315 | .392 | .405 | .797 | .090 | .436 | 26 | 10 | .362 | 135 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.9 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 35 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .314 | .143 | .457 | .000 | .200 | 23 | 14 | .245 | 46 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 83 | 71 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .239 | .333 | .324 | .657 | .085 | .364 | 34 | 8 | .299 | 87 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 255 | 238 | 70 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 59 | 5 | 0 | 1 | .294 | .341 | .454 | .795 | .160 | .359 | 23 | 5 | .354 | 129 | +8 | -0 | — | — | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 104 | 95 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .274 | .337 | .432 | .768 | .158 | .315 | 18 | 7 | .343 | 121 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 269 | 241 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 70 | 7 | 1 | 0 | .249 | .325 | .415 | .740 | .166 | .304 | 26 | 7 | .331 | 111 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 51 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .186 | .314 | .209 | .523 | .023 | .267 | 25 | 12 | .260 | 57 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +7 | +1 | 0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Payton Henry (OGILVIE) | 29 | 45 | 55 | 45 | 40 | .227/.284/.366 | .139 | .293 | 7 | 2 | 28% | 5% | 82 | +0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Pedro Severino 2022 · MLB |
29 | 49→50 | 48→50 | 47→45 | 49 | .247/.313/.386 | .139 | .305 | 16 | 4 | 24% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .237/.295/.372 | .135 | .302 | 15 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .222/.275/.349 | .128 | .281 | 15 | 11 | 26% | 6% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB |
30 | 43→48 | 51→50 | 43→45 | 47 | .220/.295/.378 | .157 | .286 | 19 | 7 | 29% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .211/.280/.369 | .158 | .286 | 20 | 6 | 32% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .200/.280/.351 | .151 | .266 | 19 | 3 | 31% | 9% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Michael McKenry 2014 · MLB |
29 | 45→46 | 50→55 | 44→40 | 48 | .231/.299/.387 | .156 | .280 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .243/.325/.408 | .165 | .299 | 18 | 6 | 24% | 10% | 109 | +2.4 | .231/.329/.388 | .157 | .295 | 17 | 5 | 26% | 12% | 101 | +0.7 |
|
✕Luis Torrens 2023 · MLB |
27 | 46→49 | 51→55 | 46→30 | 44 | .235/.294/.394 | .158 | .299 | 20 | 3 | 28% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .230/.285/.371 | .141 | .296 | 16 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .223/.277/.353 | .130 | .278 | 13 | 2 | 24% | 6% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕John Hicks 2019 · MLB |
29 | 50→51 | 49→60 | 44→50 | 41 | .252/.295/.397 | .145 | .322 | 17 | 6 | 27% | 5% | 93 | +1.3 | .230/.270/.397 | .167 | .302 | 22 | 6 | 31% | 5% | 83 | +0.6 | .215/.250/.403 | .188 | .281 | 26 | 9 | 34% | 4% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB |
27 | 42 | 50 | 43→40 | 43 | .209/.295/.363 | .155 | .298 | 17 | 4 | 34% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .225/.297/.384 | .159 | .313 | 17 | 4 | 32% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .221/.291/.378 | .157 | .312 | 18 | 2 | 33% | 7% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB |
30 | 47→48 | 52→55 | 46→50 | 47 | .240/.297/.410 | .170 | .281 | 20 | 8 | 22% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .216/.285/.374 | .158 | .262 | 17 | 6 | 24% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .180/.259/.335 | .155 | .212 | 17 | 2 | 24% | 9% | 64 | -0.2 |
|
✕John Hester 2012 · MLB |
28 | 48 | 45→55 | 43→50 | 43 | .234/.286/.359 | .125 | .303 | 12 | 8 | 26% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .205/.263/.320 | .115 | .288 | 12 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .188/.247/.298 | .110 | .271 | 12 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 46 | -0.9 |
|
✕Brian O'Keefe 2022 · AAA |
29 | 41→42 | 52→55 | 44→40 | 41 | .216/.275/.373 | .157 | .293 | 22 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .211/.270/.375 | .164 | .278 | 21 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .198/.262/.368 | .171 | .244 | 22 | 1 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Brett Hayes 2013 · MLB |
29 | 45 | 47→45 | 48→40 | 39 | .225/.272/.364 | .139 | .305 | 15 | 5 | 31% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .203/.240/.353 | .150 | .259 | 19 | 5 | 29% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .165/.202/.301 | .136 | .201 | 17 | 2 | 29% | 4% | 26 | -1.2 |
|
✕Pat Valaika 2022 · MLB |
29 | 43→46 | 47→55 | 42→50 | 40 | .221/.265/.350 | .129 | .288 | 16 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .207/.256/.314 | .107 | .266 | 12 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .193/.245/.290 | .097 | .246 | 11 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 43 | -1.3 |
|
✕Dan DeMent 2007 · AAA |
29 | 45→55 | 50 | 43→45 | 40 | .227/.280/.378 | .151 | .304 | 18 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .231/.287/.365 | .134 | .312 | 14 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .242/.299/.368 | .126 | .324 | 11 | 2 | 27% | 7% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Humberto Sosa 2015 · AAA |
29 | 44→50 | 48→50 | 43→45 | 45 | .226/.274/.363 | .137 | .268 | 16 | 5 | 22% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .226/.268/.329 | .103 | .281 | 12 | 5 | 23% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .219/.271/.353 | .134 | .268 | 17 | 2 | 25% | 6% | 70 | -0.1 |
|
✕Seth Bynum 2010 · AAA |
29 | 43→44 | 50→55 | 44→50 | 37 | .224/.264/.373 | .149 | .296 | 18 | 6 | 31% | 5% | 74 | -0.1 | .211/.258/.354 | .143 | .292 | 17 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.245/.321 | .129 | .269 | 15 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 50 | -1.1 |
|
✕Brandon Larson 2006 · MLB |
30 | 43→42 | 49→50 | 45 | 45 | .221/.292/.366 | .145 | .284 | 17 | 7 | 28% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .227/.277/.383 | .156 | .291 | 20 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .217/.262/.366 | .149 | .273 | 21 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dustin Garneau 2017 · MLB |
29 | 40→38 | 49→50 | 45 | 45 | .211/.268/.357 | .146 | .241 | 18 | 6 | 22% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .207/.272/.362 | .155 | .252 | 18 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .184/.263/.355 | .171 | .225 | 21 | 0 | 29% | 7% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB |
29 | 41→44 | 52→55 | 49→40 | 45 | .217/.282/.379 | .162 | .265 | 21 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .214/.274/.387 | .173 | .271 | 22 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .207/.268/.386 | .179 | .258 | 24 | 4 | 30% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Brett Nicholas 2018 · MLB |
30 | 48→50 | 46→50 | 43→40 | 40 | .238/.278/.366 | .128 | .294 | 14 | 4 | 24% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .229/.277/.362 | .133 | .287 | 14 | 5 | 25% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 | .217/.270/.348 | .131 | .269 | 15 | 1 | 25% | 6% | 66 | -0.5 |
|
✕Francisco Peña 2019 · MLB |
29 | 44→43 | 46→55 | 47→40 | 41 | .223/.259/.345 | .122 | .267 | 14 | 5 | 23% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .221/.262/.382 | .161 | .258 | 21 | 5 | 24% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 | .196/.243/.367 | .171 | .216 | 26 | 1 | 24% | 5% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Cameron Rupp 2018 · MLB |
29 | 46→50 | 53→55 | 46→30 | 45 | .235/.302/.408 | .173 | .304 | 20 | 3 | 29% | 8% | 99 | +1.7 | .203/.275/.365 | .162 | .293 | 20 | 3 | 36% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .167/.242/.315 | .148 | .243 | 20 | 0 | 39% | 8% | 48 | -0.8 |