Payton Henry
C Lehigh Valley IronPigs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | AAATOR | 104 | .274/.337/.432 | 3 | 0 | 82 | — | .247/.298/.361 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAAPHI | 269 | .249/.325/.415 | 11 | 1 | 67 | — | .218/.276/.339 |
| 2026 | 29 | AAAPHI | 259 | .227/.305/.361 | 8 | 0 | 47 | — | .188/.251/.276 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 30 | MLBPHI | 16 | .229/.285/.355 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ33% MLB | 31 | MLBPHI | 54 | .225/.281/.348 | 1 | 0 | 75 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 93 | 82 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 337 | 341 | 678 | 85 | 328 | 20 | 6 | 310 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Helena Brewers | — | 241 | 207 | 50 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 346 | 435 | 781 | 193 | 326 | 29 | 12 | 348 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 389 | 337 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 124 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 234 | 330 | 380 | 710 | 145 | 335 | 32 | 10 | 319 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 482 | 430 | 104 | 22 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 142 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 318 | 395 | 713 | 153 | 324 | 29 | 5 | 319 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 16 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 312 | 333 | 646 | 67 | 400 | 31 | 6 | 294 | 92 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +0 | 0.6 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 151 | 130 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 322 | 377 | 699 | 154 | 286 | 28 | 9 | 314 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 125 | 111 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 315 | 392 | 405 | 797 | 90 | 436 | 26 | 10 | 362 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 35 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 314 | 143 | 457 | 200 | 23 | 14 | 245 | 53 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 | |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 83 | 71 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 333 | 324 | 657 | 85 | 364 | 34 | 8 | 299 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 255 | 238 | 70 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 59 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 341 | 454 | 795 | 160 | 359 | 23 | 5 | 354 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 104 | 95 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 337 | 432 | 768 | 158 | 315 | 18 | 7 | 343 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 269 | 241 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 70 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 249 | 325 | 415 | 740 | 166 | 304 | 26 | 7 | 331 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 259 | 233 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 76 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 305 | 361 | 666 | 133 | 302 | 29 | 7 | 303 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 51 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 314 | 209 | 523 | 23 | 267 | 25 | 12 | 260 | 62 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +7 | +1 | 0.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 93 | 84 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 190 | 261 | 250 | 511 | 60 | 267 | 29 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 241 | 219 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 99 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 164 | 237 | 292 | 530 | 128 | 261 | 41 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 389 | 347 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 174 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 182 | 262 | 282 | 545 | 101 | 320 | 45 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 482 | 440 | 74 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 208 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 168 | 234 | 268 | 502 | 100 | 276 | 43 | 3 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 16 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 312 | 333 | 646 | 67 | 400 | 31 | 6 | 303 | 92 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +0 | 0.6 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 151 | 134 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 209 | 289 | 336 | 624 | 127 | 289 | 34 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 125 | 116 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 336 | 353 | 689 | 78 | 402 | 32 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 35 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 314 | 143 | 457 | 200 | 23 | 14 | 247 | 53 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +1 | 0.1 | |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 83 | 73 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 284 | 288 | 572 | 82 | 331 | 42 | 6 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 255 | 242 | 66 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 72 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 310 | 401 | 711 | 128 | 362 | 28 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 104 | 97 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 298 | 361 | 659 | 113 | 302 | 22 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 269 | 248 | 54 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 84 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 276 | 339 | 615 | 121 | 288 | 31 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 259 | 239 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 91 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 251 | 276 | 527 | 88 | 280 | 35 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 93 | 84 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 190 | 261 | 250 | 511 | 60 | 276 | 29 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers | — | 93 | 82 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 337 | 341 | 678 | 85 | 328 | 20 | 6 | 310 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 241 | 219 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 99 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 164 | 237 | 292 | 530 | 128 | 267 | 41 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK RAW | Helena Brewers | — | 241 | 207 | 50 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 346 | 435 | 781 | 193 | 326 | 29 | 12 | 348 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 389 | 347 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 174 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 182 | 262 | 282 | 545 | 101 | 331 | 45 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 389 | 337 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 124 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 234 | 330 | 380 | 710 | 145 | 335 | 32 | 10 | 319 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 482 | 440 | 74 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 208 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 168 | 234 | 268 | 502 | 100 | 283 | 43 | 3 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 482 | 430 | 104 | 22 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 142 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 318 | 395 | 713 | 153 | 324 | 29 | 5 | 319 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 292 | 264 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 97 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 307 | 337 | 644 | 98 | 354 | 33 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 292 | 256 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 80 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 352 | 387 | 738 | 121 | 360 | 27 | 9 | 334 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 118 | 101 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 293 | 248 | 541 | 59 | 305 | 36 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 118 | 99 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 328 | 273 | 600 | 61 | 312 | 31 | 10 | 283 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 255 | 242 | 66 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 72 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 310 | 401 | 711 | 128 | 362 | 28 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 255 | 238 | 70 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 59 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 294 | 341 | 454 | 795 | 160 | 359 | 23 | 5 | 354 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 104 | 97 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 298 | 361 | 659 | 113 | 306 | 22 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 104 | 95 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 337 | 432 | 768 | 158 | 315 | 18 | 7 | 343 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 269 | 248 | 54 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 84 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 276 | 339 | 615 | 121 | 293 | 31 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 269 | 241 | 60 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 70 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 249 | 325 | 415 | 740 | 166 | 304 | 26 | 7 | 331 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 259 | 239 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 91 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 251 | 276 | 527 | 88 | 280 | 35 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 259 | 233 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 76 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 305 | 361 | 666 | 133 | 302 | 29 | 7 | 303 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 93 | 85 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 188 | 261 | 247 | 508 | 59 | 267 | 29 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 241 | 218 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 99 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 165 | 237 | 294 | 531 | 128 | 261 | 41 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 389 | 348 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 174 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 181 | 262 | 282 | 544 | 101 | 320 | 45 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 482 | 441 | 74 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 208 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 168 | 234 | 268 | 502 | 100 | 276 | 43 | 3 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 292 | 264 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 97 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 307 | 337 | 644 | 98 | 343 | 33 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 118 | 102 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 293 | 245 | 538 | 59 | 292 | 36 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 255 | 240 | 66 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 72 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 275 | 310 | 404 | 714 | 129 | 362 | 28 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 104 | 96 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 298 | 365 | 663 | 115 | 302 | 22 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 269 | 247 | 54 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 84 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 276 | 340 | 616 | 121 | 288 | 31 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 259 | 237 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 91 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 251 | 278 | 529 | 89 | 280 | 35 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 104 | 96 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 298 | 365 | 663 | 115 | 302 | 22 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 269 | 247 | 54 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 84 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 276 | 340 | 616 | 121 | 288 | 31 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 259 | 237 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 91 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 251 | 278 | 529 | 89 | 280 | 35 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | PHI | 10% | 288 | 265 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 84 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 283 | 349 | 632 | 122 | 301 | 29 | 5 | 283 | 78 | -8 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +6 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | PHI | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 285 | 355 | 640 | 127 | 302 | 31 | 6 | 286 | 78 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | PHI | 33% | 164 | 152 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 280 | 342 | 622 | 118 | 298 | 29 | 5 | 279 | 75 | -5 | +0 | -3 | +3 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | PHI | 33% | 54 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 281 | 348 | 630 | 123 | 298 | 30 | 6 | 282 | 75 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 105 | 93 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 295 | 269 | 564 | 65 | 286 | 28 | 9 | 272 | 59 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +2 | 0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 576 | 118 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 56 | 180 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 297 | 269 | 566 | 64 | 287 | 28 | 9 | 272 | 59 | -24 | +0 | +1 | +51 | +14 | 4.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2821 | 2576 | 526 | 90 | 4 | 58 | 150 | 1011 | 78 | 5 | 7 | 204 | 269 | 310 | 579 | 106 | 307 | 36 | 5 | 255 | 59 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +13 | +8 | 0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 121 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 233 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 204 | 269 | 308 | 577 | 104 | 307 | 36 | 5 | 255 | 59 | -20 | +0 | -3 | +23 | +14 | 1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 259 PAwOBA .295 → .237 (−58)K% 29.3% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.34% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 23.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 3.50% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .295 → .237; ISO .133 → .091; BABIP .302 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 269 PAwOBA .323 → .267 (−57)K% 26.0% → 31.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.02% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.43% | ÷1.075 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 2.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.56% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 24.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.09% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 3.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.43% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 4.72% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 99, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .323 → .267; ISO .166 → .121; BABIP .304 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAABuffalo Bisons · 104 PAwOBA .334 → .289 (−45)K% 18.3% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.27% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.73% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.37% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 22.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷0.959 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 7.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.95% | ÷0.990 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.80% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .334 → .289; ISO .158 → .123; BABIP .315 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAANashville Sounds · 255 PAwOBA .344 → .306 (−38)K% 23.1% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.14% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.71% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.93% | ÷0.953 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 29.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 5.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.03% | ÷0.905 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.96% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .344 → .306; ISO .160 → .124; BABIP .359 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 83 PAwOBA .298 → .247 (−51)K% 33.7% → 41.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.73% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 41.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.43% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.61% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 3.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.23% | ÷1.054 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 27.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷0.898 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 6.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.63% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 111, 2B 80, 3B 86, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .298 → .247; ISO .085 → .065; BABIP .364 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 151 PAwOBA .310 → .275 (−35)K% 28.5% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.48% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.27% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.31% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 3.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.84% | ÷0.971 | ×0.930 | ×1.036 | ×1.048 | 22.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.75% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×1.048 | 5.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.109 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.75% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.76% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 122, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .310 → .275; ISO .154 → .127; BABIP .286 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABiloxi Shuckers · 125 PAwOBA .351 → .295 (−56)K% 25.6% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.60% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.80% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.44% | ÷0.993 | ×0.940 | ×0.992 | ×1.012 | 33.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.33% | ÷1.124 | ×0.870 | ×0.992 | ×1.012 | 4.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×1.012 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷0.929 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.07% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 100, K 96, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .351 → .295; ISO .090 → .072; BABIP .436 → .402. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Carolina Mudcats · 482 PAwOBA .313 → .221 (−91)K% 29.5% → 43.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.46% | ÷0.967 | ×1.420 | — | — | 43.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.19% | ÷1.010 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 3.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.56% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 3.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷0.978 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 21.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.64% | ÷1.183 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 5.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.096 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.86% | ÷1.082 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 4.09% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 137, 3B 119, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .313 → .221; ISO .153 → .099; BABIP .324 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).