Dante Bichette Jr.
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | AATrenton Thund… | 427 | .243/.344/.373 | 9 | 4 | 80 | — | .234/.304/.340 |
| 2017 | 24 | AATrenton Thund… | 281 | .262/.355/.352 | 4 | 0 | 79 | — | .247/.312/.322 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAWSH | 280 | .297/.350/.402 | 2 | 3 | 72 | — | .255/.292/.331 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees | — | 240 | 196 | 67 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 41 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 342 | 453 | 505 | 958 | 163 | 410 | 17 | 12 | 421 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 522 | 471 | 117 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 94 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 248 | 322 | 331 | 653 | 83 | 305 | 18 | 8 | 300 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 486 | 435 | 93 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 119 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 293 | 331 | 624 | 117 | 267 | 24 | 9 | 285 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 74 | 67 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 297 | 313 | 611 | 90 | 255 | 15 | 8 | 281 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 460 | 402 | 109 | 27 | 1 | 9 | 50 | 90 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 271 | 356 | 410 | 766 | 139 | 325 | 20 | 11 | 342 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 82 | 73 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 260 | 325 | 274 | 599 | 14 | 333 | 22 | 9 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 271 | 254 | 58 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 269 | 319 | 588 | 91 | 271 | 18 | 5 | 262 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 171 | 157 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 287 | 299 | 586 | 76 | 272 | 18 | 7 | 269 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 427 | 367 | 89 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 53 | 81 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 243 | 344 | 373 | 718 | 131 | 286 | 19 | 12 | 325 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 281 | 244 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 355 | 352 | 707 | 90 | 311 | 17 | 12 | 323 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 280 | 256 | 76 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 297 | 350 | 402 | 753 | 105 | 339 | 14 | 7 | 334 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 240 | 207 | 54 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 59 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 261 | 352 | 372 | 724 | 111 | 334 | 25 | 8 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 522 | 487 | 111 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 129 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 228 | 280 | 294 | 573 | 66 | 304 | 25 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 486 | 448 | 82 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 156 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 244 | 277 | 521 | 94 | 253 | 32 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 74 | 68 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 284 | 309 | 593 | 88 | 265 | 18 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 460 | 413 | 97 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 134 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 235 | 305 | 358 | 664 | 123 | 316 | 29 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 271 | 258 | 57 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 250 | 295 | 545 | 74 | 277 | 23 | 3 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 171 | 160 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 181 | 234 | 250 | 484 | 69 | 240 | 25 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 427 | 385 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 99 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 234 | 304 | 340 | 645 | 106 | 290 | 23 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 281 | 255 | 63 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 247 | 312 | 322 | 633 | 75 | 305 | 21 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 280 | 263 | 67 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 292 | 331 | 623 | 76 | 299 | 16 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 240 | 207 | 54 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 59 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 261 | 352 | 372 | 724 | 111 | 347 | 25 | 8 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Yankees | — | 240 | 196 | 67 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 41 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 342 | 453 | 505 | 958 | 163 | 410 | 17 | 12 | 421 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 522 | 487 | 111 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 129 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 228 | 280 | 294 | 573 | 66 | 306 | 25 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 522 | 471 | 117 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 94 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 248 | 322 | 331 | 653 | 83 | 305 | 18 | 8 | 300 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 486 | 448 | 82 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 156 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 244 | 277 | 521 | 94 | 256 | 32 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 486 | 435 | 93 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 119 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 293 | 331 | 624 | 117 | 267 | 24 | 9 | 285 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 616 | 555 | 130 | 32 | 1 | 11 | 50 | 170 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 234 | 302 | 355 | 657 | 121 | 312 | 28 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 616 | 542 | 143 | 31 | 1 | 10 | 63 | 119 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 264 | 345 | 380 | 725 | 116 | 317 | 19 | 10 | 326 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 418 | 85 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 105 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 203 | 241 | 270 | 512 | 67 | 264 | 24 | 4 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 442 | 411 | 93 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 276 | 311 | 587 | 85 | 271 | 18 | 6 | 265 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 427 | 385 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 99 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 234 | 304 | 340 | 645 | 106 | 294 | 23 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | Trenton Thunder | — | 427 | 367 | 89 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 53 | 81 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 243 | 344 | 373 | 718 | 131 | 286 | 19 | 12 | 325 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 281 | 255 | 63 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 247 | 312 | 322 | 633 | 75 | 308 | 21 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | Trenton Thunder | — | 281 | 244 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 355 | 352 | 707 | 90 | 311 | 17 | 12 | 323 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 280 | 263 | 67 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 292 | 331 | 623 | 76 | 303 | 16 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 280 | 256 | 76 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 297 | 350 | 402 | 753 | 105 | 339 | 14 | 7 | 334 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 240 | 209 | 54 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 59 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 258 | 352 | 368 | 720 | 110 | 334 | 25 | 8 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 522 | 482 | 111 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 129 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 230 | 280 | 297 | 576 | 66 | 304 | 25 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 486 | 447 | 82 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 156 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 244 | 277 | 521 | 94 | 253 | 32 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 616 | 557 | 130 | 32 | 1 | 11 | 50 | 170 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 233 | 302 | 354 | 656 | 120 | 309 | 28 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 418 | 85 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 105 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 203 | 241 | 270 | 512 | 67 | 263 | 24 | 4 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 427 | 385 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 99 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 234 | 304 | 340 | 645 | 106 | 290 | 23 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 281 | 255 | 63 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 247 | 312 | 322 | 633 | 75 | 305 | 21 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 280 | 264 | 67 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 254 | 292 | 330 | 622 | 76 | 299 | 16 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3294 | 3018 | 682 | 131 | 15 | 37 | 216 | 823 | 36 | 16 | 15 | 226 | 286 | 316 | 602 | 90 | 296 | 25 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -130 | -3 | +0 | +12 | +71 | -5.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 134 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 43 | 162 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 225 | 285 | 314 | 599 | 89 | 294 | 25 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -26 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAHarrisburg Senators · 280 PAwOBA .328 → .275 (−53)K% 13.6% → 16.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.57% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.79% | ÷1.054 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.15% | ÷0.991 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 23.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.96% | ÷0.985 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.83% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.92% | ÷1.111 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 0.63% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .328 → .275; ISO .105 → .082; BABIP .339 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AATrenton Thunder · 281 PAwOBA .316 → .285 (−31)K% 17.4% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.44% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.10% | ÷0.979 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.15% | ÷1.020 | ×0.970 | ×1.043 | ×0.998 | 25.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.10% | ÷0.936 | ×0.860 | ×1.043 | ×0.998 | 3.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.043 | ×0.998 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.05% | ÷0.960 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.66% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 104, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .316 → .285; ISO .090 → .079; BABIP .311 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AATrenton Thunder · 427 PAwOBA .320 → .286 (−34)K% 19.0% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.97% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.41% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.98% | ÷0.981 | ×0.970 | ×1.048 | ×1.012 | 22.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.64% | ÷0.962 | ×0.860 | ×1.048 | ×1.012 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.039 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | ×1.012 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.15% | ÷1.015 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.45% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 96, 2B 92, 3B 108, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .320 → .286; ISO .131 → .113; BABIP .286 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATrenton Thunder · 271 PAwOBA .258 → .238 (−19)K% 17.7% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.71% | ÷0.950 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.80% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.37% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.39% | ÷0.977 | ×0.970 | ×1.041 | ×1.027 | 21.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.34% | ÷0.978 | ×0.860 | ×1.041 | ×1.027 | 5.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.041 | ×1.027 | 1.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.153 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.67% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 90, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .258 → .238; ISO .091 → .076; BABIP .271 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Tampa Yankees · 171 PAwOBA .263 → .214 (−49)K% 18.1% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.13% | ÷1.016 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.02% | ÷1.015 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.17% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.63% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×0.998 | 18.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.044 | ×0.960 | ×1.001 | ×0.998 | 5.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.001 | ×0.998 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.832 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.84% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 66, 1B 109, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .263 → .214; ISO .076 → .065; BABIP .272 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Tampa Yankees · 460 PAwOBA .337 → .293 (−44)K% 19.6% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.57% | ÷0.950 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.87% | ÷0.978 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 8.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 22.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.65% | ÷1.003 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 8.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.88% | ÷0.882 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.91% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 90, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .337 → .293; ISO .139 → .128; BABIP .325 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATrenton Thunder · 74 PAwOBA .274 → .259 (−15)K% 14.9% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.86% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷0.977 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 6.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 20.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.36% | ÷0.972 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 5.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.910 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 1.60% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .274 → .259; ISO .090 → .082; BABIP .255 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ACharleston RiverDogs · 486 PAwOBA .278 → .231 (−47)K% 24.5% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.49% | ÷1.019 | ×1.340 | — | — | 32.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.64% | ÷0.956 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 6.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.57% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 19.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.06% | ÷0.946 | ×0.820 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 4.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.038 | ×0.940 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.48% | ÷0.951 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 3.05% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 108, K 104, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .278 → .231; ISO .117 → .097; BABIP .267 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .