Juan Cabada

SS Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 19 L/R 5'9" / 165 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

APROSPECTFG #711MiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP45ETA2029FG ETA2031MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Cubs Red	170	.287/.429/.426	3	20	65	—	.190/.324/.275
2026	18	ACHC	74	.215/.301/.338	2	1	50	—	.197/.274/.318
2026	18	ROKCHC	62	.283/.387/.434	2	2	70	—	.232/.306/.375
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBCHC	246	.223/.296/.331	4	5	78	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCHC	80	.229/.303/.345	1	2	83	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCHC	173	.232/.306/.353	3	3	86	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Chase%58

Whiff%56

K%48

ISO46

Z-Con%34

wRC+28

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 7, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 86%

CompsMax Clark (age 19) · Termarr Johnson (age 19) · Canaan Smith-Njigba (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 131 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .293 / .328

PA131

HR2

K%26

BB%7

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

DEFENSE43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	136	39	10	0	3	20	31	14	20	3	287	429	426	856	140	353	18	12	393	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	74	65	14	2	0	2	3	18	5	1	1	215	301	338	640	123	261	24	4	291	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	62	53	15	0	1	2	9	10	0	2	1	283	387	434	821	151	317	16	15	370	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	35	30	5	1	0	0	4	12	1	1	0	167	286	200	486	33	278	34	11	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	142	27	6	0	2	14	39	14	20	3	190	324	275	598	85	243	23	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	74	66	13	2	0	2	2	24	5	1	1	197	274	318	592	121	253	32	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	62	56	13	0	1	2	6	14	0	2	1	232	306	375	681	143	261	23	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	142	27	6	0	2	14	39	14	20	3	190	324	275	598	85	248	23	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	136	39	10	0	3	20	31	14	20	3	287	429	426	856	140	353	18	12	393	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	3 teams	—	171	154	31	2	1	4	10	49	6	4	2	201	276	305	582	104	265	29	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A RAW	3 teams	—	171	148	34	3	1	4	16	40	6	4	2	230	329	345	674	115	286	23	9	309	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	140	27	6	0	2	14	39	14	20	3	193	324	279	602	86	243	23	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	3 teams	—	171	153	31	2	1	4	10	49	6	4	2	203	276	307	584	105	257	29	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	170	140	27	6	0	2	14	39	14	20	3	193	324	279	602	86	243	23	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	3 teams	—	171	153	31	2	1	4	10	49	6	4	2	203	276	307	584	105	257	29	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	246	221	49	8	2	4	18	64	5	5	1	223	296	331	627	108	291	26	7	284	78	-6	+1	-3	+3	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	232	208	47	8	1	4	17	59	5	5	1	227	301	342	643	115	292	25	7	291	83	-5	+1	-3	+2	+5	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	357	319	73	12	2	7	27	90	8	7	2	230	305	351	656	121	293	25	8	296	86	-6	+1	-4	+4	+8	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	447	401	94	16	3	10	34	111	9	9	2	232	307	358	665	126	294	25	8	300	89	-6	+1	-4	+5	+10	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	505	451	105	18	3	11	39	124	10	10	2	234	309	363	673	129	295	25	8	303	91	-5	+1	-4	+5	+11	0.8
2032	24	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	543	485	114	19	3	13	42	132	11	10	3	236	311	368	678	132	295	24	8	305	93	-5	+1	-4	+6	+12	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	565	505	118	20	3	13	44	138	11	10	3	236	311	368	679	132	295	24	8	305	93	-5	+1	-3	+6	+12	1.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	577	515	122	21	3	14	45	141	12	10	3	236	311	368	679	132	295	24	8	305	93	-5	+1	-3	+6	+13	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	579	518	121	21	3	13	45	142	11	10	3	235	310	365	675	131	295	25	8	304	92	-6	+1	-3	+6	+13	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	576	515	119	20	3	13	45	143	11	9	3	233	308	361	669	128	294	25	8	301	90	-7	+1	-3	+6	+12	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	567	507	117	20	3	12	44	142	11	8	3	231	306	355	660	124	293	25	8	298	88	-8	+0	-4	+6	+12	0.6
2038	30	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	557	499	114	19	3	12	43	141	10	8	3	228	302	347	650	119	291	25	8	293	85	-10	+0	-5	+6	+12	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	CHC	60%	544	488	110	18	3	11	41	140	10	6	4	224	298	338	636	114	289	26	8	288	81	-12	-0	-5	+6	+12	-0.1
2040	32	MLB MLE	CHC	61%	526	473	105	17	3	10	39	138	9	5	7	219	292	326	618	107	285	26	7	280	76	-15	-2	-6	+6	+11	-0.6
2028	20	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	80	72	17	3	1	1	6	20	2	2	0	229	303	345	647	116	296	25	8	293	83	-2	+0	-1	+1	+2	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	173	154	35	6	1	3	13	43	4	3	1	232	306	353	660	122	297	25	8	298	86	-3	+0	-2	+2	+4	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	242	217	51	9	2	5	18	60	5	5	1	234	309	360	669	126	297	25	7	301	89	-3	+1	-2	+3	+5	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	286	256	60	10	2	6	22	70	6	5	1	236	311	366	677	130	298	24	8	304	91	-3	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	307	274	65	11	2	7	24	75	6	6	1	237	312	370	682	132	299	24	8	306	93	-3	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	319	285	68	12	2	7	25	78	6	6	2	238	313	370	683	133	299	24	8	307	93	-3	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	326	291	69	12	2	7	25	79	7	6	2	237	312	370	682	132	298	24	8	306	93	-3	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	321	287	68	12	2	7	25	79	6	6	2	236	312	367	679	131	298	25	8	305	92	-3	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	316	282	67	12	2	7	25	78	6	5	2	235	310	363	673	128	297	25	8	303	90	-4	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	303	271	63	11	2	6	23	76	6	5	2	232	307	357	664	125	296	25	8	299	88	-4	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	318	285	65	11	2	6	24	81	6	4	2	230	304	350	653	120	295	25	8	295	85	-6	+0	-3	+3	+7	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	CHC	60%	324	291	65	11	2	6	24	83	6	4	2	226	299	340	639	115	292	26	7	289	81	-7	+0	-3	+3	+7	-0.0
2040	32	MLB CTX	CHC	61%	322	289	65	11	2	6	24	84	6	3	5	221	293	328	622	108	288	26	7	282	76	-9	-1	-4	+3	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3637	3254	758	131	24	74	278	906	72	60	23	233	307	356	664	123	298	25	8	299	86	-53	+3	-28	+39	+79	4.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	135	23	4	13	50	162	13	11	4	232	307	352	660	120	297	25	8	299	86	-9	+1	-5	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	7047	6298	1443	241	38	151	538	1763	151	134	45	229	305	351	657	122	292	25	8	296	86	-98	+6	-52	+72	+145	7.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	133	22	4	14	50	163	14	12	4	229	305	353	658	124	292	25	8	296	86	-10	+1	-5	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jack Barry'08-'19 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,902 PA	7.4	4,902	10	153	242*	319*	374*	+43	-16	14.0	14.3
/162	664	1	21	+5.8	-2.2	1.9	pk7: 15
#2Julio Lugo'00-'11 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,338 PA	8.0	5,338	80	198	259*	323*	374*	+48	-38	10.5	11.7
/162	664	10	25	+6.0	-4.7	1.3	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.7	3,769	81	62	232	303	356	+40	-22	9.1	7.9
/162	664	14	11	+7.1	-3.9	1.6	pk7: 7
#3Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	6.4	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
/162	664	12	5	+6.4	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 8
#4Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#5Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	4.2	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.7	7.1
/162	664	11	12	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
#6Heinie Sand'23-'28 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,529 PA	5.3	3,529	18	21	229*	321*	354*	+36	-15	3.9	3.9
/162	664	3	4	+6.7	-2.8	0.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Cabada (OGILVIE)	19	25→55	30→45	45→49	70	221/293/328	107	291	2	3	26%	7%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Max Clark 2024 · A	19	44→53	42→45	51→55	48	207/292/314	106	308	9	11	33%	10%	74	-0.5	238/314/357	119	306	11	17	24%	9%	92	+0.7	245/323/369	124	304	11	19	22%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	46→51	41→45	46→55	51	218/304/317	98	298	9	7	28%	10%	79	-0.2	237/308/353	116	333	10	11	29%	9%	88	+0.5	242/319/359	118	343	9	15	29%	10%	91	+0.4
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	43	41→45	45	56	204/303/316	112	273	7	8	26%	12%	79	-0.2	186/265/271	85	280	6	5	33%	9%	55	-2.0	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	47→57	40	50→40	47	223/290/317	95	292	7	7	25%	8%	74	-0.6	241/309/329	88	308	7	5	22%	8%	83	+0.1	245/318/319	74	316	4	2	22%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	41→51	46→50	45→40	50	210/283/334	125	261	14	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	248/309/379	131	301	14	4	21%	8%	95	+0.9	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	45→46	39→55	52→50	46	212/280/301	90	299	6	9	30%	9%	66	-1.1	196/254/318	122	282	11	8	33%	7%	60	-1.6	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Ronny Hernandez 2024 · A	19	44→53	39→40	49→30	46	211/281/302	91	288	6	4	28%	8%	67	-1.1	227/301/310	83	296	7	3	24%	9%	76	-0.4	229/306/323	94	287	11	1	22%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	49	220/298/335	114	290	7	10	25%	9%	80	-0.1	201/274/317	116	305	8	13	34%	9%	68	-1.0	238/319/386	148	309	15	24	26%	11%	100	+0.9
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	45→54	44→50	50→40	45	221/278/350	129	289	10	8	27%	7%	76	-0.4	241/308/352	111	311	9	4	23%	9%	88	+0.4	246/316/351	105	316	8	2	23%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	43→51	42→50	50→55	51	209/299/315	106	278	8	12	26%	10%	77	-0.3	225/289/347	122	328	11	16	32%	7%	80	-0.1	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	35→44	42→50	53→55	51	176/278/284	108	252	10	16	32%	11%	63	-1.3	209/288/321	112	322	10	16	35%	9%	74	-0.5	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	44→50	41→50	47→45	46	215/282/311	96	276	9	12	25%	8%	70	-0.9	234/317/368	134	286	12	9	21%	10%	96	+1.0	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8

Juan Cabada

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps