Briggs McKenzie

P Rome Emperors

Age 20 LHP A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP51ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	19	MIX3 levels	7	7	26	2.08	2.60	28.7%	11.1%	—	K 21.6% · BB 20.7% · FIP 5.27
2027PROJ	20	MLBATL	13	13	70	5.02	5.02	23.8%	15.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBATL	10	10	53	4.92	4.89	22.9%	13.7%	0.0
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBATL	20	20	108	4.67	4.53	24.1%	11.9%	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$6M2034Ext$10M+1

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff58Control51Command53FB velo50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 9, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 84%

CompsJacob Bresnahan (age 19) · Caden Grice (age 22) · Jay Groome (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 129

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%23.8%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%8.7%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5560

CTRL5050

CMD4055

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	19	MIX MLE	3 levels	7	7	26	108	31	12	1	100%	3.7	21.6%	20.7%	0.9%	2.5%	2.08	5.27	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	3 levels	7	7	26	108	31	12	1	100%	3.7	21.6%	20.7%	0.9%	2.5%	2.08	5.27	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	3 levels	7	7	26	108	31	12	1	100%	3.7	28.7%	11.1%	17.6%	0.9%	2.08	2.60	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	ATL	13	13	70	296	70	45	9	100%	5.4	23.8%	15.1%	8.7%	3.0%	5.02	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	20	20	107	453	104	62	13	100%	5.4	22.9%	13.7%	9.1%	2.9%	4.92	4.89	+0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	ATL	27	27	149	628	151	75	18	100%	5.5	24.1%	11.9%	12.2%	2.9%	4.67	4.53	+0.6
2030	23	MLB MLE	ATL	32	32	175	739	184	79	21	100%	5.5	24.9%	10.7%	14.2%	2.8%	4.43	4.29	+1.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	ATL	32	32	179	757	192	75	21	100%	5.6	25.4%	9.9%	15.5%	2.8%	4.25	4.13	+1.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	ATL	31	31	180	760	196	72	21	100%	5.8	25.8%	9.4%	16.3%	2.8%	4.12	4.03	+1.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	ATL	30	30	180	760	198	72	21	100%	6.0	26.0%	9.4%	16.6%	2.8%	4.05	4.01	+1.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	ATL	30	30	177	749	195	71	21	100%	5.9	26.0%	9.5%	16.5%	2.8%	4.05	4.05	+1.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	ATL	29	29	172	726	188	70	21	100%	5.9	25.9%	9.6%	16.2%	2.9%	4.10	4.13	+1.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	ATL	27	27	164	694	178	68	21	100%	6.1	25.6%	9.9%	15.8%	3.1%	4.20	4.26	+1.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	ATL	26	26	154	652	165	66	21	100%	5.9	25.3%	10.2%	15.1%	3.3%	4.34	4.44	+0.8
2038	31	MLB MLE	ATL	24	24	144	608	151	64	21	100%	6.0	24.9%	10.5%	14.4%	3.5%	4.52	4.64	+0.4
2039	32	MLB MLE	ATL	22	22	133	562	137	61	21	100%	6.1	24.4%	10.9%	13.5%	3.8%	4.73	4.87	+0.0
2040	33	MLB MLE	ATL	20	20	122	516	123	59	21	100%	6.1	23.9%	11.4%	12.6%	4.0%	4.96	5.12	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	10	10	53	224	51	31	7	100%	5.3	22.9%	13.7%	9.1%	2.9%	4.92	4.89	+0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	ATL	20	20	108	456	110	54	13	100%	5.4	24.1%	11.9%	12.2%	2.9%	4.67	4.53	+0.5
2030	23	MLB CTX	ATL	27	27	148	625	156	67	18	100%	5.5	24.9%	10.7%	14.2%	2.8%	4.43	4.29	+1.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	ATL	29	29	160	676	172	67	19	100%	5.5	25.4%	9.9%	15.5%	2.8%	4.25	4.13	+1.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	ATL	28	28	165	697	180	66	19	100%	5.9	25.8%	9.4%	16.3%	2.8%	4.12	4.03	+1.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	ATL	28	28	168	709	184	67	20	100%	6.0	26.0%	9.4%	16.6%	2.8%	4.05	4.01	+1.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	ATL	28	28	168	709	184	67	20	100%	6.0	26.0%	9.5%	16.5%	2.8%	4.05	4.05	+1.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	ATL	27	27	163	688	178	66	20	100%	6.0	25.9%	9.6%	16.2%	2.9%	4.10	4.13	+1.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	ATL	26	26	156	659	169	65	20	100%	6.0	25.6%	9.9%	15.8%	3.1%	4.20	4.26	+1.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	ATL	24	24	147	621	157	63	20	100%	6.1	25.3%	10.2%	15.1%	3.3%	4.34	4.44	+0.8
2038	31	MLB CTX	ATL	23	23	137	578	144	61	20	100%	6.0	24.9%	10.5%	14.4%	3.5%	4.52	4.64	+0.4
2039	32	MLB CTX	ATL	21	21	127	536	131	59	20	100%	6.0	24.4%	10.9%	13.5%	3.8%	4.73	4.87	+0.0
2040	33	MLB CTX	ATL	19	19	116	490	117	56	20	100%	6.1	23.9%	11.4%	12.6%	4.0%	4.96	5.12	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		313	313	1816	7666	1932	788	237	100%	5.8	25.2%	10.3%	14.9%	3.1%	4.35	3.97	+20.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	213	87	26	100%	5.8	25.2%	10.3%	14.9%	3.1%	4.35	3.97	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		7	7	26	108	23	22	3	100%	3.7	21.6%	20.7%	0.9%	2.5%	2.08	5.27	+12.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	54	200	831	179	172	21	100%	3.7	21.6%	20.7%	0.9%	2.5%	2.08	5.27	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Briggs McKenzie (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	23.8%	15.1%	3.0%	—	4.52	24.1%	12.2%	431	-0.50	—	—	—
Jacob Bresnahan L 2024 · 4.95 FIP	19	SP	4.95	20.2%	14.1%	3.2%	.292	3.92	23.2%	11.1%	208	-1.03	3.03	277	89
Caden Grice L 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP	4.33	23.1%	15.7%	2.2%	.282	5.05	17.9%	2.3%	83	+0.72	4.33	133	84
Jay Groome L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	18	SP	4.56	21.6%	14.8%	2.6%	.345	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	420	83
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	83
Dalton Rogers L 2023 · 4.31 FIP	22	SP	4.31	25.3%	16.7%	2.2%	.327	4.58	19.6%	4.1%	268	+0.27	3.47	364	83
Miguel Flores L 2024 · 4.30 FIP	19	SP	4.30	21.2%	16.5%	1.6%	.294	4.90	17.4%	-0.3%	127	+0.60	4.30	173	82
John Beller L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP	4.48	19.7%	14.1%	2.3%	.326	4.35	22.2%	7.1%	90	-0.13	4.16	170	82
Sam Weatherly L 2021 · 4.07 FIP	22	SP	4.07	24.0%	12.8%	2.5%	.323	4.14	21.9%	8.9%	41	+0.07	4.07	212	81
Alex Clemmey L 2024 · 4.22 FIP	19	SP	4.22	23.3%	19.0%	1.2%	.313	5.26	20.2%	4.5%	245	+1.04	4.22	337	80
Samy Natera Jr. L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	22.9%	13.3%	4.2%	.294	3.26	30.7%	17.2%	124	-1.88	1.94	208	80
Rylan Kaufman L 2021 · 4.60 FIP	22	SP	4.60	19.3%	12.1%	2.9%	.305	4.75	18.9%	4.5%	131	+0.15	4.01	212	80
Andrew Sears L 2024 · 4.25 FIP	21	SP	4.25	19.6%	15.4%	1.6%	.248	4.06	19.9%	11.0%	177	-0.19	3.71	266	78
Brent Headrick L 2021 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	22.9%	14.0%	2.6%	.383	4.55	24.0%	17.0%	227	+0.19	2.36	414	77
Brent Killam L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	23	SP	4.29	29.1%	14.5%	3.3%	.284	6.64	18.4%	9.6%	80	+2.35	4.29	121	76
Keegan Akin L 2017 · 4.55 FIP	22	SP	4.55	20.2%	12.5%	2.9%	.303	4.23	22.2%	10.7%	276	-0.32	2.62	743	76
Evan Shawver L 2022 · 4.32 FIP	22	SP	4.32	18.8%	10.6%	2.7%	.289	4.73	18.0%	4.0%	152	+0.41	3.79	281	76
Scott Kazmir L 2004 · 4.02 FIP	20	SP	4.02	27.0%	13.8%	2.6%	.337	3.34	24.9%	14.8%	537	-0.68	3.20	1,764	76
Kris Bubic L 2018 · 3.97 FIP	20	SP	3.97	21.0%	13.8%	1.6%	.367	3.99	22.5%	13.0%	329	+0.02	2.13	755	76
Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	23.4%	12.4%	3.1%	.288	3.69	25.5%	11.8%	194	-0.70	3.54	283	76
Jordan Woods L 2024 · 4.51 FIP	20	SP	4.51	20.5%	10.3%	3.3%	.329	4.18	20.5%	8.3%	139	-0.33	3.92	170	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	10.5	151	25.1%	10.6%	1.19	4.39
Jose DeLeon ('83-'95, 22 WAR*)	9.5	146	25.8%*	10.4%*	1.01*	4.17*
Bob Weiland ('28-'40, 10 WAR*)	6.9	139	22.6%*	9.9%*	1.15*	4.26*
Fred Norman ('62-'80, 16 WAR*)	9.7	162	22.3%*	9.7%*	1.34*	4.33*
Francisco Liriano ('19)	9.1	130	23.3%	10.5%	0.91	4.15
Scott Kazmir ('21)	8.5	155	22.1%	9.4%	1.02	4.02
Chan Ho Park ('10)	10.0	142	19.7%	10.4%	1.04	4.36