Taitn Gray

1B Charleston RiverDogs

Age 19 S/R 6'4" / 220 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

OGV OFP35OGV rank#760ETA2028MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	A/ROKTB	332	.299/.397/.471	9	13	103	—	.262/.342/.410
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBTB	8	.236/.304/.381	0	0	92	-0.0
2028PROJ45% MLB	20	MLBTB	128	.241/.311/.399	4	2	99	-0.0
2029PROJ62% MLB	21	MLBTB	244	.246/.317/.414	8	4	105	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$2M2034Arb-2$4M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

wRC+84

wOBA80

ISO66

Z-Con%66

Whiff%65

K%63

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 16, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 74%

CompsAndy Pages (age 20) · Francisco Mejía (age 19) · Moisés Ballesteros (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .304 / .381

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP293

ISO153

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$15M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.5M
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$6M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$9M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	312	260	77	11	4	8	40	68	4	13	3	296	397	462	858	165	361	22	13	375	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	20	18	6	0	1	1	1	4	1	0	1	333	400	611	1.011	278	385	20	5	437	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	312	272	71	9	4	7	29	92	4	13	3	261	341	401	742	140	344	29	9	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	20	18	5	0	1	1	1	6	1	0	1	278	350	556	906	278	305	30	5	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	332	291	74	9	4	7	29	98	5	13	4	254	332	385	717	131	347	30	9	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	332	278	83	11	5	9	41	72	5	13	4	299	397	471	868	173	363	22	12	379	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	332	295	74	9	4	7	29	98	5	13	4	251	332	380	712	129	342	30	9	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	332	295	74	9	4	7	29	98	5	13	4	251	332	380	712	129	342	30	9	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TB	4%	442	400	92	15	3	12	35	111	4	8	2	234	302	381	683	147	289	25	8	304	92	-4	+1	-2	-8	+10	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	19	MLB CTX	TB	4%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	236	304	381	684	145	293	25	12	305	92	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	45%	286	258	62	10	2	9	23	70	3	5	1	240	309	400	709	160	292	24	8	315	99	-0	+1	-1	-5	+6	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	TB	62%	397	357	87	14	3	14	32	96	5	7	2	244	315	415	730	171	293	24	8	323	105	+2	+1	-2	-7	+9	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	TB	68%	445	400	98	16	3	16	37	106	5	7	2	248	319	427	746	179	294	24	8	329	109	+5	+1	-2	-8	+10	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	TB	71%	445	400	99	16	3	17	37	105	5	7	2	250	322	435	757	185	295	24	8	334	112	+6	+1	-2	-8	+10	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	TB	71%	445	400	101	16	3	18	37	104	5	7	2	252	324	441	765	189	296	23	8	337	114	+8	+1	-1	-8	+10	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	TB	71%	445	400	101	16	3	18	37	104	5	7	2	253	325	446	771	193	296	23	8	339	116	+8	+1	-1	-8	+10	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	TB	71%	445	400	100	16	3	18	37	104	5	7	2	254	326	449	775	195	296	23	8	341	117	+9	+1	-1	-8	+10	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	TB	69%	445	400	100	16	3	18	37	104	5	6	2	253	325	446	771	194	295	23	8	339	116	+8	+0	-1	-8	+10	0.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	TB	69%	445	400	100	16	3	18	37	105	5	6	2	251	323	442	764	191	294	24	8	336	114	+7	+0	-2	-8	+10	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	TB	67%	445	400	100	16	3	18	37	107	5	5	2	248	320	435	755	187	293	24	8	333	111	+6	+0	-3	-8	+10	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	TB	66%	445	400	98	16	3	17	37	108	5	5	2	245	316	427	743	182	291	24	8	328	108	+4	+0	-3	-8	+10	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	TB	65%	426	384	93	15	3	16	35	105	4	4	4	241	311	417	728	176	287	25	8	322	104	+2	-1	-4	-8	+9	-0.1
2040	32	MLB MLE	TB	65%	407	367	86	13	2	15	33	102	4	3	11	235	305	404	709	169	283	25	8	314	99	-1	-4	-5	-7	+9	-0.8
2041	33	MLB MLE	TB	65%	387	350	80	12	2	13	31	100	3	3	56	229	297	388	685	160	278	26	8	304	92	-4	-22	-5	-7	+8	-3.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	45%	128	116	28	4	1	4	10	31	1	2	1	241	311	399	710	158	295	24	8	315	99	-0	+0	-1	-2	+3	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	TB	62%	244	219	53	8	2	8	20	59	3	4	1	246	317	414	730	168	296	24	8	323	105	+1	+0	-1	-4	+5	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	TB	68%	304	272	68	11	2	11	25	72	4	5	1	249	320	425	745	176	297	24	8	329	109	+3	+1	-1	-5	+7	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	TB	71%	317	284	71	11	2	12	26	75	4	5	1	252	323	433	756	181	298	24	8	334	112	+5	+1	-1	-6	+7	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	TB	71%	316	283	71	11	2	12	26	74	4	5	1	254	325	439	764	185	299	23	8	337	114	+5	+1	-1	-6	+7	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	TB	71%	316	283	71	11	2	12	26	74	4	5	1	255	327	444	770	189	299	23	8	339	116	+6	+1	-1	-6	+7	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	TB	71%	315	282	72	11	2	13	26	73	4	5	1	255	327	447	774	191	299	23	8	340	117	+6	+1	-1	-6	+7	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	TB	69%	309	276	70	11	2	12	26	73	4	4	1	254	326	444	770	190	298	24	8	339	116	+6	+0	-1	-6	+7	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	TB	69%	306	274	69	11	2	12	26	72	3	4	1	252	324	439	763	187	297	24	8	336	114	+5	+0	-1	-5	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	TB	67%	298	268	66	10	2	11	25	71	3	4	1	250	321	433	754	183	296	24	8	333	111	+4	+0	-2	-5	+6	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	TB	66%	293	264	65	10	2	11	24	71	3	3	2	247	317	425	742	178	294	24	8	328	108	+3	-0	-2	-5	+6	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	TB	65%	278	250	60	9	2	10	23	69	3	2	3	242	312	415	727	173	291	25	8	322	104	+1	-1	-3	-5	+6	-0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	TB	65%	264	238	56	8	2	9	21	66	3	2	7	237	306	402	708	165	287	25	8	314	99	-0	-2	-3	-5	+6	-0.5
2041	33	MLB CTX	TB	65%	250	226	52	8	1	8	20	64	2	2	36	230	298	387	685	156	281	26	8	305	92	-2	-14	-3	-4	+5	-1.9
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3938	3535	872	134	26	145	324	944	45	52	58	247	318	422	740	176	295	24	8	329	108	+43	-13	-22	-70	+85	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	144	22	4	24	53	156	7	9	10	247	316	422	738	175	296	24	8	329	108	+7	-2	-4	-12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6450	5797	1424	224	45	238	532	1571	71	96	97	246	317	423	740	177	295	24	8	328	108	+60	-21	-35	-109	+133	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	144	23	5	24	54	158	7	10	10	247	318	426	745	180	296	24	8	328	108	+6	-2	-4	-12	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 312 PAwOBA .374 → .322 (−52)K% 21.8% → 29.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.79%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	29.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.82%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.045	9.24%
HBP% /PA	1.28%	—	×0.780	—	×1.045	1.04%
Singles /BIP	28.12%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.014	×1.045	27.42%
Doubles /BIP	5.73%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.014	×1.045	5.04%
Triples /BIP	2.08%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.014	×1.045	2.01%
Home runs /BIP	4.17%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.045	3.48%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .374 → .322; ISO .165 → .141; BABIP .361 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Rays · 20 PAwOBA .425 → .307 (−119)K% 20.0% → 28.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	28.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.00%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	3.12%
HBP% /PA	5.00%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	3.63%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.008	23.60%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Triples /BIP	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	5.18%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	5.61%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .425 → .307; ISO .278 → .195; BABIP .385 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tom Tresh'61-'69 * career totals — 8 seasons, 4,895 PA	7.4	4,895	153	45	252*	342*	448*	-3	+7	25.2	25.3
/162	664	21	6	-0.5	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 25
#2Mike Napolilast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,330 PA	8.0	5,330	267	39	246	346	475	-19	-59	26.4	24.3
/162	664	33	5	-2.3	-7.4	3.3	pk7: 22
#3B. J. Surhoff'87-'05 * career totals — 19 seasons, 9,106 PA	13.7	9,106	188	141	273*	323*	413*	-13	-13	24.3	20.9
/162	664	14	10	-0.9	-1.0	1.8	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.9	3,946	151	53	248	315	431	+70	-36	21.1	17.7
/162	664	25	9	+11.8	-6.1	3.5	pk7: 14
#4Evan Gattislast yr '18 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,662 PA	4.0	2,662	139	3	248	300	476	+30	+20	17.0	17.0
/162	664	35	1	+7.6	+4.9	4.2	pk7: 17
#5Cody Rosslast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,733 PA	5.6	3,733	131	33	264	324	449	-13	-12	15.1	15.6
/162	664	23	6	-2.3	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 16
#6Hubie Brooks'80-'94 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,476 PA	9.8	6,476	149	64	267*	314*	435*	-12	-70	10.1	11.2
/162	664	15	7	-1.3	-7.1	1.0	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Taitn Gray (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	232/299/378	146	289	6	4	25%	8%	92	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	215/300/346	131	277	14	9	26%	8%	85	+0.2	217/306/408	191	287	24	6	32%	9%	102	+1.5	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	222/268/341	119	285	11	8	26%	5%	71	-0.8	243/289/351	108	300	10	4	22%	5%	80	-0.1	256/300/415	159	303	18	3	21%	4%	99	+0.9
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	41→51	46→50	45→40	50	210/283/334	125	261	14	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	248/309/379	131	301	14	4	21%	8%	95	+0.9	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Josue Briceño 2024 · A	19	43	44→60	45→40	45	212/270/332	119	265	11	5	24%	7%	70	-0.9	231/302/376	145	286	16	3	24%	8%	92	+0.7	230/310/399	168	278	22	1	25%	9%	99	+0.6
●Gary Sánchez 2012 · A	19	45→53	50→65	45	38	225/278/380	155	321	19	4	35%	6%	84	+0.2	234/283/373	139	308	16	6	28%	6%	84	+0.2	245/318/474	229	271	32	4	23%	8%	121	+2.3
●Edgar Quero 2022 · A	19	45→55	44→50	48→40	45	203/303/325	123	334	11	6	38%	10%	82	-0.0	243/334/385	142	311	14	5	25%	10%	106	+1.8	249/339/390	141	308	15	4	23%	10%	107	+1.4
✕Samuel Basallo 2024 · AA	19	48→51	51→55	49→45	45	241/301/404	163	305	18	7	27%	8%	98	+1.2	236/295/399	163	297	20	6	27%	7%	95	+0.9	227/288/392	165	278	23	3	27%	7%	90	+0.4
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→55	48→65	53→45	45	233/290/368	135	275	17	10	22%	6%	86	+0.3	260/306/451	191	302	26	6	23%	6%	111	+2.1	256/314/491	234	268	35	4	20%	7%	124	+3.1
✕Adael Amador 2023 · A	20	53→56	46→50	46→55	55	258/340/385	126	301	13	14	18%	10%	108	+1.9	241/316/374	133	282	15	21	19%	9%	97	+1.1	231/310/357	126	266	13	22	18%	9%	88	+0.4
★Xander Bogaerts 2012 · A	19	42→52	48→65	41→55	43	216/273/357	141	273	16	4	27%	6%	76	-0.4	251/306/403	152	321	16	5	26%	7%	99	+1.3	277/349/473	196	312	21	8	18%	9%	132	+3.9
●Mike Moustakas 2009 · A	20	44→54	49→65	46→45	43	226/273/372	146	263	17	6	22%	5%	80	-0.1	237/273/398	161	272	19	5	21%	4%	86	+0.3	258/313/495	237	259	33	2	16%	7%	125	+3.2
●Ryan McMahon 2014 · A	19	47→57	48→55	42→45	40	228/285/378	150	326	15	6	34%	7%	86	+0.3	222/280/369	147	333	14	6	35%	7%	82	-0.0	232/313/397	165	299	19	6	28%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Nick Franklin 2011 · A	20	44→51	50	50	40	228/276/382	153	294	19	13	29%	6%	84	+0.1	239/294/375	136	309	13	13	26%	7%	88	+0.5	240/308/375	135	306	13	12	25%	9%	92	+0.7
●Wander Franco 2019 · A	18	52→60	50→55	49→55	50	263/313/421	158	275	17	5	12%	6%	106	+1.8	271/327/411	140	295	11	9	12%	7%	108	+1.9	280/337/455	175	300	16	20	12%	7%	122	+2.2
●Miguel Sanó 2013 · A	20	40→50	54→70	46→45	43	211/285/395	184	296	22	5	35%	9%	91	+0.6	230/313/454	224	319	28	7	35%	10%	114	+2.4	244/332/473	229	340	30	2	35%	11%	126	+2.9
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→53	47→45	52→55	43	223/289/361	138	311	13	9	31%	8%	84	+0.1	221/332/349	128	309	12	16	29%	12%	98	+1.2	226/338/346	120	294	12	19	24%	12%	96	+0.9
●Brett Lawrie 2010 · AA	20	47→57	46→55	47→55	44	234/286/363	129	291	13	12	24%	6%	82	+0.0	262/312/422	160	320	13	18	21%	6%	105	+1.7	272/324/442	170	325	14	20	20%	6%	113	+2.1
★Corey Seager 2013 · A	19	47→57	47→65	51→45	44	234/287/368	134	291	15	9	25%	6%	84	+0.2	259/309/437	178	327	19	7	26%	6%	108	+1.9	290/349/476	186	337	20	4	19%	8%	134	+4.1
●Sal Stewart 2024 · A	20	49→53	43→55	48→50	55	236/321/346	110	286	11	10	21%	11%	92	+0.7	249/321/397	148	298	16	12	21%	9%	104	+1.6	255/323/425	170	297	21	13	21%	8%	109	+1.8

Taitn Gray

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps