Taitn Gray — OGILVIE

Taitn GrayC Charleston RiverDogs

Age 18 S/R 6'4" / 220 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION192 act + 128 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .315 / .386

PA128

HR4

K%27

BB%9

BABIP303

ISO149

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.2	$18M	+$17M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.3	$17M	+$16M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+3.4	$16M	+$16M
2034	Arb-1	$7M	+3.5	$15M	+$12M
2035	Arb-2	$11M	+3.5	$14M	+$10M
2036	Arb-3	$16M	+3.3	$12M	+$7M
Totals		$37M		$92M	+$78M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	A	TB	—	192	165	39	2	3	5	20	60	3	4	0	236	330	376	706	139	327	31	10	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+3	+5	1.0
YTD	18	A	TB	—	192	154	44	3	4	6	31	42	3	4	0	286	415	474	889	188	345	22	16	389	156	+12	+1	+0	+3	+5	2.2
ROS	18	A	TB	0%	128	114	27	3	1	4	11	35	2	2	0	237	315	386	701	149	301	27	9	307	93	-1	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.5
ROS	18	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		306	—	—	300	88	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	A	TB	—	192	166	39	2	3	5	20	60	3	4	0	235	330	373	703	139	324	31	10	315	99	-0	+1	+0	+3	+5	1.0
TOT	18	A	TB	—	320	279	66	5	4	9	31	95	5	6	0	237	324	380	704	143	317	30	10	312	97	-1	+1	-0	+6	+9	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TB	35%	477	427	100	12	5	14	41	130	6	8	2	234	310	384	694	150	303	27	9	313	97	-1	+1	-0	+9	+14	2.2
2028	20	MLB	TB	54%	520	463	111	14	5	16	45	138	7	9	2	240	317	395	712	156	304	27	9	319	103	+2	+1	-0	+9	+15	2.7
2029	21	MLB	TB	64%	520	461	113	15	5	17	46	136	8	10	2	245	324	410	734	165	305	26	9	324	106	+4	+1	-0	+9	+15	2.9
2030	22	MLB	TB	69%	520	461	114	15	5	18	46	134	8	10	2	247	326	419	745	171	305	26	9	328	109	+5	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.1
2031	23	MLB	TB	72%	520	461	114	15	5	18	46	134	8	10	2	247	326	419	745	171	306	26	9	331	112	+7	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.2
2032	24	MLB	TB	72%	520	461	115	15	5	19	46	133	8	10	2	249	328	427	755	178	307	26	9	334	114	+8	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.3
2033	25	MLB	TB	72%	520	461	115	15	5	19	46	133	8	10	2	249	328	427	755	178	307	26	9	335	115	+9	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.4
2034	26	MLB	TB	72%	520	460	115	15	5	19	47	133	8	10	2	250	330	428	758	178	307	26	9	336	115	+9	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.5
2035	27	MLB	TB	71%	520	460	115	15	5	19	47	133	8	10	2	250	330	428	758	178	307	26	9	336	115	+9	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.5
2036	28	MLB	TB	70%	520	459	115	15	5	19	48	134	8	10	2	251	332	429	761	179	306	26	9	335	115	+9	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.3
2037	29	MLB	TB	68%	520	459	113	14	5	19	48	135	8	9	2	246	328	423	751	176	305	26	9	333	113	+8	+1	-2	+9	+15	3.2
2038	30	MLB	TB	67%	520	459	113	14	5	19	48	136	8	9	2	246	328	423	751	176	304	26	9	330	111	+6	+1	-3	+9	+15	3.0
2039	31	MLB	TB	66%	504	446	108	13	5	18	46	134	7	9	2	242	323	415	737	173	302	27	9	326	108	+4	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.6
2040	32	MLB	TB	65%	489	434	102	12	4	17	45	132	7	8	2	235	317	399	715	164	298	27	9	321	104	+2	+1	-4	+9	+14	2.2
2041	33	MLB	TB	65%	473	420	96	11	4	15	43	130	7	7	1	229	311	381	692	152	294	27	9	314	99	-1	+1	-5	+8	+13	1.8
2042	34	MLB	TB	60%	439	390	89	10	4	14	40	123	6	6	1	228	310	382	692	154	289	28	9	306	92	-4	+1	-5	+8	+12	1.2
2043	35	MLB	TB	56%	377	335	73	8	3	11	34	109	5	5	1	218	299	358	658	140	283	29	9	296	85	-6	+1	-6	+7	+11	0.6
2044	36	MLB	TB	47%	313	278	60	6	3	9	28	93	4	4	1	216	297	356	653	140	278	30	9	286	77	-8	+0	-7	+6	+9	0.0
2045	37	MLB	TB	38%	250	223	45	4	2	6	22	76	3	3	1	202	282	318	601	117	272	30	9	276	69	-9	+0	-7	+4	+7	-0.4
2027	19	MLB	TB	35%	166	149	36	4	2	5	14	45	2	3	1	242	315	396	711	154	308	27	8	305	91	-2	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.6
2028	20	MLB	TB	54%	278	248	59	7	3	8	24	74	4	5	1	238	315	387	702	149	309	27	9	311	96	-1	+1	-0	+5	+8	1.2
2029	21	MLB	TB	64%	330	293	73	9	4	11	29	86	5	6	1	249	327	420	747	171	309	26	9	315	99	-0	+1	-0	+6	+9	1.6
2030	22	MLB	TB	69%	358	318	79	10	4	12	32	93	5	7	1	248	327	418	745	170	310	26	9	319	102	+1	+1	-0	+6	+10	1.8
2031	23	MLB	TB	72%	374	333	84	11	4	13	33	96	5	7	1	252	329	426	755	174	311	26	9	322	104	+2	+1	-0	+7	+11	2.0
2032	24	MLB	TB	72%	374	332	84	11	4	13	33	96	6	7	1	253	332	428	759	175	312	26	9	324	106	+3	+1	-0	+7	+11	2.1
2033	25	MLB	TB	72%	375	333	84	11	4	13	33	96	6	7	1	252	331	426	757	174	312	26	9	325	107	+3	+1	-0	+7	+11	2.1
2034	26	MLB	TB	72%	375	332	85	11	4	14	34	96	6	7	1	256	336	440	776	184	312	26	9	326	108	+3	+1	-0	+7	+11	2.2
2035	27	MLB	TB	71%	368	327	82	10	4	13	33	94	5	7	1	251	329	425	754	174	311	26	9	326	108	+3	+1	-0	+7	+10	2.1
2036	28	MLB	TB	70%	363	322	81	10	4	13	33	93	5	7	1	252	331	429	759	177	311	26	9	325	107	+3	+1	-1	+6	+10	2.0
2037	29	MLB	TB	68%	353	312	79	10	4	13	33	92	5	6	1	253	334	436	770	183	310	26	9	323	106	+2	+1	-1	+6	+10	1.8
2038	30	MLB	TB	67%	346	306	75	9	3	12	32	91	5	6	1	245	327	412	738	167	309	26	9	321	104	+1	+1	-2	+6	+10	1.7
2039	31	MLB	TB	66%	331	293	71	9	3	11	30	88	5	6	1	242	323	406	729	164	306	27	9	317	101	+0	+1	-2	+6	+9	1.4
2040	32	MLB	TB	65%	318	281	68	8	3	11	29	86	5	5	1	242	324	409	733	167	303	27	9	311	97	-1	+1	-3	+6	+9	1.2
2041	33	MLB	TB	65%	306	271	64	7	3	10	28	84	4	5	1	236	317	395	712	159	299	27	9	305	92	-3	+1	-3	+5	+9	0.9
2042	34	MLB	TB	60%	264	234	54	6	3	8	24	74	4	4	1	231	313	385	698	154	294	28	9	297	85	-4	+0	-3	+5	+7	0.5
2043	35	MLB	TB	56%	210	186	41	4	2	6	19	61	3	3	1	220	303	360	663	140	288	29	9	288	79	-5	+0	-3	+4	+6	0.2
2044	36	MLB	TB	47%	146	130	28	3	1	4	13	43	2	2	0	215	297	346	643	131	283	29	9	278	71	-5	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.1
2045	37	MLB	TB	38%	94	85	17	2	1	2	8	29	1	1	0	200	277	318	594	118	276	31	9	268	63	-4	+0	-3	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5729	5086	1244	152	60	192	514	1517	83	101	17	245	324	411	735	167	309	26	9	315	99	-4	+13	-26	+102	+162	25.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	141	17	7	22	58	172	9	11	2	244	323	412	735	168	307	26	9	315	99	-0	+1	-3	+12	+18	2.9
Career	—			—	9170	8132	1953	241	86	310	823	2441	134	159	33	240	320	405	725	165	303	27	9	323	105	+52	+19	-46	+164	+260	45.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	138	17	6	22	58	173	9	11	2	240	318	405	723	165	301	27	9	323	105	+4	+1	-3	+12	+18	3.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	15	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
	/162	664	17	8	266	329	423	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#2Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	6,051	206	106	242	318	410	+92	-52	32.6	24.7
	/162	664	23	12	242	318	410	+10.1	-5.7	3.6	pk7: 17
#3Kurt Suzukilast yr '22 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,163 PA	16	6,163	143	20	255	314	388	+110	-35	22.7	20.5
	/162	664	15	2	255	314	388	+11.9	-3.8	2.4	pk7: 18
#4Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	8	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
	/162	664	24	1	254	313	425	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Taitn Gray (OGILVIE)	18	50	60	50	—	237/324/380	143	317	9	6	30%	10%	97	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Wander Franco 2019 · A	18	51→57	49→55	49→55	50	256/306/410	154	268	17	5	12%	6%	101	+1.8	263/317/396	133	286	11	9	12%	7%	101	+1.8	277/337/454	176	296	17	20	12%	8%	121	+2.4
●Gary Sánchez 2011 · A	18	49→50	47→65	46→45	39	241/294/380	139	328	14	5	30%	6%	89	+0.9	220/266/356	136	305	16	6	32%	5%	71	-0.3	240/315/464	224	265	32	4	23%	9%	117	+2.4
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	47→50	45→40	47	217/283/352	135	277	15	5	27%	8%	76	+0.1	243/301/378	135	296	16	4	23%	7%	91	+1.1	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	43→53	50→70	49→45	44	225/281/372	147	272	18	5	25%	7%	82	+0.5	253/302/420	167	306	22	7	25%	6%	102	+1.9	260/323/512	251	270	38	5	20%	8%	130	+3.2
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	221/266/338	118	283	11	8	26%	5%	66	-0.6	238/283/344	106	294	10	4	22%	5%	73	-0.1	256/302/428	172	302	17	1	21%	5%	103	+1.0
●Bo Bichette 2017 · A	19	50→60	47→60	53→55	40	246/288/387	141	326	13	8	28%	6%	87	+0.8	265/310/419	154	331	14	17	23%	6%	105	+2.1	295/336/472	177	344	22	13	20%	5%	128	+4.1
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A	18	55→53	46→45	48→55	50	263/337/407	145	329	11	7	22%	9%	113	+2.6	239/304/353	114	299	9	18	22%	7%	85	+0.7	247/297/369	122	302	13	23	22%	5%	84	+0.4
✕Adael Amador 2023 · A	20	51→54	47→50	46→55	54	253/334/387	134	294	15	14	19%	10%	107	+2.2	226/297/361	135	263	16	21	20%	8%	85	+0.7	207/280/337	129	240	15	25	21%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Edgar Quero 2023 · A	20	47→57	53→50	47→40	51	238/336/419	181	304	20	8	27%	10%	117	+2.9	237/317/366	129	297	14	3	24%	9%	95	+1.4	241/317/348	107	299	12	1	22%	9%	88	+0.7
✕Edwin Arroyo 2023 · A	19	46→56	49→45	54→50	40	226/290/376	150	320	16	14	33%	7%	86	+0.8	226/278/351	125	308	11	16	29%	6%	74	-0.1	241/289/358	117	311	10	15	25%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Domingo Leyba 2014 · A	18	51→50	44→50	53→45	52	244/312/377	133	284	9	14	17%	8%	95	+1.4	231/274/320	89	284	6	8	20%	5%	63	-0.8	230/290/372	142	257	18	6	18%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→47	47→45	52→55	43	223/287/366	143	309	14	9	32%	8%	82	+0.5	211/317/346	135	289	14	16	29%	11%	91	+1.1	204/318/335	131	272	14	21	28%	12%	85	+0.6
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	82	+0.5	219/304/418	199	291	25	6	32%	9%	104	+2.0	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Héctor Sánchez 2008 · A	18	46→50	44→50	44→30	50	226/297/346	120	261	11	6	18%	8%	81	+0.4	242/307/346	104	291	8	4	18%	7%	85	+0.7	252/291/373	121	310	13	0	22%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→47	45→55	48→55	46	233/305/357	125	310	12	12	27%	8%	87	+0.8	242/305/384	142	306	15	16	25%	7%	94	+1.3	248/306/416	169	299	18	16	23%	6%	100	+1.2
✕Roan Salas 2010 · A	20	46	50→65	46→40	45	236/285/393	157	263	17	5	18%	6%	88	+0.9	244/297/371	127	282	12	5	17%	6%	87	+0.8	268/322/383	115	301	9	3	14%	6%	98	+0.7
●Travis Snider 2007 · A	19	47→53	50→60	47→50	43	237/292/389	152	313	18	7	30%	7%	90	+1.0	242/299/403	161	346	17	3	33%	7%	96	+1.5	244/307/431	187	323	23	5	30%	8%	103	+1.7
✕Heriberto Hernández 2019 · A	19	43→49	54→60	46→50	55	223/325/414	191	274	20	7	26%	12%	111	+2.5	223/302/390	167	328	17	6	35%	9%	95	+1.4	221/302/428	208	278	28	9	31%	9%	103	+1.2
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	78	+0.2	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
●Tyrone Taylor 2013 · A	19	49→52	43→65	51→55	43	235/284/358	123	294	8	12	23%	6%	78	+0.2	236/278/335	99	278	6	12	17%	4%	69	-0.4	248/305/477	229	283	28	12	23%	6%	117	+1.6