Jaiden Lo Re

SS Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 20 R/R A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP40OGV rank#371ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	A+/A/ROKBAL	368	.324/.430/.441	4	26	106	—	.284/.366/.386
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBBAL	478	.237/.309/.345	7	10	86	0.5
2028PROJ31% MLB	21	MLBBAL	103	.244/.317/.364	2	2	90	0.2
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBBAL	195	.247/.320/.374	4	4	94	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%98

K%90

Z-Con%85

Chase%79

Speed57

wRC+49

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 22, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 76%

CompsJesus Rodriguez (age 21) · James Triantos (age 20) · Aidan Miller (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .307 / .342

PA210

HR3

SB5

K%21

BB%8

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$49M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$25M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	A+	Frederick Keys	—	45	38	10	2	0	1	4	7	2	3	0	263	364	395	758	132	290	16	9	339	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	247	203	66	14	2	2	41	22	1	16	4	325	441	443	884	118	356	9	17	397	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	76	65	23	2	1	1	9	6	0	7	2	354	432	462	894	108	367	8	12	391	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	45	39	10	2	0	1	3	9	2	3	0	256	341	385	726	128	259	20	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	247	214	62	12	2	2	30	30	1	16	4	290	380	393	772	103	323	12	12	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	76	68	19	1	1	1	6	9	0	7	2	279	338	368	705	88	288	12	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	322	90	15	3	3	38	48	3	26	6	280	361	373	734	93	316	13	10	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	3 teams	—	368	306	99	18	3	4	54	35	3	26	6	324	430	441	871	118	351	10	15	389	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	324	90	15	3	3	38	48	3	26	6	278	361	370	731	93	308	13	10	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	324	90	15	3	3	38	48	3	26	6	278	361	370	731	93	308	13	10	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	478	431	101	19	3	7	40	100	4	10	2	237	309	345	654	108	290	21	8	295	86	-8	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BAL	31%	330	296	71	13	2	6	28	68	3	7	2	240	313	357	670	117	291	21	8	302	90	-4	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.7
2029	22	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	408	366	89	16	3	8	35	83	4	9	2	243	317	366	682	123	291	20	9	307	94	-3	+1	-0	+4	+9	1.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	455	407	99	18	3	9	40	92	5	10	2	244	319	372	691	128	292	20	9	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	BAL	60%	505	451	112	21	3	11	44	103	5	11	3	246	320	377	697	131	293	20	9	312	97	-2	+1	+1	+5	+11	1.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	BAL	62%	532	475	117	22	3	12	47	108	5	12	3	246	320	379	700	133	293	20	9	313	98	-1	+1	+1	+6	+12	1.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	BAL	63%	542	484	119	22	3	12	48	111	5	12	3	246	320	379	699	133	293	20	9	313	98	-1	+1	+1	+6	+12	1.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	BAL	62%	542	484	119	22	3	12	48	111	5	11	3	245	319	376	696	132	292	20	9	312	97	-2	+1	+1	+6	+12	1.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	BAL	62%	537	480	117	22	3	11	47	111	5	10	3	243	317	372	689	129	292	21	9	309	96	-3	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	BAL	67%	525	469	114	21	3	11	46	110	5	9	3	241	315	366	681	125	291	21	9	306	93	-4	+1	-0	+6	+11	1.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	BAL	70%	511	457	109	20	3	10	44	109	5	9	3	238	311	359	670	121	289	21	9	302	90	-6	+1	-1	+5	+11	1.0
2038	31	MLB MLE	BAL	73%	494	445	104	19	3	9	42	107	4	7	3	234	307	349	656	115	287	22	9	296	86	-8	+0	-2	+5	+11	0.7
2039	32	MLB MLE	BAL	75%	473	426	98	18	2	8	40	105	4	6	5	229	301	337	638	108	283	22	8	288	81	-10	-1	-2	+5	+10	0.2
2040	33	MLB MLE	BAL	76%	438	396	88	15	2	7	36	100	3	5	8	223	293	323	616	100	279	23	8	280	75	-13	-2	-3	+5	+9	-0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	BAL	31%	103	92	23	4	1	2	9	21	1	2	1	244	317	364	681	121	295	20	9	306	90	-1	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	195	174	43	8	1	4	17	40	2	4	1	247	320	374	694	127	296	21	9	311	94	-1	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.5
2030	23	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	259	231	58	11	2	5	23	53	3	6	1	248	322	380	703	132	296	20	9	315	96	-1	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.8
2031	24	MLB CTX	BAL	60%	304	271	69	13	2	7	27	62	3	7	2	250	324	385	709	135	297	20	9	317	97	-1	+1	+0	+3	+7	1.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	BAL	62%	330	295	74	14	2	8	29	67	3	7	2	250	324	388	712	138	297	20	9	318	98	-1	+1	+1	+4	+7	1.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	BAL	63%	342	306	76	14	2	8	30	70	3	7	2	250	324	388	712	138	297	20	9	318	98	-1	+1	+1	+4	+7	1.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	BAL	62%	338	302	75	14	2	8	30	69	3	7	2	249	323	385	708	136	297	20	9	317	97	-1	+1	+1	+4	+7	1.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	BAL	62%	333	298	74	14	2	7	29	69	3	6	2	247	321	380	701	133	296	21	9	314	96	-2	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	BAL	67%	349	313	76	14	2	7	30	73	3	6	2	245	318	374	693	129	295	21	9	311	93	-3	+0	-0	+4	+8	0.9
2037	30	MLB CTX	BAL	70%	358	321	77	14	2	7	31	76	3	6	2	242	315	367	682	125	293	21	9	306	90	-4	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.7
2038	31	MLB CTX	BAL	73%	359	322	77	14	2	7	31	78	3	5	2	238	310	357	667	119	291	22	9	300	86	-6	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.5
2039	32	MLB CTX	BAL	75%	354	318	75	14	2	6	30	79	3	5	4	233	304	344	648	112	287	22	8	293	81	-8	-1	-2	+4	+8	0.1
2040	33	MLB CTX	BAL	76%	335	302	68	12	2	5	28	76	2	4	6	226	297	330	626	103	283	23	8	283	75	-10	-2	-2	+4	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3959	3545	865	160	24	81	344	833	35	72	29	244	317	371	688	127	295	21	9	308	93	-40	+3	-4	+42	+86	8.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	142	26	4	13	56	137	6	12	5	244	317	369	686	125	296	21	9	308	93	-7	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6870	6146	1490	272	40	132	601	1410	63	149	50	242	316	364	680	122	293	21	9	305	93	-63	+7	-5	+70	+141	15.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	141	26	4	12	57	133	6	14	5	243	317	363	680	120	293	20	9	305	93	-6	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 247 PAwOBA .390 → .338 (−52)K% 8.9% → 12.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.91%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	12.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.60%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.045	11.97%
HBP% /PA	0.40%	—	×0.780	—	×1.045	0.33%
Singles /BIP	26.52%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.968	×1.045	24.68%
Doubles /BIP	7.73%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.968	×1.045	6.49%
Triples /BIP	1.10%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.968	×1.045	1.02%
Home runs /BIP	1.10%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.045	0.92%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .390 → .338; ISO .118 → .104; BABIP .356 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Orioles · 76 PAwOBA .392 → .304 (−88)K% 7.9% → 11.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.89%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	11.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.84%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	7.40%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	32.20%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.967	×1.008	25.73%
Doubles /BIP	3.39%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.967	×1.008	2.38%
Triples /BIP	1.69%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.967	×1.008	1.19%
Home runs /BIP	1.69%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	1.33%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .392 → .304; ISO .108 → .083; BABIP .367 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Frederick Keys · 45 PAwOBA .338 → .287 (−50)K% 15.6% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.56%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	20.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.89%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.050	5.60%
HBP% /PA	4.44%	—	×0.770	—	×1.050	3.59%
Singles /BIP	22.58%	÷1.000	×0.870	—	×1.050	20.63%
Doubles /BIP	6.45%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.050	5.28%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.23%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×1.050	2.98%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .338 → .287; ISO .132 → .119; BABIP .290 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Spike Owen'83-'95 * career totals — 13 seasons, 5,615 PA	8.5	5,615	46	82	242*	322*	356*	+55	+30	15.6	15.3
/162	664	5	10	+6.5	+3.6	1.8	pk7: 15
#2Mike Bordick'90-'03 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,484 PA	9.8	6,484	91	96	250*	311*	357*	+65	-10	12.7	14.0
/162	664	9	10	+6.7	-1.0	1.3	pk7: 15
#3Greg Gagne'83-'97 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,207 PA	9.3	6,207	111	108	249*	297*	394*	+65	+26	13.2	13.0
/162	664	12	12	+6.9	+2.8	1.4	pk7: 13
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.3	4,167	80	78	240	310	363	+45	+10	11.8	10.1
/162	664	13	12	+7.1	+1.7	1.9	pk7: 8
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	4.2	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.7	7.1
/162	664	11	12	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaiden Lo Re (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	235/307/342	107	290	3	5	21%	8%	86	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	48→58	41→45	50	50	229/297/339	109	271	7	12	18%	8%	81	-0.1	253/311/365	112	307	10	14	20%	7%	92	+0.7	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	50→59	42→45	53→60	43	241/287/350	109	301	9	12	23%	5%	80	-0.2	253/301/351	98	299	7	24	17%	5%	84	+0.2	270/312/373	104	312	8	35	15%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Aidan Miller 2024 · A	20	49→50	38→50	52→65	47	228/303/310	83	316	4	12	27%	8%	77	-0.3	227/310/359	132	312	11	28	28%	9%	91	+0.7	224/315/364	140	306	12	36	28%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48→50	43→50	52→50	43	227/289/346	119	322	8	10	30%	7%	80	-0.2	205/274/309	104	307	9	11	34%	7%	66	-1.1	246/324/371	124	344	12	15	29%	8%	98	+0.8
●Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	44→54	41→50	53→50	48	212/289/312	100	263	9	11	22%	8%	73	-0.6	206/260/326	120	247	14	9	22%	6%	65	-1.2	257/301/394	137	287	15	10	16%	5%	94	+0.6
✕Pedro Ramírez 2024 · A	20	48→57	42→45	51→55	48	234/298/345	111	291	9	14	22%	7%	82	+0.0	255/308/360	105	318	8	17	21%	6%	90	+0.6	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	49→51	44→50	48→55	46	237/306/359	122	312	12	12	27%	8%	89	+0.5	247/312/378	131	315	13	16	24%	7%	96	+1.0	253/317/409	156	313	15	15	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43	44→50	48→40	45	215/283/328	113	270	12	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/296/343	127	275	13	4	25%	8%	83	+0.1	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→48	45→55	51→55	44	213/272/340	128	284	12	11	29%	7%	72	-0.7	233/294/390	157	279	18	13	23%	7%	93	+0.8	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	44→50	41→50	47→45	46	215/282/311	96	276	9	12	25%	8%	70	-0.9	234/317/368	134	286	12	9	21%	10%	96	+1.0	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2017 · A	20	47→57	40→50	46→50	42	228/279/314	85	291	8	9	24%	5%	68	-1.0	244/302/346	102	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→49	39→50	49→40	45	207/279/288	81	285	6	6	28%	8%	63	-1.3	212/273/295	83	270	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Orlando Arcia 2015 · A	20	53→59	38→50	52→55	46	251/295/341	89	294	5	18	16%	6%	80	-0.2	254/292/370	116	306	8	18	19%	5%	85	+0.2	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	52→62	38→45	56→50	45	246/290/332	86	302	5	15	20%	6%	76	-0.4	264/309/368	104	320	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.7	268/314/373	105	323	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	47	44→50	49→45	43	230/281/347	117	293	11	9	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/290/369	137	282	16	7	23%	7%	86	+0.3	222/285/355	133	266	16	4	23%	7%	79	-0.1

Jaiden Lo Re

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps