Player 828318 — OGILVIE

Player 828318— Delmarva Shorebirds

Age — —/— A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION191 act + 129 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .320 / .362

PA129

HR2

SB6

K%19

BB%9

BABIP300

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$8M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	A	BAL	—	191	169	49	7	2	2	19	23	0	19	4	290	362	391	752	101	322	12	10	330	110	+2	+2	+0	-3	+5	0.7
YTD	—	A	BAL	—	191	157	55	9	2	2	31	16	0	19	4	350	457	471	929	121	376	8	16	411	173	+16	+2	+0	-3	+5	2.0
ROS	—	A	BAL	0%	129	116	29	5	1	2	11	25	1	6	1	250	320	362	682	112	301	19	9	303	90	-1	+1	+0	-2	+4	0.1
ROS	—	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		305	—	—	303	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	A	BAL	—	191	170	49	7	2	2	19	23	0	19	4	288	362	388	750	100	320	12	10	330	110	+2	+2	+0	-3	+5	0.7
TOT	—	A	BAL	—	320	285	78	12	3	4	30	48	1	25	5	274	345	379	724	105	314	15	9	319	102	+1	+3	+0	-6	+9	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	BAL	0%	418	376	94	15	3	7	37	83	2	12	2	250	320	362	682	112	300	20	9	306	92	-4	+2	+0	-7	+12	0.2
2028	25	MLB	BAL	0%	475	427	105	17	3	8	42	95	3	13	2	246	318	356	674	110	300	20	9	309	95	-3	+2	+0	-8	+13	0.4
2029	25	MLB	BAL	0%	515	461	116	19	4	10	46	103	3	14	2	252	324	375	699	124	299	20	9	311	96	-2	+2	+0	-9	+15	0.5
2030	25	MLB	BAL	0%	542	486	122	20	4	11	48	109	3	14	3	251	322	377	699	126	299	20	9	313	97	-2	+2	+0	-10	+15	0.6
2031	25	MLB	BAL	0%	562	503	127	21	4	12	50	113	4	15	3	252	325	382	707	129	299	20	9	314	98	-1	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.7
2032	25	MLB	BAL	0%	577	516	129	21	4	12	52	116	4	15	3	250	323	376	699	126	299	20	9	315	99	-1	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.7
2033	25	MLB	BAL	0%	588	526	133	22	4	13	53	118	4	15	3	253	326	384	710	131	298	20	9	316	100	-0	+2	+0	-10	+17	0.8
2034	25	MLB	BAL	0%	597	534	134	22	4	13	54	120	4	16	3	251	324	380	704	129	298	20	9	317	101	+0	+2	+0	-11	+17	0.9
2027	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		304	—	—	306	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		304	—	—	309	94	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		303	—	—	311	96	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		303	—	—	312	97	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		303	—	—	313	98	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		303	—	—	314	99	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		303	—	—	315	100	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB	BAL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		303	—	—	316	100	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4403	3945	989	162	31	88	393	882	28	120	22	251	323	374	697	124	301	20	9	312	97	-13	+15	+0	-79	+125	4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	147	24	5	13	58	130	4	18	3	253	324	378	702	125	303	20	9	312	97	-2	+2	+0	-12	+18	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gerardo Parralast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,290 PA	12	5,290	90	97	275	322	403	-51	+11	12.3	12.3
	/162	664	11	12	275	322	403	-6.3	+1.4	1.5	pk7: 12
#2Travis Leelast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,147 PA	6	3,147	84	34	257	336	412	-36	-3	9.0	9.0
#2Travis Leelast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,147 PA	/162	664	18	7	257	336	412	-7.6	-0.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	11	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
	/162	664	19	6	262	304	417	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,594	91	121	250	319	373	-52	+0	7.8	7.6
	/162	664	13	18	250	319	373	-7.4	+0.0	1.1	pk7: 7
#5Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#5Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 828318 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	274/345/379	105	314	4	25	15%	9%	102	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	224/297/336	113	268	10	9	20%	7%	79	+0.3	247/329/361	114	319	9	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
●Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	45→50	44→55	52→50	47	224/285/348	125	278	11	15	23%	7%	76	+0.1	240/302/420	180	305	20	10	27%	7%	102	+1.9	227/300/415	188	290	21	7	28%	8%	97	+1.1
✕Collin Cowgill 2010 · A	24	47→56	42→50	52→55	43	223/292/336	113	310	9	11	29%	7%	76	+0.1	252/308/372	120	310	10	20	21%	7%	92	+1.2	258/313/374	116	314	10	23	20%	7%	90	+0.9
●Rolando Acosta 2008 · A	25	45→55	41→50	51→45	44	219/279/316	97	283	8	8	25%	7%	65	-0.7	252/300/352	100	305	7	17	19%	6%	83	+0.6	284/331/408	124	327	14	8	17%	5%	106	+1.1
✕Tucker Bradley 2022 · A	24	47→53	41→50	54→50	47	223/295/331	108	303	8	11	27%	8%	76	+0.1	244/308/384	140	316	13	15	26%	8%	95	+1.4	252/316/405	153	320	16	17	25%	8%	100	+1.2
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2011 · A	25	43→47	42→60	50	48	209/288/318	109	263	8	11	23%	8%	71	-0.3	208/265/373	165	269	18	10	29%	6%	75	-0.0	250/295/458	208	274	27	11	20%	6%	108	+1.3
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→55	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/252/321	115	268	12	17	27%	5%	55	-1.4	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	198/286/274	76	275	4	12	27%	9%	59	-1.1	173/276/223	50	249	2	11	28%	10%	41	-1.4
●Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	45→50	45→50	49→50	43	220/292/339	119	296	13	11	29%	7%	78	+0.2	243/315/397	154	291	18	10	22%	8%	102	+1.9	239/320/383	144	286	17	9	22%	9%	97	+1.2
●Scott Sizemore 2009 · A	24	47→56	40→50	50	50	225/297/324	100	277	6	14	20%	8%	76	+0.0	251/320/394	143	314	13	12	23%	8%	103	+1.9	256/334/411	154	321	15	10	23%	9%	109	+2.2
●Jason Rogers 2013 · A	25	49→53	44→55	50→45	48	239/304/362	123	299	11	8	23%	8%	88	+0.9	247/307/403	156	296	18	6	22%	8%	100	+1.7	252/313/421	168	295	20	4	21%	8%	104	+1.6
✕Ed Lucas 2007 · A	25	50→56	38→50	51→50	45	239/287/320	80	298	5	16	21%	6%	69	-0.4	242/295/342	100	306	8	15	22%	7%	78	+0.2	248/313/367	119	310	12	15	23%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	44→41	42→50	51→50	47	214/288/323	109	274	9	17	24%	8%	72	-0.2	210/270/352	142	276	16	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	199/257/359	161	255	21	7	31%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Scott Heineman 2017 · A	24	46→56	43→45	51→50	42	222/289/341	118	312	10	17	30%	7%	76	+0.1	239/297/355	116	328	11	14	29%	6%	83	+0.6	257/317/388	131	330	15	16	25%	6%	97	+0.8
●TJ Friedl 2021 · AA	25	46→54	41→50	55	48	219/300/323	104	284	8	19	24%	8%	76	+0.1	235/304/377	142	276	14	17	19%	7%	92	+1.2	248/339/390	142	278	16	18	16%	10%	108	+2.0
✕Aaron Mathews 2006 · A	24	48→52	43→45	55→45	44	232/282/350	118	296	9	13	24%	6%	75	-0.0	247/285/361	114	296	9	7	19%	5%	79	+0.3	254/290/367	113	301	9	5	18%	4%	79	+0.2
●Jordan Parraz 2009 · A	24	51→58	43→50	50	46	247/314/362	115	311	9	17	23%	7%	92	+1.2	257/322/386	129	317	10	9	21%	6%	102	+1.8	264/328/399	135	324	11	6	21%	6%	103	+1.4