Jaden Fauske — OGILVIE

Jaden FauskeOF Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 19 L/R 6'3" / 200 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION346 act + 230 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .297 / .340

PA230

HR4

SB12

K%30

BB%9

BABIP307

ISO122

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$10M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$9M
2033	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$9M	+$7M
2034	Arb-2	$7M	+1.9	$8M	+$5M
2035	Arb-3	$9M	+1.8	$7M	+$4M
Totals		$22M		$54M	+$44M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	CWS	—	346	306	61	7	6	3	35	121	4	30	5	199	290	291	581	92	317	35	10	267	63	-15	+4	+0	-2	+10	-0.3
YTD	19	A	CWS	—	346	285	71	9	8	4	56	85	4	30	5	249	380	379	759	130	340	25	16	347	124	+9	+4	+0	-2	+10	2.1
ROS	19	A	CWS	4%	230	205	45	7	3	4	21	69	2	12	2	219	297	340	638	122	304	30	9	286	77	-6	+2	-0	-1	+7	0.0
ROS	19	MLB	CWS	4%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		305	33	11	279	72	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	19	A	CWS	—	355	314	62	7	6	3	36	124	4	30	5	197	288	287	575	89	314	35	10	267	63	-15	+4	-0	-2	+10	-0.3
TOT	19	A	CWS	—	576	511	106	14	9	7	56	190	6	42	7	207	293	311	604	104	313	33	10	275	68	-21	+6	-0	-3	+16	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CWS	36%	570	505	115	18	7	12	54	165	6	16	3	228	310	362	672	135	307	29	9	300	88	-8	+2	-1	-3	+16	0.6
2028	21	MLB	CWS	49%	609	539	125	19	7	15	58	171	7	15	3	232	315	377	691	145	307	28	10	308	94	-4	+2	-1	-4	+17	1.0
2029	22	MLB	CWS	55%	627	554	130	20	7	16	60	172	8	14	3	235	318	383	701	148	307	27	10	314	99	-1	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.4
2030	23	MLB	CWS	57%	638	564	135	21	7	18	61	173	8	14	2	239	322	397	719	158	307	27	10	318	102	+1	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.6
2031	24	MLB	CWS	57%	637	563	135	21	7	18	61	172	8	13	2	240	323	398	721	158	308	27	10	321	104	+3	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.8
2032	25	MLB	CWS	57%	639	564	136	21	7	19	62	172	8	13	2	241	325	404	729	163	308	27	10	323	105	+4	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.9
2033	26	MLB	CWS	57%	642	567	136	21	7	19	62	173	8	13	2	240	323	402	726	162	308	27	10	324	106	+4	+2	-1	-4	+18	2.0
2034	27	MLB	CWS	55%	639	563	135	21	7	19	63	173	8	13	2	240	325	403	728	163	308	27	10	324	106	+4	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.9
2035	28	MLB	CWS	55%	633	558	134	21	7	19	62	172	8	12	2	240	325	405	730	165	308	27	10	323	105	+4	+2	-2	-4	+18	1.8
2036	29	MLB	CWS	53%	621	547	129	20	6	18	62	170	7	12	2	236	321	393	714	157	307	27	10	321	104	+3	+2	-3	-4	+18	1.6
2037	30	MLB	CWS	53%	610	537	126	19	6	17	61	168	7	11	2	235	321	387	708	153	306	28	10	318	102	+1	+1	-3	-4	+17	1.3
2038	31	MLB	CWS	52%	595	524	122	18	6	17	59	166	7	10	2	233	319	387	706	155	303	28	10	314	99	-1	+1	-4	-4	+17	1.0
2039	32	MLB	CWS	52%	577	508	116	17	6	15	57	163	7	10	2	228	315	374	689	146	300	28	10	309	94	-4	+1	-5	-3	+16	0.6
2027	20	MLB	CWS	36%	205	182	40	6	2	4	19	59	2	6	1	220	300	341	641	121	307	29	9	293	82	-4	+1	-0	-1	+6	0.1
2028	21	MLB	CWS	49%	299	265	61	10	3	7	28	84	4	7	1	230	313	370	683	140	307	28	9	301	88	-4	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.3
2029	22	MLB	CWS	55%	342	303	71	11	4	9	32	94	4	8	1	234	316	386	702	152	308	27	9	306	93	-3	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.5
2030	23	MLB	CWS	57%	362	320	76	12	4	10	35	98	4	8	1	237	320	394	714	156	308	27	10	311	96	-2	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.7
2031	24	MLB	CWS	57%	360	318	77	12	4	11	35	97	4	7	1	242	325	409	734	167	309	27	10	314	98	-1	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.8
2032	25	MLB	CWS	57%	361	319	77	12	4	11	35	97	4	7	1	241	324	408	732	166	309	27	10	315	99	-0	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.8
2033	26	MLB	CWS	57%	363	321	77	12	4	11	35	98	4	7	1	240	322	405	727	165	309	27	10	316	100	+0	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.9
2034	27	MLB	CWS	55%	354	312	76	12	4	11	35	96	4	7	1	244	328	413	741	170	309	27	10	316	100	+0	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.8
2035	28	MLB	CWS	55%	347	306	73	11	4	10	34	94	4	7	1	239	323	399	721	160	308	27	10	315	99	-0	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.8
2036	29	MLB	CWS	53%	332	292	70	11	3	10	33	91	4	6	1	240	325	401	726	161	308	27	10	313	98	-1	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.6
2037	30	MLB	CWS	53%	321	282	66	10	3	9	32	89	4	6	1	234	321	387	707	152	306	28	10	311	96	-1	+1	-2	-2	+9	0.5
2038	31	MLB	CWS	52%	310	272	64	10	3	9	31	86	4	5	1	235	322	393	716	158	304	28	10	307	93	-2	+1	-2	-2	+9	0.3
2039	32	MLB	CWS	52%	299	264	60	9	3	8	30	85	3	5	1	227	313	375	688	148	301	28	10	301	89	-4	+1	-2	-2	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4264	3764	889	138	45	120	415	1171	49	86	13	236	320	392	712	156	308	27	10	310	95	-22	+12	-14	-26	+121	7.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	135	21	7	18	63	179	7	13	2	235	318	390	709	155	307	28	10	310	95	-3	+2	-2	-4	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	8267	7298	1719	264	90	226	803	2279	99	178	31	236	320	389	709	154	309	28	10	316	100	-0	+23	-27	-50	+234	18.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	136	21	7	18	63	179	8	14	2	237	321	392	713	155	311	28	10	316	100	-0	+2	-2	-4	+18	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1José Cruz Jr.last yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,179 PA	9	4,179	153	81	247	336	445	-35	-7	17.4	17.2
	/162	664	24	13	247	336	445	-5.6	-1.1	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	8	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
	/162	664	20	24	260	321	441	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16
#3Raul Mondesilast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,604 PA	6	2,604	108	89	251	326	456	-20	-6	10.8	10.8
	/162	664	28	23	251	326	456	-5.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	4,270	119	87	237	317	392	-26	+0	10.9	9.2
	/162	664	19	13	237	317	392	-4.0	+0.0	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Travis Leelast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,147 PA	6	3,147	84	34	257	336	412	-36	-3	9.0	9.0
#4Travis Leelast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,147 PA	/162	664	18	7	257	336	412	-7.6	-0.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#6Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaden Fauske (OGILVIE)	19	37→54	42→52	50→51	51	207/293/311	104	313	7	42	33%	10%	68	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	45→53	42→50	52→55	54	215/320/330	115	290	9	18	26%	12%	88	+0.9	235/321/384	149	306	13	20	25%	10%	101	+1.8	236/324/395	159	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.2
●Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→54	42→55	52→55	49	219/296/333	114	288	7	10	25%	9%	77	+0.1	195/265/303	108	302	7	13	35%	8%	56	-1.3	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	81	+0.4	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	78	+0.2	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	234/311/346	112	300	9	12	24%	8%	87	+0.8	220/282/289	69	304	4	10	27%	6%	59	-1.1	219/279/260	41	287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A	20	45→55	46→60	54→50	43	223/277/358	134	288	13	16	27%	6%	76	+0.0	227/293/391	164	273	19	14	24%	8%	91	+1.1	241/308/459	219	314	28	3	32%	8%	113	+2.0
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2023 · A	19	46→56	45→50	49→45	43	227/292/347	120	278	12	9	23%	5%	80	+0.4	244/297/370	126	294	14	7	21%	5%	88	+0.9	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	47→50	45→40	47	217/283/352	135	277	15	5	27%	8%	76	+0.1	243/301/378	135	296	16	4	23%	7%	91	+1.1	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
●David Dahl 2013 · A	19	53→54	46→55	51→55	41	259/293/403	145	311	11	10	21%	4%	93	+1.3	233/264/354	121	301	9	14	25%	4%	68	-0.5	250/303/422	172	323	18	12	27%	7%	99	+1.3
●Travis Snider 2007 · A	19	47→53	50→60	47→50	43	237/292/389	152	313	18	7	30%	7%	90	+1.0	242/299/403	161	346	17	3	33%	7%	96	+1.5	244/307/431	187	323	23	5	30%	8%	103	+1.7
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→47	45→55	48→55	46	233/305/357	125	310	12	12	27%	8%	87	+0.8	242/305/384	142	306	15	16	25%	7%	94	+1.3	248/306/416	169	299	18	16	23%	6%	100	+1.2
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→58	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	73	-0.1	221/273/317	96	291	7	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→59	41→50	49→50	58	241/333/346	105	301	8	10	21%	12%	96	+1.5	249/334/387	138	332	12	14	26%	11%	107	+2.2	244/330/384	140	317	13	15	25%	11%	101	+1.8
●Jackson Merrill 2023 · A	20	51→58	43→60	51→50	41	243/289/357	114	324	10	12	27%	6%	79	+0.3	266/308/443	177	302	21	11	19%	6%	111	+2.5	274/317/469	196	304	23	10	18%	6%	119	+2.7
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	50	47→45	49→50	47	249/302/385	136	294	15	11	21%	7%	92	+1.2	235/320/365	130	278	12	13	19%	10%	95	+1.4	231/321/358	127	270	11	12	18%	10%	91	+1.0
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	82	+0.5	219/304/418	199	291	25	6	32%	9%	104	+2.0	270/324/464	194	313	25	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Yeicok Calderon 2011 · A	19	48	43→45	49→45	47	231/304/342	111	311	10	7	27%	9%	82	+0.5	194/249/317	123	305	13	6	38%	6%	53	-1.5	182/230/304	122	290	15	3	41%	6%	39	-0.8
●Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A	20	45→55	43→60	57→50	42	218/277/333	115	296	10	13	29%	7%	69	-0.4	234/291/434	200	292	25	13	28%	7%	102	+1.9	227/288/440	213	276	26	14	28%	7%	100	+1.5
●Abraham Almonte 2008 · A	19	42→52	42→55	50→55	49	206/280/312	106	268	10	19	26%	9%	65	-0.7	213/262/309	96	284	7	19	26%	6%	55	-1.4	227/326/416	190	273	22	11	24%	13%	108	+1.4
✕Samuel Zavala 2023 · A	19	42→46	47→45	48→50	44	211/278/352	141	295	13	10	32%	8%	74	-0.1	192/285/302	110	297	12	12	36%	11%	66	-0.6	186/281/285	99	269	11	13	32%	11%	57	-0.9