Kruz Schoolcraft

Kruz Schoolcraft P Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 19 LHP 6'8" / 229 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.0 · 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107116vR 126

ERA4.71

FIP4.71

K%22.2%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%10.5%

ROS IP45

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—55

STUF5055

CTRL4550

CMD2045

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Arb-1	$6M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$10M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$13M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2025	18	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	1	1	2	9	4	3	0	100%	1.7	44.4%	33.3%	11.1%	0.0%	10.80	3.57	—
2025	18	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	1	1	2	9	4	3	0	100%	1.7	44.4%	33.3%	11.1%	0.0%	10.80	3.70	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	15	15	55	252	57	36	3	100%	3.6	16.7%	16.9%	-0.1%	1.5%	6.59	4.67	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	SD	8	8	45	191	42	22	6	100%	5.7	22.2%	11.7%	10.5%	3.0%	4.71	4.71	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	SD	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.2%	11.7%	10.5%	2.9%	4.65	4.65	—
2026 TOT	19	MLB	SD	—	—	100	443	99	58	9	—	—	22.4%	13.2%	9.3%	2.0%	5.74	4.69	+0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	SD	14	14	78	328	75	36	10	100%	5.5	23.0%	10.8%	12.2%	2.9%	4.57	4.51	+0.4
2028	21	MLB	SD	21	21	116	488	108	53	14	100%	5.5	22.1%	10.8%	11.2%	2.9%	4.56	4.56	+1.1
2029	22	MLB	SD	29	29	157	664	155	67	19	100%	5.4	23.3%	10.0%	13.3%	2.8%	4.41	4.32	+2.0
2030	23	MLB	SD	32	32	175	739	178	70	20	100%	5.5	24.1%	9.5%	14.5%	2.8%	4.27	4.17	+2.5
2031	24	MLB	SD	32	32	179	757	187	70	21	100%	5.6	24.6%	9.3%	15.4%	2.7%	4.15	4.07	+2.8
2032	25	MLB	SD	31	31	180	760	190	69	21	100%	5.8	25.0%	9.1%	15.9%	2.7%	4.07	4.01	+2.9
2033	26	MLB	SD	30	30	180	760	192	69	21	100%	6.0	25.2%	9.1%	16.2%	2.7%	4.02	3.99	+3.0
2034	27	MLB	SD	30	30	177	749	189	69	21	100%	5.9	25.2%	9.2%	16.1%	2.8%	4.03	4.03	+2.8
2035	28	MLB	SD	29	29	172	726	182	68	21	100%	5.9	25.1%	9.3%	15.8%	2.9%	4.08	4.11	+2.6
2036	29	MLB	SD	27	27	164	694	173	66	21	100%	6.1	24.9%	9.5%	15.3%	3.0%	4.18	4.24	+2.2
2037	30	MLB	SD	26	26	154	652	160	64	21	100%	5.9	24.5%	9.8%	14.7%	3.2%	4.32	4.42	+1.8
2038	31	MLB	SD	24	24	144	608	147	62	21	100%	6.0	24.1%	10.2%	13.9%	3.4%	4.50	4.62	+1.3
2039	32	MLB	SD	22	22	133	562	133	60	21	100%	6.1	23.7%	10.6%	13.1%	3.7%	4.71	4.85	+0.9
2027	20	MLB	SD	7	7	38	160	37	17	5	100%	5.4	23.0%	10.8%	12.2%	2.8%	4.51	4.45	+0.0
2028	21	MLB	SD	15	15	84	355	78	38	10	100%	5.6	22.1%	10.8%	11.2%	2.8%	4.51	4.51	+0.5
2029	22	MLB	SD	24	24	133	562	131	56	15	100%	5.5	23.3%	10.0%	13.3%	2.7%	4.36	4.27	+1.8
2030	23	MLB	SD	29	29	157	663	160	63	18	100%	5.4	24.1%	9.5%	14.5%	2.7%	4.22	4.12	+2.4
2031	24	MLB	SD	29	29	165	697	172	65	18	100%	5.7	24.6%	9.3%	15.4%	2.6%	4.10	4.02	+2.7
2032	25	MLB	SD	29	29	168	709	178	65	19	100%	5.8	25.0%	9.1%	15.9%	2.6%	4.02	3.96	+2.8
2033	26	MLB	SD	28	28	171	722	182	66	19	100%	6.1	25.2%	9.1%	16.2%	2.6%	3.97	3.94	+2.9
2034	27	MLB	SD	28	28	168	709	179	65	19	100%	6.0	25.2%	9.2%	16.1%	2.7%	3.98	3.98	+2.8
2035	28	MLB	SD	27	27	163	688	173	64	19	100%	6.0	25.1%	9.3%	15.8%	2.8%	4.02	4.05	+2.6
2036	29	MLB	SD	26	26	156	659	164	63	19	100%	6.0	24.9%	9.5%	15.3%	2.9%	4.12	4.18	+2.2
2037	30	MLB	SD	24	24	147	621	152	61	19	100%	6.1	24.5%	9.8%	14.7%	3.1%	4.26	4.36	+1.8
2038	31	MLB	SD	23	23	137	578	140	59	19	100%	6.0	24.1%	10.2%	13.9%	3.3%	4.43	4.55	+1.4
2039	32	MLB	SD	21	21	127	536	127	57	19	100%	6.0	23.7%	10.6%	13.1%	3.6%	4.64	4.78	+0.9
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career	—			317	317	1815	7662	1873	739	218	100%	5.7	24.4%	9.6%	14.8%	2.8%	4.20	3.82	+33.6
/ 200 IP	—			35	35	200	844	206	81	24	100%	5.7	24.4%	9.6%	14.8%	2.8%	4.20	3.82	+3.7
Career	—			16	16	56	261	46	45	4	100%	3.5	17.7%	17.4%	0.3%	1.5%	6.71	4.63	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—			57	57	200	927	164	161	14	100%	3.5	17.7%	17.4%	0.3%	1.5%	6.71	4.63	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kruz Schoolcraft (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	22.2%	11.7%	3.0%	—	4.44	22.8%	12.3%	350	-0.27	—	—	—
Ethan Lindow L 2025 · 4.33 FIP	18	SP	4.33	19.1%	12.4%	2.3%	.329	3.19	19.8%	14.0%	111	-1.14	3.19	435	86
Jacob Bresnahan L 2026 · 5.01 FIP	19	SP	5.01	20.2%	14.1%	3.3%	.292	3.72	23.2%	9.9%	153	-1.29	2.97	222	86
Jordan Woods L 2027 · 4.61 FIP	20	SP	4.61	20.5%	10.3%	3.5%	.329	4.13	20.3%	7.4%	112	-0.48	3.74	143	85
Jackson Humphries L 2026 · 4.37 FIP	19	SP	4.37	19.8%	14.0%	2.1%	.302	6.27	20.7%	0.6%	223	+1.90	4.37	280	85
Jesus Gomez L 2025 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP	5.12	19.3%	12.4%	3.8%	.275	4.31	24.3%	9.8%	23	-0.81	4.22	121	83
Mitch Bratt L 2026 · 3.54 FIP	19	SP	3.54	21.8%	9.8%	1.9%	.302	3.49	22.0%	15.9%	294	-0.05	3.08	427	83
Jay Groome L 2025 · 4.20 FIP	18	SP	4.20	21.6%	14.8%	1.9%	.345	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	420	82
Dax Fulton L 2026 · 4.54 FIP	19	SP	4.54	18.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.311	3.85	22.8%	12.3%	151	-0.69	3.65	383	82
Brock Selvidge L 2026 · 3.66 FIP	19	SP-	3.66	19.9%	11.7%	1.4%	.321	3.75	17.8%	7.6%	287	+0.09	3.04	330	81
Hogan Harris L 2029 · 3.73 FIP	22	SP	3.73	20.5%	10.6%	1.9%	.235	3.64	27.4%	12.7%	74	-0.09	3.14	473	79
Evan Shawver L 2029 · 4.04 FIP	22	SP	4.04	18.8%	10.6%	2.2%	.289	4.64	18.0%	4.0%	152	+0.60	4.01	258	78
Sam Hentges L 2026 · 4.34 FIP	19	SP-	4.34	18.5%	10.9%	2.6%	.333	3.91	18.9%	7.4%	192	-0.43	2.22	594	78
Rylan Kaufman L 2029 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	19.3%	12.1%	2.4%	.305	4.69	18.9%	4.5%	131	+0.34	4.01	212	78
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2029 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP	4.67	19.6%	14.6%	2.5%	.266	3.89	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.78	2.81	146	78
Deyer Zapata L 2025 · 4.37 FIP	18	SP	4.37	18.8%	14.3%	1.9%	.309	5.40	17.5%	4.0%	50	+1.03	3.61	130	78
Sam Weatherly L 2029 · 3.86 FIP	22	SP	3.86	24.0%	12.8%	2.1%	.323	4.14	21.9%	8.9%	41	+0.28	3.86	189	78
Ryan Rolison L 2028 · 3.88 FIP	21	SP	3.88	21.2%	9.2%	2.6%	.200	4.10	19.1%	11.5%	191	+0.22	3.63	362	78
Mason Molina L 2029 · 4.28 FIP	22	SP	4.28	22.7%	12.6%	2.7%	.276	3.56	23.3%	13.3%	69	-0.72	3.56	165	77
Thomas White L 2026 · 3.74 FIP	19	SP	3.74	22.2%	10.8%	2.1%	.332	2.97	29.6%	16.3%	99	-0.77	2.61	195	77
Caden Grice L 2029 · 4.23 FIP	22	SP	4.23	23.1%	15.7%	2.0%	.282	5.28	17.3%	1.8%	55	+1.05	4.23	105	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	Yrs	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	14	147	24.3%	9.7%	1.14	4.27
Jon Gray ('24)	10	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Kyle Gibson ('24)	10	164	19.6%	8.3%	1.14	4.46
Lance Lynn ('24)	9	154	23.9%	8.1%	1.20	3.86
Rich Hill ('23)	9	104	25.0%	8.0%	1.12	3.65
Chase Anderson ('24)	10	99	19.5%	8.1%	1.50	4.45
Alex Wood ('24)	9	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98