Kruz Schoolcraft

Kruz Schoolcraft P Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 19 LHP 6'8" / 229 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.7 · 2032

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 133

ERA5.23

FIP5.23

K%21.3%

BB%15.3%

K-BB%6.1%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$45M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5055

CTRL4550

CMD2045

K†5060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Arb-1	$6M	+1.6	$8M	+$5M
2034	Arb-2	$9M	+1.6	$7M	+$3M
2035	Arb-3	$12M	+1.3	$5M	+$0.5M
Totals		$30M		$42M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	1	1	2	9	4	3	0	100%	1.7	44.4%	33.3%	11.1%	0.0%	10.80	3.57	—
2025	18	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	1	1	2	9	4	3	0	100%	1.7	44.4%	33.3%	11.1%	0.0%	10.80	3.57	—
2025	18	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	1	1	2	9	4	3	0	100%	1.7	44.4%	33.3%	11.1%	0.0%	10.80	3.70	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	22	22	79	368	82	57	4	100%	3.6	16.5%	18.3%	-1.8%	1.4%	5.90	4.80	—
YTD	19	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	22	22	79	368	82	57	4	100%	3.6	16.5%	18.3%	-1.8%	1.4%	5.90	4.80	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	A RAW	SD	22	22	79	368	82	57	4	100%	3.6	22.3%	15.5%	6.8%	1.1%	5.90	3.78	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SD	20	20	112	471	98	66	14	100%	5.6	20.9%	14.1%	6.8%	2.9%	5.11	5.09	-0.2
2028	21	MLB MLE	SD	27	27	151	638	140	81	18	100%	5.6	21.9%	12.6%	9.3%	2.8%	4.89	4.79	+0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	SD	32	32	175	739	171	84	21	100%	5.5	23.2%	11.4%	11.8%	2.8%	4.65	4.50	+0.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	SD	33	33	180	760	182	81	21	100%	5.5	24.0%	10.6%	13.3%	2.7%	4.44	4.31	+1.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	SD	32	32	180	760	187	77	21	100%	5.6	24.6%	10.2%	14.4%	2.7%	4.29	4.19	+1.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	SD	31	31	180	760	190	75	21	100%	5.8	24.9%	9.9%	15.1%	2.7%	4.18	4.11	+1.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	SD	30	30	180	760	191	75	21	100%	6.0	25.1%	9.8%	15.3%	2.7%	4.12	4.09	+1.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	SD	30	30	177	749	188	74	21	100%	5.9	25.1%	9.9%	15.2%	2.8%	4.12	4.12	+1.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	SD	29	29	172	726	182	73	21	100%	5.9	25.0%	10.1%	15.0%	2.9%	4.17	4.21	+1.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	SD	27	27	164	694	172	71	21	100%	6.1	24.8%	10.3%	14.5%	3.0%	4.27	4.34	+1.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	SD	26	26	154	652	159	69	21	100%	5.9	24.4%	10.6%	13.8%	3.2%	4.42	4.52	+0.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	SD	24	24	144	608	146	66	21	100%	6.0	24.0%	10.9%	13.1%	3.4%	4.60	4.72	+0.3
2039	32	MLB MLE	SD	22	22	133	562	133	64	21	100%	6.1	23.6%	11.3%	12.3%	3.7%	4.81	4.94	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	SD	10	10	55	232	48	33	7	100%	5.5	20.9%	14.1%	6.8%	3.0%	5.15	5.13	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	SD	20	20	110	464	102	59	14	100%	5.5	21.9%	12.6%	9.3%	2.9%	4.93	4.83	+0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	SD	27	27	148	625	145	71	18	100%	5.5	23.2%	11.4%	11.8%	2.9%	4.69	4.54	+0.7
2030	23	MLB CTX	SD	29	29	162	684	164	73	19	100%	5.6	24.0%	10.6%	13.3%	2.8%	4.48	4.35	+1.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	SD	30	30	166	701	172	71	20	100%	5.5	24.6%	10.2%	14.4%	2.8%	4.33	4.23	+1.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	SD	29	29	168	709	177	70	20	100%	5.8	24.9%	9.9%	15.1%	2.8%	4.22	4.15	+1.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	SD	28	28	171	722	182	71	20	100%	6.1	25.1%	9.8%	15.3%	2.8%	4.16	4.13	+1.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	SD	28	28	168	709	178	70	20	100%	6.0	25.1%	9.9%	15.2%	2.8%	4.16	4.16	+1.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	SD	27	27	163	688	172	69	20	100%	6.0	25.0%	10.1%	15.0%	2.9%	4.21	4.25	+1.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	SD	26	26	156	659	163	68	20	100%	6.0	24.8%	10.3%	14.5%	3.1%	4.31	4.38	+1.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	SD	24	24	147	621	152	66	20	100%	6.1	24.4%	10.6%	13.8%	3.3%	4.46	4.56	+0.7
2038	31	MLB CTX	SD	23	23	137	578	139	63	20	100%	6.0	24.0%	10.9%	13.1%	3.5%	4.65	4.77	+0.3
2039	32	MLB CTX	SD	21	21	127	536	126	61	20	100%	6.0	23.6%	11.3%	12.3%	3.8%	4.86	4.99	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		330	330	1877	7927	1920	844	238	100%	5.7	24.2%	10.7%	13.6%	3.0%	4.45	4.05	+18.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	205	90	25	100%	5.7	24.2%	10.7%	13.6%	3.0%	4.45	4.05	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		23	23	81	377	65	70	5	100%	3.5	17.2%	18.6%	-1.5%	1.4%	6.00	4.77	+11.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	57	200	931	160	173	13	100%	3.5	17.2%	18.6%	-1.5%	1.4%	6.00	4.77	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kruz Schoolcraft (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.23	21.3%	15.3%	2.9%	—	4.75	22.1%	9.6%	438	-0.48	—	—	—
Francisco Morao L 2023 · 4.30 FIP	17	SP	4.30	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.303	4.59	18.4%	1.5%	115	+0.29	4.00	154	89
Jay Groome L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	18	SP	4.56	21.6%	14.8%	2.6%	.345	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	420	87
Ethan Lindow L 2017 · 4.33 FIP	18	SP	4.33	19.1%	12.4%	2.3%	.329	2.95	19.8%	14.0%	111	-1.38	2.95	435	86
Jackson Humphries L 2023 · 4.48 FIP	19	SP	4.48	19.8%	14.0%	2.3%	.302	5.94	20.8%	1.5%	248	+1.46	4.48	305	86
Roberto Medina L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	18	SP	4.85	21.6%	21.7%	1.5%	.313	5.67	16.4%	-2.1%	73	+0.82	3.87	109	81
Deyer Zapata L 2022 · 4.25 FIP	18	SP	4.25	18.8%	14.3%	1.7%	.309	5.18	17.5%	4.0%	50	+0.93	3.77	130	80
Frank Mozzicato L 2022 · 5.00 FIP	19	SP	5.00	21.5%	19.7%	2.2%	.306	5.60	18.6%	0.2%	288	+0.60	5.00	428	80
Jesus Gomez L 2019 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP	5.12	19.3%	12.4%	3.8%	.275	4.40	24.3%	9.8%	23	-0.72	4.22	121	80
Mavis Graves L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	19	SP	6.17	18.8%	22.2%	3.3%	.365	4.16	23.9%	10.0%	243	-2.01	3.10	277	78
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	78
Dax Fulton L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	19	SP	4.48	18.6%	13.2%	2.3%	.311	3.78	22.8%	12.3%	151	-0.70	3.52	416	77
Melkis Hernández L 2023 · 4.18 FIP	18	SP	4.18	16.4%	13.0%	1.5%	.291	4.24	18.5%	3.2%	257	+0.06	3.78	334	76
Jagger Haynes L 2023 · 4.25 FIP	20	SP	4.25	19.7%	13.0%	2.1%	.303	5.02	17.7%	3.7%	343	+0.77	4.25	368	76
Josue Arias L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	18	SP	4.73	18.8%	18.6%	1.6%	.340	6.98	12.6%	-18.5%	50	+2.25	4.73	114	76
Joe Miller L 2022 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP	4.48	17.4%	13.9%	2.0%	.375	4.22	16.0%	7.7%	273	-0.26	3.76	355	74
John Beller L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP	4.48	19.7%	14.1%	2.3%	.326	4.35	22.2%	7.1%	90	-0.13	4.16	170	74
Sam Hentges L 2015 · 4.34 FIP	19	SP-	4.34	18.5%	10.9%	2.6%	.333	3.99	18.9%	7.4%	192	-0.35	2.22	609	73
Nick Wells L 2015 · 5.38 FIP	19	SP	5.38	15.8%	10.3%	4.2%	.299	4.96	13.4%	2.7%	346	-0.42	3.93	459	73
Ricardo Estrada L 2021 · 4.43 FIP	19	SP	4.43	15.7%	17.4%	0.8%	.282	3.19	17.6%	6.7%	86	-1.24	2.63	289	73
Ryan Lawlor L 2015 · 4.17 FIP	21	SP	4.17	14.8%	13.0%	1.2%	.286	3.24	20.1%	8.1%	107	-0.93	2.24	201	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	10.6	152	24.1%	10.8%	1.13	4.44
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Alex Wood ('24)	5.0	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98
Trevor Bauer ('21)	5.6	159	26.8%	8.7%	1.13	3.68
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88