Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | 10 | 9 | 37 | 167 | 35 | 24 | 1 | 90% | 3.7 | 14.3% | 18.0% | -3.7% | 0.8% | 2.95 | 4.60 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | 10 | 9 | 37 | 167 | 35 | 24 | 1 | 90% | 3.7 | 21.0% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 0.6% | 2.95 | 3.51 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 15 | 0 | 20 | 92 | 18 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.3% | 19.0% | -5.7% | 0.0% | 4.12 | 4.39 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 15 | 0 | 20 | 92 | 18 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.6% | 15.2% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 4.12 | 3.41 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 18 | 87 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 2.0% | 7.13 | 3.28 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 18 | 87 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 31.0% | 9.2% | 21.8% | 2.3% | 7.13 | 2.87 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 43 | 168 | 68 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 9.7% | 1.0% | 1.27 | 3.57 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 0 | 43 | 168 | 68 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 40.5% | 12.5% | 28.0% | 0.6% | 1.27 | 1.69 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 36 | 0 | 36 | 186 | 45 | 44 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 26.0% | -6.4% | 0.0% | 6.31 | 4.74 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 36 | 0 | 36 | 186 | 45 | 44 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 23.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 6.31 | 4.28 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 28 | 0 | 34 | 145 | 51 | 29 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.5% | 22.0% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 3.15 | 3.48 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TEX | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 15.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | 15.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 4.88 | 4.88 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 53 | 225 | 69 | 41 | 2 | — | — | 30.6% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 0.8% | 3.76 | 3.98 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.3% | 15.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 4.88 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 4.81 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 4.81 | 4.80 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 4.81 | 4.42 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 131 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 4.81 | 4.42 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 144 | 9 | 187 | 845 | 180 | 165 | 5 | 6% | 1.3 | 21.3% | 19.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 3.76 | 4.08 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 10 | 200 | 905 | 193 | 177 | 5 | 6% | 1.3 | 21.3% | 19.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 3.76 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryan Magdaleno (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 22.3% | 15.6% | 2.4% | — | 4.80 | 22.6% | 7.7% | 20 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Soto L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.3% | 14.3% | 1.9% | .348 | 3.96 | 25.6% | 15.1% | 25 | -0.18 | 3.26 | 128 | 85 |
| Brian Moran L 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 85 |
| C.J. Widger L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.37 | 26.0% | 16.0% | 2.6% | .258 | 5.84 | 18.1% | -0.7% | 57 | +1.47 | 3.71 | 105 | 84 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.25 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% | .269 | 4.20 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.05 | 3.46 | 145 | 84 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 83 |
| Andy Oliver L 2028 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 83 |
| John Beller L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.00 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 170 | 82 |
| Joseph Menefee L 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.10 | 23.3% | 17.4% | 3.2% | .268 | 6.74 | 19.4% | -8.5% | 13 | +1.64 | 3.16 | 146 | 81 |
| Erik Rivera L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 25.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 122 | 80 |
| Ryne Slack L 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 17.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .308 | 5.43 | 13.9% | 1.8% | 49 | +1.11 | 4.08 | 212 | 80 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.57 | 25.3% | 15.3% | 3.0% | .284 | 5.07 | 23.3% | 7.2% | 42 | +0.50 | 3.33 | 152 | 80 |
| Erik Sabrowski L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.62 | 24.7% | 21.5% | 1.6% | .267 | 3.42 | 33.6% | 16.1% | 94 | -1.20 | 2.84 | 144 | 80 |
| Brian Marconi L 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.96 | 20.3% | 18.2% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 101 | 79 |
| Russell Smith L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.89 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 175 | 79 |
| Brendan Cellucci L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.91 | 21.2% | 14.6% | 3.2% | .381 | 4.37 | 24.0% | 8.3% | 115 | -0.54 | 3.96 | 265 | 79 |
| Nick Lee L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.0% | 19.7% | 1.4% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 102 | 79 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2027 · 5.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.34 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.09 | 3.46 | 154 | 79 |
| Colton Johnson L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 79 |
| Justin Kelly L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 20.6% | 18.1% | 0.7% | .275 | 3.56 | 23.9% | 7.9% | 30 | -0.47 | 3.48 | 160 | 79 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 20.0% | 19.6% | 2.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 136 | 79 |