Bryan Magdaleno — OGILVIE

Bryan Magdaleno P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 25 LHP 6'1" / 202 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125133vR 141

ERA5.67

FIP5.67

K%21.2%

BB%21.1%

K-BB%0.1%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	10	9	37	167	35	24	1	90%	3.7	14.3%	18.0%	-3.7%	0.8%	2.95	4.62	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 1	10	9	37	167	35	24	1	90%	3.7	21.0%	14.4%	6.6%	0.6%	2.95	3.51	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	15	0	20	92	18	14	0	0%	1.3	13.3%	19.0%	-5.7%	0.0%	4.12	4.39	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	15	0	20	92	18	14	0	0%	1.3	19.6%	15.2%	4.3%	0.0%	4.12	3.41	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	18	87	27	8	2	0%	0.9	23.9%	8.8%	15.1%	2.2%	7.13	3.40	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	18	87	27	8	2	0%	0.9	23.9%	8.8%	15.1%	2.2%	7.13	3.40	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	18	87	27	8	2	0%	0.9	31.0%	9.2%	21.8%	2.3%	7.13	2.87	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	0	43	168	68	21	1	0%	1.2	27.2%	17.5%	9.7%	1.0%	1.27	3.58	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	0	43	168	68	21	1	0%	1.2	27.2%	17.5%	9.7%	1.0%	1.27	3.58	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	0	43	168	68	21	1	0%	1.2	40.5%	12.5%	28.0%	0.6%	1.27	1.69	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	36	0	36	186	45	44	0	0%	1.0	19.6%	26.0%	-6.4%	0.0%	6.31	4.74	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	36	0	36	186	45	44	0	0%	1.0	19.6%	26.0%	-6.4%	0.0%	6.31	4.74	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	36	0	36	186	45	44	0	0%	1.0	24.2%	23.7%	0.5%	0.0%	6.31	4.28	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	44	1	56	229	77	38	1	2%	1.3	27.2%	18.3%	9.0%	0.5%	3.05	3.40	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	44	1	56	229	77	38	1	2%	1.3	27.2%	18.3%	9.0%	0.5%	3.05	3.40	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	TEX	44	1	56	229	77	38	1	2%	1.3	33.6%	16.6%	17.0%	0.4%	3.05	2.60	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	52	0	55	231	50	46	6	0%	1.1	21.6%	19.9%	1.7%	2.4%	5.52	5.51	-0.6
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	51	0	54	228	50	44	6	0%	1.1	21.7%	19.1%	2.6%	2.5%	5.45	5.46	-0.5
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	23	0	24	101	22	20	2	0%	1.0	21.6%	19.9%	1.7%	2.4%	5.52	5.51	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	32	0	34	144	31	27	4	0%	1.1	21.7%	19.1%	2.6%	2.5%	5.45	5.46	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	0	58	246	53	48	6	0%	1.1	21.7%	19.5%	2.2%	2.5%	5.48	5.10	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	165	21	0%	1.1	21.7%	19.5%	2.2%	2.5%	5.48	5.10	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		160	10	208	929	201	175	6	6%	1.3	21.7%	18.8%	2.9%	0.7%	3.67	4.02	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	10	200	892	193	168	6	6%	1.3	21.7%	18.8%	2.9%	0.7%	3.67	4.02	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bryan Magdaleno (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.67	21.2%	21.1%	2.4%	—	5.49	21.7%	2.2%	109	-0.18	—	—	—
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	92
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	90
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	87
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	86
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	83
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	82
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	82
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	82
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	81
Aaron Brown L 2017 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	15.0%	17.6%	1.6%	.348	4.38	19.8%	5.2%	127	-0.58	4.04	269	81
Erik Sabrowski L 2023 · 4.53 FIP	25	SU	4.53	24.7%	21.5%	1.4%	.267	3.11	32.6%	17.3%	109	-1.42	2.57	160	80
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	80
Davis Schwab L 2022 · 5.70 FIP	25	SU	5.70	20.3%	18.7%	3.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	114	80
Ben Harris L 2023 · 4.76 FIP	23	SU	4.76	25.4%	21.9%	1.9%	.252	5.32	22.4%	2.6%	76	+0.56	3.06	183	78
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	78
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	78
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	78
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	78
Cam Booser L 2016 · 6.61 FIP	24	SU	6.61	19.8%	28.0%	3.0%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	309	78
Yoan Aybar L 2022 · 6.04 FIP	25	SU	6.04	20.9%	19.7%	4.0%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	166	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	43	21.6%	19.8%	0.96	5.51
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99