Liam Norris — OGILVIE

Liam Norris P Hillsboro Hops

Age 24 LHP 6'4" / 215 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146154vR 162

ERA6.81

FIP6.81

K%24.2%

BB%28.4%

K-BB%-4.3%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	14	42	227	54	60	2	88%	2.6	17.4%	30.7%	-13.2%	1.4%	9.35	6.27	—
2021	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	14	42	227	54	60	2	88%	2.6	23.8%	26.4%	-2.6%	0.9%	9.35	5.41	—
2022	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	20	18	66	318	84	61	11	90%	3.3	19.5%	22.6%	-3.1%	4.2%	7.33	6.64	—
2022	20	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	20	18	66	318	84	61	11	90%	3.3	26.4%	19.2%	7.2%	3.5%	7.33	5.48	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	56	241	93	37	5	0%	1.3	30.0%	16.8%	13.2%	2.3%	4.04	3.98	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	56	241	93	37	5	0%	1.3	30.0%	16.8%	13.2%	2.3%	4.04	3.98	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	0	56	241	93	37	5	0%	1.3	38.6%	15.4%	23.2%	2.1%	4.04	2.92	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	1	8	38	8	9	0	12%	1.0	21.1%	23.7%	-2.6%	0.0%	5.87	4.32	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	1	8	38	8	9	0	12%	1.0	21.1%	23.7%	-2.6%	0.0%	5.87	4.32	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	1	8	38	8	9	0	12%	1.0	21.1%	23.7%	-2.6%	0.0%	5.87	4.53	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	22	0	27	155	47	50	6	0%	1.2	23.3%	37.1%	-13.7%	5.0%	8.67	8.57	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	22	0	27	155	47	50	6	0%	1.2	23.3%	37.1%	-13.7%	5.0%	8.67	8.57	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	22	0	27	155	47	50	6	0%	1.2	30.3%	32.3%	-1.9%	3.9%	8.67	8.06	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	ARI	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	24.2%	28.4%	-4.3%	3.2%	6.81	6.81	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ARI	23	0	25	104	25	24	3	0%	1.1	24.5%	23.1%	1.3%	3.2%	6.28	6.09	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	ARI	10	0	11	46	11	11	1	0%	1.1	24.5%	23.1%	1.3%	3.2%	6.28	6.09	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	45	11	10	1	0%	1.1	24.5%	23.1%	1.3%	3.2%	6.28	5.71	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	208	189	19	0%	1.1	24.5%	23.1%	1.3%	3.2%	6.28	5.71	-2.7
Career	—	MLE		108	33	199	979	218	248	30	31%	1.8	22.3%	25.4%	-3.1%	3.1%	6.96	6.12	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	33	200	984	219	250	30	31%	1.8	22.3%	25.4%	-3.1%	3.1%	6.96	6.12	-3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Liam Norris (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.81	24.2%	28.4%	3.2%	—	6.09	24.5%	1.3%	25	-0.72	—	—	—
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	78
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	77
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	74
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	72
Cam Booser L 2016 · 6.61 FIP	24	SU	6.61	19.8%	28.0%	3.0%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	309	71
Eric Torres L 2023 · 6.62 FIP	23	SU	6.62	21.2%	19.8%	5.1%	.283	4.18	26.5%	10.4%	56	-2.44	2.81	155	70
Evan Shawver L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	15.9%	16.5%	3.5%	.327	4.11	18.1%	7.1%	162	-1.67	3.92	278	70
Max Schuh L 2016 · 6.12 FIP	24	SU	6.12	16.1%	17.9%	3.9%	.389	4.70	19.2%	5.6%	48	-1.42	3.10	118	70
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.32	17.8%	4.0%	148	-0.55	4.79	193	68
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	67
Yoan Aybar L 2021 · 5.91 FIP	24	SU	5.91	19.2%	16.2%	4.3%	.323	6.04	20.9%	1.2%	41	+0.13	3.41	166	66
Gabriel Rodriguez L 2023 · 6.10 FIP	24	SU	6.10	18.8%	28.3%	1.8%	.276	6.05	25.5%	2.1%	46	-0.05	6.05	128	65
Bryan Warzek L 2021 · 7.73 FIP	24	SU	7.73	19.1%	20.2%	6.7%	.306	5.04	22.1%	7.1%	27	-2.69	1.91	138	64
Destin Dotson L 2022 · 5.84 FIP	22	SU	5.84	23.0%	19.9%	4.0%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.90	113	64
Jared Miller L 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SU	6.57	19.9%	28.8%	2.8%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	2.42	228	64
Johan Simon L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	22	SU	6.17	14.6%	15.4%	4.3%	.341	3.78	19.9%	7.2%	114	-2.39	3.45	177	63
Tyler Pike L 2018 · 5.77 FIP	24	SU	5.77	18.5%	29.5%	0.9%	.270	3.41	18.6%	12.7%	69	-2.36	3.41	565	62
Levi Prater L 2022 · 6.76 FIP	23	SU	6.76	15.8%	23.5%	3.6%	.225	—	—	—	—	—	6.76	110	62
Connor Bach L 2016 · 5.82 FIP	24	SU	5.82	18.5%	27.8%	1.4%	.206	—	—	—	—	—	4.48	124	62
Jordan Minch L 2017 · 6.88 FIP	24	SU	6.88	13.7%	17.6%	4.9%	.262	5.04	15.9%	4.4%	121	-1.84	3.64	255	61