Liam Norris
P
Hillsboro Hops
Age 24
LHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120129vR 138
ERA5.31
FIP5.31
K%23.7%
BB%16.2%
K-BB%7.5%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 14 | 42 | 227 | 54 | 60 | 2 | 88% | 2.6 | 17.4% | 30.7% | -13.2% | 1.5% | 9.35 | 6.34 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 14 | 42 | 227 | 54 | 60 | 2 | 88% | 2.6 | 23.8% | 26.4% | -2.6% | 0.9% | 9.35 | 5.41 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 20 | 18 | 66 | 318 | 84 | 61 | 11 | 90% | 3.3 | 19.5% | 22.6% | -3.1% | 4.0% | 7.33 | 6.51 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 20 | 18 | 66 | 318 | 84 | 61 | 11 | 90% | 3.3 | 26.4% | 19.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 7.33 | 5.48 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 56 | 241 | 93 | 37 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 30.0% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 2.4% | 4.04 | 4.01 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 56 | 241 | 93 | 37 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 38.6% | 15.4% | 23.2% | 2.1% | 4.04 | 2.92 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 12% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 23.7% | -2.6% | 0.0% | 5.87 | 4.32 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 12% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 23.7% | -2.6% | 0.0% | 5.87 | 4.53 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 22 | 0 | 27 | 155 | 47 | 50 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.3% | 37.1% | -13.7% | 5.2% | 8.67 | 8.67 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 22 | 0 | 27 | 155 | 47 | 50 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.3% | 32.3% | -1.9% | 3.9% | 8.67 | 8.06 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 17 | 0 | 18 | 77 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 16.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 5.31 | 5.31 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 5.08 | 4.99 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ARI | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 5.08 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 5.08 | 4.61 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 209 | 116 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 5.08 | 4.61 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 108 | 33 | 199 | 979 | 218 | 248 | 30 | 31% | 1.8 | 22.3% | 25.4% | -3.1% | 3.1% | 6.96 | 6.11 | -1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 109 | 33 | 200 | 984 | 219 | 250 | 30 | 31% | 1.8 | 22.3% | 25.4% | -3.1% | 3.1% | 6.96 | 6.11 | -1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Liam Norris (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.31 | 23.7% | 16.2% | 3.2% | — | 4.99 | 24.0% | 9.9% | 20 | -0.32 | — | — | — |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.74 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 2.9% | .305 | 3.95 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 87 | -0.79 | 3.67 | 165 | 81 |
| Randy Labaut L 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.06 | 23.2% | 14.0% | 3.9% | .240 | 4.73 | 19.5% | 5.0% | 190 | -0.33 | 1.91 | 302 | 79 |
| Max Roberts L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.07 | 19.3% | 15.2% | 3.0% | .330 | 4.59 | 24.5% | 8.4% | 115 | -0.48 | 4.03 | 173 | 77 |
| Matt Minnick L 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 77 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 22.3% | 20.0% | 2.4% | .361 | 4.78 | 18.5% | 5.2% | 136 | -0.27 | 4.19 | 151 | 76 |
| Erik Rivera L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.01 | 21.4% | 19.2% | 2.3% | .313 | 4.69 | 25.3% | 9.9% | 40 | -0.32 | 4.69 | 122 | 76 |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 18.9% | 17.6% | 2.4% | .315 | 4.92 | 19.3% | 7.1% | 107 | -0.13 | 4.28 | 127 | 76 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.74 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .338 | 4.62 | 12.7% | 2.7% | 41 | -0.12 | 4.27 | 156 | 75 |
| Larson Kindreich L 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.39 | 21.5% | 18.8% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.71 | 23.0% | 9.0% | 79 | -0.68 | 4.15 | 214 | 75 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.25 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% | .269 | 4.20 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.05 | 3.46 | 145 | 75 |
| Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.15 | 19.4% | 15.3% | 1.4% | .258 | 4.06 | 19.0% | 9.5% | 92 | -0.09 | 4.01 | 258 | 75 |
| Brendan Cellucci L 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.95 | 22.4% | 17.9% | 2.7% | .320 | 4.50 | 23.3% | 7.3% | 137 | -0.45 | 3.96 | 265 | 74 |
| Dillon Larsen L 2026 · 6.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.31 | 21.7% | 21.6% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.57 | 18.0% | -4.1% | 91 | -1.74 | 4.04 | 120 | 74 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 74 |
| Ben Harris L 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.54 | 23.8% | 19.6% | 3.6% | .291 | 5.17 | 21.6% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.37 | 3.02 | 183 | 74 |
| Russell Smith L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.14 | 23.3% | 12.8% | 4.3% | .343 | 3.89 | 19.0% | 5.1% | 53 | -1.25 | 3.89 | 175 | 74 |
| Ty Damron L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 24.3% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .358 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 10.3% | 134 | +0.37 | 3.22 | 346 | 74 |
| Fred Schlichtholz L 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .368 | 4.36 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 80 | -0.05 | 3.76 | 175 | 74 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.69 | 24.7% | 15.6% | 3.1% | .320 | 4.57 | 22.5% | 10.5% | 163 | -0.12 | 4.13 | 265 | 74 |
| John Kilichowski L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 115 | 73 |