Naswell Paulino
P
Vancouver Canadians
Age 26
LHP
5'11" / 160 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
K%22.2%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 13 | 13 | 56 | 225 | 52 | 18 | 2 | 100% | 4.3 | 15.7% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 2.26 | 3.72 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 13 | 13 | 56 | 225 | 52 | 18 | 2 | 100% | 4.3 | 23.1% | 8.0% | 15.1% | 0.9% | 2.26 | 2.67 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.28 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 0.0% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.90 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 23 | 23 | 97 | 427 | 109 | 57 | 8 | 100% | 4.2 | 18.9% | 15.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.82 | 4.81 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 23 | 23 | 97 | 427 | 109 | 57 | 8 | 100% | 4.2 | 25.5% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 1.9% | 3.82 | 3.69 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 30 | 10 | 86 | 376 | 87 | 39 | 12 | 33% | 2.9 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.59 | 5.53 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 30 | 10 | 86 | 376 | 87 | 39 | 12 | 33% | 2.9 | 23.1% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.25 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 55 | 257 | 50 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.4% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.39 | 4.71 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 55 | 257 | 50 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 4.51 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 24 | 0 | 28 | 123 | 27 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.9% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.20 | 4.94 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 24 | 0 | 28 | 123 | 27 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 5.20 | 4.18 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 19 | 0 | 20 | 86 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TOR | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.14 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.14 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 129 | 46 | 323 | 1413 | 245 | 184 | 39 | 36% | 2.5 | 17.4% | 13.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.96 | 4.80 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 29 | 200 | 876 | 152 | 114 | 24 | 36% | 2.5 | 17.4% | 13.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.96 | 4.80 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Naswell Paulino (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.52 | 22.3% | 12.3% | 20 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 258 | 75 |
| Ben Holmes L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .264 | 5.63 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 61 | +1.74 | 3.12 | 451 | 74 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 74 |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 73 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 72 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 72 |
| Jordan Carr L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.39 | 17.2% | 8.5% | 1.2% | .270 | 5.11 | 12.6% | 1.9% | 129 | +1.72 | 3.39 | 261 | 71 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 71 |
| Tyler Holton L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .288 | 3.75 | 21.7% | 16.8% | 258 | -0.61 | 3.02 | 409 | 71 |
| Adam Scott L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.27 | 21.1% | 13.5% | 4.1% | .317 | 4.96 | 16.5% | -3.6% | 46 | -0.31 | 4.53 | 315 | 70 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 69 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 69 |
| Ethan Flanagan L 2024 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 21.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 102 | 69 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 68 |
| Reid Love L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .373 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 280 | 68 |
| Josh Trentadue L 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.99 | 21.5% | 12.3% | 3.9% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 196 | 68 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 68 |
| Stu Flesland III L 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 18.7% | 10.5% | 2.7% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 211 | 68 |
| Carson Teel L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.22 | 17.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 248 | 68 |
| Jake Drehoff L 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.16 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .418 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 153 | 67 |