Naswell Paulino — OGILVIE

Naswell Paulino P Vancouver Canadians

Age 26 LHP 5'11" / 160 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA5.01

FIP5.01

K%19.5%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%7.4%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	13	13	56	225	52	18	2	100%	4.3	15.7%	10.0%	5.7%	1.2%	2.26	3.72	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	13	13	56	225	52	18	2	100%	4.3	23.1%	8.0%	15.1%	0.9%	2.26	2.67	—
2019	19	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	1	0	1	5	2	0	0	0%	1.0	40.0%	0.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.00	-0.28	—
2019	19	A RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	1	0	1	5	2	0	0	0%	1.0	40.0%	0.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.00	-0.90	—
2021	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	23	23	97	427	109	57	8	100%	4.2	18.9%	15.8%	3.1%	2.4%	3.82	4.82	—
2021	21	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	23	23	97	427	109	57	8	100%	4.2	25.5%	13.3%	12.2%	1.9%	3.82	3.69	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	30	10	86	376	87	39	12	33%	2.9	17.8%	11.9%	5.9%	4.2%	4.59	5.41	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	30	10	86	376	87	39	12	33%	2.9	23.1%	10.4%	12.8%	3.2%	4.59	4.25	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	55	257	50	29	7	0%	1.5	15.4%	12.7%	2.7%	2.8%	4.39	4.97	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	55	257	50	29	7	0%	1.5	15.4%	12.7%	2.7%	2.8%	4.39	4.97	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	55	257	50	29	7	0%	1.5	19.5%	11.3%	8.2%	2.7%	4.39	4.51	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	24	0	28	123	27	15	3	0%	1.2	16.9%	14.0%	2.9%	2.9%	5.20	5.02	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	24	0	28	123	27	15	3	0%	1.2	16.9%	14.0%	2.9%	2.9%	5.20	5.02	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	24	0	28	123	27	15	3	0%	1.2	22.0%	12.2%	9.8%	2.4%	5.20	4.18	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	TOR	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	19.5%	12.1%	7.4%	3.0%	5.01	5.01	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TOR	23	0	24	103	21	12	3	0%	1.1	19.9%	11.9%	8.0%	3.0%	4.96	4.98	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	TOR	9	0	9	38	8	5	1	0%	1.0	19.9%	11.9%	8.0%	3.0%	4.96	4.98	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	38	8	5	1	0%	1.0	19.9%	11.9%	8.0%	3.0%	4.96	4.60	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	111	22	0%	1.1	19.9%	11.9%	8.0%	3.0%	4.96	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		129	46	323	1413	245	184	40	36%	2.5	17.4%	13.1%	4.3%	2.8%	3.96	4.83	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		80	29	200	876	152	114	25	36%	2.5	17.4%	13.1%	4.3%	2.8%	3.96	4.83	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Naswell Paulino (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.01	19.5%	12.1%	3.0%	—	4.98	19.9%	8.0%	24	-0.03	—	—	—
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	78
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	74
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	74
Ben Holmes L 2018 · 4.02 FIP	26	SW	4.02	19.1%	9.3%	2.5%	.264	5.57	19.7%	8.6%	61	+1.55	3.09	451	74
Adam Scott L 2022 · 5.27 FIP	26	SW	5.27	21.1%	13.5%	4.1%	.317	4.70	15.6%	-1.7%	46	-0.57	4.17	315	73
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	73
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	73
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	71
Kyle Hunter L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	26	SW	4.32	12.5%	11.5%	1.5%	.258	4.49	12.6%	4.6%	144	+0.17	4.32	188	71
Ben Onyshko L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	26	SU	4.39	16.1%	10.2%	2.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	70
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	70
Larson Kindreich L 2023 · 5.29 FIP	24	SW	5.29	21.5%	18.8%	3.0%	.269	4.68	23.0%	9.0%	79	-0.61	4.16	214	70
Bryan Warzek L 2022 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	22.1%	15.0%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	1.91	138	69
Tyler Holton L 2022 · 4.30 FIP	26	SU	4.30	20.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.288	3.67	21.7%	16.8%	258	-0.63	2.97	436	69
Matt Tracy L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SW	3.96	14.4%	9.8%	1.5%	.306	4.10	14.7%	5.5%	208	+0.14	3.24	298	69
Anderson Polanco L 2019 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	18.9%	16.3%	2.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	69
Jake Drehoff L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	25	SW	5.21	16.8%	9.0%	4.4%	.418	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	153	69
Kohl Drake L 2023 · 4.81 FIP	23	SW	4.81	16.3%	11.9%	2.9%	.391	4.32	21.8%	12.5%	292	-0.49	3.32	327	68
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	68
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	68