Blake Taylor
P
Round Rock Express
+0.0
WAR
Age 30
LHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.71
FIP4.71
xFIP5.53
SIERA5.52
K%21.0%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%10.0%
IP32
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL3535
CMD3535
K†4545
FB Velo
p2392.6
Whiff%
p1320.1%
K%
p1012.2%
xwOBA vs
p390.324
SL-1.2
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | GCL Mets | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 6.00 | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | 5 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 12 | 8 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.15 | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 18 | 17 | 86 | 390 | 72 | 49 | 6 | 13.7% | 14.8% | 2.0% | 4.94 | 4.93 | +0.2 |
| 2018 | 22 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | 19 | 18 | 87 | 390 | 83 | 54 | 4 | 16.7% | 15.7% | 1.2% | 5.40 | 4.34 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 40 | 0 | 67 | 276 | 74 | 23 | 3 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.3% | 2.16 | 3.18 | +1.4 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Houston Astros | 22 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 2.3% | 2.18 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Houston Astros | 54 | 0 | 46 | 203 | 44 | 20 | 7 | 21.8% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 3.35 | 4.30 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | 31 | 2 | 28 | 123 | 18 | 17 | 2 | 12.0% | 13.3% | 1.3% | 4.23 | 4.49 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 35 | 0 | 37 | 168 | 25 | 22 | 2 | 13.1% | 13.8% | 1.4% | 5.15 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 34 | 0 | 40 | 196 | 40 | 26 | 5 | 18.0% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 5.80 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 32 | — | 32 | 137 | 27 | 17 | 4 | 19.6% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.85 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 31 | — | 31 | 133 | 26 | 16 | 4 | 19.4% | 12.4% | 3.0% | 4.95 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 30 | — | 30 | 127 | 24 | 16 | 4 | 19.1% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 5.03 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 29 | — | 29 | 121 | 23 | 15 | 4 | 18.6% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 5.20 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 260 | 37 | 422 | 1886 | 326 | 252 | 34 | 17.3% | 13.4% | 1.8% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 123 | 18 | 200 | 895 | 155 | 120 | 16 | 17.3% | 13.4% | 1.8% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Blake Taylor (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.02 | 19.6% | 12.6% | 2.9% | — | 5.12 | 19.1% | 6.7% | 90 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .303 | 3.62 | 29.2% | 20.0% | 43 | -0.46 | 3.62 | 113 | 83 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.51 | 3.70 | 110 | 82 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .330 | 3.73 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.57 | 3.73 | 154 | 81 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 81 |
| Luke Westphal L 2028 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.68 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.4% | .321 | 4.72 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 79 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 78 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.60 | 17.1% | 15.7% | 3.6% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02 | 153 | 76 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 155 | 76 |
| Keith Hessler L 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.04 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 228 | 76 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.33 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .245 | 3.85 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.48 | 3.06 | 244 | 76 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.08 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 145 | 76 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 3.4% | .304 | 5.45 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 26 | +1.05 | 2.65 | 256 | 75 |
| Zack Britton L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.88 | 20.1% | 12.4% | 1.7% | .234 | 3.60 | 21.1% | 8.3% | 99 | -0.28 | 1.60 | 309 | 75 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 75 |
| Brandon Mann L 2028 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 74 |
| Brian Flynn L 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 277 | 73 |
| Bryan Harper L 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.65 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 133 | 72 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2024 · 5.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.04 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 118 | 72 |
| Adam Loewen L 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.84 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.5% | .287 | 3.62 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.22 | 2.96 | 176 | 72 |
| Brian Duensing L 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 3.76 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 137 | -0.70 | 2.63 | 198 | 71 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.