Blake Taylor — OGILVIE

Blake Taylor P Round Rock Express

Age 30 LHP 6'3" / 220 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118126vR 135

ERA5.28

FIP5.34

K%16.7%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%3.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2392.6

Whiff%

p1320.1%

p1012.2%

xwOBA vs

p390.324

SL-1.2

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	19	ROK MLE	GCL Mets	2	0	3	14	3	0	0	0%	1.5	21.4%	0.0%	21.4%	0.0%	6.00	1.29	—
2015	19	ROK RAW	GCL Mets	2	0	3	14	3	0	0	0%	1.5	21.4%	0.0%	21.4%	0.0%	6.00	1.10	—
2016	20	ROK MLE	Kingsport Mets	5	0	9	39	12	8	0	0%	1.7	30.8%	20.5%	10.3%	0.0%	4.15	3.10	—
2016	20	ROK RAW	Kingsport Mets	5	0	9	39	12	8	0	0%	1.7	30.8%	20.5%	10.3%	0.0%	4.15	3.10	—
2017	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	18	17	86	390	72	49	6	94%	4.8	13.7%	14.8%	-1.2%	2.0%	4.94	4.93	—
2017	21	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	18	17	86	390	72	49	6	94%	4.8	18.5%	12.6%	5.9%	1.5%	4.94	4.05	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	18	87	390	83	54	4	95%	4.6	16.7%	15.7%	1.0%	1.2%	5.40	4.33	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	18	87	390	83	54	4	95%	4.6	21.3%	13.8%	7.4%	1.0%	5.40	3.65	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	0	67	276	74	23	3	0%	1.7	21.4%	9.4%	12.0%	1.3%	2.16	3.18	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	40	0	67	276	74	23	3	0%	1.7	26.8%	8.3%	18.5%	1.1%	2.16	2.50	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	22	0	21	87	17	11	2	0%	0.9	19.5%	12.6%	6.9%	2.4%	2.18	4.35	+0.0
2020	24	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	22	0	21	87	17	11	2	0%	0.9	19.5%	12.6%	6.9%	2.3%	2.18	4.31	+0.1
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	46	203	44	20	7	0%	0.8	21.8%	10.6%	11.2%	3.3%	3.35	4.41	+0.1
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	46	203	44	20	7	0%	0.8	21.7%	9.9%	11.8%	3.4%	3.35	4.48	+0.0
2022	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	2	28	123	18	17	2	6%	0.9	12.0%	13.3%	-1.3%	1.4%	4.23	4.53	+0.0
2022	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	2	28	123	18	17	2	6%	0.9	14.6%	13.8%	0.8%	1.6%	4.23	4.58	-0.0
2023	27	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	35	0	37	168	25	22	2	0%	1.0	12.4%	11.8%	0.6%	1.5%	5.15	4.35	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	35	0	37	168	25	22	2	0%	1.0	12.4%	11.8%	0.6%	1.5%	5.15	4.35	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	35	0	37	168	25	22	2	0%	1.0	14.9%	13.1%	1.8%	1.2%	5.15	4.25	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	34	0	40	196	40	26	5	0%	1.2	16.9%	11.9%	5.0%	3.0%	5.80	4.84	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	34	0	40	196	40	26	5	0%	1.2	16.9%	11.9%	5.0%	3.0%	5.80	4.84	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	34	0	40	196	40	26	5	0%	1.2	20.4%	13.3%	7.1%	2.6%	5.80	4.66	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			92	0	79	350	67	41	9	0%	0.9	19.1%	11.7%	7.4%	2.6%	3.06	4.44	+0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	TEX	5	0	5	21	4	3	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	13.1%	3.6%	2.9%	5.28	5.34	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	TEX	51	0	54	227	38	30	7	0%	1.1	16.6%	13.1%	3.5%	3.2%	5.35	5.47	-0.5
2028	32	MLB MLE	TEX	47	0	50	210	34	28	7	0%	1.1	16.3%	13.2%	3.1%	3.4%	5.49	5.64	-0.6
2027	31	MLB CTX	TEX	19	0	20	84	14	11	3	0%	1.1	16.6%	13.1%	3.5%	3.2%	5.35	5.47	-0.2
2028	32	MLB CTX	TEX	26	0	27	114	19	15	4	0%	1.0	16.3%	13.2%	3.1%	3.4%	5.49	5.64	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		137	0	127	549	100	67	16	0%	0.9	18.2%	12.2%	5.9%	2.8%	3.95	4.67	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		216	0	200	868	158	106	25	0%	0.9	18.2%	12.2%	5.9%	2.8%	3.95	4.67	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		260	37	422	1886	322	245	35	14%	1.6	17.1%	13.0%	4.1%	1.8%	4.33	4.32	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	18	200	895	153	116	16	14%	1.6	17.1%	13.0%	4.1%	1.8%	4.33	4.32	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blake Taylor (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.34	16.7%	13.1%	2.9%	—	5.55	16.4%	3.3%	104	+0.21	—	—	—
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	75
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	75
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	74
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	74
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	73
Kevin Chapman L 2018 · 5.66 FIP	30	SU	5.66	17.1%	15.7%	3.7%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	153	73
Bryan Harper L 2018 · 4.63 FIP	28	SU	4.63	14.9%	13.9%	1.9%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	133	73
Brian Duensing L 2015 · 4.47 FIP	32	SU	4.47	11.5%	8.1%	2.4%	.252	3.76	20.2%	11.8%	137	-0.71	2.57	198	72
Aaron Brown L 2022 · 5.38 FIP	30	SU	5.38	21.3%	12.5%	4.5%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	269	70
Dan Jennings L 2017 · 4.32 FIP	30	SU	4.32	19.1%	9.0%	3.1%	.245	3.88	16.6%	8.5%	64	-0.44	3.11	244	69
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	69
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	69
Braulio Lara L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	28	SU	5.80	19.8%	17.8%	3.9%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	118	69
Ashur Tolliver L 2017 · 5.03 FIP	29	SU	5.03	13.8%	18.9%	1.3%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.49	134	68
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	66
Fabian Williamson L 2019 · 4.78 FIP	30	SU	4.78	20.5%	21.1%	1.3%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	154	65
Luis Avilán L 2019 · 4.51 FIP	30	SU	4.51	21.3%	9.9%	3.5%	.304	5.40	22.2%	12.2%	26	+0.89	2.62	256	63
Antonio Bastardo L 2016 · 4.43 FIP	30	SU	4.43	24.9%	9.8%	4.0%	.268	8.05	15.0%	-1.4%	20	+3.62	3.10	145	63
Rex Brothers L 2018 · 4.61 FIP	30	SU	4.61	23.5%	22.4%	1.2%	.301	4.24	32.8%	16.9%	99	-0.37	3.10	205	63
Jeff Beliveau L 2017 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	25.2%	11.3%	3.6%	.261	3.86	23.3%	8.9%	26	-0.54	3.19	137	62

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	16.5%	13.1%	1.22	5.37
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74