Blake Taylor
P
Round Rock Express
Age 30
LHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124133vR 142
ERA5.42
FIP5.49
K%17.3%
BB%14.6%
K-BB%2.7%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2392.6
Whiff%
p1320.1%
K%
p1012.2%
xwOBA vs
p390.324
SL-1.2
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | GCL Mets | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.4% | 0.0% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 1.29 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | GCL Mets | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.4% | 0.0% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | 5 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 30.8% | 20.5% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 3.10 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | 5 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 30.8% | 20.5% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 3.10 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 18 | 17 | 86 | 390 | 72 | 49 | 6 | 94% | 4.8 | 13.7% | 14.8% | -1.2% | 2.0% | 4.94 | 4.93 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 18 | 17 | 86 | 390 | 72 | 49 | 6 | 94% | 4.8 | 18.5% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 4.94 | 4.05 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 18 | 87 | 390 | 83 | 54 | 4 | 95% | 4.6 | 16.7% | 15.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 5.40 | 4.29 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 18 | 87 | 390 | 83 | 54 | 4 | 95% | 4.6 | 21.3% | 13.8% | 7.4% | 1.0% | 5.40 | 3.65 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 0 | 67 | 276 | 74 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 1.2% | 2.16 | 3.15 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 0 | 67 | 276 | 74 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.7 | 26.8% | 8.3% | 18.5% | 1.1% | 2.16 | 2.50 | — |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Houston Astros | 22 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 2.18 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Houston Astros | 22 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 2.18 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 46 | 203 | 44 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 0.8 | 21.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 3.35 | 4.26 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 46 | 203 | 44 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 0.8 | 21.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 3.35 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 2 | 28 | 123 | 18 | 17 | 2 | 6% | 0.9 | 12.0% | 13.3% | -1.3% | 1.3% | 4.23 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 2 | 28 | 123 | 18 | 17 | 2 | 6% | 0.9 | 14.6% | 13.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.23 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 35 | 0 | 37 | 168 | 25 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.1% | 13.8% | -0.7% | 1.7% | 5.15 | 4.64 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 35 | 0 | 37 | 168 | 25 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.9% | 13.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 5.15 | 4.25 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 34 | 0 | 40 | 196 | 40 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.0% | 13.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.80 | 5.15 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 34 | 0 | 40 | 196 | 40 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.4% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 5.80 | 4.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 42 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 14.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.42 | 5.49 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 39 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.49 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 47 | 0 | 50 | 210 | 35 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 14.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.62 | 5.77 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.49 | 5.61 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 19 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 14.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.62 | 5.77 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 137 | 0 | 127 | 549 | 101 | 70 | 16 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.4% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 4.00 | 4.72 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 216 | 0 | 200 | 868 | 160 | 111 | 25 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.4% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 4.00 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 260 | 37 | 422 | 1886 | 326 | 252 | 34 | 14% | 1.6 | 17.3% | 13.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 4.33 | 4.34 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 123 | 18 | 200 | 895 | 154 | 120 | 16 | 14% | 1.6 | 17.3% | 13.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 4.33 | 4.34 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Blake Taylor (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.49 | 17.3% | 14.6% | 3.0% | — | 5.69 | 17.0% | 2.6% | 104 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Keith Hessler L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 76 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 5.93 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.93 | 17.1% | 15.7% | 4.2% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 153 | 74 |
| Bryan Harper L 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.72 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 2.1% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 133 | 73 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.87 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% | .300 | 5.18 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.31 | 3.50 | 360 | 72 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 72 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 71 |
| Braulio Lara L 2024 · 5.86 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.86 | 19.8% | 17.8% | 4.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 118 | 71 |
| Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.4% | 12.4% | 3.4% | .299 | 4.70 | 22.5% | 11.9% | 154 | +0.08 | 4.40 | 713 | 70 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.05 | 13.8% | 18.9% | 1.3% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 134 | 70 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.22 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 269 | 70 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 70 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.37 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.38 | 3.09 | 244 | 69 |
| Brian Duensing L 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 3.70 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 137 | -0.76 | 2.59 | 198 | 68 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.85 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 155 | 68 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.75 | 20.5% | 21.1% | 1.3% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 154 | 67 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 67 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2025 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.14 | 17.5% | 11.1% | 3.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 299 | 66 |
| Rex Brothers L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.67 | 23.5% | 22.4% | 1.3% | .301 | 4.11 | 32.8% | 16.9% | 99 | -0.56 | 3.10 | 205 | 66 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.52 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .304 | 5.19 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 26 | +0.67 | 2.68 | 256 | 64 |
| Chris Nunn L 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.61 | 24.0% | 19.2% | 2.0% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 180 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 17.1% | 14.5% | 1.23 | 5.51 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |