Conor Essenburg — OGILVIE

Conor EssenburgOF Augusta GreenJackets

Age 19 R/L 6'2" / 200 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION435 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP301

ISO166

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$66M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Arb-1	$5M	+1.7	$8M	+$6M
2034	Arb-2	$8M	+1.6	$7M	+$3M
2035	Arb-3	$12M	+1.5	$6M	+$1M
Totals		$28M		$47M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	19	A MLE	ATL	—	435	370	73	15	2	14	55	178	5	11	3	197	309	362	671	165	322	41	13	299	88	-6	+1	+0	-3	+9	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	ATL	—	20	17	3	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	1	176	300	176	476		300	35	15	240	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	ATL	—	279	220	63	13	3	14	55	88	1	6	2	286	431	564	995	277	405	32	20	429	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A+ RAW	ATL	—	136	102	24	7	0	3	28	32	4	5	0	235	418	392	810	157	304	24	21	370	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	ATL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		301	33	11	310	96	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	ATL	—	444	378	74	15	2	14	56	181	5	11	3	196	308	357	665	161	319	41	13	299	88	-6	+1	-0	-3	+10	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	470	408	89	17	2	16	54	151	5	8	2	218	317	387	704	169	303	32	11	318	102	+1	+1	-0	-3	+10	0.9
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	68%	507	439	100	19	3	18	57	157	6	9	2	228	325	408	732	180	303	31	11	324	105	+3	+1	-0	-3	+11	1.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	ATL	76%	548	475	110	21	3	20	62	165	6	10	2	232	328	415	743	183	303	30	11	328	108	+5	+1	-0	-3	+12	1.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	ATL	80%	592	513	119	23	3	22	67	176	7	11	3	232	329	417	746	185	303	30	11	331	110	+7	+1	-0	-4	+13	1.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	ATL	79%	634	550	129	25	3	24	72	187	7	12	3	235	331	422	753	187	304	29	11	333	112	+9	+1	-0	-4	+14	2.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	ATL	79%	639	553	129	25	3	24	73	188	8	12	3	233	331	420	751	186	304	29	11	335	113	+10	+1	-0	-4	+14	2.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	ATL	79%	642	555	130	25	3	24	74	189	8	12	3	234	333	420	753	186	304	29	12	335	113	+10	+1	-0	-4	+14	2.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	ATL	78%	639	552	129	25	3	24	74	188	8	12	3	234	333	420	753	187	304	29	12	335	113	+10	+1	-0	-4	+14	2.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	ATL	77%	633	547	127	24	3	24	74	188	7	11	3	232	331	419	750	186	303	30	12	334	112	+9	+1	-1	-4	+14	1.9
2036	29	MLB MLE	ATL	75%	621	536	123	23	3	23	73	185	7	11	3	229	330	412	742	183	302	30	12	332	111	+8	+1	-2	-4	+13	1.7
2037	30	MLB MLE	ATL	80%	610	526	120	23	3	22	72	183	7	10	3	228	329	409	738	181	301	30	12	329	109	+7	+1	-3	-4	+13	1.5
2038	31	MLB MLE	ATL	84%	595	513	116	22	3	21	70	181	7	10	2	226	327	404	731	177	298	30	12	325	106	+4	+1	-3	-4	+13	1.2
2039	32	MLB MLE	ATL	86%	577	499	109	20	2	20	67	178	6	9	2	218	318	387	705	168	294	31	12	320	102	+2	+1	-4	-3	+13	0.8
2040	33	MLB MLE	ATL	88%	547	472	101	18	2	18	64	171	6	8	2	214	315	375	690	161	290	31	12	313	98	-1	+1	-5	-3	+12	0.3
2041	34	MLB MLE	ATL	84%	499	433	90	16	2	16	58	159	5	7	2	208	308	365	673	157	283	32	12	304	92	-5	+1	-5	-3	+11	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	227	197	43	8	1	8	26	73	2	4	1	218	316	391	706	173	303	32	11	311	102	+0	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	68%	346	300	68	13	2	12	39	107	4	6	2	227	324	403	727	177	303	31	11	316	105	+2	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.8
2029	22	MLB CTX	ATL	76%	418	363	83	16	2	15	47	126	5	8	2	229	325	408	733	179	303	30	11	320	108	+4	+1	-0	-3	+9	1.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	ATL	80%	471	410	94	18	2	17	53	140	5	9	2	229	325	407	732	178	303	30	11	322	110	+6	+1	-0	-3	+10	1.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	ATL	79%	504	436	102	19	3	19	57	149	6	9	2	234	331	422	753	188	304	30	11	325	112	+7	+1	-0	-3	+11	1.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	ATL	79%	507	438	103	20	3	19	58	149	6	9	2	235	333	425	757	189	304	29	11	326	113	+8	+1	-0	-3	+11	1.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	ATL	79%	509	440	103	20	3	19	58	150	6	9	2	234	331	423	754	189	304	29	11	326	113	+8	+1	-0	-3	+11	1.7
2034	27	MLB CTX	ATL	78%	497	430	101	19	3	19	58	147	6	9	2	235	334	426	760	191	304	30	12	326	113	+8	+1	-0	-3	+11	1.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	ATL	77%	487	421	97	19	2	18	57	144	6	9	2	230	331	413	744	183	303	30	12	325	112	+7	+1	-1	-3	+11	1.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	ATL	75%	464	402	92	18	2	17	54	138	5	8	2	229	328	410	738	182	302	30	12	324	111	+6	+1	-1	-3	+10	1.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	ATL	80%	489	423	96	18	2	18	57	147	6	8	2	227	327	407	734	180	301	30	12	321	109	+5	+1	-2	-3	+11	1.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	ATL	84%	499	432	97	18	2	18	58	152	6	8	2	225	325	400	725	176	298	30	12	317	106	+4	+1	-3	-3	+11	1.0
2039	32	MLB CTX	ATL	86%	499	432	95	18	2	17	58	154	6	8	2	220	321	389	709	169	294	31	12	311	102	+1	+1	-3	-3	+11	0.7
2040	33	MLB CTX	ATL	88%	483	419	89	16	2	16	56	151	5	7	2	212	312	375	687	162	290	31	12	305	98	-1	+1	-4	-3	+10	0.3
2041	34	MLB CTX	ATL	84%	418	363	75	13	2	13	48	133	4	6	1	207	306	361	667	154	283	32	11	296	92	-4	+1	-4	-3	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6818	5906	1338	253	33	245	784	2060	78	117	28	227	325	405	730	178	301	30	11	319	108	+61	+12	-21	-41	+148	16.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	127	24	3	23	75	196	7	11	3	226	324	401	725	176	300	30	12	319	108	+6	+1	-2	-4	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	8762	7579	1722	326	41	316	1012	2649	100	152	38	227	326	406	732	179	302	30	12	327	108	+78	+15	-26	-53	+190	21.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	127	24	3	23	75	197	7	11	3	226	324	402	726	176	301	30	12	327	108	+6	+1	-2	-4	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Gordonlast yr '20 AS×3GG×7SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,250 PA	10.9	7,250	190	113	257	338	410	-58	+22	27.4	26.4
/162	664	17	10	-5.3	+2.0	2.5	pk7: 25
#2Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	7.7	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
/162	664	20	11	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#3Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	8.0	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
/162	664	24	18	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#4Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	9.9	6,603	318	65	245	314	469	-71	-54	19.6	19.5
/162	664	32	7	-7.1	-5.4	2.0	pk7: 19
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	10.8	7,138	258	124	229	323	409	-43	+0	22.6	18.0
/162	664	24	12	-4.0	+0.0	2.1	pk7: 13
#5Brad Wilkersonlast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	122	53	247	350	440	-35	-8	15.8	16.3
/162	664	22	9	-6.2	-1.4	2.8	pk7: 17
#6Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	6.1	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
/162	664	27	6	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Conor Essenburg (OGILVIE)	19	25→42	37→51	51→49	50	211/310/375	164	301	10	7	34%	12%	96	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Heriberto Hernández 2019 · A	19	43→48	54→60	46→50	55	223/325/414	191	274	20	7	26%	12%	109	+2.0	222/302/389	167	323	18	6	34%	9%	95	+1.0	219/301/418	199	277	26	10	30%	9%	100	+1.0
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
●Junior Caminero 2022 · A	19	43→53	50→65	49→45	44	225/281/373	148	272	18	5	25%	7%	84	+0.1	251/299/413	162	303	21	7	24%	6%	99	+1.3	258/322/495	237	270	35	4	20%	8%	121	+2.8
✕Luis Torres 2023 · A	19	51	50→60	45→50	41	254/302/415	161	312	16	9	24%	5%	101	+1.4	215/280/315	100	345	8	5	37%	7%	70	-0.9	183/261/256	73	332	4	0	42%	8%	46	-0.6
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	42→52	50→60	51→55	37	215/262/367	152	302	17	12	34%	6%	75	-0.5	250/295/412	162	311	18	23	25%	6%	97	+1.1	274/325/460	186	323	22	21	22%	7%	115	+2.3
✕Marco Luciano 2021 · A	19	46→47	50	46→45	45	227/301/381	153	314	17	10	32%	8%	93	+0.8	206/269/350	144	298	17	5	35%	7%	74	-0.5	203/289/345	142	291	18	7	34%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Coby Mayo 2022 · A	20	48→45	49→60	55→45	47	241/312/393	152	305	17	13	26%	8%	99	+1.3	222/293/388	166	300	19	6	31%	8%	92	+0.7	216/298/397	181	285	21	4	30%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A	20	45→53	48→50	51→55	43	224/286/370	146	300	16	14	30%	7%	84	+0.2	230/291/358	128	299	14	18	27%	7%	84	+0.1	242/290/375	133	303	14	21	24%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2015 · A	19	45→40	49→50	53→50	47	222/300/380	158	294	15	8	28%	9%	92	+0.7	187/271/315	128	269	12	8	33%	10%	67	-1.1	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2011 · A	19	44→48	49→55	45→30	40	227/269/372	145	280	17	4	26%	5%	78	-0.3	207/243/347	140	252	18	3	26%	4%	63	-1.4	238/283/415	178	287	23	1	26%	4%	92	+0.5
●Gary Sánchez 2012 · A	19	43→50	50→65	45	38	219/270/369	150	311	18	4	35%	6%	79	-0.2	226/275/362	136	297	16	6	28%	6%	78	-0.3	240/315/462	222	266	31	4	23%	8%	115	+1.9
✕Roan Salas 2010 · A	20	46	50→65	46→40	45	236/285/393	157	263	17	5	18%	6%	89	+0.5	244/297/371	127	282	12	5	17%	6%	88	+0.5	268/322/383	115	301	9	3	14%	6%	99	+0.5
●Wil Myers 2010 · A	19	49→52	48→60	53→55	41	242/292/391	149	318	15	7	28%	6%	91	+0.7	240/308/385	145	311	15	8	26%	8%	96	+1.0	249/328/454	205	308	25	22	26%	10%	116	+2.4
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	46→45	52→55	43	221/287/358	137	309	13	9	31%	8%	82	+0.0	212/317/339	127	293	12	16	29%	11%	90	+0.6	205/315/325	120	278	12	21	28%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	87	+0.4	237/302/348	111	297	9	3	22%	7%	85	+0.2	232/336/343	111	304	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.6
●Travis Snider 2007 · A	19	47→53	50→55	47→50	43	237/292/389	152	313	18	7	30%	7%	91	+0.7	242/299/400	158	345	17	3	33%	7%	96	+1.0	245/307/425	181	322	22	5	30%	8%	102	+1.3
✕Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	43→53	51→55	45→50	48	223/303/383	161	292	19	5	30%	10%	95	+0.9	204/301/365	161	275	19	9	31%	11%	90	+0.6	258/336/412	153	316	16	5	22%	10%	109	+1.5
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	42→52	47→50	45→40	47	215/281/345	130	270	15	5	26%	8%	77	-0.3	241/299/370	129	293	14	4	22%	7%	89	+0.5	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
●Kyle Blanks 2008 · A	21	46→56	51→55	50→45	42	236/301/399	162	298	19	7	27%	6%	97	+1.1	250/323/412	162	315	19	5	26%	8%	108	+1.9	249/331/412	163	318	19	3	26%	8%	108	+1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps