Thomas Saggese — OGILVIE

Thomas Saggese2B Memphis Redbirds

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs MLB Svc 0.837 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION199 act + 132 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 5960vR 62

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .281 / .337

PA132

HR3

K%27

BB%7

BABIP287

ISO115

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

669.3%

xwOBA

220.275

POWER40

Barrel%

346.1

Avg EV

5489.4

Bat Spd

5371.7

EYE40

Chase%

5530.8%

SPEED60

Sprint

6027.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 373 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

305

—

wRC+

◀L

wOBA

275

269

—

ISO

076

074

—

BABIP

370

338

◀L

29.4%

27.9%

▶R

BB%

1.5%

5.6%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 0.837 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.3M		$-4M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	288	258	48	10	2	8	26	112	3	11	3	186	268	333	602	147	288	39	9	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	288	242	62	14	3	10	42	85	3	11	3	256	373	463	836	207	351	30	15	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	2 teams	—	441	411	101	22	4	10	20	128	4	12	3	246	287	392	679	146	327	29	5	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	2 teams	—	441	401	125	25	4	15	30	97	4	12	3	312	366	506	872	195	374	22	7	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	2 teams	—	630	572	143	26	6	20	35	190	13	12	2	250	308	421	729	171	332	30	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	2 teams	—	630	555	170	34	6	26	52	144	13	12	2	306	379	530	909	223	365	23	8	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	3 teams	—	662	615	127	26	2	18	26	200	16	12	8	207	257	343	600	137	272	30	4	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	3 teams	—	662	592	156	32	3	23	49	151	16	12	8	264	336	444	781	181	315	23	7	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB	2 teams	—	484	444	115	21	0	7	34	143	2	8	4	259	315	354	668	95	364	30	7	298	86	-8	+0	+1	+2	+14	0.9
2025	23	MLB	2 teams	—	484	439	123	23	0	7	39	128	2	8	4	280	342	380	722	100	378	26	8	324	106	+3	+0	+1	+2	+14	2.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	STL	—	199	181	35	6	1	4	14	54	0	3	2	193	251	304	555	110	246	27	7	242	43	-13	-0	+1	-2	+6	-0.8
YTD	24	AAA	STL	—	199	177	37	7	1	4	18	49	0	3	2	209	282	328	610	119	260	25	9	272	66	-8	-0	+1	-2	+6	-0.3
ROS	24	AAA	STL	100%	132	121	27	5	0	3	9	36	1	2	1	222	281	337	618	115	285	27	7	272	66	-5	+0	-2	+0	+4	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	STL	100%	133	122	27	5	0	3	9	36	1	2	1	221	280	336	616	115	284	27	7	267	63	-6	+0	-2	+0	+4	-0.3
FULL	24	AAA	STL	—	332	303	62	11	1	7	23	90	1	5	3	205	263	317	580	112	262	27	7	252	51	-18	-0	-0	-2	+9	-1.1
TOT	24	AAA	STL	—	331	302	62	11	1	7	23	90	1	5	3	205	263	317	580	112	262	27	7	254	53	-18	-0	-0	-2	+9	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	STL	65%	396	365	80	15	1	8	26	107	2	6	2	219	275	332	606	112	285	27	7	274	68	-14	+0	-5	+1	+11	-0.6
2027	25	MLB	STL	65%	257	236	51	9	1	5	17	70	2	4	1	216	275	326	601	110	284	27	7	269	64	-10	+0	-3	+1	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	737	682	159	33	1	11	44	203	5	9	2	233	285	333	617	100	314	28	6	275	69	-26	+1	-4	+5	+21	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	141	29	1	10	39	179	4	8	2	235	286	336	622	101	315	28	6	275	69	-23	+1	-3	+5	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	3033	2786	641	125	15	74	176	916	41	63	23	230	286	365	651	135	311	30	6	285	76	-82	+3	-5	+11	+86	1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	137	27	3	16	38	196	9	13	5	229	286	365	651	136	310	30	6	285	76	-17	+1	-1	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	288	242	62	14	3	10	42	85	3	11	3	256	373	463	836	207	351	30	15	371	142	+14	+1	—	—	+8	2.3
2022	20	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	22	21	8	3	2	1	1	3	0	1	0	381	409	857	1.266	476	412	14	5	530	264	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	20	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	419	380	117	22	2	14	29	94	4	11	3	308	363	487	850	179	372	22	7	371	142	+20	+1	—	—	+12	3.3
2023	21	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	63	58	12	5	0	1	3	14	2	1	0	207	270	345	615	138	256	22	5	278	71	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2023	21	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	567	497	158	29	6	25	49	130	11	11	2	318	391	551	943	233	379	23	9	405	168	+44	+1	—	—	+16	6.3
2024	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	52	49	10	2	0	1	2	14	1	0	0	204	250	306	556	102	265	27	4	252	51	-3	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.1
2024	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	528	479	121	23	3	20	31	122	13	9	4	253	315	438	754	186	296	23	6	332	112	+7	+0	—	—	+15	2.3
2024	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	82	64	25	7	0	2	16	15	2	3	4	391	524	594	1.118	203	489	18	20	491	234	+12	-1	—	—	+2	1.4
2025	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	295	275	71	17	0	2	16	83	1	3	0	258	301	342	643	84	359	28	5	288	79	-7	+1	+1	+2	+8	0.4
2025	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	189	164	52	6	0	5	23	45	1	5	4	317	404	445	849	128	409	24	12	381	150	+11	-1	—	—	+5	1.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	347	324	81	19	0	3	18	97	2	3	0	250	294	336	630	86	345	28	5	283	74	-10	+1	+1	+4	+10	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	839	13	10	232	280	334	+3	+6	-0.1	-0.1
	/162	664	10	8	232	280	334	+2.4	+4.4	-0.1	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Thomas Saggese (OGILVIE)	24	45	40	60	40	205/263/317	112	262	7	5	27%	7%	53	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Goeddel 2017 · MLB	24	46→50	44→45	54→55	45	225/284/343	118	286	11	16	25%	7%	74	-0.1	205/268/296	91	276	6	12	27%	6%	56	-1.3	191/257/268	76	269	4	10	28%	6%	40	-1.3
✕Bryan Lavastida 2023 · MLB	24	42→44	45	50→55	44	212/277/334	122	277	12	12	27%	7%	69	-0.4	218/287/339	121	283	12	21	26%	7%	75	-0.0	219/292/337	118	281	12	27	25%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Marco Guzman 2019 · AAA	24	47	44→45	51→50	38	232/267/350	117	302	11	12	27%	4%	69	-0.4	229/272/354	125	315	11	11	29%	5%	72	-0.2	228/269/355	126	318	8	9	30%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Corey Toups 2017 · AA	24	46→49	44→45	56→50	42	225/284/353	127	299	10	17	27%	6%	77	+0.1	204/263/312	108	308	10	15	35%	6%	58	-1.2	184/246/278	94	290	9	16	37%	6%	39	-1.5
✕Francisco Cordoba 2008 · AAA	24	44→53	43→45	50→40	39	216/265/325	109	285	10	11	27%	5%	62	-0.9	224/289/340	116	278	12	8	23%	8%	76	+0.1	245/293/369	124	299	16	1	23%	5%	82	+0.3
✕Ryan Khoury 2007 · AAA	23	46→49	41→45	52→45	41	224/272/322	98	299	9	13	27%	6%	63	-0.8	232/302/346	114	304	10	5	25%	8%	83	+0.6	222/300/324	103	298	8	3	26%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Hudson Haskin 2023 · AA	24	46→44	44→40	49→50	42	223/302/343	120	303	11	11	28%	6%	83	+0.6	215/302/318	103	314	9	18	32%	8%	77	+0.1	198/295/280	82	307	7	24	34%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Michael Almanzar 2015 · AAA	24	46→48	46→50	49→45	40	231/279/361	131	287	14	9	25%	5%	77	+0.1	207/245/312	105	266	11	3	26%	4%	50	-1.8	200/234/300	99	256	11	1	26%	3%	39	-1.9
✕Erik González 2016 · AAA	24	49→55	42→45	53→50	38	238/268/348	111	302	9	14	24%	4%	67	-0.5	243/269/357	114	323	10	13	27%	3%	71	-0.3	249/272/365	116	335	10	12	28%	3%	71	-0.2
✕Yu Chang 2021 · MLB	25	44→46	46→50	48→45	42	219/276/347	128	296	13	7	30%	7%	72	-0.2	223/278/382	159	290	19	7	29%	6%	82	+0.5	212/267/370	158	269	20	6	29%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Christopher Bostick 2017 · AAA	24	42→52	42→45	52→55	38	209/254/319	110	281	9	15	28%	5%	55	-1.4	237/287/350	113	309	9	9	25%	6%	77	+0.1	242/294/361	119	311	10	7	24%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2023 · AAA	24	48	40	50→45	43	232/275/316	84	280	8	9	20%	5%	63	-0.9	225/289/330	105	253	11	7	15%	7%	73	-0.1	215/285/319	104	236	12	5	15%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Alberth Martinez 2014 · AAA	23	42→51	46→50	54→45	44	211/270/350	139	260	12	10	24%	6%	70	-0.3	234/283/362	128	285	14	6	22%	6%	79	+0.3	234/279/361	127	284	14	5	23%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Jake Lemmerman 2013 · AA	24	46→50	42→45	50→45	45	221/296/333	112	299	9	8	28%	8%	78	+0.2	196/271/298	102	276	9	9	30%	8%	58	-1.2	174/252/267	93	244	10	9	31%	9%	39	-1.3
✕Nick Allen 2023 · MLB	24	44→54	41→40	47→50	46	217/271/312	96	266	9	13	22%	6%	60	-1.0	237/296/325	88	282	8	16	18%	7%	74	-0.1	242/303/316	74	289	6	16	17%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Danny Worth 2009 · AA	23	47→52	42→45	56→50	45	228/284/339	111	293	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.2	218/268/306	88	291	6	13	26%	6%	57	-1.2	225/289/335	110	294	10	18	25%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Jacob Amaya 2023 · AAA	24	41→46	47→45	49→45	47	210/280/339	129	268	15	6	27%	8%	72	-0.2	210/275/323	113	274	12	8	26%	8%	66	-0.6	199/265/299	100	261	11	8	27%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Juan Fernandez 2023 · AAA	24	51→57	39→40	50	43	241/297/322	81	311	7	10	24%	6%	74	-0.1	241/303/348	107	291	11	11	20%	7%	84	+0.6	239/308/354	115	275	14	11	18%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Gilberto Celestino 2023 · MLB	24	48→53	40→45	48→55	48	228/297/323	94	294	8	8	24%	8%	75	-0.0	235/307/327	92	305	8	12	24%	9%	80	+0.4	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Dalton Shuffield 2023 · AAA	24	46	49→45	55	38	227/279/377	150	336	17	14	36%	6%	81	+0.4	207/273/327	120	325	13	19	37%	8%	66	-0.6	188/260/302	114	294	12	23	38%	8%	51	-0.7