Mikey Cascino

P ACL Angels

Age 20 RHP ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.7 · 2031

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1150ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	19	MIX2 levels	13	12	52	7.14	2.98	25.9%	9.6%	—	K 16.9% · BB 12.1% · FIP 4.50
2027PROJ	20	MLBLAA	—	—	0	4.87	4.87	20.2%	11.6%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBLAA	4	4	20	4.74	4.68	21.0%	10.7%	0.2
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBLAA	6	6	31	4.55	4.45	22.1%	9.8%	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 1.3, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 92%

CompsJohn Klein (age 21) · Michael Dominguez (age 20) · Gabe Bierman (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%20.2%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%8.6%

Proj IP29

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$25M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	12	52	251	65	24	4	92%	4.0	16.9%	12.1%	4.8%	2.4%	7.14	4.50	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	12	52	251	65	24	4	92%	4.0	16.9%	12.1%	4.8%	2.4%	7.14	4.50	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	12	52	251	65	24	4	92%	4.0	25.9%	9.6%	16.3%	1.6%	7.14	2.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	LAA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.2%	11.6%	8.6%	3.0%	4.87	4.87	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	LAA	9	9	42	175	37	19	5	100%	4.6	21.0%	10.7%	10.4%	2.9%	4.71	4.65	+0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	LAA	8	8	43	180	40	18	5	100%	5.3	22.1%	9.8%	12.3%	2.9%	4.52	4.42	+0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	LAA	8	8	43	183	42	17	5	100%	5.4	22.9%	9.2%	13.7%	2.8%	4.36	4.26	+0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	LAA	8	8	43	183	43	16	5	100%	5.4	23.4%	8.9%	14.6%	2.8%	4.24	4.15	+0.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	LAA	7	7	42	179	43	16	5	100%	6.1	23.8%	8.7%	15.2%	2.8%	4.15	4.09	+0.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	LAA	7	7	43	182	44	16	5	100%	6.1	24.0%	8.6%	15.4%	2.8%	4.10	4.07	+0.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	LAA	7	7	42	177	42	15	5	100%	6.0	24.0%	8.7%	15.3%	2.8%	4.10	4.10	+0.6
2028	21	MLB CTX	LAA	4	4	20	84	18	9	3	100%	5.0	21.0%	10.7%	10.4%	3.0%	4.74	4.68	+0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	LAA	6	6	31	131	29	13	4	100%	5.2	22.1%	9.8%	12.3%	2.9%	4.55	4.45	+0.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	LAA	7	7	37	156	36	14	4	100%	5.3	22.9%	9.2%	13.7%	2.9%	4.39	4.29	+0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	LAA	7	7	39	165	39	15	5	100%	5.6	23.4%	8.9%	14.6%	2.8%	4.27	4.18	+0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	LAA	7	7	39	165	39	14	5	100%	5.6	23.8%	8.7%	15.2%	2.8%	4.18	4.12	+0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	LAA	7	7	40	169	41	15	5	100%	5.7	24.0%	8.6%	15.4%	2.8%	4.13	4.10	+0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	LAA	7	7	40	169	41	15	5	100%	5.7	24.0%	8.7%	15.3%	2.9%	4.13	4.13	+0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		44	44	246	1037	241	94	30	100%	5.6	23.2%	9.1%	14.1%	2.9%	4.30	3.86	+4.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	196	77	24	100%	5.6	23.2%	9.1%	14.1%	2.9%	4.30	3.86	+3.7
Career	—	MLE		13	12	52	251	42	30	6	92%	4.0	16.9%	12.1%	4.8%	2.4%	7.14	4.50	+4.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	46	200	972	164	117	23	92%	4.0	16.9%	12.1%	4.8%	2.4%	7.14	4.50	+2.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Angels · 48 IPFIP 3.15 → 4.50 (+1.34)K% 24.8% → 16.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	24.79%	—	×0.680	16.86%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.66%	—	×1.250	12.08%
HR / BF /BF	1.68%	÷1.000	×1.400	2.35%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.15 → 4.50, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mikey Cascino (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	20.2%	11.6%	3.0%	—	4.44	22.0%	12.1%	128	-0.43	—	—	—
John Klein R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	21	SP	4.47	17.4%	11.4%	2.5%	.287	4.18	19.6%	9.9%	293	-0.29	3.19	346	86
Michael Dominguez R 2021 · 4.09 FIP	20	SP	4.09	17.9%	11.1%	2.0%	.289	5.72	20.1%	5.0%	280	+1.63	3.82	383	86
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	86
Logan Gragg R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	20	SP	4.14	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.343	5.20	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.06	4.14	412	86
Chih-Jung Liu R 2021 · 4.41 FIP	22	SP	4.41	18.8%	10.5%	2.9%	.331	6.08	21.6%	9.0%	233	+1.67	4.41	283	85
Alec Kisena R 2015 · 4.01 FIP	19	SP	4.01	17.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	248	85
Christian Roa R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	22	SP	4.94	19.6%	12.4%	3.5%	.321	4.90	22.5%	6.9%	260	-0.04	4.14	414	85
José López R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	19.1%	9.9%	2.3%	.329	3.77	17.9%	9.9%	436	-0.27	3.12	543	84
Adrian Heredia R 2024 · 3.77 FIP	19	SP	3.77	21.6%	12.8%	1.6%	.300	5.38	14.9%	1.8%	104	+1.61	3.34	149	84
Jairo Garcia R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	20	SP-	4.47	16.4%	11.3%	2.4%	.298	5.25	10.1%	-1.9%	96	+0.78	3.88	148	82
TJ Shook R 2021 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP	4.90	21.7%	13.8%	3.4%	.311	4.98	20.7%	10.3%	296	+0.08	3.35	452	82
Chad Patrick R 2022 · 3.86 FIP	23	SP	3.86	20.3%	9.9%	2.2%	.315	4.19	22.1%	14.2%	422	+0.33	3.69	570	82
Silvano Hechavarria R 2024 · 4.05 FIP	21	SP	4.05	20.0%	10.3%	2.4%	.212	5.06	15.6%	5.4%	169	+1.01	3.90	218	81
Tyler Schlaffer R 2021 · 5.17 FIP	20	SP	5.17	16.1%	10.7%	3.8%	.344	5.23	17.2%	4.5%	154	+0.06	3.79	399	81
Eury Rosado R 2021 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP	3.83	17.2%	9.2%	1.9%	.231	6.00	19.2%	5.1%	55	+2.17	3.83	109	81
Randry De Leon R 2024 · 4.49 FIP	19	SP	4.49	18.0%	11.5%	2.6%	.284	5.01	18.6%	1.6%	80	+0.52	4.37	153	81
Curtis Taylor R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	22	SP	3.95	19.3%	9.9%	2.2%	.305	3.40	23.5%	13.7%	96	-0.55	2.58	408	81
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	81
Trevor Harrison R 2024 · 4.03 FIP	18	SP	4.03	21.0%	10.6%	2.5%	.331	4.94	19.7%	7.0%	205	+0.91	3.79	277	81
Darlin Saladin R 2023 · 4.98 FIP	20	SP	4.98	16.2%	13.3%	2.8%	.280	3.79	19.3%	8.0%	274	-1.19	2.91	407	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	41	22.8%	9.4%	1.10	4.36
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Jacob Barnes ('25)	1.7	48	22.0%	9.2%	1.15	4.79
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16
Tony Fossas ('88-'99, 2 WAR*)	2.1	42	21.9%*	9.3%*	0.99*	3.88*
Ed Vosberg ('86-'02, 1 WAR*)	1.2	47	21.0%*	9.6%*	0.86*	4.06*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*