Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 20 | 0 | 38 | 165 | 31 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 12.8% | 11.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 4.03 | 3.46 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | 20 | 0 | 38 | 165 | 31 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 4.03 | 2.65 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 12 | 12 | 48 | 212 | 51 | 26 | 0 | 100% | 4.0 | 16.4% | 15.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 3.59 | 3.66 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 12 | 12 | 48 | 212 | 51 | 26 | 0 | 100% | 4.0 | 24.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 3.59 | 2.60 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 11 | 49 | 207 | 50 | 23 | 4 | 85% | 3.8 | 16.2% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.10 | 4.98 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 11 | 49 | 207 | 50 | 23 | 4 | 85% | 3.8 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 1.9% | 3.10 | 3.53 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 123 | 489 | 134 | 33 | 4 | 91% | 5.3 | 20.7% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 1.0% | 2.71 | 2.91 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 123 | 489 | 134 | 33 | 4 | 91% | 5.3 | 27.4% | 6.7% | 20.7% | 0.8% | 2.71 | 2.15 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 26 | 13 | 95 | 409 | 81 | 47 | 8 | 50% | 3.6 | 15.2% | 13.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.85 | 5.36 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 26 | 13 | 95 | 409 | 81 | 47 | 8 | 50% | 3.6 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 4.85 | 3.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 26 | 0 | 37 | 174 | 47 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.9% | 15.8% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 6.27 | 4.01 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | STL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 45 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 13.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.39 | 5.39 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | STL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 13.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.39 | 5.39 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | STL | — | — | 106 | 465 | 92 | 63 | 10 | — | — | 19.9% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 5.70 | 4.91 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | STL | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 15.6% | 13.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.39 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | STL | 67 | 0 | 71 | 298 | 51 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.19 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | STL | 68 | 0 | 72 | 302 | 55 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 5.04 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | STL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 23 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.19 | 5.12 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | STL | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 5.04 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 76 | 0 | 80 | 338 | 60 | 40 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 5.10 | 4.66 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 150 | 100 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 5.10 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 120 | 57 | 390 | 1656 | 291 | 199 | 27 | 48% | 3.2 | 17.6% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 3.85 | 4.04 | +6.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 29 | 200 | 849 | 149 | 102 | 14 | 48% | 3.3 | 17.6% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 3.85 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Darlin Saladin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.39 | 15.6% | 13.0% | 2.9% | — | 5.05 | 17.7% | 5.9% | 142 | -0.34 | — | — | — |
| Anyelo Gómez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.85 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 2.69 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 68 | -2.16 | 2.69 | 145 | 89 |
| Cooper Adams R 2027 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.35 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .275 | 3.92 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 118 | -1.43 | 2.99 | 197 | 86 |
| Axel Rios R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.57 | 13.1% | 13.5% | 1.6% | .333 | 4.01 | 15.2% | 3.2% | 97 | -0.56 | 3.45 | 153 | 86 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.40 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.82 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 145 | -0.58 | 2.52 | 275 | 85 |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 85 |
| Houston Roth R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.58 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .263 | 4.63 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 228 | +0.05 | 3.57 | 389 | 85 |
| Chance Huff R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.78 | 11.8% | 11.4% | 4.1% | .312 | 5.14 | 15.7% | -0.0% | 151 | -0.64 | 4.35 | 235 | 85 |
| Cade Winquest R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.36 | 17.9% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .299 | 3.91 | 20.0% | 9.6% | 158 | -0.45 | 3.34 | 236 | 84 |
| Dawson Netz R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 84 |
| Jacob Cravey R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.13 | 15.7% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 7.57 | 11.0% | -7.2% | 28 | +2.44 | 5.13 | 204 | 84 |
| Grant Ford R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 83 |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 83 |
| Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.91 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .354 | 3.46 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 89 | -1.45 | 3.06 | 165 | 83 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 83 |
| Dylan Cumming R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.25 | 16.0% | 10.7% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.09 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 274 | -0.16 | 3.69 | 366 | 82 |
| Matt Marsh R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.87 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.34 | 3.13 | 143 | 82 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2028 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 82 |
| Daniel Blair R 2027 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.20 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .284 | 4.38 | 17.0% | 7.8% | 78 | +0.18 | 4.20 | 171 | 81 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2029 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 81 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 17.0% | 12.2% | 1.11 | 5.20 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |