Curtis Taylor — OGILVIE

Curtis Taylor P Memphis Redbirds

Age 31 RHP 6'6" / 235 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%17.1%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%8.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	22	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	13	13	62	261	68	22	4	100%	4.8	19.3%	9.9%	9.3%	2.2%	3.32	3.95	—
2017	22	A RAW	Kane County Cougars	13	13	62	261	68	22	4	100%	4.8	26.1%	8.4%	17.6%	1.5%	3.32	2.81	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	4	78	312	97	29	6	11%	2.1	24.9%	10.3%	14.6%	2.3%	2.54	3.59	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	4	78	312	97	29	6	11%	2.1	31.1%	9.3%	21.8%	1.9%	2.54	2.73	—
2019	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	15	1	18	76	16	5	0	7%	1.2	17.1%	7.2%	9.8%	0.0%	3.06	2.58	—
2019	24	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	15	1	18	76	16	5	0	7%	1.2	21.1%	6.6%	14.5%	0.0%	3.06	2.14	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	1	35	158	41	16	5	3%	1.2	21.7%	10.9%	10.8%	3.8%	5.71	4.71	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	1	35	158	41	16	5	3%	1.2	25.9%	10.1%	15.8%	3.2%	5.71	3.99	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	0	46	192	52	17	8	0%	1.4	24.2%	9.9%	14.3%	4.1%	3.91	4.55	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	0	46	192	52	17	8	0%	1.4	27.1%	8.9%	18.2%	4.2%	3.91	4.21	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	1	48	212	54	25	4	3%	1.4	19.7%	12.2%	7.5%	1.5%	4.53	3.83	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	1	48	212	54	25	4	3%	1.4	19.7%	12.2%	7.5%	1.5%	4.53	3.83	—
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	1	48	212	54	25	4	3%	1.4	25.5%	11.8%	13.7%	1.9%	4.53	3.50	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	31	24	137	561	118	50	14	77%	4.4	17.5%	8.0%	9.4%	3.2%	3.21	4.38	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	31	24	137	561	118	50	14	77%	4.4	17.5%	8.0%	9.4%	3.2%	3.21	4.38	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	31	24	137	561	118	50	14	77%	4.4	21.0%	8.9%	12.1%	2.5%	3.21	3.80	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	STL	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	17.1%	8.7%	8.3%	3.1%	4.82	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	STL	71	0	75	315	60	26	10	0%	1.1	19.1%	8.2%	10.9%	3.3%	4.74	4.72	-0.1
2028	33	MLB MLE	STL	65	0	68	289	55	25	10	0%	1.1	18.9%	8.8%	10.2%	3.6%	4.85	4.94	-0.3
2027	32	MLB CTX	STL	26	0	27	114	22	9	4	0%	1.0	19.1%	8.2%	10.9%	3.3%	4.74	4.72	-0.1
2028	33	MLB CTX	STL	36	0	38	160	30	14	6	0%	1.1	18.9%	8.8%	10.2%	3.6%	4.85	4.94	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		62	0	65	275	52	23	9	0%	1.1	19.0%	8.5%	10.5%	3.4%	4.80	4.47	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	71	28	0%	1.1	19.0%	8.5%	10.5%	3.4%	4.80	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		196	44	424	1772	361	171	48	22%	2.2	20.4%	9.6%	10.8%	2.7%	3.53	4.08	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	21	200	837	171	81	23	22%	2.2	20.4%	9.6%	10.8%	2.7%	3.53	4.08	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Curtis Taylor (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	17.1%	8.7%	3.1%	—	4.83	19.0%	10.6%	143	+0.01	—	—	—
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	87
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	87
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	84
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	78
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	77
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	77
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	77
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	76
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	75
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	74
Vin Mazzaro R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	29	SU	4.04	13.6%	10.2%	1.5%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	126	74
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	29	SU	5.54	15.4%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	74
Ramon Delgado R 2017 · 4.31 FIP	30	SW	4.31	11.2%	4.0%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	135	73
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	73
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	72
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	33	SW	4.95	18.3%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.81	11.4%	6.4%	27	-1.14	3.80	284	72
Tyler Sturdevant R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	31	SU	4.48	13.5%	6.7%	3.0%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	149	71
Spencer Bivens R 2023 · 3.91 FIP	29	SU	3.91	18.6%	10.6%	1.9%	.285	3.98	17.8%	11.2%	254	+0.07	3.52	390	70
Javy Guerra R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	31	SU	4.66	16.7%	8.6%	3.4%	.282	3.61	20.9%	15.1%	136	-1.05	2.95	260	70
Clayton Mortensen R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	31	SU	4.31	21.1%	9.7%	3.2%	.355	4.59	23.2%	9.0%	51	+0.28	4.31	221	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	75	18.3%	8.6%	1.27	4.80
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50