Curtis Taylor P Memphis Redbirds
Age 31 RHP 6'6" / 235 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 80 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133123vR 114
ERA5.04
FIP5.04
K%18.1%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%8.2%
ROS IP81
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 80 IP
K: -2.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-3KBB: -1.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -3.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +7.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+7STAMTotal WAR: -0.05 (80 IP)-0.0WAR
0.10.1-0.22628
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD4545
K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201722AKane County Cougars13136226168224100%4.819.3%9.9%9.3%2.5%3.324.10
201722AKane County Cougars13136226168224100%4.826.1%8.4%17.6%1.5%3.322.81
201823MIX2 levels384783129729611%2.124.9%10.3%14.6%2.4%2.543.61
201823MIX2 levels384783129729611%2.131.1%9.3%21.8%1.9%2.542.73
201924AAMontgomery Biscuits151187616507%1.217.1%7.2%9.8%0.0%3.062.58
201924AAMontgomery Biscuits151187616507%1.221.1%6.6%14.5%0.0%3.062.14
202126MIX2 levels30135158411653%1.221.7%10.9%10.8%3.8%5.714.73
202126MIX2 levels30135158411653%1.225.9%10.1%15.8%3.2%5.713.99
202227MIX3 levels34046192521780%1.424.2%9.9%14.3%3.8%3.914.39
202227MIX3 levels34046192521780%1.427.1%8.9%18.2%4.2%3.914.21
202328MIX2 levels35148212542543%1.419.7%12.2%7.5%1.3%4.533.70
202328MIX2 levels35148212542543%1.425.5%11.8%13.7%1.9%4.533.50
202530AAAMemphis Redbirds3124137561118501477%4.418.5%9.4%9.2%3.7%3.214.77
202530AAAMemphis Redbirds3124137561118501477%4.421.0%8.9%12.1%2.5%3.213.80
▸ 2026 Season
202631MLBSTL770813406134110%1.018.1%9.9%8.2%3.3%5.045.04-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732MLBSTL710753156329110%1.120.0%9.2%10.8%3.6%4.934.92-0.1
202833MLBSTL650682895728110%1.119.8%9.7%10.1%3.8%5.035.12-0.3
202732MLBSTL26027114231140%1.020.0%9.2%10.8%3.6%4.934.92-0.1
202833MLBSTL36038160321660%1.119.8%9.7%10.1%3.8%5.035.12-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career620652755526100%1.119.9%9.5%10.4%3.7%4.994.66+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084416980310%1.119.9%9.5%10.4%3.7%4.994.66+1.7
Career1964442417723671785122%2.220.7%10.1%10.7%2.9%3.534.20+6.0
/ 200 IP9321200837173842422%2.220.7%10.1%10.7%2.9%3.534.20+2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Curtis Taylor (OGILVIE) 5.04 18.1%9.9%3.3% 5.02 19.9%10.4%143 -0.02
Chris Leroux R 2026 · 4.50 FIP 31 SU 4.50 15.2%8.6%2.9%.279 3.94 13.5%5.5%140 -0.56 3.94 219 86
Yoanner Negrin R 2026 · 4.02 FIP 31 SW 4.02 15.1%7.5%2.3%.256 3.39 15.0%8.5%270 -0.63 3.19 485 85
Felipe Arredondo R 2025 · 5.08 FIP 30 SW 5.08 14.8%7.3%4.2%.311 4.91 16.2%9.1%64 -0.17 3.93 337 81
Josh Zeid R 2025 · 5.41 FIP 30 SW 5.41 18.3%10.8%4.5%.334 4.21 265 79
Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 77
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 31 SU 4.18 19.6%12.1%2.2%.276 3.35 24.3%11.9%16 -0.83 3.35 129 77
Rudy Gonzalez R 2029 · 4.65 FIP 34 SW 4.65 13.5%9.6%2.7%.347 3.78 14.0%6.5%79 -0.87 3.32 119 76
Murphy Smith R 2025 · 4.47 FIP 30 SW 4.47 13.6%9.3%2.5%.273 3.14 300 75
Marco Carrillo R 2025 · 4.94 FIP 30 SW 4.94 11.1%7.4%3.4%.278 6.57 9.9%0.8%104 +1.63 4.94 194 74
Grant Black R 2024 · 5.81 FIP 29 SU 5.81 16.3%13.2%4.4%.352 4.49 215 72
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2027 · 4.68 FIP 32 SW 4.68 12.2%9.1%2.6%.420 4.02 203 72
Vin Mazzaro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP 29 SU 3.99 13.6%10.2%1.4%.279 2.82 126 72
Angel Sánchez R 2028 · 4.98 FIP 33 SW 4.98 19.4%12.2%3.6%.333 3.80 12.1%6.3%27 -1.18 3.80 284 72
Cody Satterwhite R 2025 · 4.26 FIP 30 SU 4.26 17.0%7.1%3.1%.310 3.62 147 72
Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.65 FIP 30 SU 4.65 15.7%6.7%3.7%.301 4.39 101 72
Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 31 SU 4.23 21.1%9.7%3.1%.355 4.62 23.2%9.0%51 +0.39 4.23 221 71
Bradin Hagens R 2025 · 5.33 FIP 30 SW 5.33 13.2%12.6%3.2%.303 3.78 254 71
Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.78 FIP 31 SU 4.78 16.7%8.6%3.7%.282 3.61 20.9%15.1%136 -1.17 2.95 260 70
Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.50 FIP 33 SU 4.50 16.3%8.6%3.1%.276 4.06 18.5%11.9%128 -0.44 3.92 186 69
Ramon Delgado R 2025 · 4.45 FIP 30 SW 4.45 11.2%4.0%3.2%.322 4.45 135 69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION37519.2%9.6%1.385.00
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Adam Conley ('19)58319.7%9.5%1.174.82