Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026
19
MIXMLE
2 levels
23
23
72
315
130
64
3
100%
3.1
31.3%
23.6%
7.7%
1.2%
2.99
4.11
—
2026
19
MIXMLE
2 levels
23
23
72
315
130
64
3
100%
3.1
31.3%
23.6%
7.7%
1.2%
2.99
4.11
—
2026
19
MIXRAW
2 levels
23
23
72
315
130
64
3
100%
3.1
41.3%
20.3%
21.0%
1.0%
2.99
2.70
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
20
MLB
WSH
9
9
51
215
68
43
6
100%
5.7
31.4%
20.0%
11.4%
2.7%
4.82
4.82
+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
21
MLBMLE
WSH
12
12
68
289
90
50
8
100%
5.7
31.0%
17.4%
13.6%
2.6%
4.61
4.51
+0.3
2029
22
MLBMLE
WSH
13
13
72
303
95
47
8
100%
5.5
31.4%
15.4%
15.9%
2.6%
4.37
4.21
+0.6
2030
23
MLBMLE
WSH
14
14
74
315
100
45
8
100%
5.3
31.7%
14.1%
17.5%
2.6%
4.16
4.01
+0.8
2031
24
MLBMLE
WSH
14
14
76
323
103
43
8
100%
5.5
32.0%
13.4%
18.7%
2.6%
3.99
3.87
+0.9
2032
25
MLBMLE
WSH
13
13
77
327
106
42
8
100%
6.0
32.4%
12.9%
19.5%
2.5%
3.86
3.77
+1.0
2033
26
MLBMLE
WSH
13
13
77
327
107
42
8
100%
6.0
32.6%
12.8%
19.8%
2.5%
3.79
3.75
+1.1
2034
27
MLBMLE
WSH
13
13
76
322
105
42
8
100%
5.9
32.6%
12.9%
19.7%
2.6%
3.79
3.79
+1.0
2035
28
MLBMLE
WSH
12
12
74
312
101
41
8
100%
6.2
32.5%
13.1%
19.4%
2.7%
3.84
3.87
+0.9
2036
29
MLBMLE
WSH
12
12
71
298
96
40
8
100%
5.9
32.2%
13.3%
18.9%
2.8%
3.94
4.00
+0.8
2037
30
MLBMLE
WSH
11
11
66
280
89
38
9
100%
6.0
31.9%
13.6%
18.3%
3.0%
4.08
4.18
+0.6
2038
31
MLBMLE
WSH
10
10
62
261
82
36
9
100%
6.2
31.5%
14.0%
17.5%
3.3%
4.26
4.38
+0.4
2028
21
MLBCTX
WSH
6
6
34
144
45
25
4
100%
5.7
31.0%
17.4%
13.6%
2.6%
4.61
4.51
+0.2
2029
22
MLBCTX
WSH
9
9
52
220
69
34
6
100%
5.8
31.4%
15.4%
15.9%
2.6%
4.37
4.21
+0.4
2030
23
MLBCTX
WSH
11
11
63
266
84
38
7
100%
5.7
31.7%
14.1%
17.5%
2.6%
4.16
4.01
+0.7
2031
24
MLBCTX
WSH
12
12
68
287
92
38
7
100%
5.7
32.0%
13.4%
18.7%
2.6%
3.99
3.87
+0.8
2032
25
MLBCTX
WSH
12
12
71
300
97
39
8
100%
5.9
32.4%
12.9%
19.5%
2.5%
3.86
3.77
+1.0
2033
26
MLBCTX
WSH
12
12
72
304
99
39
8
100%
6.0
32.6%
12.8%
19.8%
2.5%
3.79
3.75
+1.0
2034
27
MLBCTX
WSH
12
12
72
304
99
39
8
100%
6.0
32.6%
12.9%
19.7%
2.6%
3.79
3.79
+1.0
2035
28
MLBCTX
WSH
12
12
70
296
96
39
8
100%
5.8
32.5%
13.1%
19.4%
2.7%
3.84
3.87
+0.9
2036
29
MLBCTX
WSH
11
11
67
283
91
38
8
100%
6.1
32.2%
13.3%
18.9%
2.8%
3.94
4.00
+0.7
2037
30
MLBCTX
WSH
10
10
63
266
85
36
8
100%
6.3
31.9%
13.6%
18.3%
3.0%
4.08
4.18
+0.5
2038
31
MLBCTX
WSH
10
10
59
249
78
35
8
100%
5.9
31.5%
14.0%
17.5%
3.3%
4.26
4.38
+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
121
121
692
2922
937
400
79
100%
5.7
32.1%
13.7%
18.4%
2.7%
4.02
3.61
+10.8
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
35
35
200
844
271
116
23
100%
5.7
32.1%
13.7%
18.4%
2.7%
4.02
3.61
+3.1
Career
—
MLE
23
23
72
315
98
74
4
100%
3.1
31.3%
23.6%
7.7%
1.2%
2.99
4.11
+8.3
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
64
64
200
871
272
206
11
100%
3.1
31.3%
23.6%
7.7%
1.2%
2.99
4.11
+2.1
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.