Luis Gil — OGILVIE

Luis Gil P New York Yankees

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs MLB peak 0.9 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 7 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 103

ERA4.27

FIP4.55

K%20.2%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%7.3%

ROS IP7

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3030

CMD4545

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6295.4

Whiff%

p1119.8%

p1013.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.367

CH+2.4 (18%)

SI (11%)

SL (21%)

FB-2.3 (61%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	16	0	23	110	24	26	2	0%	1.5	14.8%	29.5%	-14.7%	2.5%	4.63	6.99	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	16	0	23	110	24	26	2	0%	1.5	21.8%	23.6%	-1.8%	1.8%	4.63	5.50	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	14	14	42	177	49	20	2	100%	3.0	18.8%	14.1%	4.7%	1.6%	2.59	4.17	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	14	14	42	177	49	20	2	100%	3.0	27.7%	11.3%	16.4%	1.1%	2.59	2.81	—
2018	20	ROK MLE	Pulaski Yankees	10	10	39	162	58	25	1	100%	3.9	24.3%	19.3%	5.1%	0.9%	1.37	3.96	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	Pulaski Yankees	10	10	39	162	58	25	1	100%	3.9	35.8%	15.4%	20.4%	0.6%	1.37	2.39	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	20	96	407	123	47	1	100%	4.8	22.4%	13.6%	8.9%	0.3%	2.72	3.11	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	20	96	407	123	47	1	100%	4.8	30.2%	11.5%	18.7%	0.2%	2.72	2.14	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	23	109	471	155	64	13	88%	4.2	29.2%	14.2%	15.0%	2.7%	3.73	3.92	+1.3
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	23	109	471	155	64	13	88%	4.2	32.9%	13.6%	19.3%	2.8%	3.73	3.57	+1.7
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	7	26	122	36	17	6	100%	3.7	26.5%	15.3%	11.2%	6.4%	8.06	6.30	-0.4
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	7	26	122	36	17	6	100%	3.7	29.5%	13.9%	15.6%	4.9%	8.06	5.32	-0.1
2023	25	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	2	2	4	21	6	3	0	100%	2.0	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	11.25	2.50	—
2023	25	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	2	2	4	21	6	3	0	100%	2.0	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	11.25	2.50	—
2023	25	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	2	2	4	21	6	3	0	100%	2.0	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	11.25	2.35	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	30	155	654	177	79	18	100%	5.2	26.8%	12.1%	14.8%	2.6%	3.59	3.82	+2.0
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	30	155	654	177	79	18	100%	5.2	26.8%	12.1%	14.8%	2.6%	3.59	3.82	+2.0
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	30	155	654	177	79	18	100%	5.2	27.1%	12.1%	15.0%	2.8%	3.59	3.85	+1.9
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	15	71	306	65	40	9	100%	4.8	16.8%	13.5%	3.3%	1.9%	3.79	4.45	+0.4
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	15	71	306	65	40	9	100%	4.8	16.8%	13.5%	3.3%	1.9%	3.79	4.45	+0.4
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	15	71	306	65	40	9	100%	4.8	21.2%	13.1%	8.2%	2.9%	3.79	4.60	+0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			53	51	265	1135	269	144	33	96%	5.0	23.7%	12.7%	11.0%	2.9%	3.66	4.32	+1.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	12	7	35	159	29	21	7	58%	2.9	13.2%	12.3%	0.9%	5.3%	4.33	6.45	-0.6
YTD	28	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	12	7	35	159	29	21	7	58%	2.9	13.2%	12.3%	0.9%	5.3%	4.33	6.45	-0.6
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	A+ RAW	NYY	2	2	3	12	3	1	0	100%	1.5	25.0%	8.3%	16.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.04	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	NYY	4	1	9	41	12	7	1	25%	2.2	29.3%	17.1%	12.2%	2.4%	3.00	4.13	—
2026	28	MLB RAW	NYY	6	4	23	106	14	13	6	67%	3.9	13.2%	12.3%	0.9%	5.7%	5.40	6.65	-0.4
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	NYY	6	4	23	106	14	13	6	67%	3.9	13.2%	12.3%	0.9%	5.7%	5.40	6.65	-0.4
ROS	28	MLB MLE	NYY	1	1	7	31	6	4	1	100%	7.4	20.2%	12.9%	7.3%	2.8%	4.27	4.55	+0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	NYY	1	1	7	30	6	4	1	100%	7.0	20.2%	12.9%	7.3%	2.8%	4.27	4.55	+0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	NYY	—	—	43	190	35	25	8	—	—	18.6%	13.2%	5.4%	4.1%	4.32	6.12	-0.7
FULL	28	MLB A+C	NYY	—	—	31	130	35	25	8	—	—	27.2%	19.3%	7.9%	6.1%	6.01	6.57	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	NYY	13	13	78	329	73	40	11	100%	6.0	22.3%	12.3%	10.0%	3.3%	4.91	4.98	-0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	NYY	12	12	73	309	67	39	11	100%	6.1	21.6%	12.6%	9.0%	3.5%	5.08	5.19	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	NYY	12	12	74	312	70	38	10	100%	6.2	22.3%	12.3%	10.0%	3.3%	4.91	4.98	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	NYY	12	12	70	296	64	37	10	100%	5.8	21.6%	12.6%	9.0%	3.5%	5.08	5.19	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		78	76	416	1772	408	223	55	97%	5.3	23.0%	12.6%	10.4%	3.1%	4.13	4.44	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		38	37	200	852	196	107	26	97%	5.3	23.0%	12.6%	10.4%	3.1%	4.13	4.44	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		152	128	601	2589	604	372	61	84%	4.0	23.3%	14.4%	9.0%	2.3%	3.61	4.23	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	43	200	862	201	124	20	84%	4.0	23.3%	14.4%	9.0%	2.3%	3.61	4.23	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Gil (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.60	23.6%	13.0%	2.7%	—	5.08	22.0%	9.5%	151	+0.48	—	—	—
Colin Rea R 2018 · 5.61 FIP	28	SP	5.61	17.6%	11.3%	4.7%	.344	4.14	17.7%	9.8%	198	-1.47	2.57	1,112	68
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	68
Vanny Valenzuela R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	28	SP	4.54	16.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.380	6.25	10.9%	1.2%	25	+1.71	3.26	118	67
Matt Harvey R 2017 · 5.76 FIP	28	SP	5.76	15.5%	10.2%	4.9%	.298	4.71	19.0%	12.0%	249	-1.05	2.90	806	66
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	65
Jesse Hahn R 2017 · 3.66 FIP	28	SP	3.66	16.6%	9.7%	1.3%	.327	2.19	29.2%	16.9%	17	-1.47	2.19	426	65
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	65
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	64
Taylor Jungmann R 2017 · 3.88 FIP	27	SP-	3.88	18.8%	11.1%	1.8%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	435	64
Nate Karns R 2016 · 3.88 FIP	28	SP-	3.88	24.2%	10.6%	2.7%	.322	4.46	27.1%	20.7%	45	+0.58	3.88	287	64
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	63
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	62
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	62
Chris Ellis R 2021 · 5.41 FIP	28	SP	5.41	19.6%	11.5%	4.6%	.274	6.19	11.8%	-1.3%	64	+0.78	3.84	780	62
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	19.3%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.96	3.02	341	61
Omar Bencomo R 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP-	4.50	18.9%	6.3%	4.0%	.333	4.48	14.9%	10.1%	186	-0.02	3.70	381	61
Mat Latos R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	28	SP-	4.93	13.4%	9.6%	3.2%	.279	5.66	16.8%	5.6%	41	+0.73	3.60	244	61
Brady Rodgers R 2019 · 5.44 FIP	28	SP-	5.44	14.7%	9.0%	4.4%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	1.98	354	61
Keyvius Sampson R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	26	SP-	5.08	19.6%	16.4%	2.8%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	61
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	20.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.309	3.50	21.1%	13.0%	142	-0.21	1.87	251	61

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	78	22.5%	12.6%	1.22	4.76
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91