Luis Gil — OGILVIE

Luis Gil P New York Yankees

+0.2 WAR

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs MLB peak 0.4 · 2027

ERA4.09

FIP4.51

xFIP5.81

SIERA5.62

K%22.6%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%10.5%

IP88

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2027

STUF5050

CTRL3030

CMD4545

K†6060

FB Velo

p5594.9

Whiff%

p2621.9%

p1013.8%

xwOBA vs

p110.358

CH+2.4 (20%)

SI (13%)

SL (21%)

FB-2.3 (58%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Twins	16	0	23	110	24	26	2	14.8%	29.5%	2.5%	4.63	6.99	-0.5
2017	19	ROK	DSL Twins	14	14	42	177	49	20	2	18.8%	14.1%	1.6%	2.59	4.17	+0.4
2018	20	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	10	10	39	162	58	25	1	24.3%	19.3%	0.9%	1.37	3.96	+0.4
2019	21	A+	Tampa Tarpons	20	20	96	407	123	47	1	22.4%	13.6%	0.3%	2.72	3.11	+2.3
2021	23	MLB	New York Yankees	26	23	109	471	155	64	13	29.2%	14.2%	2.8%	3.73	3.96	+1.7
2022	24	MLB	New York Yankees	7	7	26	122	36	17	6	26.5%	15.3%	6.4%	8.06	6.29	-0.4
2023	25	A	Tampa Tarpons	2	2	4	21	6	3	0	—	—	—	11.25	—	—
2024	26	MLB	New York Yankees	30	30	155	654	177	79	18	26.8%	12.1%	2.8%	3.59	3.87	+2.5
2025	27	MLB	New York Yankees	15	15	71	306	65	40	9	16.8%	13.5%	1.9%	3.79	4.43	+0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	New York Yankees	3	3	14	63	13	9	5	—	—	—	6.59	—	—
ROS	28	MLB	NYY	24	—	24	100	24	13	3	24.5%	12.6%	2.7%	4.12	4.49	+0.1
2026 Total	28	MLB	NYY	—	—	37	163	37	22	8	23.0%	13.3%	4.7%	5.02	2.84	+0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	29	MLB	NYY	13	13	74	313	78	37	10	24.8%	11.9%	3.3%	4.62	4.69	+0.3
2028	30	MLB	NYY	12	12	67	282	68	34	9	24.2%	12.0%	3.3%	4.72	4.78	+0.2
2029	31	MLB	NYY	60	—	60	253	60	31	9	23.6%	12.1%	3.4%	4.82	4.88	+0.0
2030	32	MLB	NYY	54	—	54	226	52	28	8	23.0%	12.2%	3.5%	4.93	5.00	-0.0
2031	33	MLB	NYY	48	—	48	201	45	25	7	22.4%	12.4%	3.6%	5.05	5.13	-0.1
2032	34	MLB	NYY	42	—	42	178	39	22	7	21.7%	12.6%	3.7%	5.18	5.27	-0.2
2033	35	MLB	NYY	37	—	37	156	33	20	6	20.9%	12.8%	3.8%	5.32	5.42	-0.2
2034	36	MLB	NYY	32	—	32	136	27	18	5	20.1%	13.1%	3.9%	5.48	5.58	-0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			143	124	579	2493	596	362	58	23.9%	14.5%	2.3%	3.64	4.20	+7.2
/ 200 IP	—			49	43	200	861	206	125	20	23.9%	14.5%	2.3%	3.64	4.20	+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Gil (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.49	24.5%	12.6%	2.7%	—	4.78	24.3%	12.3%	201	+0.29	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP	28	SU	4.85	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.87	18.2%	10.2%	272	-0.98	3.45	315	76
Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.83 FIP	30	SU	4.83	18.6%	12.2%	3.2%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.52	1.30	218	73
Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.38 FIP	28	SW	4.38	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.82	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.44	4.38	101	73
Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP	27	SU	4.30	20.4%	12.1%	2.5%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	113	73
Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.16 FIP	27	SU	5.16	21.1%	13.8%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.84	153	72
Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.08	3.70	187	72
Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 4.89 FIP	28	SW	4.89	19.7%	13.0%	3.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	234	71
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.82 FIP	28	SW	4.82	20.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.275	6.70	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+1.88	3.88	180	71
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.78 FIP	28	SW	4.78	16.5%	9.9%	3.3%	.297	3.85	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.93	3.85	102	71
Austin Adams R 2026 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	18.6%	9.5%	1.4%	.331	3.28	21.1%	15.0%	56	-0.23	3.28	162	71
Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	17.6%	11.2%	2.8%	.309	5.45	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.87	3.47	160	70
Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.63 FIP	28	SU	3.63	23.3%	12.5%	1.7%	.310	3.09	25.8%	16.6%	87	-0.54	2.28	186	70
Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.56 FIP	29	SW	3.56	21.4%	11.1%	1.6%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.33	2.83	228	69
Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.55 FIP	28	SU	4.55	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.80	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.75	2.97	230	69
Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.72 FIP	28	SW	3.72	20.2%	9.8%	2.0%	.333	4.05	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.70	147	69
Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.72 FIP	30	SW	3.72	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.88	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	69
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.01 FIP	28	SW	4.01	17.2%	8.8%	2.3%	.309	4.10	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.09	3.18	253	69
Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.60 FIP	27	SU	5.60	16.4%	13.6%	3.9%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.49	140	69
Mason Vinyard R 2024 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	21.8%	14.5%	2.4%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	154	69
Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 4.01 FIP	28	SU	4.01	18.6%	10.0%	2.2%	.276	4.87	22.4%	10.9%	22	+0.86	2.78	312	69

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.