Luis Gil
P
New York Yankees
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.6 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 35 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.59
FIP4.87
K%19.8%
BB%13.0%
K-BB%6.8%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5795.0
Whiff%
p1018.5%
K%
p1010.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.385
CH+2.4 (20%)
SI (13%)
SL (21%)
FB-2.3 (58%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Twins | 16 | 0 | 23 | 110 | 24 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.8% | 29.5% | -14.7% | 2.5% | 4.63 | 6.99 | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Twins | 16 | 0 | 23 | 110 | 24 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.8% | 23.6% | -1.8% | 1.8% | 4.63 | 5.50 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | DSL Twins | 14 | 14 | 42 | 177 | 49 | 20 | 2 | 100% | 3.0 | 18.8% | 14.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 2.59 | 4.17 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | DSL Twins | 14 | 14 | 42 | 177 | 49 | 20 | 2 | 100% | 3.0 | 27.7% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 1.1% | 2.59 | 2.81 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | 10 | 10 | 39 | 162 | 58 | 25 | 1 | 100% | 3.9 | 24.3% | 19.3% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 1.37 | 3.96 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | 10 | 10 | 39 | 162 | 58 | 25 | 1 | 100% | 3.9 | 35.8% | 15.4% | 20.4% | 0.6% | 1.37 | 2.39 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 96 | 407 | 123 | 47 | 1 | 100% | 4.8 | 22.4% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 0.4% | 2.72 | 3.13 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 96 | 407 | 123 | 47 | 1 | 100% | 4.8 | 30.2% | 11.5% | 18.7% | 0.2% | 2.72 | 2.14 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 23 | 109 | 471 | 155 | 64 | 13 | 88% | 4.2 | 29.2% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 2.5% | 3.73 | 3.81 | +2.0 |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 23 | 109 | 471 | 155 | 64 | 13 | 88% | 4.2 | 32.9% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 2.8% | 3.73 | 3.57 | +2.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 7 | 26 | 122 | 36 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 3.7 | 26.5% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 8.06 | 6.28 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 7 | 26 | 122 | 36 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 3.7 | 29.5% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 4.9% | 8.06 | 5.32 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 11.25 | 2.50 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 11.25 | 2.35 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 155 | 654 | 177 | 79 | 18 | 100% | 5.2 | 26.8% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 2.6% | 3.59 | 3.81 | +2.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 155 | 654 | 177 | 79 | 18 | 100% | 5.2 | 27.1% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 3.59 | 3.85 | +2.8 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 15 | 71 | 306 | 65 | 40 | 9 | 100% | 4.8 | 16.8% | 13.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.79 | 4.44 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 15 | 71 | 306 | 65 | 40 | 9 | 100% | 4.8 | 21.2% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 3.79 | 4.60 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | New York Yankees | 5 | 5 | 24 | 107 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 100% | 4.8 | 10.6% | 12.9% | -2.4% | 7.1% | 6.00 | 7.72 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | NYY | 6 | 6 | 35 | 150 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.8% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | NYY | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.8% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 59 | 257 | 45 | 35 | 12 | — | — | 17.4% | 13.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.16 | 6.02 | -1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 55 | 231 | 45 | 35 | 12 | — | — | 19.3% | 14.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.60 | 6.18 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 13 | 13 | 78 | 329 | 73 | 41 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 5.01 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 73 | 309 | 66 | 39 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.5% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 5.17 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 68 | 288 | 60 | 38 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.7% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 5.38 | 5.51 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 74 | 312 | 69 | 39 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 5.01 | 5.08 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 63 | 38 | 11 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.5% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 5.17 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 57 | 36 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.7% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 5.38 | 5.51 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 93 | 93 | 505 | 2144 | 483 | 274 | 70 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 4.36 | 4.61 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 849 | 191 | 108 | 28 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 4.36 | 4.61 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 145 | 126 | 589 | 2537 | 595 | 367 | 59 | 87% | 4.1 | 23.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 3.67 | 4.22 | +8.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 43 | 200 | 861 | 202 | 124 | 20 | 87% | 4.1 | 23.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 3.67 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Gil (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 23.6% | 13.1% | 2.7% | — | 5.28 | 21.5% | 8.7% | 219 | +0.69 | — | — | — |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.66 | 16.3% | 11.3% | 2.8% | .380 | 7.26 | 10.9% | 1.2% | 25 | +2.60 | 3.26 | 118 | 67 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 66 |
| Ariel Peña R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.93 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 5.94 | 19.9% | -5.7% | 21 | +2.01 | 3.91 | 223 | 64 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 64 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.98 | 20.6% | 12.8% | 3.6% | .291 | 5.54 | 14.1% | -1.8% | 25 | +0.56 | 4.39 | 353 | 64 |
| Matt Harvey R 2026 · 5.77 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.77 | 15.5% | 10.2% | 4.9% | .298 | 4.76 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 249 | -1.01 | 2.90 | 806 | 63 |
| Kenny Serwa R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.75 | 14.9% | 12.6% | 2.4% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 182 | 63 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2029 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.68 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .312 | 4.79 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.11 | 4.68 | 150 | 63 |
| Connor Schultz R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 63 |
| Sawyer Gipson-Long R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.14 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 470 | 63 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 62 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 62 |
| Chris Ellis R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.31 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 4.4% | .274 | 6.16 | 12.5% | -2.7% | 64 | +0.85 | 3.85 | 780 | 62 |
| Colin Rea R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.72 | 17.6% | 11.3% | 4.9% | .344 | 4.10 | 17.7% | 9.8% | 198 | -1.62 | 2.67 | 1,073 | 62 |
| Luke Irvine R 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 104 | 62 |
| Brian Edgington R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 62 |
| Dylan Cumming R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.71 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 3.7% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 366 | 62 |
| Brady Rodgers R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.58 | 14.7% | 9.0% | 4.7% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.98 | 354 | 62 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2029 · 4.64 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.64 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 2.0% | .328 | 4.73 | 11.7% | 2.0% | 175 | +0.09 | 4.49 | 269 | 61 |
| Omar Bencomo R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | .333 | 4.43 | 14.9% | 10.1% | 186 | +0.05 | 3.67 | 381 | 61 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 21.9% | 12.8% | 1.33 | 5.00 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |