Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros | 11 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 39 | 16 | 0 | 45% | 2.6 | 22.5% | 16.9% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 2.86 | 3.35 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros | 11 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 39 | 16 | 0 | 45% | 2.6 | 33.1% | 13.6% | 19.5% | 0.0% | 2.86 | 2.04 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 11 | 58 | 262 | 90 | 33 | 3 | 55% | 2.9 | 26.8% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 1.3% | 3.57 | 3.47 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 11 | 58 | 262 | 90 | 33 | 3 | 55% | 2.9 | 34.4% | 12.6% | 21.8% | 1.1% | 3.57 | 2.38 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 23 | 16 | 74 | 326 | 106 | 51 | 7 | 70% | 3.2 | 26.3% | 17.2% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 5.01 | 4.37 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 23 | 16 | 74 | 326 | 106 | 51 | 7 | 70% | 3.2 | 32.5% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 2.1% | 5.01 | 3.53 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 3 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 67% | 3.2 | 18.2% | 15.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.59 | 6.07 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 3 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 67% | 3.2 | 18.2% | 15.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.59 | 6.31 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 5 | 38 | 197 | 28 | 42 | 4 | 25% | 1.9 | 10.4% | 24.6% | -14.2% | 2.3% | 7.34 | 6.62 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 5 | 38 | 197 | 28 | 42 | 4 | 25% | 1.9 | 14.2% | 21.3% | -7.1% | 2.0% | 7.34 | 6.31 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 4 | 4 | 23 | 95 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 4 | 4 | 23 | 97 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.71 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 21.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.71 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 21.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.71 | 4.28 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 179 | 100 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.71 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 77 | 39 | 208 | 947 | 211 | 171 | 18 | 51% | 2.7 | 22.3% | 18.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 4.77 | 4.54 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 74 | 38 | 200 | 912 | 203 | 165 | 17 | 51% | 2.7 | 22.3% | 18.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 4.77 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jaime Melendez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 20.9% | 11.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.66 | 21.5% | 10.6% | 23 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 87 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 81 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.41 | 17.2% | 11.3% | 4.2% | .370 | 3.48 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 142 | -1.93 | 2.88 | 157 | 80 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 79 |
| Blair Henley R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 79 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 78 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 78 |
| Grant Ford R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 78 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 77 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.87 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 1.7% | .322 | 4.79 | 20.4% | 8.0% | 146 | +0.92 | 3.18 | 234 | 76 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 76 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 76 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 75 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 75 |
| Trent Fennell R 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 74 |
| Sean Mooney R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 74 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 74 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.79 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .296 | 4.83 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 87 | +0.04 | 3.93 | 268 | 73 |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.52 | 19.4% | 12.5% | 4.5% | .257 | 5.02 | 18.7% | 3.7% | 127 | -0.50 | 4.07 | 378 | 73 |
| Danny Cody R 2026 · 6.00 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.00 | 20.5% | 15.0% | 5.0% | .369 | 6.37 | 11.4% | -6.9% | 37 | +0.37 | 6.00 | 106 | 73 |