Jaime Melendez — OGILVIE

Jaime Melendez P Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 25 RHP 5'8" / 190 lbs AA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 23 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.46

FIP5.46

K%19.1%

BB%15.5%

K-BB%3.7%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	11	5	28	118	39	16	0	45%	2.6	22.5%	16.9%	5.5%	0.0%	2.86	3.35	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	11	5	28	118	39	16	0	45%	2.6	33.1%	13.6%	19.5%	0.0%	2.86	2.04	—
2021	19	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	11	58	262	90	33	3	55%	2.9	26.8%	15.0%	11.7%	1.5%	3.57	3.56	—
2021	19	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	11	58	262	90	33	3	55%	2.9	34.4%	12.6%	21.8%	1.1%	3.57	2.38	—
2022	20	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	23	16	74	326	106	51	7	70%	3.2	26.3%	17.2%	9.1%	2.5%	5.01	4.42	—
2022	20	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	23	16	74	326	106	51	7	70%	3.2	32.5%	15.6%	16.9%	2.1%	5.01	3.53	—
2023	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	3	2	10	44	8	7	2	67%	3.2	18.2%	15.9%	2.3%	4.5%	5.59	6.07	—
2023	21	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	3	2	10	44	8	7	2	67%	3.2	18.2%	15.9%	2.3%	4.5%	5.59	6.31	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	5	38	197	28	42	4	25%	1.9	10.4%	24.6%	-14.2%	2.4%	7.34	6.68	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	5	38	197	28	42	4	25%	1.9	10.4%	24.6%	-14.2%	2.4%	7.34	6.68	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	5	38	197	28	42	4	25%	1.9	14.2%	21.3%	-7.1%	2.0%	7.34	6.31	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	HOU	4	4	23	97	19	15	3	100%	5.8	19.1%	15.5%	3.7%	3.0%	5.46	5.46	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	4	4	23	95	19	14	3	100%	5.7	20.0%	14.8%	5.2%	3.0%	5.32	5.30	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	2	2	10	42	8	6	1	100%	5.0	20.0%	14.8%	5.2%	3.0%	5.32	5.30	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	8	6	1	100%	5.0	20.0%	14.8%	5.2%	3.0%	5.32	4.92	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	161	121	20	100%	6.0	20.0%	14.8%	5.2%	3.0%	5.32	4.92	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		77	39	208	947	211	171	19	51%	2.7	22.3%	18.0%	4.2%	2.0%	4.77	4.59	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	38	200	912	203	165	18	51%	2.7	22.3%	18.0%	4.2%	2.0%	4.77	4.59	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jaime Melendez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.46	19.1%	15.5%	3.0%	—	5.30	20.0%	5.2%	23	-0.16	—	—	—
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	78
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	78
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	78
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	77
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	76
Jake Bray R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	25	SP-	5.37	15.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.294	5.65	20.5%	7.7%	61	+0.28	2.51	198	76
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	75
Jimmy Joyce R 2024 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	17.8%	14.2%	1.7%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	259	74
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	74
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	74
Michael Murray R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.2%	12.9%	2.0%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	116	73
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	73
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	73
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2014 · 4.32 FIP	24	SP-	4.32	20.5%	13.3%	2.3%	.208	3.88	19.8%	10.2%	210	-0.44	3.22	242	73
Alex Makarewich R 2024 · 6.15 FIP	22	SP-	6.15	19.7%	26.7%	2.4%	.425	5.15	26.4%	-3.3%	83	-1.00	4.26	110	73
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	73
Lucas Harrell R 2010 · 4.65 FIP	25	SW	4.65	12.6%	13.4%	1.7%	.372	4.24	15.1%	5.1%	365	-0.41	2.81	541	72
Ben Gross R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	17.6%	15.6%	2.3%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	118	72
Adrian Chaidez R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	24	SW	4.96	19.4%	16.3%	2.6%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	4.96	144	72
Mike Franco R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	25	SP-	4.75	17.2%	12.9%	2.7%	.251	4.33	21.9%	12.7%	98	-0.42	3.11	322	72