Jude Warwick — OGILVIE

Jude WarwickSS Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 170 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION446 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP268

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	86	81	20	3	0	0	3	29	1	6	1	247	282	284	566	37	377	34	3	257	60	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	192	145	38	8	0	3	26	30	15	22	5	262	425	379	804	117	299	16	14	365	133	+8	+2	—	—	+4	1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	86	82	14	2	0	0	2	41	1	6	1	171	200	195	395	24	352	48	2	192	16	-9	+1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	192	155	32	6	0	3	16	43	15	22	5	206	339	303	642	97	232	22	8	278	74	-6	+2	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	278	236	46	8	0	3	19	84	16	28	6	195	299	267	566	72	277	30	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	278	226	58	11	0	3	29	59	16	28	6	257	380	345	725	88	324	21	10	332	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	278	241	46	8	0	3	19	84	16	28	6	191	299	261	560	71	269	30	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	278	241	46	8	0	3	19	84	16	28	6	191	299	261	560	71	269	30	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	DET	—	446	403	65	16	2	8	33	178	6	15	4	161	235	270	506	109	259	40	7	223	37	-33	+1	+0	+5	+10	-1.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	DET	—	446	392	84	20	3	10	44	125	6	15	4	214	303	357	660	143	285	28	10	297	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	DET	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		273	40	10	243	50	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	DET	—	456	412	66	16	2	8	34	182	6	15	4	160	235	267	502	107	258	40	7	223	37	-34	+1	-0	+5	+10	-1.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	DET	25%	428	385	71	16	2	8	32	150	8	10	2	184	261	299	560	114	274	35	7	256	60	-21	+1	-1	+5	+9	-0.7
2028	22	MLB MLE	DET	38%	494	444	86	19	2	11	38	167	9	12	3	194	271	320	591	126	277	34	8	266	66	-20	+1	-1	+5	+11	-0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	DET	45%	533	477	93	20	2	12	42	175	9	13	3	195	273	321	593	126	278	33	8	273	71	-19	+1	-2	+6	+12	-0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	DET	48%	556	497	98	21	2	13	44	180	10	13	3	197	276	326	602	129	279	32	8	277	73	-18	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	DET	50%	568	508	102	22	2	14	45	184	10	13	3	201	279	335	614	134	279	32	8	278	74	-17	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	DET	50%	572	511	102	22	2	14	46	185	10	13	3	200	279	333	611	133	279	32	8	279	75	-17	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	DET	50%	570	508	102	22	2	14	47	185	10	13	3	201	281	335	616	134	279	32	8	279	75	-17	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	DET	50%	564	502	100	21	2	14	47	183	10	13	3	199	281	333	614	133	279	32	8	278	74	-17	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	DET	49%	553	492	97	21	2	13	46	181	10	11	3	197	279	327	606	130	278	33	8	276	73	-18	+1	-3	+6	+12	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	DET	25%	106	95	17	4	0	2	8	37	2	2	1	179	257	284	541	105	270	35	8	239	60	-5	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	DET	38%	189	169	32	7	1	4	15	64	3	4	1	189	267	314	581	124	272	34	8	248	66	-8	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	DET	45%	242	217	42	9	1	5	19	80	4	6	1	194	271	313	584	120	273	33	8	255	71	-8	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	DET	48%	267	239	47	10	1	6	21	87	5	6	2	197	275	322	598	126	274	33	8	259	73	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	DET	50%	282	252	50	11	1	7	23	91	5	7	2	198	279	333	612	135	274	32	8	260	74	-9	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	DET	50%	289	259	51	11	1	7	23	93	5	7	2	197	275	328	603	131	274	32	8	261	75	-9	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	DET	50%	285	255	50	11	1	7	23	92	5	7	2	196	276	329	605	133	274	32	8	261	75	-9	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	DET	50%	280	250	49	10	1	7	23	91	5	6	2	196	277	328	605	132	274	32	8	260	74	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	DET	49%	268	239	46	10	1	6	22	88	5	6	1	192	274	318	592	126	273	33	8	259	73	-9	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2208	1975	384	83	8	51	177	723	39	51	14	194	274	322	596	128	275	33	8	257	71	-73	+5	-7	+24	+48	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	112	24	2	15	52	213	11	15	4	193	271	318	590	126	272	33	8	257	71	-21	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5126	4569	898	192	18	116	407	1678	102	139	32	197	277	323	600	126	279	33	8	273	71	-164	+12	-16	+52	+105	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	114	24	2	15	52	213	13	18	4	197	278	323	601	126	279	33	8	273	71	-22	+2	-2	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.8	2,529	58	60	199	274	327	+27	+4	1.7	1.8
/162	664	15	16	+7.1	+1.1	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jude Warwick (OGILVIE)	20	20→50	25→40	60→57	40	174/249/276	102	273	5	10	37%	7%	50	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	40→49	38→45	59→55	46	192/267/282	90	275	4	17	30%	8%	57	-1.8	216/291/301	85	288	6	17	25%	9%	70	-0.8	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	43→52	39→45	52→50	43	208/260/292	85	279	6	14	27%	6%	56	-1.9	222/281/343	121	321	10	8	32%	7%	76	-0.4	219/279/346	127	314	10	7	32%	7%	73	-0.6
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	207/265/294	88	309	7	13	34%	7%	59	-1.7	216/259/313	97	318	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/254/305	93	308	6	14	32%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Tyler Goeddel 2013 · A	20	44→51	40→45	55	41	205/271/297	92	312	7	21	34%	7%	62	-1.4	219/273/327	108	304	7	19	29%	6%	69	-0.9	227/288/340	113	297	9	18	25%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Luigi Rodriguez 2013 · A	20	47→49	40→50	53→55	40	222/270/319	97	321	7	17	32%	6%	65	-1.2	218/271/319	101	328	8	15	34%	7%	66	-1.1	223/264/357	134	340	16	15	38%	5%	71	-0.5
✕Marcus Lee Sang 2022 · A	21	40→50	43→45	51→50	35	197/244/306	110	308	11	14	38%	6%	54	-2.0	205/268/319	114	330	11	14	38%	7%	66	-1.1	221/280/341	119	326	12	15	34%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Gosuke Katoh 2015 · A	20	42→52	39→45	50	42	192/267/285	93	319	6	12	39%	9%	58	-1.7	197/270/284	87	320	6	11	37%	9%	59	-1.7	220/287/313	93	311	7	11	29%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	197/265/289	92	278	8	16	30%	8%	58	-1.7	238/299/342	104	319	7	24	25%	8%	82	+0.0	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Thomas Milone 2015 · A	20	41→45	36→45	51→55	38	194/246/266	72	293	3	10	33%	6%	45	-2.7	197/251/260	63	283	3	13	29%	6%	45	-2.7	237/293/354	117	331	7	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	41	41→45	50	40	196/269/296	100	293	8	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	199/266/318	119	286	10	9	32%	7%	65	-1.2	149/220/307	158	194	15	9	31%	7%	43	-0.7
✕Ty Morrison 2010 · A	20	45→53	37→40	52→55	39	211/271/283	73	319	5	16	34%	6%	59	-1.7	220/270/305	85	326	4	26	32%	5%	62	-1.4	228/277/313	85	326	3	28	29%	5%	63	-1.1
✕Lucius Fox 2017 · A	20	40→49	38→40	55→60	43	193/256/270	77	275	5	20	30%	7%	50	-2.3	211/278/280	69	305	4	22	30%	7%	60	-1.6	189/252/269	80	275	7	24	32%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	45→54	40→45	55→60	40	215/275/310	96	298	6	17	29%	6%	66	-1.1	221/275/319	98	295	8	26	26%	5%	68	-1.0	234/289/348	114	310	11	32	27%	5%	77	-0.2
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	39	41→45	56→50	41	189/251/288	99	284	8	15	35%	7%	53	-2.1	182/253/293	111	267	12	13	34%	8%	55	-1.9	182/240/283	101	235	12	16	28%	7%	44	-1.3
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	40→46	40	53→60	46	188/283/278	90	291	7	16	35%	10%	63	-1.3	193/292/274	81	290	6	18	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→44	40→45	54→50	40	185/249/285	100	275	6	9	34%	7%	51	-2.2	203/274/314	111	281	9	13	29%	8%	68	-1.0	202/276/313	110	274	9	14	28%	9%	65	-1.0
✕Heiker Meneses 2011 · A	20	38→48	36→40	55	39	182/248/250	67	276	4	18	33%	6%	42	-2.9	218/266/294	76	318	4	17	31%	4%	59	-1.7	226/267/267	40	320	0	15	28%	4%	49	-1.1
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/276/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	61	-1.5	195/258/287	92	323	7	29	39%	7%	55	-2.0	229/304/333	104	308	11	52	28%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→44	39→45	53→50	43	195/254/284	89	269	5	13	28%	7%	53	-2.1	216/286/322	106	302	9	13	29%	9%	74	-0.6	216/290/325	109	297	11	14	29%	9%	73	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps