Jude WarwickSS Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 170 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION314 act + 209 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†60
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .270 / .310
PA209
HR3
SB6
K%31
BB%6
BABIP292
ISO105
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -27.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-28BATRUN: +2.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -0.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +5.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +14.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+15REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.00.81.70.20.60.81.01.11.21.21.00.8+$50M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED57
scouting grade only
DEFENSE52
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$6M+$5M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$6M+$6M
2033Arb-1$2M+1.2$6M+$4M
2034Arb-2$4M+1.0$4M+$3M
2035Arb-3$4M+0.8$2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $9M $30M +$24M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202519 ROK2 teams — 278236 46803 198416 286 195299267566 72277 307 256 54 — — — — — —
202519 ROK2 teams — 278226 581103 295916 286 257380345725 88324 2110 332 112 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ADET — 314284 531325 211146 123 187257299557 113287 367 249 49 -18 +1 +0 +3 +9 -0.5
YTD20 ADET — 314277 691637 28806 123 249331404736 155323 259 327 109 +3 +1 +0 +3 +9 1.7
ROS20 ADET 0% 209190 39913 13654 62 205270310580 105287 316 264 60 -9 +0 -1 +2 +6 -0.1
ROS20 MLBDET 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 283 —— 246 47 — — -0 +0 — —
FULL20 ADET — 314285 531325 211146 123 186257298555 112286 367 249 49 -18 +1 +0 +3 +9 -0.5
TOT20 ADET — 523474 922238 3417910 185 194262304566 110289 346 255 53 -28 +2 -1 +6 +15 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBDET 25% 428388 831829 291288 92 214282340623 126289 307 277 70 -15 +1 -1 +5 +12 0.2
202822 MLBDET 38% 494448 9720311 341439 113 217285348633 132290 297 284 76 -13 +1 -1 +5 +14 0.6
202923 MLBDET 45% 533481 10522312 381519 123 218288351639 133291 287 289 80 -12 +1 -2 +6 +15 0.8
203024 MLBDET 48% 556501 11123313 4015610 123 222292357649 136291 287 293 82 -11 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.0
203125 MLBDET 50% 568512 11424314 4115910 123 223293363656 141292 287 294 83 -11 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.1
203226 MLBDET 50% 572515 11524314 4216010 123 223295363658 140291 287 295 84 -11 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.2
203327 MLBDET 50% 570513 11424314 4216010 123 222294363656 140291 287 295 84 -10 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.2
203428 MLBDET 50% 564507 11223314 4215910 123 221293361654 140291 287 294 83 -11 +1 -2 +6 +16 1.0
203529 MLBDET 49% 553497 11023313 421579 113 221294358652 137290 288 292 82 -11 +1 -3 +6 +16 0.8
203630 MLBDET 48% 542487 10722313 411559 92 220292357650 138289 298 290 80 -12 +1 -4 +6 +15 0.6
202721 MLBDET 25% 10696 20412 7322 21 208276333610 125284 307 259 56 -5 +0 -0 +1 +3 -0.1
202822 MLBDET 38% 189171 37814 13553 41 216283345628 129285 297 267 62 -8 +0 -1 +2 +5 -0.1
202923 MLBDET 45% 242219 471015 17694 51 215283338621 123286 297 272 66 -9 +1 -1 +3 +7 0.0
203024 MLBDET 48% 267241 521116 19755 61 216287344631 129286 287 275 69 -9 +1 -1 +3 +8 0.1
203125 MLBDET 50% 282254 561127 21795 62 220293362655 142286 287 276 70 -10 +0 -1 +3 +8 0.1
203226 MLBDET 50% 289261 581227 21815 62 222293364657 142286 287 277 70 -10 +0 -1 +3 +8 0.1
203327 MLBDET 50% 285257 571227 21805 62 222293366659 144286 287 277 70 -10 +0 -1 +3 +8 0.1
203428 MLBDET 50% 280252 551127 21795 61 218291361652 143286 288 276 69 -10 +1 -1 +3 +8 0.1
203529 MLBDET 49% 268241 521116 20765 51 216289344634 129285 287 274 68 -10 +1 -1 +3 +8 0.0
203630 MLBDET 48% 259233 491016 20744 41 210284339623 129284 298 272 66 -10 +0 -2 +3 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 24672226 4831001457 18070043 5013 217288351640 134288 287 274 68 -90 +5 -9 +26 +70 0.2
/ 162G— — 650587 12726415 4718411 133 216287351638 135286 287 274 68 -24 +1 -2 +7 +18 0.1
Career— — 58675275 115324030133 4231677114 14636 219291351642 133291 297 288 79 -142 +15 -20 +63 +166 8.4
/ 162G— — 650584 12827315 4718613 164 219292353645 134292 297 288 79 -16 +2 -2 +7 +18 0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202519 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 8681 20300 3291 61 247282284566 37377 343 257 55 -4 +1 — — +2 -0.1
202519 ROKFCL Tigers — 192145 38803 263015 225 262425379804 117299 1614 365 138 +8 +2 — — +5 1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
62,7886459221288356+30+54.94.5
/1626641514+7.1+1.21.2pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jude Warwick (OGILVIE) 20 20→50 25→40 60→57 40 194/262/304 110289 818 34% 6% 53 -0.6 ————————— —————————
●Eliezer Álvarez
2015 · A 		20 43→53 40→45 54→55 44 206/262/313 106260 611 22% 6% 56 -1.3 245/295/352 107322 515 24% 6% 81 +0.4 254/308/36210834251926%6%87+0.4
✕Hoy Park
2017 · A 		21 41→49 39→45 60→55 46 193/267/285 92274 517 29% 8% 53 -1.5 216/290/303 87291 617 26% 9% 67 -0.5 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
✕Dalton Pompey
2013 · A 		20 40→50 40→45 55 44 196/264/288 92278 816 31% 8% 52 -1.6 236/297/340 104317 624 26% 7% 79 +0.3 259/316/35910033172922%7%87+0.7
✕Jett Williams
2023 · A 		19 45→46 41→45 56→55 43 214/285/313 99288 714 27% 7% 68 -0.5 203/314/320 117299 923 31% 12% 83 +0.6 201/310/335134289102630%12%81+0.3
✕Adan Velazquez
2010 · A 		20 44→52 43→45 54→50 43 215/277/331 116278 911 25% 6% 69 -0.4 210/261/303 93295 710 30% 5% 54 -1.4 248/287/342943018620%4%71-0.2
✕Jose Escobar
2023 · A 		18 45→47 44→45 58→45 40 222/270/345 124286 1015 26% 5% 69 -0.4 223/290/328 105294 912 26% 6% 73 -0.1 233/300/34110830810826%7%78+0.1
✕Rio Ruiz
2014 · A 		20 44→51 44→50 50→40 45 216/272/344 128281 108 26% 7% 69 -0.4 233/298/343 110302 84 24% 9% 80 +0.4 236/304/3391033038223%9%79+0.2
✕Christian Lopes
2013 · A 		20 42→50 42→45 53→50 42 207/256/324 117265 88 25% 5% 57 -1.2 204/258/280 76260 44 22% 6% 46 -2.0 218/301/343126271131323%9%80+0.2
✕Juan Perez
2012 · A 		20 49→51 41→45 55 45 233/286/340 108296 713 23% 6% 74 -0.1 211/258/316 105269 815 24% 5% 56 -1.3 227/271/349122293142427%5%67-0.3
✕Tito Polo
2015 · A 		20 45→50 40→45 55→60 40 215/275/310 96298 617 29% 6% 62 -0.9 217/271/314 97290 826 27% 5% 61 -1.0 225/280/337113299113228%5%68-0.3
✕James Triantos
2023 · A 		20 49→56 43→45 52→60 41 238/280/347 109301 1012 24% 5% 72 -0.2 245/290/342 97292 824 18% 5% 76 +0.0 263/301/36910730393516%4%85+0.5
✕Shed Long Jr.
2017 · A 		21 46→47 43→50 50 41 223/279/337 114308 1011 30% 6% 70 -0.3 233/292/376 143318 1511 30% 7% 86 +0.8 233/295/385151314171130%7%87+0.6
✕Victor Mesa Jr.
2022 · A 		20 44 40→50 52→50 40 213/257/311 98286 69 27% 5% 53 -1.5 209/259/322 113277 119 27% 6% 59 -1.1 227/286/38916226621923%7%84+0.3
✕Juan Villavicencio
2023 · A 		18 43 40→50 55 41 205/263/297 92301 714 33% 7% 53 -1.5 187/262/281 94277 712 32% 8% 50 -1.8 192/266/303111286101834%8%55-0.5
✕Brian Pointer
2012 · A 		20 41→43 44→45 56→50 38 203/257/327 124300 1110 35% 6% 59 -1.1 192/263/308 116299 1112 37% 7% 57 -1.2 201/281/329128296131334%8%67-0.4
✕Gilberto Celestino
2019 · A 		20 43→53 38→45 52→55 41 206/254/285 79277 512 27% 6% 46 -2.0 219/275/319 100284 88 25% 7% 64 -0.8 240/311/3197931771425%9%75-0.0
✕José Rodríguez
2021 · A 		20 42→52 43→50 52→55 37 212/244/323 111275 1111 28% 4% 51 -1.7 239/271/370 131290 1424 22% 4% 76 +0.0 235/266/368133286152923%4%69-0.3
✕Masyn Winn
2022 · A 		20 42→52 40→50 57→55 42 201/257/293 92281 622 30% 7% 50 -1.8 232/286/367 135290 1221 23% 7% 82 +0.5 254/312/374120299111118%7%92+1.0
✕Termarr Johnson
2023 · A 		19 45→46 41→45 52→55 47 210/291/312 102321 714 34% 10% 70 -0.3 212/314/339 127299 1512 31% 12% 88 +0.9 207/304/326119281141429%11%78+0.2
✕Freizer Pedron
2007 · A 		20 44 37→40 49→55 42 207/263/283 75275 412 25% 6% 50 -1.8 229/295/302 73307 316 24% 7% 69 -0.4 262/328/3377534122922%6%87+0.3