Jude Warwick — OGILVIE

Jude WarwickSS Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 170 lbs A HR +5%H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.5 · 2032

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .280 / .329

PA267

HR5

SB7

K%29

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗50

PWR

25↗40

SPD

60↘57

FLD

40↗52

EYE

50↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.7peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.3	$21M	+$20M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.5	$24M	+$23M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.5	$25M	+$24M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.3	$23M	+$19M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.2	$23M	+$16M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+1.9	$20M	+$11M
Totals		$24M		$137M	+$112M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	ROK	2 teams	278	236	47	8	0	3	19	84	16	28	6	.199	.303	.271	.574	.072	.284	30	7	.257	55	-14	+3	+0	+3	+8	-0.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	64	52	10	2	0	0	9	21	2	2	1	.192	.333	.231	.564	.038	.312	33	14	.264	60	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	20	MLB	DET	203	181	39	7	1	4	17	61	3	5	1	.215	.294	.331	.625	.116	.294	30	8	.278	71	-7	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.1
TOT	20	MLB	DET	267	233	49	9	1	4	26	82	5	7	2	.210	.303	.309	.612	.099	.302	31	10	.275	68	-10	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 7%	DET	335	296	66	12	2	7	30	84	6	8	2	.223	.307	.348	.655	.125	.284	25	9	.296	85	-6	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.7
2028	22	MLB 18%	DET	428	378	86	16	2	10	40	104	7	11	3	.228	.313	.360	.673	.132	.285	24	9	.306	92	-4	+1	-1	+5	+12	1.3
2029	23	MLB 27%	DET	487	429	99	18	2	13	47	116	8	12	3	.231	.318	.373	.691	.142	.286	24	10	.312	97	-2	+1	-1	+5	+14	1.8
2030	24	MLB 36%	DET	526	460	108	20	3	14	52	123	9	13	3	.235	.324	.383	.707	.148	.286	23	10	.317	100	+0	+1	-1	+6	+15	2.1
2031	25	MLB 44%	DET	548	478	112	20	3	15	56	128	9	13	3	.234	.326	.383	.709	.149	.287	23	10	.320	103	+2	+1	-2	+6	+16	2.3
2032	26	MLB 51%	DET	559	487	116	21	3	16	58	130	9	13	3	.238	.330	.392	.723	.154	.287	23	10	.321	104	+3	+1	-2	+6	+16	2.5
2033	27	MLB 60%	DET	562	489	116	21	3	16	59	131	9	13	3	.237	.330	.391	.721	.153	.287	23	10	.321	104	+3	+1	-2	+6	+16	2.5
2034	28	MLB 63%	DET	558	485	115	21	3	16	59	132	9	13	3	.237	.331	.392	.723	.155	.287	24	11	.320	103	+2	+1	-2	+6	+16	2.3
2035	29	MLB 66%	DET	549	477	111	20	3	15	58	131	9	12	2	.233	.327	.382	.709	.149	.286	24	11	.318	102	+1	+2	-3	+6	+16	2.2
2036	30	MLB 68%	DET	540	469	107	19	2	14	57	131	9	11	2	.228	.323	.367	.690	.139	.284	24	11	.315	99	-0	+1	-4	+6	+15	1.9
2037	31	MLB 70%	DET	526	457	104	19	2	14	56	129	8	10	1	.228	.322	.370	.692	.142	.283	25	11	.311	96	-2	+2	-4	+6	+15	1.6
2038	32	MLB 71%	DET	508	441	99	18	2	13	54	128	8	9	0	.224	.320	.363	.683	.138	.281	25	11	.307	93	-4	+2	-5	+5	+14	1.3
2039	33	MLB 82%	DET	478	418	91	16	2	11	50	123	7	9	0	.218	.312	.344	.656	.127	.280	26	10	.301	89	-6	+2	-6	+5	+14	0.9
2040	34	MLB 92%	DET	431	376	81	14	2	10	45	115	7	8	0	.215	.311	.343	.654	.128	.278	27	10	.295	84	-8	+2	-6	+5	+12	0.4
2041	35	MLB	DET	377	329	69	12	2	8	39	104	6	7	0	.210	.305	.331	.636	.122	.276	28	10	.287	78	-9	+1	-7	+4	+11	0.0
2042	36	MLB	DET	318	278	55	9	1	6	32	91	5	6	0	.198	.292	.302	.594	.104	.273	29	10	.278	71	-10	+1	-7	+3	+9	-0.4
2043	37	MLB	DET	254	223	43	7	1	4	25	75	4	5	0	.193	.286	.287	.573	.094	.269	30	10	.269	64	-10	+1	-8	+3	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8465	7387	1664	298	39	209	853	2120	148	206	35	.225	.318	.361	.679	.136	.285	25	10	.306	92	-72	+27	-62	+91	+240	22.8
/ 162G	—			650	567	128	23	3	16	65	163	11	16	3	.226	.317	.362	.678	.136	.286	25	10	.306	92	-6	+2	-5	+7	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	86	81	20	3	0	0	3	29	1	6	1	.247	.282	.284	.566	.037	.377	34	3	.257	55	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Tigers	192	145	38	8	0	3	26	30	15	22	5	.262	.425	.379	.804	.117	.299	16	14	.365	138	+8	+2	—	—	+5	1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jude Warwick (OGILVIE)	20	20→50	25→40	60→57	40	.212/.280/.329	.116	.290	5	6	29%	7%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	.197/.264/.289	.093	.275	8	16	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.236/.299/.340	.104	.314	7	24	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.253/.315/.362	.109	.325	7	28	23%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	45→55	42→45	57→70	45	.220/.273/.329	.110	.277	8	17	23%	7%	66	-0.6	.218/.270/.313	.095	.291	8	18	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.260/.332/.371	.111	.354	9	50	27%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→51	43→55	56→55	48	.206/.282/.325	.120	.283	9	13	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.212/.283/.340	.128	.306	11	16	32%	9%	73	-0.1	.232/.314/.375	.143	.300	15	24	26%	11%	91	+0.8
●TJ Friedl 2017 · A	21	48→53	42→50	51→55	42	.228/.286/.337	.109	.309	8	10	28%	6%	73	-0.1	.226/.293/.326	.100	.295	6	15	24%	7%	74	-0.1	.246/.337/.381	.136	.276	15	18	16%	10%	103	+1.8
●Brandon Marsh 2018 · A	20	49→59	42→50	54→50	37	.235/.276/.347	.112	.314	8	11	27%	4%	72	-0.2	.221/.280/.325	.104	.331	8	12	33%	7%	68	-0.5	.262/.344/.424	.163	.366	16	16	30%	11%	115	+2.2
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A	20	46→56	39→50	53→50	46	.218/.277/.306	.088	.285	6	12	25%	7%	61	-1.0	.245/.301/.388	.143	.311	15	11	25%	7%	93	+1.3	.260/.330/.404	.144	.327	14	8	23%	9%	106	+1.8
●Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	42→52	40→45	52→55	45	.200/.258/.300	.100	.254	5	12	23%	6%	52	-1.6	.245/.295/.353	.108	.319	5	15	23%	6%	81	+0.4	.255/.310/.365	.110	.340	6	19	25%	6%	88	+0.5
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A	20	45→55	46→60	54→50	42	.223/.277/.357	.134	.288	13	15	27%	6%	75	-0.0	.225/.291/.388	.163	.272	19	14	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.237/.305/.454	.217	.309	28	3	32%	8%	109	+1.8
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	41→43	44→55	50	43	.203/.259/.325	.122	.273	11	7	29%	7%	59	-1.1	.199/.278/.352	.153	.276	18	12	33%	9%	75	-0.0	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	39→49	38→45	58→55	45	.188/.259/.276	.088	.265	5	16	29%	8%	46	-2.0	.210/.284/.296	.086	.280	6	17	25%	8%	63	-0.9	.229/.318/.327	.099	.300	9	17	24%	11%	81	+0.3
●Jackson Merrill 2023 · A	20	51→58	42→55	51→50	41	.244/.289/.355	.111	.326	9	12	27%	6%	79	+0.3	.259/.300/.414	.155	.299	17	12	19%	5%	99	+1.7	.266/.310/.441	.174	.301	19	10	18%	6%	107	+1.9
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	44→52	44→50	50→40	45	.216/.273/.341	.124	.279	10	8	26%	7%	69	-0.4	.232/.297/.343	.111	.298	9	4	23%	8%	79	+0.3	.223/.289/.369	.145	.265	17	3	22%	8%	81	+0.2
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→55	52→55	41	.212/.263/.298	.086	.291	6	10	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.258/.304/.406	.148	.329	14	21	25%	5%	99	+1.7	.278/.321/.456	.177	.328	21	21	21%	5%	116	+2.7
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	46→52	45→50	55	51	.224/.304/.359	.135	.280	11	21	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.231/.318/.378	.147	.301	14	21	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.227/.321/.379	.152	.295	16	24	26%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A	20	45→55	43→60	57→50	42	.218/.278/.332	.114	.297	9	12	29%	7%	69	-0.4	.225/.282/.404	.179	.286	22	13	29%	7%	90	+1.0	.222/.292/.404	.182	.285	20	15	29%	8%	91	+1.0
●CJ Abrams 2021 · A	20	50→53	42→55	54→60	45	.242/.287/.364	.122	.283	8	14	18%	5%	80	+0.4	.247/.293/.363	.116	.305	9	25	21%	5%	83	+0.6	.248/.310/.428	.179	.287	18	35	20%	6%	104	+2.1
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
✕Adan Velazquez 2010 · A	20	44→52	42→45	54→50	43	.216/.278/.330	.114	.279	9	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.209/.261/.304	.095	.292	7	10	29%	5%	54	-1.4	.246/.284/.346	.100	.296	10	4	20%	4%	72	-0.2
●Mallex Smith 2013 · A	20	49→59	38→45	53→65	39	.231/.274/.307	.076	.316	5	17	28%	5%	59	-1.1	.245/.313/.323	.078	.319	5	40	23%	8%	81	+0.4	.272/.334/.371	.099	.351	5	52	22%	8%	98	+1.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)