Yohairo Cuevas
OF Brooklyn Cyclones| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ANYM | 457 | .213/.334/.296 | 1 | 20 | 42 | — | .174/.262/.241 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+/ANYM | 378 | .252/.394/.334 | 2 | 21 | 75 | — | .218/.324/.289 |
| 2026 | 22 | AA/A+/ANYM | 310 | .215/.350/.406 | 8 | 10 | 60 | — | .175/.272/.331 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBNYM | 1 | .152/.251/.236 | 0 | 0 | 45 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBNYM | 83 | .159/.257/.255 | 1 | 2 | 52 | -0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | — | 133 | 103 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 41 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 155 | 336 | 214 | 549 | 58 | 250 | 31 | 17 | 274 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | — | 195 | 166 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 43 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 277 | 378 | 398 | 776 | 120 | 358 | 22 | 14 | 349 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 91 | 79 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 215 | 311 | 354 | 666 | 139 | 278 | 26 | 10 | 300 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Mets | — | 90 | 71 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 310 | 449 | 577 | 1.027 | 268 | 383 | 23 | 20 | 441 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 457 | 385 | 82 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 65 | 119 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 213 | 334 | 296 | 630 | 83 | 303 | 26 | 14 | 296 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 121 | 107 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 31 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 206 | 292 | 271 | 563 | 65 | 286 | 26 | 8 | 262 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 257 | 198 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 50 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 278 | 441 | 369 | 810 | 91 | 361 | 19 | 19 | 379 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 26 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 320 | 346 | 480 | 826 | 160 | 381 | 15 | 4 | 364 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 181 | 153 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 68 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 150 | 282 | 320 | 602 | 170 | 215 | 38 | 14 | 279 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 103 | 78 | 24 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 308 | 471 | 551 | 1.022 | 244 | 393 | 20 | 18 | 445 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 133 | 110 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 53 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 91 | 237 | 118 | 355 | 27 | 171 | 40 | 12 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 195 | 174 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 52 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 172 | 259 | 241 | 500 | 69 | 236 | 27 | 10 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 91 | 81 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 160 | 244 | 247 | 491 | 86 | 245 | 37 | 8 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 90 | 79 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 203 | 292 | 367 | 659 | 165 | 288 | 36 | 11 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 457 | 407 | 71 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 43 | 164 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 174 | 262 | 241 | 502 | 66 | 282 | 36 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 121 | 111 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 162 | 225 | 216 | 441 | 54 | 246 | 33 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 257 | 213 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 64 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 244 | 371 | 324 | 695 | 80 | 333 | 25 | 14 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 26 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 280 | 308 | 400 | 708 | 120 | 358 | 19 | 4 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 181 | 163 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 89 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 117 | 204 | 252 | 456 | 135 | 184 | 49 | 8 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 103 | 84 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 250 | 382 | 452 | 835 | 202 | 348 | 28 | 13 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 133 | 110 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 53 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 91 | 237 | 118 | 355 | 27 | 169 | 40 | 12 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets 1 | — | 133 | 103 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 41 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 155 | 336 | 214 | 549 | 58 | 250 | 31 | 17 | 274 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 195 | 173 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 52 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 173 | 259 | 243 | 502 | 69 | 238 | 27 | 10 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets 1 | — | 195 | 166 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 43 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 277 | 378 | 398 | 776 | 120 | 358 | 22 | 14 | 349 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 181 | 160 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 66 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 175 | 263 | 300 | 563 | 125 | 261 | 36 | 9 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 181 | 150 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 45 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 260 | 380 | 460 | 840 | 200 | 327 | 25 | 15 | 371 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 457 | 407 | 71 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 43 | 164 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 174 | 262 | 241 | 502 | 66 | 287 | 36 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A RAW | St. Lucie Mets | — | 457 | 385 | 82 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 65 | 119 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 213 | 334 | 296 | 630 | 83 | 303 | 26 | 14 | 296 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 378 | 324 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 104 | 11 | 21 | 3 | 219 | 327 | 290 | 617 | 71 | 314 | 28 | 11 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 378 | 305 | 77 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 60 | 81 | 11 | 21 | 3 | 252 | 394 | 334 | 728 | 82 | 335 | 21 | 16 | 342 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 310 | 272 | 46 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 122 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 169 | 269 | 309 | 577 | 140 | 276 | 39 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 310 | 256 | 55 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 45 | 93 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 215 | 350 | 406 | 756 | 191 | 301 | 30 | 15 | 341 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 133 | 111 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 53 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 90 | 237 | 117 | 354 | 27 | 171 | 40 | 12 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 195 | 173 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 52 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 173 | 259 | 243 | 502 | 69 | 236 | 27 | 10 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 181 | 160 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 66 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 175 | 263 | 300 | 563 | 125 | 266 | 36 | 9 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 457 | 406 | 71 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 43 | 164 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 175 | 262 | 241 | 503 | 67 | 282 | 36 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 378 | 323 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 104 | 11 | 21 | 3 | 220 | 327 | 291 | 618 | 71 | 305 | 28 | 11 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 310 | 270 | 46 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 122 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 170 | 269 | 311 | 580 | 141 | 253 | 39 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 457 | 406 | 71 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 43 | 164 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 175 | 262 | 241 | 503 | 67 | 282 | 36 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 378 | 323 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 104 | 11 | 21 | 3 | 220 | 327 | 291 | 618 | 71 | 305 | 28 | 11 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 310 | 270 | 46 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 122 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 170 | 269 | 311 | 580 | 141 | 253 | 39 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | NYM | 0% | 420 | 369 | 59 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 158 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 157 | 255 | 243 | 498 | 87 | 255 | 38 | 10 | 235 | 45 | -27 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +9 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | NYM | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 251 | 236 | 486 | 84 | 246 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 45 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | NYM | 30% | 275 | 241 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 101 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 165 | 262 | 263 | 525 | 99 | 258 | 37 | 10 | 245 | 52 | -16 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | NYM | 30% | 83 | 74 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 159 | 257 | 255 | 513 | 96 | 249 | 36 | 10 | 240 | 52 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 83 | 74 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 149 | 241 | 230 | 471 | 81 | 233 | 36 | 10 | 240 | 52 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 580 | 86 | 23 | 0 | 8 | 63 | 235 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 148 | 242 | 229 | 471 | 81 | 231 | 36 | 10 | 240 | 52 | -37 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2139 | 1870 | 325 | 85 | 9 | 20 | 214 | 741 | 40 | 88 | 17 | 174 | 273 | 261 | 534 | 87 | 272 | 35 | 10 | 245 | 52 | -29 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +11 | -2.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 99 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 65 | 225 | 12 | 27 | 5 | 174 | 273 | 262 | 535 | 88 | 273 | 35 | 10 | 245 | 52 | -39 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 181 PAwOBA .272 → .191 (−81)K% 37.6% → 49.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.57% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 49.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 8.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.66% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 11.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 3.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 2.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 6.20% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .272 → .191; ISO .170 → .129; BABIP .215 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ASt. Lucie Mets · 103 PAwOBA .439 → .358 (−81)K% 20.4% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.39% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 27.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 12.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.85% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 3.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×0.990 | 16.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 19.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×0.990 | 16.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.031 | ×0.990 | 1.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .439 → .358; ISO .244 → .206; BABIP .393 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 26 PAwOBA .353 → .314 (−39)K% 15.4% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 2.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 18.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 16.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .353 → .314; ISO .160 → .137; BABIP .381 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ASt. Lucie Mets · 257 PAwOBA .370 → .318 (−52)K% 19.5% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.46% | ÷1.060 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.68% | ÷0.953 | ×0.690 | — | — | 13.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.11% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.70% | ÷0.977 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | — | 25.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | — | 7.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.855 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.26% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 95, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 112, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .370 → .318; ISO .091 → .086; BABIP .361 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 121 PAwOBA .258 → .197 (−61)K% 25.6% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.62% | ÷1.011 | ×1.310 | — | — | 33.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.26% | ÷1.022 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 4.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.48% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 1.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.021 | ×0.870 | ×1.019 | ×1.012 | 18.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.58% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | ×1.019 | ×1.012 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.051 | ×0.850 | ×1.019 | ×1.012 | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.073 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 110, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .258 → .197; ISO .065 → .051; BABIP .286 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ASt. Lucie Mets · 457 PAwOBA .290 → .230 (−60)K% 26.0% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.04% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.92% | ÷0.957 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×1.015 | 19.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.15% | ÷0.954 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×1.015 | 8.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.985 | ×1.015 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.38% | ÷0.826 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.37% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 91, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .290 → .230; ISO .083 → .067; BABIP .303 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ASt. Lucie Mets · 91 PAwOBA .296 → .219 (−77)K% 26.4% → 37.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.37% | ÷0.947 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.89% | ÷0.977 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 7.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.20% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.054 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×1.030 | 18.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | ×1.009 | ×1.030 | 4.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.009 | ×1.030 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.274 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.35% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 111, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 89, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .296 → .219; ISO .139 → .091; BABIP .278 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Mets · 90 PAwOBA .432 → .299 (−134)K% 23.3% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.33% | ÷0.949 | ×1.440 | — | — | 35.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.89% | ÷1.004 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 11.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 20.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 4.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 5.97% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 109, 2B 91, 3B 96, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .432 → .299; ISO .268 → .190; BABIP .383 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).