Jarryd Dale
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | AAA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 694 | .214/.317/.301 | 7 | 31 | 50 | — | .169/.261/.229 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 199 | .291/.369/.400 | 2 | 10 | 93 | — | .181/.262/.320 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 263 | .283/.336/.405 | 6 | 10 | 90 | — | .141/.184/.230 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 15 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 70 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 217 | 279 | 497 | 74 | 271 | 27 | 1 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 16 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 158 | 147 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 265 | 312 | 388 | 700 | 122 | 353 | 27 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | — | 131 | 120 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 47 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 183 | 252 | 233 | 485 | 50 | 301 | 36 | 5 | 229 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 108 | 94 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 181 | 274 | 202 | 476 | 21 | 239 | 22 | 10 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | — | 123 | 113 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 301 | 358 | 345 | 703 | 44 | 442 | 29 | 7 | 323 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 97 | 92 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 196 | 237 | 250 | 487 | 54 | 293 | 34 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 19 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 88 | 80 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 263 | 289 | 375 | 664 | 112 | 339 | 26 | 3 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 446 | 402 | 108 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 109 | 6 | 31 | 8 | 269 | 332 | 381 | 712 | 112 | 352 | 24 | 7 | 318 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 33 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 344 | 296 | 640 | 74 | 286 | 21 | 15 | 293 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 519 | 435 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 130 | 4 | 27 | 7 | 198 | 320 | 278 | 598 | 80 | 269 | 25 | 14 | 281 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 142 | 132 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 265 | 302 | 379 | 681 | 114 | 337 | 25 | 4 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 45 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 356 | 405 | 761 | 189 | 368 | 38 | 13 | 346 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 35 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 258 | 343 | 419 | 762 | 161 | 308 | 14 | 11 | 339 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 119 | 107 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 327 | 381 | 393 | 774 | 65 | 405 | 18 | 7 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 93 | 85 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 141 | 189 | 271 | 459 | 129 | 164 | 30 | 3 | 201 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 29 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 269 | 345 | 346 | 691 | 77 | 438 | 34 | 10 | 315 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL | Melbourne Aces | — | 141 | 126 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 381 | 431 | 508 | 939 | 127 | 441 | 16 | 7 | 407 | 161 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 2 | — | 131 | 123 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 68 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 106 | 160 | 130 | 290 | 24 | 239 | 52 | 3 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 2 | — | 123 | 117 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 52 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 197 | 236 | 222 | 458 | 26 | 358 | 42 | 3 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 446 | 413 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 159 | 6 | 31 | 8 | 208 | 257 | 293 | 550 | 85 | 310 | 36 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 33 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 312 | 286 | 598 | 71 | 251 | 27 | 12 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 519 | 457 | 76 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 52 | 167 | 4 | 27 | 7 | 166 | 257 | 225 | 483 | 59 | 248 | 32 | 10 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 45 | 39 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 289 | 333 | 622 | 154 | 303 | 47 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 35 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 182 | 229 | 303 | 532 | 121 | 230 | 20 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 93 | 86 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 116 | 156 | 209 | 365 | 93 | 148 | 38 | 2 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 29 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 276 | 296 | 572 | 74 | 390 | 45 | 7 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 15 | INTL MLE | Melbourne Aces | — | 70 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 217 | 279 | 497 | 74 | 271 | 27 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 15 | INTL RAW | Melbourne Aces | — | 70 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 217 | 279 | 497 | 74 | 271 | 27 | 1 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 16 | INTL MLE | Melbourne Aces | — | 158 | 147 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 265 | 312 | 388 | 700 | 122 | 353 | 27 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 16 | INTL RAW | Melbourne Aces | — | 158 | 147 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 265 | 312 | 388 | 700 | 122 | 353 | 27 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 239 | 224 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 124 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 107 | 156 | 134 | 290 | 27 | 238 | 52 | 3 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 239 | 214 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 71 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 182 | 262 | 220 | 481 | 37 | 271 | 30 | 8 | 228 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 220 | 210 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 93 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 200 | 236 | 229 | 465 | 29 | 359 | 42 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 220 | 205 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 69 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 254 | 305 | 302 | 607 | 49 | 378 | 31 | 6 | 279 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 19 | INTL MLE | Melbourne Aces | — | 88 | 80 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 263 | 289 | 375 | 664 | 112 | 339 | 26 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 19 | INTL RAW | Melbourne Aces | — | 88 | 80 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 263 | 289 | 375 | 664 | 112 | 339 | 26 | 3 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 446 | 413 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 159 | 6 | 31 | 8 | 208 | 257 | 293 | 550 | 85 | 321 | 36 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A RAW | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 446 | 402 | 108 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 109 | 6 | 31 | 8 | 269 | 332 | 381 | 712 | 112 | 352 | 24 | 7 | 318 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 694 | 608 | 103 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 71 | 220 | 5 | 31 | 9 | 169 | 262 | 232 | 494 | 62 | 254 | 32 | 10 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 694 | 594 | 127 | 25 | 3 | 7 | 85 | 172 | 5 | 31 | 9 | 214 | 317 | 301 | 619 | 88 | 285 | 25 | 12 | 285 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 199 | 177 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 71 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 164 | 253 | 282 | 535 | 119 | 260 | 36 | 9 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 199 | 175 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 291 | 369 | 400 | 769 | 109 | 380 | 22 | 9 | 346 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 263 | 244 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 102 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 139 | 180 | 225 | 405 | 86 | 209 | 39 | 3 | 181 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 263 | 237 | 67 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 60 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 283 | 336 | 405 | 741 | 122 | 353 | 23 | 6 | 324 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 239 | 224 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 124 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 107 | 156 | 134 | 290 | 27 | 239 | 52 | 3 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 220 | 208 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 93 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 202 | 236 | 231 | 467 | 29 | 358 | 42 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 446 | 416 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 159 | 6 | 31 | 8 | 207 | 257 | 291 | 548 | 84 | 310 | 36 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 694 | 613 | 103 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 71 | 220 | 5 | 31 | 9 | 168 | 262 | 230 | 492 | 62 | 248 | 32 | 10 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 199 | 176 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 71 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 165 | 253 | 284 | 537 | 119 | 271 | 36 | 9 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 263 | 249 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 102 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 137 | 180 | 221 | 401 | 84 | 206 | 39 | 3 | 181 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 263 | 249 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 102 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 137 | 180 | 221 | 401 | 84 | 206 | 39 | 3 | 181 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2377 | 2171 | 392 | 75 | 9 | 22 | 148 | 853 | 25 | 104 | 34 | 181 | 241 | 254 | 495 | 73 | 283 | 36 | 6 | 185 | 12 | -250 | +7 | +0 | +25 | +52 | -16.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 107 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 233 | 7 | 28 | 9 | 180 | 240 | 253 | 493 | 72 | 281 | 36 | 6 | 185 | 12 | -68 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -4.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AASan Antonio Missions · 93 PAwOBA .198 → .165 (−33)K% 30.1% → 37.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.11% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.23% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 2.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.15% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.28% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 11.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.51% | ÷0.957 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 3.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.953 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.47% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .198 → .165; ISO .129 → .106; BABIP .164 → .148. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 29 PAwOBA .308 → .231 (−77)K% 34.5% → 44.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.48% | ÷0.982 | ×1.270 | — | — | 44.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.50% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 34.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.082 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 4.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.916 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 116, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .308 → .231; ISO .077 → .052; BABIP .438 → .390. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 45 PAwOBA .338 → .250 (−88)K% 37.8% → 47.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.78% | ÷1.014 | ×1.270 | — | — | 47.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 9.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.44% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 3.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 14.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.118 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 14.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.848 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.71% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 91, 2B 124, 3B 130, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .338 → .250; ISO .189 → .138; BABIP .368 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Padres · 35 PAwOBA .331 → .229 (−102)K% 14.3% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.983 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷0.972 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 7.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.006 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 12.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.54% | ÷1.001 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 8.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.931 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 2.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 86, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .331 → .229; ISO .161 → .112; BABIP .308 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 519 PAwOBA .276 → .227 (−49)K% 25.0% → 32.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.05% | ÷0.992 | ×1.270 | — | — | 32.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.26% | ÷1.011 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 10.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.33% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×1.012 | 19.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.57% | ÷0.935 | ×0.810 | ×0.996 | ×1.012 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.996 | ×1.012 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.31% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.15% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 96, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .276 → .227; ISO .080 → .067; BABIP .269 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 33 PAwOBA .296 → .246 (−50)K% 21.2% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.21% | ÷0.959 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.15% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 11.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 18.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.133 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 7.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.138 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 109, 2B 127, 3B 100, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .296 → .246; ISO .074 → .059; BABIP .286 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ALake Elsinore Storm · 446 PAwOBA .311 → .241 (−70)K% 24.4% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.44% | ÷0.932 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.95% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 4.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.28% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | ×1.015 | 23.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.85% | ÷1.053 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×1.015 | 6.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.028 | ×0.910 | ×0.980 | ×1.015 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.05% | ÷0.815 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.04% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 100, 2B 111, 3B 106, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .311 → .241; ISO .112 → .087; BABIP .352 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKAZL Padres 2 · 123 PAwOBA .312 → .211 (−100)K% 29.3% → 42.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 42.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 3.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 31.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 4.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .312 → .211; ISO .044 → .027; BABIP .442 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .