Jarryd Dale — OGILVIE

Jarryd DaleSS Melbourne Aces

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs INTL HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .259 / .305

PA15

HR0

K%30

BB%7

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	15	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	70	68	14	2	0	1	1	19	0	1	1	206	217	279	497	74	271	27	1	219	34	-5	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2017	16	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	158	147	39	7	1	3	10	42	0	2	2	265	312	388	700	122	353	27	6	311	97	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2018	17	ROK	AZL Padres 2	—	131	120	22	6	0	0	7	47	4	3	1	183	252	233	485	50	301	36	5	229	41	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2018	17	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	108	94	17	2	0	0	11	24	1	4	1	181	274	202	476	21	239	22	10	227	40	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2019	18	ROK	AZL Padres 2	—	123	113	34	5	0	0	8	36	2	6	1	301	358	345	703	44	442	29	7	323	105	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2019	18	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	97	92	18	2	0	1	5	33	0	2	2	196	237	250	487	54	293	34	5	224	38	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2020	19	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	88	80	21	3	0	2	3	23	0	4	1	263	289	375	664	112	339	26	3	279	75	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2021	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	446	402	108	23	2	6	32	109	6	31	8	269	332	381	712	112	352	24	7	318	101	+1	+3	—	—	+10	1.4
2022	21	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	33	27	6	2	0	0	5	7	0	0	0	222	344	296	640	74	286	21	15	293	85	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	21	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	519	435	86	17	3	4	74	130	4	27	7	198	320	278	598	80	269	25	14	281	76	-15	+3	—	—	+11	-0.1
2022	21	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	142	132	35	6	0	3	6	35	1	4	2	265	302	379	681	114	337	25	4	299	88	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2023	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	45	37	8	4	0	1	6	17	2	1	1	216	356	405	761	189	368	38	13	346	121	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	22	ROK	ACL Padres	—	35	31	8	3	1	0	4	5	0	6	0	258	343	419	762	161	308	14	11	339	116	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	22	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	119	107	35	4	0	1	8	22	2	3	3	327	381	393	774	65	405	18	7	348	122	+3	-1	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	93	85	12	2	0	3	3	28	2	1	1	141	189	271	459	129	164	30	3	201	22	-9	-0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	29	26	7	0	1	0	3	10	0	1	0	269	345	346	691	77	438	34	10	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	23	INTL	Melbourne Aces	—	141	126	48	7	0	3	10	22	1	8	3	381	431	508	939	127	441	16	7	407	161	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	—	131	123	13	3	0	0	4	68	4	3	1	106	160	130	290	24	233	52	3	136	-22	-19	+0	—	—	+3	-1.6
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	—	123	117	23	3	0	0	4	52	2	6	1	197	236	222	458	26	356	42	3	210	28	-10	+1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2021	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	446	413	85	16	2	5	21	159	6	31	8	206	255	291	545	85	306	36	5	237	47	-28	+3	—	—	+10	-1.6
2022	21	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	33	28	4	1	0	0	4	9	0	0	0	143	250	179	429	36	232	27	12	227	40	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	21	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	519	457	73	14	2	3	52	177	4	27	7	160	251	219	470	59	243	34	10	220	35	-40	+3	—	—	+11	-2.7
2023	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	45	39	5	2	0	1	4	23	2	1	1	128	244	256	501	128	306	51	9	241	49	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	35	32	6	2	1	0	3	7	0	6	0	188	257	312	570	125	238	20	9	237	47	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	93	86	10	2	0	2	2	35	2	1	1	116	156	209	365	93	150	38	2	163	-4	-11	-0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2024	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	29	27	6	0	1	0	2	14	0	1	0	222	276	296	572	74	390	48	7	220	35	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2016	15	INTL MLE	Melbourne Aces	—	70	68	14	2	0	1	1	19	0	1	1	206	217	279	497	74	271	27	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	15	INTL RAW	Melbourne Aces	—	70	68	14	2	0	1	1	19	0	1	1	206	217	279	497	74	271	27	1	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	16	INTL MLE	Melbourne Aces	—	158	147	39	7	1	3	10	42	0	2	2	265	312	388	700	122	353	27	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	16	INTL RAW	Melbourne Aces	—	158	147	39	7	1	3	10	42	0	2	2	265	312	388	700	122	353	27	6	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	239	224	24	6	0	0	8	124	5	7	2	107	156	134	290	27	238	52	3	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	239	214	39	8	0	0	18	71	5	7	2	182	262	220	481	37	271	30	8	228	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	220	210	41	5	0	0	8	93	2	8	3	195	232	219	451	24	350	42	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	220	205	52	7	0	1	13	69	2	8	3	254	305	302	607	49	378	31	6	279	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL MLE	Melbourne Aces	—	88	80	21	3	0	2	3	23	0	4	1	263	289	375	664	112	339	26	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	19	INTL RAW	Melbourne Aces	—	88	80	21	3	0	2	3	23	0	4	1	263	289	375	664	112	339	26	3	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	446	413	85	16	2	5	21	159	6	31	8	206	255	291	545	85	317	36	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	446	402	108	23	2	6	32	109	6	31	8	269	332	381	712	112	352	24	7	318	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	694	609	99	20	3	4	70	234	5	31	9	163	254	225	479	62	252	34	10	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	694	594	127	25	3	7	85	172	5	31	9	214	317	301	619	88	285	25	12	285	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	199	177	29	11	2	2	17	75	4	10	4	164	253	282	535	119	270	38	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	199	175	51	11	1	2	18	44	4	10	4	291	369	400	769	109	380	22	9	346	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	263	244	33	4	1	5	9	104	3	10	4	135	176	221	397	86	204	40	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	263	237	67	9	1	6	16	60	3	10	4	283	336	405	741	122	353	23	6	324	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	239	224	24	6	0	0	8	124	5	7	2	107	156	134	290	27	233	52	3	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	220	208	41	5	0	0	8	93	2	8	3	197	232	221	453	24	356	42	4	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	446	416	85	16	2	5	21	159	6	31	8	204	255	288	543	84	306	36	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	694	614	99	20	3	4	70	234	5	31	9	161	254	223	478	62	242	34	10	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	199	176	29	11	2	2	17	75	4	10	4	165	253	284	537	119	276	38	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	263	249	33	4	1	5	9	104	3	10	4	133	176	217	393	84	207	40	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	199	176	29	11	2	2	17	75	4	10	4	165	253	284	537	119	276	38	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	263	249	33	4	1	5	9	104	3	10	4	133	176	217	393	84	207	40	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	272	33	7	257	60	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	30%	288	263	54	10	2	6	20	85	3	5	1	205	269	327	596	122	274	30	7	266	66	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	42%	332	301	63	12	2	7	24	96	4	6	2	209	277	332	609	123	276	29	7	271	69	-12	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	SD	48%	360	327	68	13	2	8	26	103	4	6	2	208	275	333	608	125	276	29	7	273	71	-13	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	SD	49%	368	334	69	13	2	8	27	106	4	6	2	207	274	329	603	123	276	29	7	272	70	-13	+0	-1	+4	+8	-0.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	SD	50%	374	340	70	13	2	8	27	109	4	6	1	206	272	326	599	121	275	29	7	270	69	-14	+1	-2	+4	+8	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	30%	87	80	17	3	1	2	6	26	1	2	0	212	276	350	626	137	272	30	7	257	66	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	42%	138	125	26	5	1	3	10	40	2	3	1	208	277	336	613	128	273	29	7	261	69	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	SD	48%	171	155	32	6	1	4	12	49	2	3	1	206	272	335	608	129	273	29	7	263	71	-6	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	SD	49%	181	164	34	6	1	4	13	52	2	3	1	207	274	329	603	122	273	29	7	263	70	-6	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	SD	50%	188	170	34	6	1	4	14	55	2	3	1	200	269	318	586	118	272	29	7	260	69	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	765	694	143	26	5	17	55	222	9	14	4	206	273	331	604	125	275	29	7	261	34	-28	+1	-2	+8	+17	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	121	22	4	14	47	189	8	12	3	205	273	327	600	122	274	29	7	261	34	-24	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4114	3751	712	136	19	59	272	1377	44	133	42	190	253	283	536	94	279	33	7	219	34	-64	+3	-4	+19	+38	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	112	21	3	9	43	218	7	21	7	189	252	280	532	91	279	34	7	219	34	-24	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.4	935	19	16	206	269	325	+10	+9	0.1	0.1
/162	664	13	11	+7.1	+6.4	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jarryd Dale (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	197/259/305	108	272	3	3	30%	7%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	43→50	48→50	38	180/243/288	107	283	11	11	39%	7%	50	-2.3	191/251/293	102	287	8	10	34%	7%	53	-2.1	154/212/246	92	221	3	6	30%	7%	25	-1.0
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	39	44→40	50	44	196/280/314	118	270	12	12	31%	8%	70	-0.8	201/290/289	88	281	7	11	29%	9%	68	-1.0	190/279/259	68	265	4	8	27%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	35→31	44→45	49→50	44	183/254/292	109	241	13	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	205/280/316	111	277	12	12	28%	9%	70	-0.8	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	37→35	45→50	51→55	39	190/251/306	117	268	13	16	34%	6%	57	-1.8	204/278/330	126	297	13	15	34%	8%	73	-0.6	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	38→40	44→50	51→50	39	193/251/307	114	272	12	15	33%	6%	57	-1.8	199/261/336	137	306	16	11	38%	7%	68	-1.0	179/258/334	155	270	19	6	39%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/244/306	122	245	15	10	31%	6%	55	-2.0	208/254/339	131	279	15	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	189/257/298	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	192/267/306	114	292	12	14	36%	9%	63	-1.3	172/260/273	101	275	11	16	38%	10%	51	-1.1
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/280/293	102	262	10	6	29%	9%	65	-1.2	199/277/327	128	250	14	10	25%	7%	72	-0.7	186/267/323	137	222	16	12	24%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Chris Williams 2022 · AA	25	37→32	44→55	50→40	44	178/267/295	117	306	11	6	42%	10%	61	-1.5	191/270/355	164	283	21	5	38%	9%	76	-0.4	176/260/345	169	249	23	4	38%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	44	198/278/323	125	278	13	16	32%	8%	72	-0.7	198/274/306	108	267	10	16	28%	8%	65	-1.2	157/242/244	87	210	7	20	27%	8%	37	-1.4
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	42→45	50→40	39	192/251/296	104	277	10	5	33%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/332	124	274	13	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Ben Rortvedt 2023 · MLB	25	38	46→45	46→40	39	196/258/318	122	283	14	4	35%	7%	63	-1.4	207/287/317	110	285	12	5	29%	9%	74	-0.6	195/283/285	90	265	9	2	28%	9%	64	-0.6
✕Davis Wendzel 2022 · AAA	25	43→28	45→50	43→40	43	214/288/336	122	284	13	5	28%	7%	78	-0.3	189/264/329	140	246	18	5	30%	8%	68	-1.0	196/273/324	129	231	14	4	22%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	42→40	49→50	48	189/277/293	104	262	10	13	30%	10%	65	-1.2	203/300/302	99	285	9	11	29%	11%	76	-0.4	188/304/272	85	264	8	11	28%	12%	68	-0.6
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	191/254/290	99	287	9	12	35%	8%	54	-2.0	206/269/313	107	301	10	9	33%	8%	65	-1.2	165/225/251	86	232	8	0	31%	7%	32	-0.7
✕Cam Devanney 2022 · AA	25	36→41	40→50	44→45	40	179/245/262	83	256	8	7	32%	6%	45	-2.7	212/275/354	142	276	15	7	28%	7%	77	-0.3	214/279/364	149	276	16	7	27%	7%	78	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps