Ethan MurraySS
Nashville Sounds
Age 26
R/R
5'11" / 201 lbs
AAA
BB +10%HR +7%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.1 · 2028
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .273 / .295
PA250
HR4
SB6
K%32
BB%8
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
50→50
SPD
55→55
EYE
50↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-0.8M | $-9M | -$8M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | 2 teams | 157 | 141 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .191 | .269 | .305 | .574 | .113 | .247 | 27 | 8 | .249 | 49 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 402 | 360 | 59 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 139 | 6 | 16 | 4 | .164 | .242 | .256 | .497 | .092 | .245 | 35 | 8 | .225 | 30 | -32 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +11 | -1.5 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 413 | 369 | 83 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 135 | 4 | 10 | 5 | .225 | .301 | .331 | .631 | .106 | .338 | 33 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 317 | 287 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 102 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .157 | .229 | .216 | .445 | .059 | .238 | 32 | 7 | .204 | 14 | -31 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -1.8 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 372 | 327 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 117 | 7 | 16 | 1 | .202 | .289 | .309 | .598 | .107 | .285 | 31 | 9 | .267 | 62 | -16 | +3 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 45 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .195 | .250 | .195 | .445 | .000 | .348 | 42 | 4 | .207 | 17 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIL | 205 | 184 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 67 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .201 | .276 | .299 | .575 | .098 | .289 | 33 | 8 | .258 | 56 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -0.2 |
| TOT | 26 | MLB | MIL | 250 | 225 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 86 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .200 | .271 | .280 | .551 | .080 | .304 | 34 | 7 | .249 | 49 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 25% | MIL | 336 | 301 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 94 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .203 | .279 | .299 | .578 | .096 | .275 | 28 | 8 | .268 | 63 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 37% | MIL | 364 | 325 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 101 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .206 | .285 | .308 | .593 | .102 | .276 | 28 | 9 | .271 | 66 | -14 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 47% | MIL | 373 | 333 | 68 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 104 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .204 | .284 | .303 | .587 | .099 | .276 | 28 | 9 | .272 | 66 | -14 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 55% | MIL | 378 | 338 | 69 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 106 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .204 | .283 | .302 | .584 | .098 | .275 | 28 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -15 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 66% | MIL | 369 | 329 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 105 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .201 | .281 | .298 | .579 | .097 | .274 | 28 | 9 | .266 | 62 | -16 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 83% | MIL | 354 | 317 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 102 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .199 | .276 | .290 | .567 | .091 | .272 | 29 | 8 | .262 | 58 | -17 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 326 | 291 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 97 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .192 | .272 | .275 | .547 | .082 | .271 | 30 | 9 | .256 | 54 | -17 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +9 | -0.8 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 284 | 255 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 87 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .192 | .270 | .282 | .552 | .090 | .269 | 31 | 8 | .250 | 50 | -16 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +8 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4650 | 4157 | 816 | 162 | 17 | 66 | 389 | 1398 | 61 | 96 | 18 | .196 | .275 | .291 | .566 | .095 | .276 | 30 | 8 | .258 | 55 | -234 | +12 | -20 | +50 | +132 | -6.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 581 | 114 | 23 | 2 | 9 | 54 | 195 | 9 | 13 | 3 | .196 | .275 | .289 | .564 | .093 | .276 | 30 | 8 | .258 | 55 | -33 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +18 | -0.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 132 | 112 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .232 | .344 | .375 | .719 | .143 | .284 | 22 | 13 | .325 | 107 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Brewers Blue | 25 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .227 | .320 | .273 | .593 | .045 | .250 | 8 | 12 | .280 | 72 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 42 | 35 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .257 | .381 | .429 | .810 | .171 | .320 | 21 | 17 | .365 | 138 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 360 | 315 | 67 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 97 | 6 | 14 | 4 | .213 | .301 | .327 | .628 | .114 | .286 | 27 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -10 | +1 | — | — | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 413 | 351 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 53 | 93 | 4 | 10 | 5 | .256 | .359 | .370 | .730 | .114 | .331 | 23 | 13 | .331 | 111 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 1.7 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 317 | 277 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 78 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .177 | .274 | .253 | .527 | .076 | .237 | 25 | 10 | .247 | 47 | -19 | +0 | — | — | +9 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 114 | 101 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .198 | .277 | .248 | .524 | .050 | .271 | 28 | 9 | .243 | 44 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 258 | 210 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 58 | 6 | 12 | 0 | .257 | .388 | .438 | .826 | .181 | .315 | 22 | 15 | .369 | 140 | +12 | +2 | — | — | +7 | 2.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ethan Murray (OGILVIE) | 26 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 60 | .195/.273/.295 | .100 | .281 | 4 | 6 | 32% | 8% | 59 | -0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Drew Jackson 2019 · AA |
26 | 42→45 | 44→45 | 50→55 | 43 | .210/.281/.323 | .113 | .279 | 11 | 17 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .198/.276/.314 | .116 | .288 | 12 | 20 | 33% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .181/.268/.277 | .096 | .287 | 10 | 25 | 37% | 9% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Danny Worth 2012 · MLB |
26 | 46→53 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .222/.271/.319 | .097 | .291 | 8 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .211/.274/.310 | .099 | .297 | 7 | 15 | 29% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .222/.290/.321 | .098 | .325 | 7 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Tony Thomas 2012 · AAA |
26 | 41→46 | 46→50 | 52→55 | 39 | .208/.257/.340 | .133 | .277 | 13 | 15 | 30% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .203/.249/.338 | .135 | .283 | 13 | 17 | 32% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .196/.242/.333 | .137 | .279 | 12 | 16 | 33% | 5% | 51 | -1.2 |
|
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2021 · MLB |
26 | 47→55 | 43→45 | 55→50 | 41 | .229/.278/.336 | .108 | .307 | 12 | 16 | 29% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .227/.279/.334 | .107 | .299 | 10 | 8 | 26% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .223/.276/.324 | .101 | .291 | 9 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA |
27 | 42→46 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 43 | .206/.269/.317 | .110 | .278 | 10 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .201/.276/.293 | .092 | .275 | 7 | 9 | 27% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.273/.268 | .077 | .259 | 6 | 10 | 26% | 9% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕Tyler Henson 2014 · AAA |
26 | 44→51 | 42→45 | 49→55 | 39 | .211/.267/.316 | .106 | .311 | 9 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .222/.267/.330 | .108 | .312 | 9 | 19 | 30% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .219/.260/.315 | .096 | .296 | 7 | 24 | 27% | 4% | 54 | -1.1 |
|
✕Corey Toups 2018 · AAA |
25 | 44→47 | 43→45 | 55→50 | 40 | .212/.271/.329 | .117 | .297 | 10 | 17 | 31% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .203/.266/.307 | .104 | .321 | 10 | 15 | 37% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .177/.247/.258 | .081 | .300 | 9 | 19 | 41% | 7% | 34 | -1.3 |
|
✕Mike Ahmed 2018 · AAA |
26 | 44→46 | 45→50 | 46→50 | 44 | .216/.285/.341 | .124 | .300 | 13 | 11 | 31% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .205/.263/.320 | .115 | .324 | 12 | 8 | 38% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .187/.242/.291 | .104 | .306 | 10 | 6 | 40% | 5% | 41 | -1.0 |
|
✕Tyler Goeddel 2019 · MLB |
26 | 43→49 | 41→45 | 51→55 | 45 | .209/.273/.307 | .098 | .268 | 8 | 12 | 24% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .200/.263/.289 | .089 | .299 | 7 | 8 | 33% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .162/.232/.217 | .055 | .281 | 2 | 2 | 40% | 7% | 19 | -1.5 |
|
✕J.E. Cruz 2007 · AA |
26 | 44→48 | 41→45 | 51→45 | 46 | .213/.282/.313 | .099 | .287 | 7 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .208/.280/.310 | .102 | .281 | 7 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .183/.263/.285 | .102 | .246 | 7 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 51 | -0.9 |
|
✕Jacob Buchberger 2023 · AA |
25 | 47→46 | 41→45 | 53→50 | 45 | .225/.282/.322 | .097 | .294 | 8 | 12 | 25% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .210/.272/.320 | .110 | .287 | 12 | 13 | 29% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .195/.260/.302 | .107 | .269 | 13 | 13 | 31% | 7% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Matthew Batten 2021 · AAA |
26 | 47→49 | 40→45 | 47→55 | 40 | .223/.274/.315 | .092 | .315 | 8 | 13 | 31% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .218/.283/.308 | .090 | .313 | 9 | 23 | 31% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .209/.285/.299 | .091 | .294 | 9 | 27 | 30% | 9% | 60 | -0.8 |
|
✕JaCoby Jones 2018 · MLB |
26 | 43→47 | 44→50 | 52→50 | 37 | .210/.262/.326 | .116 | .316 | 11 | 16 | 36% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .218/.279/.369 | .151 | .302 | 15 | 14 | 31% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .222/.290/.398 | .176 | .297 | 18 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 88 | +0.5 |
|
✕Gosuke Katoh 2021 · AAA |
26 | 45→49 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 44 | .218/.283/.319 | .101 | .312 | 10 | 12 | 32% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .219/.281/.335 | .116 | .299 | 11 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .210/.275/.325 | .115 | .283 | 10 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Hunter Stovall 2023 · AA |
26 | 50→49 | 42→45 | 51→50 | 43 | .240/.289/.350 | .110 | .317 | 9 | 16 | 27% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .227/.274/.322 | .095 | .279 | 9 | 15 | 21% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .218/.266/.302 | .084 | .259 | 9 | 16 | 19% | 6% | 52 | -1.0 |
|
✕Paul Gran 2012 · AA |
26 | 46→45 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 40 | .220/.281/.332 | .112 | .303 | 9 | 9 | 29% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .207/.278/.313 | .106 | .301 | 8 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .194/.275/.284 | .090 | .287 | 7 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 56 | -0.9 |
|
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2023 · AAA |
25 | 42→43 | 42→40 | 53→50 | 47 | .203/.276/.304 | .102 | .285 | 9 | 12 | 31% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .206/.288/.308 | .102 | .305 | 9 | 15 | 32% | 10% | 68 | -0.5 | .196/.288/.293 | .097 | .294 | 9 | 17 | 33% | 11% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Richie Martin Jr. 2021 · MLB |
26 | 47→53 | 43→45 | 54→60 | 42 | .231/.283/.344 | .113 | .295 | 10 | 18 | 25% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .214/.281/.313 | .099 | .287 | 7 | 25 | 26% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .203/.282/.295 | .092 | .280 | 4 | 40 | 26% | 7% | 58 | -0.7 |
|
✕Seth Bynum 2007 · AA |
26 | 44 | 39→55 | 48→50 | 43 | .209/.269/.296 | .087 | .292 | 6 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .217/.266/.340 | .123 | .294 | 13 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .219/.261/.365 | .147 | .289 | 18 | 5 | 31% | 5% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕Hunter Jones 2018 · AA |
26 | 43→53 | 40→45 | 54→55 | 42 | .208/.264/.303 | .095 | .271 | 7 | 17 | 26% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .224/.280/.321 | .097 | .295 | 8 | 13 | 25% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .232/.288/.317 | .085 | .307 | 7 | 13 | 25% | 6% | 66 | -0.3 |