Trey Paige3B Springfield Cardinals
Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 215 lbs AA HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.2 · 2028
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .266 / .302
PA320
HR6
SB12
K%36
BB%9
MLB%2%
BAT: -13.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: +1.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
4040
PWR
4545
SPD
5050
EYE
5255
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2028

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Arb-1$0.8M+0.2$0.9M+$0.0M
2030Arb-2$0.9M+0.1$0.5M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-3$0.9M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.2M
2033Ext / FA-deal$0.4M
2034Ext / FA-deal$0.6M
Totals $2M $-7M -$9M
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202322 APalm Beach Cardinals 6150 4000 6222 00 .080.207.080.287 .000.129 3610 .157 -22 -8 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.7
202423 A2 teams 395354 671241 351432 62 .189.266.254.520 .065.311 369 .241 43 -26 +0 +0 +1 +11 -1.3
202524 AA2 teams 373337 66966 301372 83 .196.266.312.577 .116.306 378 .252 51 -21 +0 +0 +1 +11 -0.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202625 AASpringfield Cardinals 5043 10300 6141 50 .233.340.302.642 .070.345 2812 .282 74 -1 +1 +0 +0 +1 0.1
ROS25 MLBSTL 270242 46824 24942 71 .190.269.289.558 .099.297 359 .265 61 -12 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.2
TOT25 MLBSTL 320285 561124 301083 121 .196.280.291.571 .095.299 349 .268 63 -13 +2 +0 +1 +9 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202726 MLB 11%STL 351312 651137 331083 81 .208.290.330.620 .122.289 319 .279 72 -11 +1 +0 +1 +10 0.1
202827 MLB 26%STL 379337 691237 361153 81 .205.287.320.608 .116.290 309 .282 74 -11 +1 +0 +1 +11 0.2
202928 MLB 38%STL 395351 731338 381193 81 .208.291.330.621 .123.289 3010 .283 75 -11 +1 -1 +1 +11 0.2
203029 MLB 47%STL 396352 731338 381203 71 .207.290.330.620 .122.289 3010 .282 74 -12 +1 -1 +1 +11 0.1
203130 MLB 61%STL 396352 731338 381213 70 .207.290.330.620 .122.287 3110 .279 72 -13 +1 -2 +1 +11 -0.1
203231 MLB 79%STL 385342 691237 371193 50 .202.285.316.601 .114.286 3110 .275 69 -14 +1 -3 +1 +11 -0.3
203332 MLBSTL 369328 661236 351163 50 .201.284.311.595 .110.284 319 .271 65 -14 +1 -4 +1 +10 -0.5
203433 MLBSTL 340302 591026 321093 40 .195.279.301.580 .106.283 329 .265 61 -15 +1 -4 +1 +10 -0.8
203534 MLBSTL 298266 50924 28982 30 .188.270.282.552 .094.281 339 .259 57 -15 +1 -5 +1 +8 -1.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 44083925 7801343772 410142134 7610 .199.280.307.587 .108.288 329 .268 64 -181 +11 -20 +16 +125 -5.0
/ 162G 650579 11520511 602105 111 .199.280.307.587 .109.287 329 .268 64 -27 +2 -3 +2 +18 -0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202322 APalm Beach Cardinals 6148 5000 8152 00 .104.259.104.363 .000.139 2513 .190 3 -7 +0 +2 -0.5
202423 A+Peoria Chiefs 6559 15300 6190 10 .254.323.305.628 .051.375 299 .291 81 -1 +0 +2 0.1
202423 APalm Beach Cardinals 330282 741552 41782 52 .262.359.372.731 .110.353 2412 .329 110 +4 +0 +9 1.4
202524 AASpringfield Cardinals 234200 47645 30611 62 .235.338.380.718 .145.311 2613 .321 104 +1 +0 +7 0.8
202524 A+Peoria Chiefs 139124 30612 13421 21 .242.319.355.674 .113.346 309 .304 91 -1 +0 +4 0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Trey Paige (OGILVIE) 25 40 45 50 55 .191/.266/.302 .111.292 65 36% 9% 57 -0.7
Shayne Fontana
2022 · AA
25 41 42→45 48→55 46 .197/.276/.303 .106.284 99 32% 9% 61 -1.0 .215/.297/.325 .110.300 1114 30% 9% 76 +0.1 .222/.305/.326.104.296111927%8%77+0.1
Oliver Dunn
2022 · AA
24 39→47 44→50 52→55 45 .189/.271/.304 .115.294 1113 37% 10% 59 -1.1 .219/.303/.372 .153.347 1614 37% 10% 90 +1.0 .205/.288/.342.137.315132036%9%73-0.1
Justin Toerner
2022 · AAA
25 39 44→45 45→50 44 .194/.280/.302 .108.290 129 35% 9% 64 -0.8 .186/.282/.297 .111.284 1210 36% 10% 64 -0.8 .157/.270/.260.103.237121235%11%49-0.8
Shane Matheny
2022 · AA
26 38→42 43→45 47→50 39 .187/.250/.294 .107.292 116 38% 7% 48 -1.9 .201/.285/.328 .127.324 149 38% 10% 72 -0.2 .191/.281/.316.125.30014938%10%64-0.5
Zach Collier
2016 · AA
25 41→44 42→45 49→55 38 .200/.260/.308 .108.295 1012 34% 6% 56 -1.3 .207/.259/.318 .111.317 99 35% 6% 57 -1.2 .193/.251/.306.113.2939835%6%47-1.0
Sean Shoffit
2010 · AA
25 41→45 41→45 51→50 44 .193/.272/.302 .109.307 714 37% 9% 59 -1.1 .200/.263/.300 .100.322 815 37% 7% 54 -1.4 .183/.223/.279.095.29372838%5%27-0.7
Bruce Caldwell
2017 · AAA
25 42→45 44→45 48→40 41 .206/.267/.327 .121.302 124 34% 7% 63 -0.8 .202/.267/.314 .112.303 124 35% 8% 60 -1.0 .190/.256/.299.109.27912235%8%50-1.2
Trei Cruz
2023 · AA
25 38→48 41→45 51→50 51 .184/.279/.284 .100.274 813 33% 12% 58 -1.2 .204/.284/.322 .118.291 1110 31% 10% 69 -0.4 .215/.296/.342.128.296121130%10%77+0.1
Brock Lundquist
2021 · AA
25 43→45 44→50 45 41 .213/.275/.332 .119.291 126 30% 7% 68 -0.5 .205/.273/.320 .115.355 127 42% 7% 64 -0.8 .150/.234/.245.096.29515050%8%30-0.7
Steve Bumbry
2013 · AA
25 41→43 42→45 46→50 39 .194/.261/.306 .112.314 811 38% 8% 56 -1.3 .200/.267/.326 .126.325 139 39% 8% 63 -0.8 .172/.245/.314.142.26920442%8%50-0.6
Seth Gray
2023 · AA
25 38 44→45 47→50 38 .186/.263/.294 .108.300 138 40% 7% 54 -1.4 .205/.282/.312 .107.343 1213 40% 8% 66 -0.6 .202/.287/.300.098.353111941%9%62-0.5
Orlando Martinez
2023 · AAA
25 43→44 45→50 44→45 38 .214/.258/.334 .120.292 129 31% 5% 61 -1.0 .222/.274/.341 .119.283 118 25% 6% 69 -0.4 .224/.282/.338.114.27710722%7%71-0.2
Devin Foyle
2022 · AA
25 40→37 46→45 48→45 44 .205/.275/.336 .132.274 1411 30% 8% 69 -0.4 .212/.284/.329 .117.274 127 26% 8% 71 -0.3 .192/.282/.265.072.2456022%10%51-0.6
Mickey Hall
2009 · AA
24 39→43 46→50 49→45 42 .192/.266/.324 .131.301 127 38% 8% 63 -0.9 .197/.274/.312 .115.289 118 33% 9% 63 -0.9 .167/.252/.246.079.2377830%10%36-1.4
Skye Bolt
2019 · AA
25 40→39 46→50 50 41 .201/.262/.333 .132.280 1311 32% 7% 63 -0.9 .212/.276/.351 .139.302 1412 33% 8% 73 -0.1 .234/.302/.369.135.310151228%8%86+0.3
Mitch Walding
2018 · AA
25 40→45 46→50 43→40 40 .197/.268/.326 .129.309 144 39% 8% 64 -0.8 .202/.291/.355 .153.332 184 41% 10% 82 +0.5 .182/.280/.329.147.32219345%11%69-0.2
Ryan Aguilar
2021 · AA
26 40→41 42→45 49→50 41 .190/.265/.290 .099.310 98 39% 8% 53 -1.5 .191/.282/.312 .121.320 1413 41% 10% 67 -0.5 .176/.277/.309.133.286161441%11%61-0.5
Chase Strumpf
2022 · AA
24 42→35 44→50 48→45 44 .203/.282/.321 .118.296 117 33% 8% 69 -0.4 .196/.293/.355 .159.317 195 41% 10% 83 +0.6 .180/.284/.345.165.29321342%11%73-0.1
DaShawn Keirsey Jr.
2022 · A
25 35→45 45→50 53→60 40 .180/.251/.302 .122.279 1314 38% 8% 50 -1.7 .231/.283/.350 .119.327 1131 31% 6% 76 +0.0 .245/.299/.367.122.338113629%6%83+0.5
Kevin Mahoney
2012 · AA
25 41 42→45 47→40 40 .201/.265/.305 .103.292 94 33% 7% 57 -1.2 .211/.273/.321 .110.292 116 30% 7% 64 -0.8 .201/.266/.312.111.27712530%7%57-0.5