Trey Paige — OGILVIE

Trey Paige3B Springfield Cardinals

Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 215 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION282 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP257

ISO88

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	61	48	5	0	0	0	8	15	2	0	0	104	259	104	363		139	25	13	190	15	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	65	59	15	3	0	0	6	19	0	1	0	254	323	305	628	51	375	29	9	291	83	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	23	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	330	282	74	15	5	2	41	78	2	5	2	262	359	372	731	110	353	24	12	329	109	+4	+0	—	—	+7	1.1
2025	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	234	200	47	6	4	5	30	61	1	6	2	235	338	380	718	145	311	26	13	321	104	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2025	24	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	139	124	30	6	1	2	13	42	1	2	1	242	319	355	674	113	346	30	9	304	92	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	61	50	4	0	0	0	6	22	2	0	0	80	207	80	287		122	36	10	157	-8	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	65	60	12	2	0	0	5	25	0	1	0	200	262	233	495	33	337	38	8	220	35	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	23	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	330	293	61	12	4	2	31	115	2	5	2	208	288	297	585	89	319	35	9	256	59	-16	+0	—	—	+7	-0.9
2025	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	234	209	43	6	4	3	21	75	1	6	2	206	281	316	597	110	296	32	9	265	65	-10	+0	—	—	+5	-0.4
2025	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	139	128	22	4	1	2	9	60	1	2	1	172	232	266	498	94	289	43	6	213	30	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2023	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	61	50	4	0	0	0	6	22	2	0	0	80	207	80	287		129	36	10	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	61	48	5	0	0	0	8	15	2	0	0	104	259	104	363		139	25	13	190	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	395	354	72	14	4	2	35	140	2	6	2	203	279	282	561	79	327	35	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	395	341	89	18	5	2	47	97	2	6	2	261	353	361	714	100	357	25	12	323	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	373	337	65	9	5	5	30	135	2	8	3	193	263	294	557	101	302	36	8	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	373	324	77	12	5	7	43	103	2	8	3	238	331	370	701	133	324	28	12	315	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	61	53	4	0	0	0	6	22	2	0	0	75	207	75	282		122	36	10	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	395	355	72	14	4	2	35	140	2	6	2	203	279	282	560	79	322	35	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	373	338	65	9	5	5	30	135	2	8	3	192	263	293	556	101	293	36	8	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	61	53	4	0	0	0	6	22	2	0	0	75	207	75	282		122	36	10	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	395	355	72	14	4	2	35	140	2	6	2	203	279	282	560	79	322	35	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	373	338	65	9	5	5	30	135	2	8	3	192	263	293	556	101	293	36	8	246	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	STL	—	282	249	48	11	1	5	27	78	3	15	3	193	280	305	585	112	254	28	10	258	60	-13	+2	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA RAW	STL	—	250	207	44	10	1	5	37	59	3	15	3	213	340	343	683	130	267	24	15	313	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	AAA RAW	STL	—	32	30	8	2	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	267	312	433	746	167	292	16	6	330	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	25	AA MLE	STL	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		257	33	11	250	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	25	AA MLE	STL	—	291	257	49	11	1	5	28	81	3	15	3	191	278	300	577	109	253	28	10	257	60	-14	+2	+0	+1	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	STL	31%	363	324	62	12	2	6	33	108	3	10	2	191	272	296	569	105	260	30	9	259	61	-17	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.6
2028	27	MLB MLE	STL	42%	387	346	67	13	2	7	35	113	3	11	2	194	273	303	577	110	263	29	9	264	65	-16	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
2029	28	MLB MLE	STL	48%	400	357	69	13	2	7	37	116	3	10	2	193	275	300	574	106	264	29	9	266	66	-16	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.6
2027	26	MLB CTX	STL	31%	113	101	20	4	1	2	10	34	1	3	1	198	277	317	594	119	260	30	9	251	61	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	STL	42%	163	146	28	5	1	3	15	48	1	4	1	192	272	301	573	110	262	29	9	255	65	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	STL	48%	191	170	32	6	1	3	17	56	2	5	1	188	270	288	558	100	263	29	9	257	66	-8	+1	-0	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	467	417	80	15	3	8	42	138	4	12	3	192	272	300	572	108	263	30	9	255	58	-20	+1	-0	+2	+10	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	111	21	4	11	58	192	6	17	4	191	271	298	570	107	262	30	9	255	58	-27	+2	-0	+2	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1988	1776	340	61	15	27	177	637	15	45	11	191	270	288	559	97	278	32	9	254	58	-49	+4	-1	+4	+25	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	111	20	5	9	58	208	5	15	4	191	270	289	559	98	277	32	9	254	58	-28	+2	-0	+2	+14	-1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	473	9	13	194	272	305	+2	+0	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	12	18	+2.4	+0.7	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trey Paige (OGILVIE)	25	40	45	50	55	182/262/278	96	257	5	11	31%	9%	55	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	41	42→45	48→55	46	196/275/302	106	285	8	8	32%	9%	65	-1.2	214/296/317	103	297	10	14	29%	8%	76	-0.4	217/300/310	94	291	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	194/261/281	86	283	7	12	32%	5%	55	-1.9	180/256/281	101	278	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	41	189/253/285	96	258	8	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/270/318	113	284	10	14	30%	6%	67	-1.1	179/250/307	128	258	11	20	33%	6%	54	-0.5
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	54→55	43	199/264/310	111	274	10	17	30%	7%	62	-1.4	203/266/305	102	279	8	19	28%	7%	62	-1.4	187/251/284	97	253	7	25	27%	6%	49	-1.8
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	42→38	42→50	51→45	40	204/259/318	114	293	9	7	32%	6%	62	-1.4	196/263/336	140	295	16	6	37%	8%	69	-0.9	185/255/332	147	273	18	5	38%	8%	61	-1.0
✕Sean Shoffit 2010 · AA	25	41→43	41→45	50	43	190/268/297	106	306	7	14	37%	9%	61	-1.5	202/265/303	101	322	8	15	37%	7%	61	-1.5	185/226/284	99	296	7	28	38%	5%	37	-0.7
✕Justin Toerner 2022 · AAA	25	40	43→40	45→50	44	196/281/302	106	288	11	8	34%	9%	68	-1.0	189/284/296	107	281	11	11	34%	10%	68	-1.0	162/272/259	97	241	10	12	34%	11%	55	-0.9
✕Evan Marzilli 2016 · AAA	25	45→47	39→40	49→50	44	211/276/301	90	301	5	13	30%	8%	65	-1.2	204/282/285	81	293	4	14	29%	9%	63	-1.3	193/277/268	75	280	4	14	29%	9%	56	-1.2
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/294	111	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	200/261/334	134	292	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Zach Collier 2016 · AA	25	41→46	42→45	48→55	38	202/261/308	106	292	9	11	33%	6%	61	-1.5	205/257/311	106	309	8	9	34%	6%	59	-1.6	192/249/298	106	287	7	8	34%	6%	51	-1.2
✕Drew Vettleson 2016 · AA	25	40→50	41→45	49→50	37	200/241/301	101	282	8	10	32%	5%	51	-2.2	189/227/297	108	300	12	12	39%	4%	45	-2.7	165/195/270	105	265	13	11	42%	3%	25	-1.4
✕Matt Fraizer 2023 · AA	25	42→49	44→45	54→55	41	211/263/331	120	283	11	14	29%	6%	66	-1.1	214/264/313	99	293	9	19	28%	6%	62	-1.4	224/277/339	115	316	9	22	30%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	39→41	43→45	47→50	41	191/258/297	106	298	10	6	38%	8%	57	-1.8	201/284/322	121	316	13	9	37%	10%	74	-0.6	190/280/310	120	295	13	9	37%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2023 · AAA	25	42→45	41→40	53→50	47	202/277/299	97	284	9	12	30%	9%	65	-1.2	210/291/309	99	308	8	15	31%	10%	73	-0.6	202/291/293	92	298	8	17	32%	11%	67	-0.7
✕LJ Talley 2022 · AA	25	42→46	43→45	48→50	45	210/267/320	110	264	11	6	25%	7%	66	-1.1	219/281/330	111	278	11	11	24%	7%	74	-0.6	214/280/319	105	269	11	13	24%	8%	68	-0.6
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	40→45	47→50	45	199/275/284	85	276	8	13	29%	8%	61	-1.5	209/281/317	108	288	11	11	29%	8%	71	-0.8	172/253/309	136	226	17	8	31%	9%	57	-0.5
✕CJ Alexander 2021 · AA	25	41→44	39→55	49→50	45	199/267/285	87	290	7	9	32%	8%	58	-1.7	195/236/347	152	268	19	15	34%	5%	61	-1.5	211/254/385	174	262	23	9	29%	5%	74	-0.4
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→39	40→45	48→45	45	200/277/295	94	297	8	12	33%	9%	64	-1.3	211/279/330	119	274	12	8	26%	8%	73	-0.6	202/274/322	119	256	12	6	25%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Rashad Crawford 2019 · AAA	25	41→45	38→40	51→55	40	200/252/282	83	279	5	15	29%	6%	51	-2.3	215/264/298	83	304	7	17	30%	6%	59	-1.7	214/261/281	67	300	7	21	30%	6%	51	-1.7
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	40→37	41→45	42→45	42	194/266/293	98	285	8	6	33%	8%	60	-1.6	200/265/302	102	296	9	6	33%	7%	61	-1.5	201/263/307	106	288	10	4	32%	7%	60	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps