Trey Paige

3B Springfield Cardinals
Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 215 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423A+/ASTL395.261/.353/.3612652—.202/.274/.273
202524AA/A+STL373.238/.331/.3707852—.196/.266/.306
202625AAA/AASTL309.238/.353/.38871671—.201/.291/.315
2027PROJMLE26MLBSTL3.196/.276/.3020065-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB27MLBSTL57.198/.277/.3041166-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
K%89
Speed89
Whiff%55
Chase%37
BB%30
Max EV24
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsJeff Duncan (age 26) · Morgan McCullough (age 26) · Matt Rudick (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .276 / .302
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%9
BABIP266
ISO94
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202322 APalm Beach Cardinals — 6148 5000 8152 00 104259104363 139 2513 190 -13 — — — — — —
202423 A+Peoria Chiefs — 6559 15300 6190 10 254323305628 51375 299 291 38 — — — — — —
202423 APalm Beach Cardinals — 330282 741552 41782 52 262359372731 110353 2412 329 55 — — — — — —
202524 AASpringfield Cardinals — 234200 47645 30611 62 235338380718 145311 2613 321 64 — — — — — —
202524 A+Peoria Chiefs — 139124 30612 13421 21 242319355674 113346 309 304 33 — — — — — —
202625 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 5953 18222 581 10 340407566973 226372 148 424 128 — — — — — —
202625 AASpringfield Cardinals — 250207 441015 37593 153 213340343683 130267 2415 313 57 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202322 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 6151 4000 5212 00 7819078268 121 348 149 -13 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 6560 12200 5240 10 200262233495 33334 378 225 38 — — — — — —
202423 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 330296 601051 281102 52 203276280556 78306 338 249 55 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 234209 43544 21751 62 206281325607 120290 329 263 64 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 139128 23412 9561 21 180239273513 94284 406 217 33 — — — — — —
202625 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 5954 16221 4101 10 296356463819 167345 177 358 128 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 250218 39814 26723 153 179275280555 101238 2910 253 57 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 6151 4000 5212 00 7819078268 121 348 149 -13 — — — — — —
202322 A RAWPalm Beach Cardinals — 6148 5000 8152 00 104259104363 139 2513 190 -13 — — — — — —
202423 A MLE2 teams — 395357 721251 321342 62 202271272543 70317 348 245 52 — — — — — —
202423 A RAW2 teams — 395341 891852 47972 62 261353361714 100357 2512 323 52 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 373337 65955 301312 83 193263294557 101296 358 246 53 — — — — — —
202524 AA RAW2 teams — 373324 771257 431032 83 238331370701 133324 2812 315 53 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 309273 551035 29824 163 201288315603 114265 279 273 71 — — — — — —
202625 AA RAW2 teams — 309260 621237 42674 163 238353388741 150291 2214 334 71 — — — — — —
202322 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 6154 4000 5212 00 7419074264 121 348 149 -13 — — — — — —
202423 A MLE2 teams — 395358 721251 321342 62 201271271542 70311 348 245 52 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 373338 65955 301312 83 192263293556 101288 358 246 53 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 309273 551035 29824 163 201288315603 114258 279 273 71 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A MLE2 teams — 395358 721251 321342 62 201271271542 70311 348 245 52 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLE2 teams — 373338 65955 301312 83 192263293556 101288 358 246 53 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 309273 551035 29824 163 201288315603 114258 279 273 71 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLESTL 2% 359321 631136 321023 102 196276304580 108265 289 264 65 -15 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXSTL 2% 33 0000 010 00 196276302578 105266 330 264 65 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLESTL 27% 213190 38723 19602 51 197277306583 109265 289 266 66 -9 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.3
202827 MLB CTXSTL 27% 5752 10201 5160 10 198277304582 107267 289 265 66 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5752 10201 5160 10 192263288552 96257 289 265 57 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 11423011 571820 110 192263287550 94258 289 265 57 -26 +2 +0 +2 +14 -0.8
Career— MLE — 15061347 261431616 12947213 3910 194271285556 91281 319 252 57 -15 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 1131977 562046 174 194272287560 93283 319 252 57 -27 +2 +0 +2 +14 -0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AASpringfield Cardinals · 250 PAwOBA .309 → .253 (−56)K% 23.6% → 28.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.60%÷1.000×1.220——28.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.80%÷1.000×0.700—×0.98810.24%
HBP% /PA1.20%—×0.870—×0.9881.03%
Singles /BIP18.92%÷1.000×0.920×1.008×0.98817.33%
Doubles /BIP6.76%÷1.000×0.840×1.008×0.9885.65%
Triples /BIP0.68%÷1.000×0.940×1.008×0.9880.63%
Home runs /BIP3.38%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9882.67%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .309 → .253; ISO .130 → .108; BABIP .267 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 59 PAwOBA .413 → .358 (−55)K% 13.6% → 16.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.56%÷1.000×1.200——16.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.47%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0185.95%
HBP% /PA1.69%—×0.940—×1.0181.62%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷1.000×0.930—×1.01825.25%
Doubles /BIP4.44%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0183.76%
Triples /BIP4.44%÷1.000×0.970—×1.0184.39%
Home runs /BIP4.44%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0183.17%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .413 → .358; ISO .226 → .187; BABIP .372 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AASpringfield Cardinals · 234 PAwOBA .315 → .263 (−51)K% 26.1% → 32.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.07%÷0.992×1.220——32.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.82%÷0.987×0.700—×0.9989.07%
HBP% /PA0.43%—×0.870—×0.9980.37%
Singles /BIP23.02%÷0.966×0.920×0.986×0.99821.57%
Doubles /BIP4.32%÷0.916×0.840×0.986×0.9983.89%
Triples /BIP2.88%÷0.900×0.940×0.986×0.9982.96%
Home runs /BIP3.60%÷1.105×0.800—×0.9982.60%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 93, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .315 → .263; ISO .145 → .120; BABIP .311 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Peoria Chiefs · 139 PAwOBA .299 → .217 (−82)K% 30.2% → 40.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.22%÷0.951×1.270——40.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.35%÷1.027×0.710—×0.9786.32%
HBP% /PA0.72%—×0.790—×0.9780.56%
Singles /BIP25.61%÷1.010×0.920×0.961×0.97821.92%
Doubles /BIP7.32%÷1.083×0.810×0.961×0.9785.14%
Triples /BIP1.22%÷0.926×0.850×0.961×0.9781.05%
Home runs /BIP2.44%÷0.857×0.800—×0.9782.23%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 102, 2B 117, 3B 85, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.

Result: wOBA .299 → .217; ISO .113 → .082; BABIP .346 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 APalm Beach Cardinals · 330 PAwOBA .323 → .249 (−74)K% 23.6% → 33.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.64%÷0.968×1.360——33.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.42%÷0.999×0.690—×0.9808.41%
HBP% /PA0.61%—×0.780—×0.9800.46%
Singles /BIP25.49%÷1.040×0.920×1.038×0.98022.94%
Doubles /BIP7.35%÷1.153×0.830×1.038×0.9805.39%
Triples /BIP2.45%÷0.946×0.910×1.038×0.9802.40%
Home runs /BIP0.98%÷1.036×0.800—×0.9800.74%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 108, 2B 131, 3B 89, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .323 → .249; ISO .110 → .084; BABIP .353 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Peoria Chiefs · 65 PAwOBA .284 → .225 (−58)K% 29.2% → 36.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.23%÷1.006×1.270——36.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.23%÷0.930×0.710—×0.9886.96%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×0.9880.00%
Singles /BIP30.00%÷0.995×0.920—×0.98827.41%
Doubles /BIP7.50%÷1.000×0.810—×0.9886.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850—×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.993×0.800—×0.9880.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .284 → .225; ISO .051 → .037; BABIP .375 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 APalm Beach Cardinals · 61 PAwOBA .196 → .149 (−46)K% 24.6% → 35.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.59%÷0.950×1.360——35.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.11%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9908.96%
HBP% /PA3.28%—×0.780—×0.9902.53%
Singles /BIP15.15%÷0.998×0.920×0.957×0.99013.23%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.007×0.830×0.957×0.9900.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.023×0.910×0.957×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.010×0.800—×0.9900.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 100, 2B 101, 3B 105, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .196 → .149; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .139 → .121. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).