Trey Paige — OGILVIE

Trey Paige3B Springfield Cardinals

Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION208 act + 138 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.170 / .254 / .267

PA138

HR2

SB5

K%34

BB%9

BABIP251

ISO97

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	61	50	4	0	0	0	6	24	2	0	0	80	207	80	287		138	39	10	154	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	61	48	5	0	0	0	8	15	2	0	0	104	259	104	363		139	25	13	190	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	395	353	67	12	4	1	36	143	2	6	2	190	269	255	523	65	313	36	9	241	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	395	341	89	18	5	2	47	97	2	6	2	261	353	361	714	100	357	25	12	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	373	337	64	9	5	5	30	143	2	8	3	190	260	291	551	101	309	38	8	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	2 teams	—	373	324	77	12	5	7	43	103	2	8	3	238	331	370	701	133	324	28	12	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	STL	—	208	178	30	5	1	4	24	66	3	14	2	169	278	275	553	107	234	32	12	248	48	-12	+2	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
YTD	25	AA	STL	—	208	168	32	6	1	4	34	51	3	14	2	190	337	310	646	119	241	25	16	301	88	-3	+2	+0	+1	+6	0.6
ROS	25	AA	STL	2%	138	123	21	4	1	2	13	47	1	5	1	170	254	267	521	97	251	34	9	243	44	-9	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
ROS	25	MLB	STL	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						251	33	0	236	39	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	STL	—	211	181	30	5	1	4	24	67	3	14	2	166	274	271	545	105	230	32	11	248	48	-12	+2	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
TOT	25	AA	STL	—	346	301	51	9	2	6	37	113	4	19	3	169	268	272	540	103	241	33	11	246	46	-21	+3	+0	+1	+10	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	STL	31%	351	311	56	10	2	6	34	114	3	10	2	180	267	283	550	103	256	32	10	253	52	-19	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.7
2028	27	MLB	STL	42%	379	337	61	11	2	7	36	121	3	11	2	181	266	288	554	107	259	32	9	258	56	-19	+1	+0	+1	+11	-0.6
2029	28	MLB	STL	48%	395	351	64	11	2	7	38	124	3	11	2	182	268	285	553	103	260	31	10	260	57	-19	+1	-1	+1	+11	-0.6
2027	26	MLB	STL	31%	109	97	18	3	1	2	10	35	1	3	1	186	269	299	567	113	256	32	9	246	47	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
2028	27	MLB	STL	42%	159	142	26	5	1	3	15	51	1	5	1	183	266	296	562	113	259	32	9	251	51	-9	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
2029	28	MLB	STL	48%	189	167	31	5	1	4	18	60	2	5	1	186	273	299	572	114	260	32	10	254	52	-10	+1	-0	+1	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	460	409	75	13	3	9	43	147	4	13	3	183	268	296	563	112	258	32	9	251	50	-26	+1	-0	+2	+13	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	106	18	4	13	61	208	6	18	4	183	268	296	564	112	258	32	9	251	50	-37	+2	-0	+2	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	2092	1862	337	57	16	28	193	716	16	51	12	181	264	274	537	93	273	34	9	248	48	-122	+5	-1	+7	+59	-5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	105	18	5	9	60	222	5	16	4	181	264	276	540	95	273	34	9	248	48	-38	+2	-0	+2	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	61	48	5	0	0	0	8	15	2	0	0	104	259	104	363		139	25	13	190	3	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	23	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	65	59	15	3	0	0	6	19	0	1	0	254	323	305	628	51	375	29	9	291	81	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	23	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	330	282	74	15	5	2	41	78	2	5	2	262	359	372	731	110	353	24	12	329	110	+4	+0	—	—	+9	1.4
2025	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	234	200	47	6	4	5	30	61	1	6	2	235	338	380	718	145	311	26	13	321	104	+1	+0	—	—	+7	0.8
2025	24	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	139	124	30	6	1	2	13	42	1	2	1	242	319	355	674	113	346	30	9	304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	464	8	13	184	267	293	+2	+0	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	12	19	184	267	293	+2.4	+0.7	-1.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trey Paige (OGILVIE)	25	40	45	50	55	169/268/272	103	241	6	19	33%	11%	46	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	193/273/296	103	282	8	8	32%	9%	58	-1.2	214/297/319	105	298	10	14	29%	9%	75	-0.0	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Sean Shoffit 2010 · AA	25	40→43	41→45	50	43	189/268/295	106	307	7	14	38%	9%	56	-1.3	202/265/302	100	323	8	15	37%	7%	56	-1.3	185/227/279	94	296	7	28	38%	5%	28	-0.7
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→29	40→45	49→60	37	191/259/277	86	288	7	12	34%	6%	48	-1.9	177/254/283	106	281	10	16	38%	8%	47	-1.9	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	37→34	41→40	48→50	40	186/251/287	100	259	9	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	205/270/324	119	291	11	14	32%	7%	64	-0.8	182/254/327	145	270	14	20	36%	6%	54	-0.3
✕Justin Toerner 2022 · AAA	25	39	44→45	45→50	43	191/276/301	110	289	13	8	36%	9%	62	-0.9	187/281/300	113	283	12	11	35%	10%	64	-0.8	162/269/266	104	242	12	12	35%	10%	50	-0.8
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	53→55	43	198/261/314	116	274	11	17	31%	7%	57	-1.2	200/261/298	98	280	8	19	30%	7%	53	-1.5	181/243/270	88	251	7	25	29%	6%	35	-2.1
✕Evan Marzilli 2016 · AAA	25	44→46	39→40	49→50	42	209/271/299	91	301	5	13	31%	7%	57	-1.2	196/276/276	80	290	5	14	31%	9%	54	-1.4	183/270/255	72	274	4	14	31%	10%	44	-1.4
✕Matt Fraizer 2023 · AA	25	42→50	43→45	54→55	40	208/259/326	118	287	10	14	30%	6%	59	-1.1	209/258/313	104	292	10	19	30%	6%	55	-1.4	212/260/313	101	292	10	22	30%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	43→45	51→50	42	184/258/300	116	276	11	10	36%	8%	53	-1.5	191/255/292	101	310	7	9	38%	7%	49	-1.8	158/216/249	91	298	0	4	44%	7%	17	-0.7
✕Rashad Crawford 2019 · AAA	25	41→44	39→40	51→55	40	200/252/287	87	282	6	15	30%	6%	46	-2.0	212/262/299	87	310	8	17	32%	6%	53	-1.5	208/256/280	72	305	9	21	33%	6%	42	-1.7
✕Zach Collier 2016 · AA	25	41→47	41→45	48→55	36	197/255/300	103	300	9	11	36%	5%	51	-1.7	201/252/309	108	311	9	9	36%	6%	52	-1.6	186/242/297	111	284	9	8	36%	6%	41	-1.3
✕Dylan Harris 2022 · A	25	43	39→45	45	48	200/289/283	82	299	7	10	32%	10%	62	-0.9	198/274/306	108	305	10	10	35%	9%	61	-1.0	157/236/276	120	240	13	9	38%	9%	36	-1.0
✕Steve Bumbry 2013 · AA	25	42→47	42→45	47→50	40	197/267/310	113	319	8	11	38%	8%	59	-1.1	201/266/321	120	329	12	9	39%	7%	62	-0.9	168/237/299	131	272	18	4	43%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→37	44→50	47→55	38	184/248/300	115	271	12	13	35%	6%	49	-1.8	201/261/346	145	293	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→36	40→45	48→45	45	201/279/294	93	296	8	12	32%	9%	60	-1.0	209/277/348	139	270	16	8	28%	8%	73	-0.1	196/269/342	145	244	18	6	27%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Jason Christian 2012 · AA	25	43	40	54→55	38	208/251/296	88	297	7	16	32%	6%	47	-1.9	204/259/279	75	296	4	10	30%	6%	46	-2.0	187/256/216	29	259	0	5	25%	7%	27	-1.1
✕Drew Vettleson 2016 · AA	25	40→49	42→45	49→50	36	199/239/305	105	288	10	10	34%	5%	45	-2.1	188/223/295	107	309	12	12	41%	4%	36	-2.7	161/189/262	101	269	13	11	44%	3%	11	-1.5
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	38→36	41→45	41→45	42	188/262/288	99	281	9	6	34%	8%	52	-1.6	194/259/295	101	293	9	6	34%	7%	52	-1.6	194/254/298	105	283	10	4	33%	7%	48	-1.4
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2023 · AAA	25	42→44	41→40	53→50	47	203/277/300	97	290	8	12	31%	9%	60	-1.0	208/289/309	101	313	9	15	33%	10%	68	-0.5	198/288/293	95	302	8	17	34%	11%	61	-0.6