Derrick Loveless
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 593 | .211/.328/.357 | 14 | 12 | 61 | — | .163/.253/.254 |
| 2016 | 23 | AA/A+TOR | 401 | .237/.339/.415 | 10 | 11 | 58 | — | .190/.263/.320 |
| 2017 | 24 | AA/A+TOR | 324 | .264/.391/.355 | 1 | 5 | 86 | — | .242/.334/.323 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 18 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | — | 21 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 200 | 59 | 259 | 100 | 33 | 14 | 143 | -50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | — | 133 | 115 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 165 | 278 | 304 | 583 | 139 | 237 | 29 | 12 | 269 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 210 | 177 | 40 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 47 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 332 | 362 | 693 | 136 | 292 | 22 | 13 | 308 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 508 | 428 | 113 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 66 | 120 | 3 | 17 | 7 | 264 | 366 | 390 | 756 | 126 | 349 | 24 | 13 | 336 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 450 | 385 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 58 | 110 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 216 | 323 | 345 | 668 | 130 | 273 | 24 | 13 | 305 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 143 | 117 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 35 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 197 | 343 | 393 | 736 | 197 | 244 | 24 | 17 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 197 | 169 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 56 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 207 | 313 | 414 | 727 | 207 | 262 | 28 | 13 | 321 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 204 | 173 | 46 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 55 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 266 | 365 | 416 | 781 | 150 | 368 | 27 | 13 | 345 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 234 | 190 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 55 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 253 | 383 | 326 | 709 | 74 | 346 | 24 | 16 | 328 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 90 | 75 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 293 | 411 | 427 | 838 | 133 | 386 | 20 | 16 | 380 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 21 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 150 | 56 | 206 | 84 | 48 | 10 | 94 | -50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 133 | 121 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 55 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 116 | 195 | 215 | 410 | 99 | 190 | 41 | 8 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 210 | 187 | 32 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 67 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 171 | 244 | 267 | 511 | 96 | 246 | 32 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 508 | 449 | 106 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 161 | 3 | 17 | 7 | 236 | 310 | 334 | 644 | 98 | 337 | 32 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 450 | 398 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 164 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 163 | 253 | 254 | 507 | 90 | 253 | 36 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 197 | 178 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 71 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 174 | 246 | 315 | 561 | 140 | 257 | 36 | 8 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 204 | 181 | 37 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 82 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 204 | 280 | 326 | 606 | 122 | 325 | 40 | 9 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 234 | 201 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 67 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 239 | 335 | 303 | 638 | 65 | 340 | 29 | 12 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 90 | 80 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 250 | 333 | 375 | 708 | 125 | 361 | 28 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 21 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 150 | 56 | 206 | 125 | 48 | 10 | 94 | -50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Blue Jays | — | 21 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 200 | 59 | 259 | 100 | 33 | 14 | 143 | -50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 133 | 121 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 55 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 116 | 195 | 215 | 410 | 99 | 200 | 41 | 8 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Blue Jays | — | 133 | 115 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 165 | 278 | 304 | 583 | 139 | 237 | 29 | 12 | 269 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 210 | 187 | 32 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 67 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 171 | 244 | 267 | 511 | 96 | 250 | 32 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK RAW | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 210 | 177 | 40 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 47 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 332 | 362 | 693 | 136 | 292 | 22 | 13 | 308 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 508 | 449 | 106 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 161 | 3 | 17 | 7 | 236 | 310 | 334 | 644 | 98 | 351 | 32 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 508 | 428 | 113 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 66 | 120 | 3 | 17 | 7 | 264 | 366 | 390 | 756 | 126 | 349 | 24 | 13 | 336 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 593 | 526 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 59 | 216 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 165 | 255 | 262 | 517 | 97 | 255 | 36 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 593 | 502 | 106 | 21 | 5 | 14 | 83 | 145 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 211 | 328 | 357 | 684 | 145 | 267 | 24 | 14 | 312 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 359 | 68 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 152 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 189 | 263 | 320 | 584 | 131 | 300 | 38 | 9 | 255 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 401 | 342 | 81 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 111 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 237 | 339 | 415 | 754 | 178 | 317 | 28 | 13 | 333 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 281 | 69 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 92 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 246 | 338 | 327 | 665 | 82 | 358 | 28 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 324 | 265 | 70 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 52 | 73 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 264 | 391 | 355 | 745 | 91 | 358 | 23 | 16 | 342 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 21 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 150 | 53 | 203 | 84 | 48 | 10 | 94 | -50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Blue Jays | — | 133 | 120 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 55 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 117 | 195 | 217 | 412 | 100 | 190 | 41 | 8 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | Bluefield Blue Jays | — | 210 | 190 | 32 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 67 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 168 | 244 | 263 | 507 | 95 | 246 | 32 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 508 | 455 | 106 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 161 | 3 | 17 | 7 | 233 | 310 | 330 | 640 | 97 | 337 | 32 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 593 | 525 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 59 | 216 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 166 | 255 | 263 | 518 | 97 | 253 | 36 | 10 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 401 | 362 | 68 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 152 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 188 | 263 | 318 | 581 | 130 | 292 | 38 | 9 | 255 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 282 | 69 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 92 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 245 | 338 | 326 | 664 | 82 | 346 | 28 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2190 | 1941 | 377 | 73 | 22 | 26 | 205 | 753 | 13 | 50 | 25 | 194 | 276 | 295 | 570 | 100 | 298 | 34 | 9 | 253 | 58 | -111 | +0 | +0 | -23 | +47 | -8.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 113 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 223 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 196 | 278 | 300 | 578 | 104 | 301 | 34 | 9 | 253 | 58 | -33 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 234 PAwOBA .323 → .289 (−34)K% 23.5% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.50% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.24% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 11.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.41% | ÷1.024 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 27.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.024 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 5.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.165 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.50% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .323 → .289; ISO .074 → .066; BABIP .346 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 90 PAwOBA .367 → .310 (−58)K% 20.0% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.007 | ×1.420 | — | — | 28.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.44% | ÷1.118 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 9.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | ×0.988 | 18.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.54% | ÷0.940 | ×0.960 | ×0.980 | ×0.988 | 17.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.980 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.265 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 100, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 101, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .367 → .310; ISO .133 → .127; BABIP .386 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 204 PAwOBA .338 → .259 (−79)K% 27.0% → 40.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.96% | ÷0.955 | ×1.420 | — | — | 40.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.75% | ÷1.038 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 9.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.58% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 22.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.32% | ÷1.064 | ×0.960 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 8.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.54% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 1.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.54% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 2.45% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 91, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .338 → .259; ISO .150 → .117; BABIP .368 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 197 PAwOBA .312 → .250 (−63)K% 28.4% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.43% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.18% | ÷1.079 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.04% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×1.046 | ×1.027 | 15.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.046 | ×1.027 | 6.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.65% | ÷1.031 | ×0.950 | ×1.046 | ×1.027 | 2.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.19% | ÷1.292 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 3.84% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 158, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 106, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .312 → .250; ISO .207 → .151; BABIP .262 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 450 PAwOBA .298 → .235 (−62)K% 24.4% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.44% | ÷0.953 | ×1.420 | — | — | 36.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.67% | ÷0.974 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 9.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.920 | ×1.037 | ×1.012 | 18.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.82% | ÷1.063 | ×0.960 | ×1.037 | ×1.012 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷0.989 | ×0.810 | ×1.037 | ×1.012 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.059 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 3.06% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 98, K 91, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .298 → .235; ISO .130 → .099; BABIP .273 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ALansing Lugnuts · 508 PAwOBA .331 → .284 (−47)K% 23.6% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.62% | ÷1.017 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.99% | ÷1.038 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.97% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×1.048 | ×1.015 | 26.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.84% | ÷1.042 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | ×1.015 | 4.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.92% | ÷1.135 | ×0.910 | ×1.048 | ×1.015 | 2.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.95% | ÷0.872 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.81% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 94, 2B 108, 3B 127, K 103, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .331 → .284; ISO .126 → .108; BABIP .349 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKBluefield Blue Jays · 210 PAwOBA .303 → .228 (−76)K% 22.4% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 31.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.995 | 8.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 17.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 3.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 3.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.995 | 1.22% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .303 → .228; ISO .136 → .102; BABIP .292 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKGCL Blue Jays · 133 PAwOBA .262 → .176 (−87)K% 28.6% → 41.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 41.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.036 | ×1.008 | 10.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.036 | ×1.008 | 4.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.036 | ×1.008 | 3.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.02% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .262 → .176; ISO .139 → .092; BABIP .237 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .