Esteban GonzálezCF Lake County Captains
Age 23 L/R 5'6" / 171 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION259 act + 172 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .246 / .311
PA172
HR4
SB8
K%36
BB%6
BABIP273
ISO127
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -26.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-26BATRUN: +3.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +12.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: -1.00-1.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$2M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Indians Red 138120 26730 11387 92 217319325644 108317 288 280 72
202118 ROKDSL Indians Red 138114 34950 17277 92 298420465885 167391 2012 397 162
202219 ROKACL Guardians 155138 27201 9446 58 196275232506 36274 286 229 33
202219 ROKACL Guardians 155133 35401 14326 58 263359316675 53333 219 313 98
202320 ROKACL Guardians 156137 27633 10548 210 197290350641 153296 356 272 66
202320 ROKACL Guardians 156130 39946 17388 210 300413569982 269379 2411 425 184
202421 A2 teams 414380 811858 1813610 4113 213267350617 137302 334 270 65
202421 A2 teams 414369 1002267 299710 4113 271341420761 149343 237 336 115
202522 A+Lake County Captains 447410 821737 241268 247 200258307565 107266 285 249 49
202522 A+Lake County Captains 447400 1092849 33978 247 273339430769 157334 227 339 118
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 A+CLE 259237 39818 171075 163 165236308544 143254 417 241 43 -17 +2 +0 +1 +7 -0.7
YTD23 A+CLE 259229 5412211 24795 163 236320450770 214309 319 341 119 +5 +2 +0 +1 +7 1.6
ROS23 A+CLE 0% 172157 29614 10633 82 184246311557 127273 366 251 50 -10 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.3
ROS23 MLBCLE 0% 11 0000 000 00 274 00 238 40 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 A+CLE 260238 39818 171075 163 164235307541 143252 417 241 43 -17 +2 +0 +1 +7 -0.7
TOT23 A+CLE 431394 6814212 271708 245 172240309549 137262 396 245 46 -26 +3 +0 +2 +12 -1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBCLE 30% 498456 8718312 311748 184 191255322577 132278 356 263 60 -23 +2 +0 +2 +14 -0.5
202825 MLBCLE 44% 527480 9620414 341798 184 200264346610 146279 346 270 65 -21 +2 +0 +2 +15 -0.2
202926 MLBCLE 51% 543494 10020415 361818 184 202268350618 148280 337 274 68 -20 +2 +0 +2 +15 -0.0
203027 MLBCLE 52% 549499 10221415 371828 184 204270353623 148281 337 276 69 -19 +2 +0 +2 +16 0.0
203128 MLBCLE 53% 548497 10121415 381828 164 203271352623 149280 337 275 69 -20 +2 -1 +2 +16 -0.1
202724 MLBCLE 30% 151139 27614 9532 61 194253338591 144279 356 252 51 -8 +1 +0 +1 +4 -0.3
202825 MLBCLE 44% 233212 43926 15794 82 203268349617 146280 346 259 56 -11 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.3
202926 MLBCLE 51% 276252 501027 18924 92 198263337600 139281 337 263 59 -13 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.3
203027 MLBCLE 52% 288262 531128 20954 92 202269351620 149281 337 265 61 -13 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.3
203128 MLBCLE 53% 292266 541128 20974 92 203269350619 147281 337 264 60 -13 +1 -0 +1 +8 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 12411132 22747933 8241618 419 201265345611 145282 347 261 58 -59 +5 -0 +4 +35 -1.5
/ 162G 650593 11925517 432189 215 201265346611 145283 347 261 58 -31 +2 -0 +2 +18 -0.8
Career 41473768 7581563494 258135982 19652 201267335603 134283 336 267 63 -175 +18 -1 +15 +118 -2.6
/ 162G 650591 11824515 4021313 318 200266333599 134280 336 267 63 -27 +3 -0 +2 +18 -0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKDSL Indians Red 138114 34950 17277 92 298420465885 167391 2012 397 162 +10 +1 +4 1.5
202219 ROKACL Guardians 155133 35401 14326 58 263359316675 53333 219 313 98 -0 -2 +4 0.2
202320 ROKACL Guardians 156130 39946 17388 210 300413569982 269379 2411 425 184 +15 +4 +4 2.4
202421 A+Lake County Captains 115104 24501 11360 44 231304308612 77343 3110 282 74 -3 -1 +3 -0.1
202421 ALynchburg Hillcats 299265 761766 186110 379 287355464819 177343 206 356 131 +10 +4 +8 2.3
202522 A+Lake County Captains 447400 1092849 33978 247 273339430769 157334 227 339 118 +9 +2 +13 2.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
21,2413341201264345+4+5-0.3-0.1
/1626641822+2.4+2.7-0.2pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Esteban González (OGILVIE) 23 45 40 55 30 172/240/309 137262 1224 39% 6% 46 -1.0
Luigi Rodriguez
2016 · A
23 45→48 44→50 53→55 40 222/267/341 120309 1018 31% 6% 66 -0.6 222/260/358 136340 1516 37% 5% 68 -0.5 220/261/367147345191540%5%68-0.3
James Jones
2012 · A
23 42→52 42→45 53→60 41 204/264/311 108296 915 33% 7% 58 -1.2 224/275/323 99312 722 28% 6% 65 -0.7 241/287/3339230533621%6%68-0.3
Slade Heathcott
2014 · AA
23 45→43 43→45 51→50 37 217/264/329 112313 1016 33% 5% 62 -0.9 224/271/327 103318 912 31% 6% 64 -0.8 218/286/353135311151133%7%75+0.0
Duke Ellis
2022 · A
24 37→47 39→45 55→80 35 181/233/256 76281 724 37% 5% 30 -3.1 211/271/296 85332 843 36% 7% 56 -1.3 227/278/331104316109130%6%65-0.3
Travis Witherspoon
2012 · A
23 41→47 42→50 56→55 37 202/248/302 100290 1022 33% 5% 48 -1.9 214/268/343 129290 1523 30% 6% 68 -0.5 209/267/345136278162530%7%65-0.6
Victor Labrada
2023 · A
23 41→51 41→45 54→60 39 197/261/298 101307 821 36% 7% 53 -1.5 218/285/326 108307 931 30% 7% 71 -0.3 234/316/361128305113825%9%90+0.8
Aneury Tavárez
2015 · A
23 42→52 43→45 52→50 31 205/240/316 111309 1017 36% 3% 48 -1.9 235/273/352 117318 916 28% 4% 71 -0.3 251/290/36911832581725%4%79+0.2
Michael Siani
2022 · A
23 37→44 39→45 55→60 42 180/250/266 86268 725 34% 8% 40 -2.4 205/275/310 105272 1030 27% 8% 62 -0.9 206/277/30599268103325%8%59-0.9
Caleb Roberts
2023 · AA
23 41→42 43→45 50 43 199/278/313 114297 1112 34% 8% 65 -0.7 202/279/326 124295 1111 33% 8% 69 -0.4 187/272/303117258121130%8%58-0.7
Khalil Lee
2021 · AA
23 43→52 42→45 57→55 41 203/277/308 105321 1030 37% 8% 63 -0.9 205/307/339 134347 1215 40% 9% 85 +0.7 193/306/332139346121342%10%79+0.2
Ryan Bliss
2023 · A
23 36→46 45 52→65 39 191/248/311 120257 1421 31% 6% 51 -1.7 219/287/347 128293 1139 27% 8% 77 +0.1 221/289/346125298104327%7%75-0.0
Peyton Wilson
2023 · A
23 43→49 46→45 57→55 40 214/276/344 130302 1320 32% 6% 72 -0.2 215/282/337 122285 1118 27% 7% 72 -0.2 208/280/329121274111927%8%66-0.5
Shaun Cumberland
2007 · A
22 44→52 45 51→50 39 221/266/337 115298 1317 30% 5% 65 -0.7 232/276/335 103307 913 26% 5% 69 -0.4 234/279/3329830681225%5%65-0.5
Sam Hilliard
2017 · A
23 43→46 43→55 53→55 39 205/263/315 110323 1016 38% 7% 58 -1.2 196/247/298 102325 1020 40% 6% 46 -2.0 190/268/352162268181834%9%69-0.3
Daniel Fields
2014 · AA
23 47→54 41→45 53→55 39 224/276/328 105327 818 33% 6% 66 -0.6 207/263/315 108305 916 33% 6% 58 -1.2 184/244/2829827991635%6%39-1.4
Joseph Dunigan
2009 · A
23 40→44 45→55 55→50 32 197/243/323 126312 1217 40% 5% 52 -1.6 207/256/375 168327 2114 41% 6% 72 -0.2 194/247/370176311231344%6%63-0.5
Trey Lipscomb
2023 · A
23 49→47 40→45 57→50 37 235/271/329 94325 721 29% 4% 64 -0.8 228/268/332 104291 1014 24% 5% 64 -0.8 225/270/345119281131624%5%65-0.5
Brian Pointer
2015 · A
23 41→43 44→45 49→50 42 201/278/321 120303 1213 36% 8% 67 -0.5 221/291/358 137320 1411 33% 8% 82 +0.5 221/292/378157308171032%9%82+0.3
Raynel Delgado
2023 · AA
23 40→50 39→40 49→60 43 195/265/283 88276 715 30% 7% 51 -1.7 229/292/326 97319 823 29% 7% 73 -0.1 242/304/3369433383228%7%76+0.1
Cam Gibson
2017 · A
23 36→41 43→45 53→55 40 184/244/291 108267 1117 34% 7% 44 -2.1 196/257/315 119271 1117 30% 7% 56 -1.3 191/254/304113261101929%7%49-1.4